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Alphabet Inc.
GOOG

GOOG Alphabet Inc.

Alphabet Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
317.51
▼ ⁦-1.01%⁩ (-3.25)
Market Cap$3.9T
Beta1.22
52w Low52w High
252.77404.47
Last Week
⁦-5.76%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeCongress sellingBetter than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
32
16.1x▲17.5xBottom tier
▸
Growth
79
20.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
80
15.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
90
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
58
0.26%▲0.06%Around median
▸
Momentum
61
33.3%▲-0.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
75
34▲3Top tier
Related News
Last Month
⁦-6.34%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.77%⁩
Last Year
⁦+25.73%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$319⁩
  • Analyst targets
    16 analysts
    ⁦$428⁩
    ⁦+34%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$350⁩–⁦$515⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+15%⁩
  • Value at the industry multiple
    Next year's earnings × ⁦11.3⁩, median of 35 companies
    ⁦$179⁩
    ⁦−44%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$112⁩–⁦$313⁩⁩

The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today

  • Value with no growth
    Today's after-tax operating profit, held flat forever, at a ⁦10.6%⁩ discount rate
    ⁦$104⁩
    ⁦−67%⁩

⁦67%⁩ of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.

1
methods value it above the price
0
methods near the price
1
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.13%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-21⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Alphabet Inc. earnings page

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 16 analysts setting price target
$436.39
⁦+37.4%⁩
Current Price $317.51·Median $427.50
Low
$350.00
High
$515.00
Current price
$317.51
Average target
$436.39
Street summary

Slight Increase in Consensus Price Target

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose 1.03% over 30 days to 436.39, with a slight increase of 0.25% over one week, while remaining unchanged over the last day. The number of analysts remained at 16; targets range from 350 to 515, indicating notable divergence in estimates. Compared with the current price of 331.38, the consensus remains higher, but the latest adjustment is limited.

As of 2026-10-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.13
Buy
Analyst coverage
60
Buy conviction
92%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
52%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time60 analysts rating
13
42
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.06 → 4.13
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-10-20
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-10-14
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-10-09
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.12x
    4.15x33.19x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    20.08x
    2.99x23.88x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    23.31x
    2.55x20.41x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    1.4%
    -46.9%20.6%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    20.1%
    -14.2%43.0%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    112.0%
    -481.0%137.3%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    60.9%
    11.2%76.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    15.9%
    -37.8%17.3%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.3%
    0.0%6.7%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    4.2%
    5.9%133.5%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    10.41
    -7.645.26
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-09-28Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

Alphabet is the parent company of the Google ecosystem and generates most of its revenue from advertising related to Search, YouTube, and the publisher network, alongside YouTube and Google One subscriptions and devices. Google Cloud adds a growing source of revenue from cloud infrastructure, artificial intelligence products, cybersecurity, data analytics, and Workspace, while Other Bets includes ventures such as Waymo and Wing. In Q2 FY2026 ended 2026-06-30, Google Services revenue was approximately $94.5 billion, including $63.3 billion from Search advertising, $11.1 billion from YouTube advertising, $7.3 billion from network advertising, and $12.9 billion from subscriptions, platforms, and devices, while Google Cloud revenue was approximately $24.8 billion and Other Bets revenue was approximately $382 million.

Alphabet recorded revenue of $119.8 billion in Q2 FY2026, representing year-over-year growth of 24.2% from $96.4 billion in Q2 FY2025. Gross margin was 61.6% versus 59.5%, and operating margin was 34.0% versus 32.4%, while net income reached $112.2 billion and diluted earnings per share reached 9.11; management explained that unrealized gains in the securities portfolio significantly increased net income. Within the operating mix, Search and other advertising revenue grew 17% and YouTube advertising grew 13%, while Google Cloud grew 82% and its operating margin expanded to 35.6%.

