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Stocks
Global Payments Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall59
Balanced — near the middle of the marketTurnaroundF 4/9Better than 59% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
75
—17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
46
43.4%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
21
——Bottom tier
▸
Safety
47
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
38
1.13%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
73
-0.6%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
84
21▲3Top tier
GPN

GPN Global Payments Inc.

Global Payments Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
88.29
▼ ⁦-0.29%⁩ (-0.26)
Market Cap$21.9B
Beta0.78
52w Low52w High
61.1695.88
Last Week
⁦-4.87%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.52%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+16.92%⁩
Last Year
⁦+0.51%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$88
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$98
⁦+11%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$80–$125⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$36
⁦-59%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$36–$98⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$99.43
⁦+12.6%⁩
Current Price $88.29·Median $98.00
Low
$80.00
High
$125.00
Current price
$88.29
Average target
$99.43
Street summary

Limited Rise in Consensus Amid Clear Divergence Among Analysts

The consensus price target reached 99.43 versus 88.29 per share, with an average of 99.43 and a median of 98, and a wide range between 80 and 125 among 8 analysts. Consensus rose by 0.12 over 7 days and by 3.86, or 4.04%, over 30 days, alongside an increase in the number of analysts from 7 to 8; this indicates a limited improvement in the overall outlook without a recent change in the number of analysts.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.38
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦34 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
41%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
51%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time34 analysts rating
2
12
18
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.27 → 3.38
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Piper Sandler
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    5.76x
    2.76x22.06x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.58x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.5%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    43.4%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -152.2%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    63.9%
    23.5%98.3%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    2.6%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.46x
    0.25x7.31x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Global Payments provides commerce and payments technology solutions through three operating segments. The Small and Medium-Sized Businesses segment serves merchants with annual transaction volumes below $50 million through payment processing, software, and the Genius platform, while the Enterprise segment serves large and multinational companies with card-present and e-commerce payments and value-added services, and the Platforms segment distributes embedded payment solutions through software companies, payment facilitators, and digital marketplaces.

In fiscal Q2 2026, the financial statements reported revenue of $3.3 billion and gross profit of $2.0 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 60.6%, net income of $13 million, and earnings per share of $0.05. On management's adjusted basis, net revenue reached $3.16 billion with organic growth of 4%, adjusted operating margin expanded by 70 basis points, and adjusted earnings per share rose 12% to $3.46, highlighting a significant gap between GAAP profitability and adjusted results.

The Small and Medium-Sized Businesses segment was the largest contributor, with adjusted net revenue of $1.51 billion and a contribution margin of 59%, followed by the Enterprise segment with revenue of $838 million and a margin of 78%, then the Platforms segment with revenue of $628 million and a margin of 45%. Adjusted free cash flow reached $687 million, alongside which the company spent $236 million on capital expenditures, while returning $550 million to shareholders through the repurchase of approximately 8 million shares during the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Genius adoption accelerated in fiscal Q2 2026, as new locations increased by more than 50% year over year and approximately 25% quarter over quarter, bookings rose by more than 25% compared with the previous quarter, and yield from new customers increased 75% year over year.
  • The Genius installed base expanded through specific contracts, including Long John Silver's completion of the rollout of digital menu solutions across 100 locations, Pollo Tropical's selection of the platform for 135 stores, and Jeremiah's Italian Ice's selection of it to unify software and payments. Desjardins also began selling Genius in Canada, and the company aims to enable 30 of its largest banking partners at Worldpay to sell it in fiscal Q4 2026.
  • Enterprise segment bookings increased 10% since the beginning of fiscal 2026, with new wins including Shangri La Hotels, IG Group, and BingX, and the expansion of the relationship with Domino's Pizza to include exclusive card-present and card-not-present payments in the United States. Approximately one-third of newly signed customers went live during Q2, including Aldi, Morrisons, and Careem.
  • The Platforms segment signed 48 new partners in fiscal Q2 2026, more than half of which were international, while segment volumes increased 10% and Banking as a Service revenue grew 25%. Embedded payments platform volumes also continued to achieve double-digit growth, driven by fraud prevention, payments, routing, and merchant working capital services.
  • The company uses artificial intelligence to improve payment performance, with the Revenue Boost solution already generating an annual increase of $2 billion in approvals, while AI-powered decisioning added another 50 basis points to approval rates. On August 5, 2026, management said it had several agentic commerce pilots with AI platforms and major global retailers.
  • Management updated its fiscal 2026 outlook to constant-currency organic growth in adjusted net revenue of between 4% and 5% and adjusted earnings per share of between $13.60 and $13.80, while continuing to expect adjusted operating margin expansion of approximately 150 basis points. It also expects the conversion of adjusted net income to adjusted free cash flow to exceed 90% and to return more than $2 billion to shareholders during fiscal 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Global Payments combines growth in its core segments with improved efficiency; the Enterprise and Platforms segments each grew 7% in fiscal Q2 2026, while the group's adjusted operating margin expanded by 70 basis points despite the impact of the Middle East conflict.
  • +Genius has strong commercial adoption indicators even though its revenue contribution remains limited, with new locations growing by more than 50% annually and new merchant location productivity per quota-carrying sales representative increasing 30% since the beginning of fiscal 2026.
  • +Adjusted free cash flow of $687 million in Q2 supports the capital return policy; the company returned $550 million through share repurchases and, as of August 5, 2026, was more than halfway toward fulfilling its commitment to return more than $2 billion during fiscal 2026.
  • +Value-added services may improve the quality of growth, as demonstrated by the 25% growth in Banking as a Service revenue, the 30% growth in Enterprise segment cross-sell bookings, and the additional 50-basis-point increase in approvals from AI-powered Revenue Boost.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average price target of $99 and a wide range between $80 and $125, while the average is slightly above the top of the 52-week range of $95.88. No usable positive price-to-earnings ratio is available, consistent with the trailing twelve-month loss of $417.7 million and negative earnings per share, despite fiscal Q2 2026 improving to net income of $13 million. Therefore, the positive valuation case depends on achieving adjusted revenue growth of between 4% and 5% and margin expansion of 150 basis points, while the wide gap between the $80 and $125 targets reflects uncertainty surrounding travel, the Worldpay integration, and the conversion of adjusted earnings into sustainable GAAP profit.

