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Stocks
Barrick Gold Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
16.0x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
86
132.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
60
——Around median
▸
Safety
28
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
43
1.60%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
68
85.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
88
4▲3Top tier
GOLD

GOLD Gold.com, Inc.

Gold.com, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
48.22
▲ ⁦+5.11%⁩ (+2.35)
Market Cap$1.4B
Beta0.62
52w Low52w High
23.0066.70
Last Week
⁦+16.25%⁩
Last Month
⁦+7.92%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+11.39%⁩
Last Year
⁦+100.58%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$48
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$58
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$52–$65⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$704
⁦+1359%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$58–$704⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$58.00
⁦+20.3%⁩
Current Price $48.22·Median $57.50
Low
$52.00
High
$65.00
Current price
$48.22
Average target
$58.00
Street summary

Limited Target Price Decline with Rating Unchanged

The consensus target price remained steady at $58 over the past day and week, versus a decline from $61 to $58 over the last 30 days, down 4.92%. This equates to a target price approximately 26.4% above the current price of $45.88. The target range is between $52 and $65, but the number of analysts is limited to one, making dispersion and confidence difficult to measure despite the wide range.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.20
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
1
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 4.20
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-07
    Roth MKM
    —· $52.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-28
    D.A. Davidson
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-02-06
    Northland Securities
    —· $57.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    15.97x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    14.33x
    2.76x22.06x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.51x
    3.07x24.55x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    86.1%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    132.4%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    325.4%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    1.8%
    23.5%98.3%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    9.9%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.6%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    27.3%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-02 data

Company Overview

Gold.com operates through an integrated precious metals platform spanning direct-to-consumer sales and wholesale distribution, product minting, storage, and collectibles-secured lending. The company benefits from bid-ask spreads and gold and silver trading volumes, as well as sales of higher-margin products, storage fees, and interest income on secured loans. Its ecosystem includes JM Bullion, Monex, Stack's Bowers, and Sunshine Mint, in addition to relationships with major retailers, institutional clients, and sovereign mints.

Fiscal year 2026 revenue reached approximately $25.5 billion, up 132% from $11 billion in fiscal year 2025, while gross profit rose 115% to $453.1 million and net income increased to $82.3 million, with diluted earnings per share of $3.02. Despite this growth, gross margin declined to 1.78% from 1.92%, reflecting the high-volume, low-margin nature of the business. During fiscal year 2026, the company sold 2 million ounces of gold, up 24%, and 73.6 million ounces of silver, while its direct-to-consumer customer base reached approximately 4.7 million, up 13%.

In the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, revenue nearly doubled to $5 billion, and gross profit rose 35% to $110.3 million, but gross margin declined to 2.2% from 3.25%. Net income was $12.2 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.41, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 3% to $28.2 million. Gross profit growth came from the direct-to-consumer and wholesale sales and ancillary services businesses, supported by Monex and Sunshine Mint, while the profitability of secured lending improved compared with the corresponding period.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Acquisitions supported fiscal year 2026 expansion, as SGI, Pinehurst, AMS, Monex, and Sunshine Mint contributed to the 132% annual revenue growth to $25.5 billion, but the sustainability of this growth depends on converting operational integration into recurring margins and profitability.
  • The full acquisition of Sunshine Mint in April 2026 added greater production capacity and advanced facilities, while it continued supplying blanks to U.S. Mint and other sovereign mints; management expects to achieve operational synergies as the integrated minting business expands.
  • Gold.com's relationship with Tether in storage, trading, and gold and silver leasing expanded to levels that management said on September 2, 2026 were multiples of the volumes disclosed when the transaction was announced. These businesses are high-volume and low-margin, so their earnings impact depends on deploying liquidity from the lease agreements at a return exceeding lease fees and contract roll costs.
  • The secured lending portfolio reached $115.1 million on June 30, 2026, up 22% year over year, despite the number of loans declining 18% to 367. Management sees growing demand for borrowing against bullion and collectibles, supporting longer customer relationships and additional interest and storage revenue.
  • Collectibles provide an adjacent growth channel; management expected during the September 2, 2026 call that Stack's Bowers auction week sales would exceed $50 million over five to six days. The company is also exploring opportunities in sports cards and digital platforms with younger audiences, leveraging CFC's expertise in lending against cards.
  • Gold.com announced a special dividend of $1.00 per share following its fiscal year 2026 results, while maintaining its regular dividend of $0.20 per share. This comes alongside a cash balance of $578 million on June 30, 2026, compared with $77.7 million at the end of fiscal year 2025.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Annual growth demonstrated the integrated platform's ability to benefit from higher metal prices, increased gold ounces sold, and acquisitions; revenue rose 132%, gross profit increased 115%, and net income grew from $17.3 million to $82.3 million in fiscal year 2026.
  • +The integration of minting, distribution, storage, lending, and direct-to-consumer sales gives Gold.com several income sources within the same precious metals cycle, with a direct-to-consumer base of 4.7 million customers on June 30, 2026 and a commercial relationship with Costco that management described as good.
  • +The integration of Sunshine Mint and Monex could improve operating efficiency and expand production and distribution capacity; both the direct-to-consumer business and the wholesale sales and ancillary services business recorded gross profit growth during the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, supported by these two assets.
  • +Liquidity of $578 million at the end of fiscal year 2026 provides flexibility to fund inventory, integration, acquisitions, and capital returns, and the company translated the year's strength into a special dividend of $1.00 per share.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $58, within a range of $52 to $65, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target is approximately 13% below the 52-week range high of $66.7, while the stock's wide range between $23 and $66.7 reflects its significant sensitivity to demand cycles and metal margins; the available data does not provide a stable price-to-earnings multiple that can be relied upon to value the stock.