Operating cash flow was $39.1 billion in Q2 FY2026, but capital expenditures primarily related to artificial intelligence infrastructure weighed on free cash flow. During the last 12 months through 2026-06-30, the company generated revenue of $445.9 billion, operating cash flow of $185.7 billion, and free cash flow of $53.3 billion. It ended the quarter with cash and investments of $242.5 billion versus total debt of $98.2 billion, with share repurchases of $17.0 billion and stock-based compensation of $30.8 billion during the last 12 months.

Key numbers

Q2 FY2026

Revenue
$119.8B
+24.2%vs a year earlier
Gross margin
61.6%
+2.1ppvs a year earlier
Operating margin
34.0%
+1.6ppvs a year earlier
Net income
$112.2B
+297.9%vs a year earlier
Diluted EPS
9.11
+294.4%vs a year earlier

Last 12 months to 2026-06-30

Revenue
$445.9B
Net income
$244.2B
54.8%of revenue
Free cash flow
$53.3B
11.9%of revenue

What changed since the last analysis

  • Since 2026-08-26, the average analyst target has increased to $431.94 from $430.17.
  • On 2026-09-03, the U.S. court rejected the breakup of Google's advertising business, but confirmed the unlawful monopoly and imposed behavioral remedies.
  • On 2026-09-03, the midpoint of FY2026 capital expenditure guidance increased to $200 billion from $185 billion to support Google Cloud expansion.
  • On 2026-09-02, additional details emerged indicating that the ruling kept AdX within Google while requiring the company to make operating changes whose precise details were not disclosed.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The acceleration of Google Cloud is the most prominent operating driver: its revenue grew 82% to $24.8 billion in Q2 FY2026 ended 2026-06-30, and its operating income more than tripled from its prior-year level to $8.8 billion, while its operating margin rose to 35.6%.
  • Google Cloud's remaining performance obligations reached approximately $514 billion after a quarterly increase of more than $50 billion, and management expects to recognize slightly more than 50% of this balance as revenue over 24 months; the majority of revenue from current TPU systems agreements is also expected in FY2027.
  • The core advertising business remained strong in Q2 FY2026, as Search and other advertising revenue grew 17% to $63.3 billion and YouTube advertising grew 13% to $11.1 billion, while network advertising declined 1% to $7.3 billion.
  • Adoption of Gemini products is translating into broad usage: the Gemini app reached approximately 950 million monthly active users, AI Mode exceeded one billion monthly active users, nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies use Gemini Enterprise, and more than 9 million developers build with the company's models each month.
  • Alphabet raised its FY2026 capital expenditure range to between $195 billion and $205 billion from a previous range of between $180 billion and $190 billion to accelerate capacity additions amid demand exceeding supply; this supports Cloud expansion but increases depreciation and energy costs and weighs on free cash flow.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case8 pts

  • +Gross margin expanded to 61.6% in Q2 FY2026 ended 2026-06-30 from 59.5% in Q2 FY2025, an increase of 2.1 percentage points despite higher infrastructure and content costs.
  • +Operating margin expanded to 34.0% in Q2 FY2026 from 32.4% a year earlier, an increase of 1.6 percentage points, alongside year-over-year revenue growth of 24.2%.
  • +Google Cloud achieved year-over-year growth of 82% and raised its operating margin to 35.6%, while remaining performance obligations reached $514 billion, giving the company a backlog of enterprise demand extending beyond its core advertising business.
  • +Alphabet has a net cash position, with cash and investments of $242.5 billion versus total debt of $98.2 billion in Q2 FY2026, providing financial capacity for substantial infrastructure investments.
  • +The quality pillar of the EL7 score, at 80 out of 100 and ranked 18 out of 87 within the industry, reflects strong profitability and business efficiency compared with most companies in the industry.
  • +