BuyAnalyst target: $99(+12.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Global Payments' growth in fiscal 2026?

The main growth drivers are Genius, embedded payments, value-added services, and the activation of Enterprise contracts. In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue in both the Enterprise and Platforms segments grew 7%, and Platforms volumes increased 10%, while Banking as a Service revenue rose 25%. Enterprise bookings also increased 10% since the beginning of the year, and approximately one-third of newly signed customers went live, including Aldi, Morrisons, and Careem.

How important is the Genius platform to the Small and Medium-Sized Businesses segment?

Genius is the primary point-of-sale platform that Global Payments uses to integrate software, payments, and AI-powered services. During fiscal Q2 2026, new Genius locations increased by more than 50% annually and approximately 25% quarterly, while bookings rose by more than 25% compared with the previous quarter. However, management confirmed on August 5, 2026, that Genius's revenue contribution remains limited relative to the size of the segment, so its full impact is not yet reflected in the Small and Medium-Sized Businesses segment's revenue growth rate of 4%.

How is the Middle East conflict affecting GPN's results and outlook?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Management was forced to update its fiscal 2026 outlook after the impact of the Middle East conflict on the travel portfolio persisted longer than assumed; this factor reduced Q2 growth by approximately 100 basis points at the group level and approximately 400 basis points in the Enterprise segment, while capacity and forward bookings remained below pre-conflict levels, with the recovery skewed toward lower-yielding short-haul travel.
  • −GAAP profitability remains weak and volatile compared with adjusted metrics; net income was only $13 million and earnings per share were $0.05 in fiscal Q2 2026, following a net loss of $1.8 billion in Q1, while the trailing twelve months recorded a net loss of $417.7 million and negative earnings per share of approximately $1.53.
  • −The integration of Worldpay and separation of its technology environment from FIS involve execution risks and cash costs; management indicated approximately $600 million of expected nonrecurring costs, including nearly $300 million during the first half of fiscal 2026 and approximately $100 million of additional costs expected during the remainder of the year, with costs set to gradually decline through 2028.
  • −Net leverage was just below 3.5 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, while the company is targeting 3 times by the end of 2027. Although more than 90% of debt carries fixed interest rates at an average cost of approximately 4%, the combination of reducing leverage, returning more than $2 billion to shareholders, and making significant annual investments requires continued strong cash flow generation.
  • −Other revenue represents a structural drag on group growth; it accounted for approximately 8% of 2025 revenue, and management expects it to decline to approximately 6% in fiscal 2026 due to partners that have stopped referring new business, noncore processing portfolios, and a managed services relationship being transitioned away from the company.
  • −The business mix faces varying pressures; management reported weakness in the United Kingdom's small and medium-sized business market, while volume growth in the PayFac and managed PayFac channels relatively reduces the Platforms segment's yield compared with traditional integrated referral channels. At the same time, Genius remains a limited contributor to Small and Medium-Sized Businesses segment revenue, so it may take time for booking momentum to translate into a meaningful acceleration in segment growth.

The decline in travel volumes associated with the conflict reduced group growth by approximately 100 basis points and Enterprise segment growth by approximately 400 basis points in fiscal Q2 2026. Management said on August 5, 2026, that capacity and forward bookings remained well below pre-conflict levels and that the recovery was stronger in lower-yielding short-haul travel than in long-haul travel. Based on the assumption that the impact will continue through the end of the year, the constant-currency adjusted net revenue growth outlook is now between 4% and 5%, and the adjusted earnings per share outlook is between $13.60 and $13.80.

Do cash flows support the capital return program?

Global Payments generated adjusted free cash flow of $687 million in fiscal Q2 2026, equivalent to approximately 75% of adjusted net income. During the quarter, it returned $550 million through the repurchase of approximately 8 million shares, in addition to dividends, surpassing on August 5, 2026, the halfway point of its annual commitment of more than $2 billion. Management expects the conversion of adjusted net income to adjusted free cash flow to exceed 90% for fiscal 2026, supported by seasonality that makes the second half stronger than the first half.

What are the main risks of the Worldpay integration?

Global Payments has defined the operating model, leadership structure, target technology architecture, and commercial organization for the combined entity across the Small and Medium-Sized Businesses, Enterprise, and Platforms segments. However, management expects approximately $600 million of nonrecurring integration and separation costs, with spending in the first half of fiscal 2026 reaching nearly $300 million and approximately $100 million of additional spending expected during the remainder of the year. The company is also seeking to accelerate the separation of Worldpay's technology environment from FIS, while the decline in these costs extends gradually through 2028, making execution speed and cost control critical factors.

How does GPN's valuation look in light of current earnings?

The average analyst target is $99, compared with a low of $80 and a high of $125, while the 52-week range extends from $61.16 to $95.88. The recommendation consensus is "Buy," but the wide target range reflects significant differences in estimates of the profitability trajectory. No positive price-to-earnings ratio is available because the trailing twelve months recorded a net loss of $417.7 million, despite fiscal Q2 2026 turning to positive net income of $13 million.