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Gulfport Energy Corporation
GPOR

GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp

Gulfport Energy Corp · NYSE
Market Closed
173.25
▼ ⁦-1.73%⁩ (-3.05)
Market Cap$3.1B
Beta0.41
52w Low52w High
149.18225.78
Last Week
⁦-5.13%⁩
Last Month
⁦+9.34%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+3.51%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.45%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall88
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 7/9SafeBetter than 88% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
92
6.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
57
35.2%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
85
21.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
77
0.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
19
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
32
-11.6%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
92
10▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$173
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$219
⁦+26%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$186–$252⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$177
⁦+2%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$177–$219⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$219.00
⁦+26.4%⁩
Current Price $173.25·Median $219.00
Low
$186.00
High
$252.00
Current price
$173.25
Average target
$219.00
Street summary

Lower Average Price Target Amid Continued Divergence

The average price target fell from 227.67 to 219, a decline of 8.67 or 3.81% over one day and seven days, while the number of analysts remained at two. Over 30 days, the number of analysts increased from one to two, but the current average remained below the previous reading, indicating a limited deterioration in the overall outlook despite broader coverage.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.69
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦13 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
62%
Mixed
Target dispersion
38%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
1
7
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.64 → 3.69
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-27
    Mizuho Securities
    —· $252.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-08
    Truist Securities
    —· $219.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    Mizuho Securities
    —· $251.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    6.63x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    6.58x
    3.36x26.89x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    3.96x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.2%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    35.2%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    502.3%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    76.3%
    7.8%72.1%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    21.5%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.92x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.32
    -1.814.34
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Gulfport Energy Corp is a natural gas and liquids exploration and production company, with a portfolio based on assets in the southwestern Appalachia Basin, including Ohio Marcellus, and the SCOOP asset in the Mid-Continent region. The company generates revenue from gas and liquids sales, benefiting from in-basin sales with relatively low transportation and processing costs and from a transportation portfolio that provides access to multiple sales points. Management estimated the drilling inventory life at approximately 15 years, while land acquisitions in fiscal year 2026 increase the number of net locations in Appalachia by approximately 20%.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, Gulfport recorded revenue of $323.2 million and gross profit of $238.6 million, representing a calculated gross margin of approximately 73.8%. Net income was $87.1 million and earnings per share were $4.85, compared with revenue of $437.5 million, net income of $165.8 million, and earnings per share of $8.87 in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026.

On a last-twelve-month basis ending within the fiscal year 2026 data, revenue totaled $1.7 billion, gross profit was $1.3 billion, and net income was $594.1 million, with earnings per share of approximately $31.78. In fiscal year 2025, the company recorded revenue of $1.4 billion, gross profit of $1.1 billion, and net income of $427.8 million, demonstrating the assets’ ability to generate earnings and cash flow that management uses to balance drilling, inventory expansion, debt reduction, and share repurchases.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects production to accelerate in the second half of fiscal year 2026 following the execution of the capital program in the first half, and liquids volumes to increase by more than 50% compared with the first half of fiscal year 2026; this would provide additional support to the production mix if achieved as planned.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Gulfport allocated an estimated discretionary budget of $140 million to acquire land rights during fiscal year 2026, alongside $83 million of successful bids in the state land auction. Management expects these investments to add approximately 40 locations and increase the number of net Appalachia locations by approximately 20%, with a focus on land that can be incorporated into the near-term drilling program.
  • The four-well Marcellus project, with an average lateral length of 16 thousand feet, demonstrated tangible operational efficiency; pumping exceeded 20 hours per day, gas and liquids rates were better than expected, and drilling and completion cost per foot declined by approximately 25% compared with the shorter laterals completed in fiscal year 2025.
  • The CEO estimated the drilling inventory at approximately 15 years and noted that Enverus data place the weighted average breakeven points among the best in the gas sector. Management links this quality to new high-return locations that can be developed in the near term, rather than merely adding acreage to increase scale.
  • Gulfport aims to benefit from growth in gas demand within Appalachia, including demand associated with artificial intelligence data centers, through in-basin sales and flexibility in delivering gas. The company also relinquished 60 thousand units per day of firm transportation capacity, equivalent to approximately 10% of transportation capacity, after determining that access to a strong sales point without it would improve netback economics.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The company combines an estimated drilling inventory of approximately 15 years with an expected increase of approximately 20% in the number of net Appalachia locations, while fiscal year 2026 acquisitions target high-return locations that can be incorporated into the near-term drilling schedule.
    • +The Marcellus results support the potential for improved returns on capital; drilling and completion cost per foot declined by approximately 25%, while gas and liquids rates were better than expected in wells with an average lateral length of 16 thousand feet.
    • +Strong earnings and a balance sheet with leverage near one turn give management flexibility to balance debt reduction, share repurchases, and inventory expansion. Management confirmed that it expects repurchase activity to continue in the second half of fiscal year 2026, without providing quantitative quarterly guidance.
    • +Insider activity provides a buying signal, with net purchases over three months totaling 256,976 and one purchase transaction with no sales, while the latest transaction was dated August 7, 2026. These data provide a supportive signal, but are not sufficient on their own to prove that the stock is undervalued.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Quarterly results declined markedly between quarter 1 and quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026; revenue fell from $437.5 million to $323.2 million, net income declined from $165.8 million to $87.1 million, and earnings per share dropped from $8.87 to $4.85. The calculated gross margin also declined from approximately 79.3% to approximately 73.8%, making the sustainability of high profitability an issue to monitor.
    • −Results remain sensitive to gas prices, pricing differentials, and the timing of in-basin demand materialization; management explained that new demand projects require considerable time and have uncertain schedules. It also effectively cautioned against increasing production before actual demand emerges, because doing so could result in selling volumes at weaker prices.
    • −Improvement in the second half of fiscal year 2026 depends on successful operational execution following a front-loaded capital program; management itself acknowledged the need for tighter drilling and completion planning and reduced exposure to risks outside its direct control. It also did not commit to a date for reaching a more consistent operating program and indicated that fully achieving it in fiscal year 2027 is uncertain.
    • −Land rights acquisitions in fiscal year 2026 increase capital allocation requirements, with a discretionary budget of $140 million and state land bids valued at $83 million, while leverage is approximately one turn. The success of these investments depends on the added locations generating returns that exceed the alternatives of debt reduction and share repurchases, a competition that management explicitly acknowledged.
    • −Gulfport’s size and credit rating may limit its ability to be the first choice for 15- or 20-year supply contracts for major demand projects. The company is instead relying on flexibility and sales to projects near its assets, but this approach does not provide the same long-term revenue visibility as extended contracts.
    • −