What would change this view

When: 2026-10-27

  • Year-over-year revenue growth compared with the 24.2% threshold

    ▲ Positive
    Year-over-year revenue growth exceeding 24.2% would strengthen the buying case by confirming continued acceleration in demand across Search and Google Cloud.
    ▼ Negative
    Year-over-year revenue growth falling below 24.2% would strengthen the selling case and call into question the sustainability of the expansion rate recorded in Q2 FY2026.
  • Operating margin compared with the 34.0% threshold

    ▲ Positive
    An operating margin above 34.0% would strengthen the buying case by demonstrating Alphabet's ability to absorb spending on artificial intelligence and computing capacity.
    ▼ Negative
    An operating margin below 34.0% would strengthen the selling case and indicate that pressure from depreciation and external capacity is outweighing growth efficiencies.
  • Google Cloud revenue growth compared with the 82% threshold

Valuation

The median analyst target is $425 within a range of $350 to $515 among 16 analysts. It measures expected growth and earnings, and analyst targets are inherently inclined toward optimism; the broader consensus places the average target at $431.94. The industry-multiple value is $176 within a range of $119 to $356, based on next year's earnings and a median multiple of 10.8 for 35 companies, and it prices Alphabet as peer companies are priced. The no-growth value is $105 at a discount rate of 10.6%, measuring what remains if current after-tax operating profit stays constant forever; this is an inherently conservative cash-based assessment. Analyst targets converge around $425–431.94 but diverge clearly from the industry-multiple value and the no-growth value because the first prices in continued growth, the second measures peer valuation, and the third excludes future growth; this divergence is reinforced by the weak EL7 valuation pillar at 21 out of 100 and ranked 75 out of 92 within the industry.

BuyAnalyst target: $431.94(+36.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What are the main drivers of Alphabet's growth in Q2 FY2026?

In Q2 FY2026 ended 2026-06-30, year-over-year revenue grew 24.2% to $119.8 billion. Search and other advertising revenue grew 17% to $63.3 billion, and YouTube advertising grew 13% to $11.1 billion. Google Cloud was the fastest-growing segment, with revenue rising 82% to $24.8 billion, supported by artificial intelligence infrastructure, Gemini solutions, and TPU systems sales.

Has Alphabet's investment in artificial intelligence begun generating meaningful revenue?

Google Cloud revenue reached approximately $24.8 billion in Q2 FY2026, representing year-over-year growth of 82%, while its operating income rose to $8.8 billion and its margin increased to 35.6%. Remaining performance obligations reached $514 billion, with slightly more than half expected to be recognized as revenue over 24 months. Nearly 90% of Fortune 100 companies use Gemini Enterprise, while the Gemini app reached approximately 950 million monthly active users.

Why did Alphabet raise its capital expenditures in FY2026?

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Net cash
$144.3B
+110.5%vs a year earlier
On 2026-09-03, the U.S. court rejected forcing Google to sell AdX or open the core technology of the DoubleClick for Publishers platform, preserving the integration of the advertising technology business, but imposed behavioral remedies after confirming the existence of an unlawful monopoly in the market.
The financial safety pillar of the EL7 score, at 87 out of 100 and ranked 13 out of 95 within the industry, reflects the strength of the balance sheet and its relative capacity to absorb obligations and investments.
  • +The U.S. court's rejection on 2026-09-03 of a forced breakup of the advertising technology business or the sale of AdX reduced the risk of losing the structural integration of the advertising ecosystem despite the continued behavioral remedies.
  • +The stock has a momentum pillar score of 91 out of 100, ranked 9 out of 93 within the industry, and a sentiment pillar score of 84 out of 100, ranked 15 out of 84, reflecting strong market momentum and balanced expectations compared with most companies in the industry.
  • ▼ Selling Case8 pts