BuyAnalyst target: $58(+20.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-10; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did Gold.com achieve significant growth in fiscal year 2026?

Fiscal year 2026 revenue rose 132% to $25.5 billion, driven by higher average selling prices for gold and silver, increased gold ounces sold, and acquisitions. Excluding an $8.3 billion increase in forward sales, revenue grew by $6.2 billion, or 95%. Acquisition drivers included SGI, Pinehurst, AMS, Monex, and Sunshine Mint, while gold ounces sold increased 24% to 2 million ounces.

Why were fourth-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings weaker than revenue growth?

Fourth-quarter fiscal year 2026 revenue reached $5 billion, up 99%, but gross margin fell to 2.2% from 3.25%. Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased 46% to $77.9 million, including $17.1 million in performance-related compensation accruals and $8.2 million in expenses from Monex and Sunshine Mint. As a result, net income was $12.2 million, and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 3% to $28.2 million.

How important is the Tether partnership to Gold.com's business?

The relationship with Tether includes storage, trading, and gold and silver leasing, and management said on September 2, 2026 that lease and storage volumes had reached multiples of the levels disclosed when the transaction was announced. The business contributed to revenue and liquidity, but it is high-volume and low-margin and is not sufficient on its own to determine a full quarter's results. Management expects financing benefits to take approximately two quarters, with a need to deploy the lease agreements over the following six to nine months at a return exceeding their fees and roll costs.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Profitability depends on extremely thin margins; gross margin fell to 1.78% from 1.92% in fiscal year 2026, and fourth-quarter fiscal year 2026 gross margin declined to 2.2% from 3.25%. Annual selling, general, and administrative expenses rose 98% to $275.6 million, making earnings sensitive to even modest increases in compensation, advertising, insurance, or financing costs.
  • −Demand slowed from mid-March and early April 2026 and remained weak during the first two months of the first quarter of fiscal year 2027, according to the September 2, 2026 call. In the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, silver ounces sold declined 48% from the previous quarter, and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization fell 3% year over year to $28.2 million despite 99% revenue growth.
  • −The pace of customer acquisition declined sharply; new direct-to-consumer customers fell 38% year over year and 77% sequentially to 67,900 in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, while the annual figure declined 53% to 526,300. This means the 13% growth in the customer base benefited partly from Monex, while organic growth requires new marketing initiatives whose results have not yet been proven.
  • −The acquisition-led growth model carries integration and cost-inflation risks; fiscal year 2026 expenses included $104.3 million from Monex and Sunshine Mint, and amortization of intangible assets related to several acquisitions increased. Part of the expected return depends on achieving operational synergies for which management provided neither a specific amount nor timeline.
  • −Metal lease agreements from Tether could become a burden if the quantity of leased metals exceeds inventory hedging needs; Gold.com would then bear both lease fees and contract roll costs. Management said on September 2, 2026 that the benefits would likely take two quarters to emerge and that the task over the following six to nine months was to generate a return exceeding the cost of those agreements.
  • −The company faces exposure to tariffs, regulation, and competition; management said changing tariffs impede the purchase of sovereign mint products and their redistribution in the United States, while call disclosures warned of potential regulatory restrictions in Asia. Increasing competition in higher-margin services could also pressure pricing at a time when the institutional and wholesale business depends on large volumes and lower margins.
What did the Sunshine Mint acquisition add?

Gold.com closed the Sunshine Mint transaction in April 2026, expanding its production capacity and giving it full ownership of the asset. Sunshine Mint continues to supply blanks to U.S. Mint and other sovereign mints, relationships that management said had existed for years and were unchanged by the ownership percentage. The company is relying on advanced facilities, differentiated products, and operational synergies to capture greater value, but management did not specify a financial value or timeline for those synergies.

Does consumer demand still support Gold.com?

The direct-to-consumer customer base reached approximately 4.7 million on June 30, 2026, up 13% year over year, with growth benefiting from Monex and the organic addition of customers. However, new customers fell to 67,900 in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, down 38% year over year and 77% from the previous quarter. Management confirmed during the September 2, 2026 call that the demand slowdown that began between mid-March and early April 2026 continued through the first two months of the first quarter of fiscal year 2027.

How does Gold.com return capital to shareholders?

Following fiscal year 2026, Gold.com announced a special dividend of $1.00 per share, in addition to maintaining its regular dividend of $0.20 per share. The company ended fiscal year 2026 with $578 million in cash, compared with $77.7 million at the end of fiscal year 2025. Management explained on September 2, 2026 that it balances dividends, acquisitions, and share repurchases, without providing a numerical commitment to additional repurchases or special dividends.