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $227.67, compared with a high target of $252 and a low target of $186. The average is slightly above the 52-week range high of $225.78, while the wide difference between the high and low targets reflects differing assessments of the impact of gas prices, execution of the land program, and production acceleration; the provided data do not include a price-to-earnings ratio that could be used as an additional valuation anchor.

    BuyAnalyst target: $227.67(+31.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What supports Gulfport Energy’s growth during fiscal year 2026?

    Gulfport is relying on production acceleration in the second half of fiscal year 2026 following the capital program implemented in the first half. Management expects liquids volumes to be more than 50% above first-half fiscal year 2026 levels. The discretionary land budget of $140 million, together with state auction purchases of $83 million, also targets an increase of approximately 20% in the number of net Appalachia locations.

    How did GPOR perform in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue was $323.2 million and gross profit was $238.6 million in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, representing a calculated gross margin of approximately 73.8%. The company recorded net income of $87.1 million and earnings per share of $4.85. These figures were lower than in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, when revenue was $437.5 million and net income was $165.8 million.

    Why are the Ohio Marcellus assets important to Gulfport?

    In Marcellus, the company tested a four-well pad with an average lateral length of 16 thousand feet and achieved more than 20 hours of pumping per day during completion. Management reported that gas and liquids rates were better than expected and that the wells maintained strong and relatively stable initial production after being brought to full capacity. At the same time, drilling and completion cost per foot declined by approximately 25% compared with the shorter laterals completed in fiscal year 2025.

    How does Gulfport plan to allocate free cash flow?

    Management balances spending on drilling, efficiency improvements, land rights acquisitions, debt reduction, and share repurchases. Leverage was approximately one turn during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, and management wants to maintain a conservative balance sheet through the cycle. It also confirmed continued activity under the repurchase program during the second half of fiscal year 2026, but declined to provide a specific figure for each quarter.

    How does demand from artificial intelligence data centers relate to the GPOR thesis?

    Gulfport believes that growth in electricity demand from artificial intelligence data centers could increase gas consumption within Appalachia, where the company sells a large portion of its production. During the August 4, 2026 call, management pointed to improved in-basin pricing differentials and lower transportation and processing costs for some local sales. However, it described the schedules for these projects as uncertain and therefore does not want to increase volumes before actual demand emerges.

    What are the main risks of investing in Gulfport Energy?

    The main financial signal is the decline in revenue, net income, and earnings per share between quarter 1 and quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, alongside a decline in the calculated gross margin. Results remain exposed to gas prices and pricing differentials, while production improvement depends on executing a more consistent capital and operating program. The $223 million of land investments across the discretionary budget and state auction bids must also generate returns that compete with debt reduction and share repurchases.

    Analyst estimates range from $186 to $252, a difference of $66 that reveals material variation in valuation assessments. The absence of a displayed price-to-earnings ratio in the provided data also limits the ability to test the valuation using a traditional earnings multiple, despite strong last-twelve-month earnings.