    • −Total debt increased to $98.2 billion in Q2 FY2026 ended 2026-06-30 from $26.6 billion in Q2 FY2025, an increase of 268.9%, following the company's significant expansion in debt financing.
    • −Not all accounting earnings converted into cash: operating cash flow was $185.7 billion, equivalent to 76% of net income of $244.2 billion during the last 12 months through 2026-06-30, with unrealized gains contributing to the increase in earnings.
    • −Raising the FY2026 capital expenditure range to between $195 billion and $205 billion weighs on free cash flow; Q2 FY2026 recorded negative free cash flow of $5.9 billion, while management expects continued pressure as depreciation and data center operating costs rise.
    • −Demand for computing capacity continues to exceed available capacity, so Alphabet will use third-party capacity in Q3 FY2026 as an interim solution; management confirmed that the cost of this capacity will impose modest pressure on Google Cloud's margin in the near term.
    • −The valuation pillar of the EL7 score stands at 21 out of 100 and ranks 75 out of 92 within the industry, reflecting pricing that is less attractive than that of most companies in the industry according to relative metrics.
    • −The shareholder return pillar of the EL7 score is approximately 26 out of 100 and ranks 70 out of 94 within the industry, with share repurchases of $17.0 billion versus stock-based compensation of $30.8 billion during the last 12 months through 2026-06-30.
    • −Analyst targets recorded five reductions versus one increase during 90 days; on 2026-07-23, UBS lowered its target to $379 and Piper Sandler lowered its target to $395, although the analyst consensus remained Buy.
    • −The 2026-09-03 ruling kept regulatory risk in place after confirming an unlawful monopoly in advertising technology and imposing operating changes whose precise details were not disclosed, while Google settled a £260 million British lawsuit concerning app store fees on 2026-08-31.
    ▲ Positive
    Google Cloud growth exceeding 82% would strengthen the buying case by confirming that demand for infrastructure and Gemini solutions remains at an exceptional level.
    ▼ Negative
    Google Cloud growth falling below 82% would strengthen the selling case and weaken the justification for accelerating FY2026 capital expenditures to the $195–205 billion range.
  • Operating cash flow compared with the $39.1 billion threshold

    ▲ Positive
    Operating cash flow exceeding $39.1 billion would strengthen the buying case by demonstrating improved internal financing for infrastructure investments.
    ▼ Negative
    Operating cash flow falling below $39.1 billion would strengthen the selling case and increase concerns about weak conversion of earnings into cash alongside high capital expenditures.
  • The company raised its FY2026 capital expenditure range to between $195 billion and $205 billion from a previous range of between $180 billion and $190 billion. This was primarily due to accelerating the delivery of computing capacity to meet Cloud and artificial intelligence demand, which continues to exceed supply. Capital expenditures reached $44.9 billion in Q2 FY2026, and the company allocated approximately 60% of its technical infrastructure investments to servers and 40% to data centers and networking equipment.
    How important is Google Cloud to Alphabet's business mix?

    Google Cloud generated revenue of $24.8 billion in Q2 FY2026 compared with Alphabet's total revenue of $119.8 billion. The segment grew 82% and recorded an operating margin of 35.6%, making it a rapidly growing source of profit alongside Google Services. Its remaining performance obligations also reached $514 billion, and management says the majority of the balance is associated with GCP contracts across a broad mix of customers.

    How does the U.S. advertising technology ruling affect the Alphabet case?

    On 2026-09-03, the U.S. court rejected the request to force Google to sell AdX or open the core technology of the DoubleClick for Publishers platform. The decision kept the advertising technology ecosystem integrated, including AdX, which charges publishers a 20% fee according to the case details. However, it simultaneously confirmed the existence of an unlawful monopoly and imposed behavioral remedies, so the risk of a structural breakup declined without eliminating regulatory and operational risk.

    What are the main insights from Alphabet's balance sheet and cash flows?

    In Q2 FY2026, Alphabet held cash and investments of $242.5 billion versus total debt of $98.2 billion. During the last 12 months through 2026-06-30, operating cash flow was $185.7 billion and free cash flow was $53.3 billion. However, operating cash flow equaled only 76% of net income of $244.2 billion, while intensive infrastructure investment also increased pressure on free cash flow.