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Galaxy Digital
GLXY

GLXY Galaxy Digital

Galaxy Digital · NASDAQ
Market Closed
24.40
▲ ⁦+1.12%⁩ (+0.27)
Market Cap$8.1B
Beta3.67
52w Low52w High
16.4345.92
Last Week
⁦+1.41%⁩
Last Month
⁦+20.97%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-19.02%⁩
Last Year
⁦-1.29%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall47
Balanced — near the middle of the marketValue TrapF 1/8Better than 47% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
55
—17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
58
73.5%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
18
——Bottom tier
▸
Safety
30
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
92
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
39
-20.4%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
82
10▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$24
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$35
⁦+43%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$30–$48⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$37.67
⁦+54.4%⁩
Current Price $24.40·Median $35.00
Low
$30.00
High
$48.00
Current price
$24.40
Average target
$37.67
Street summary

Average Target Price Rises as Analyst Count Declines

The average target price rose over the last 30 days from 35.83 to 37.67, an increase of 1.84 or 5.14%. The median target price is 35, within a wide range between 30 and 48, compared with the current price of 24.13; this reflects a more optimistic outlook on average, while a clear divergence among estimates persists.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+5.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.19
Buy
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
88%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
74%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
5
9
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.19 → 4.19
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-17
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.21x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -25.7%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Weak
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    73.5%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    46.3%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    1.5%
    23.5%98.3%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    9.6%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.53x
    0.25x7.31x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Galaxy Digital operates through two interconnected pillars: digital asset services and data center infrastructure. The digital assets pillar includes trading, lending, asset management, custody, staking, and institutional wallet and settlement infrastructure, while the Galaxy Power pillar develops data centers for artificial intelligence and high-performance computing, led by Helios, which is leased to CoreWeave. EDGAR data show revenue of $60.4 billion in fiscal year 2025 and trailing-twelve-month revenue of $80.7 billion in 2026, but the trailing-twelve-month net result remained a loss of $151.1 million.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Galaxy Digital recorded a GAAP net loss of $85 million, or a loss of $0.09 per share, and company-wide adjusted EBITDA was negative $77 million. By contrast, the operating businesses collectively generated adjusted gross profit of $86 million and adjusted EBITDA of $1 million; the Digital Assets segment contributed approximately $66 million of adjusted gross profit, compared with $20 million from Data Centers. The Data Centers segment generated adjusted EBITDA of $11 million during the phased delivery period for the Helios halls.

The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with total assets of $10.8 billion and equity of $2.7 billion, with 72% of capital allocated to the two operating businesses. Cash and stablecoins totaled $2.5 billion, while net digital assets and investments were approximately $1.2 billion after declining 15% from the previous quarter. Adjusted operating expenses also rose to $172 million, an increase of $25 million quarter over quarter, as recognition of interest and depreciation associated with data center revenue began.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The activation of Helios Phase I became a direct earnings driver after 133 megawatts of critical IT load were delivered to CoreWeave on time and within budget; management expects the phase to record approximately $80 million in lease revenue in its first full quarter, fiscal Q3 2026, with a project-level adjusted EBITDA margin exceeding 90%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Galaxy Digital fully funded Helios Phase II through equity and the issuance of $3.5 billion of five-year senior secured notes at an 85% loan-to-cost ratio, with the phase set to add 260 megawatts of critical IT load beginning in fiscal Q2 2027.
  • The Galaxy Power development pipeline expanded to more than 5.7 gigawatts of potential capacity after adding the Merlin, Caspian, and Selene sites in Texas; the stated total potential of these sites is approximately 500, 700, and 900 megawatts, respectively, alongside Helios expansions.
  • Adjusted gross profit for the Digital Assets segment rose 34% from the previous quarter to $66 million in fiscal Q2 2026 despite double-digit declines in cryptocurrency prices and a 7% decrease in trading volumes, while Global Markets generated adjusted gross profit of $49 million, driven by electronic trading and risk management.
  • The company launched GOFR for managed access to on-chain credit markets, and the product generated approximately $300 million in loan originations. It also launched Galaxy Curator through Morpho and Fireblocks to provide curated yield strategies to more than 2,400 institutional clients.
  • Galaxy Digital expanded its institutional channels through a multi-year agreement with Bank of New York and its selection by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to support staking in two digital asset exchange-traded products, then announced a partnership with Bank Leumi on August 15, 2026, to provide trading and custody infrastructure through GalaxyOne and the institutional platform.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The activation of Helios Phase I represents a shift from development spending to contractual revenue streams, as management targets approximately $80 million in lease revenue in fiscal Q3 2026 and a project-level margin exceeding 90%.
    • +The digital assets platform demonstrated an ability to gain market share in a weak environment; its adjusted gross profit rose 34% quarter over quarter to $66 million despite a 7% decline in trading volumes and double-digit decreases in digital asset prices.
    • +Liquidity of $2.5 billion and a data center pipeline exceeding 5.7 gigawatts provide room to fund expansion, while Helios Phase II has been fully funded and management confirmed that the expected equity requirements for Phase III are pre-funded.
    • +Relationships with Bank of New York, Morgan Stanley, and Bank Leumi support the thesis that Galaxy Digital is becoming an institutional infrastructure provider, while GOFR, Galaxy Curator, and Sweep provide fee and service revenue sources beyond directional cryptocurrency trading.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Results remain highly sensitive to digital asset prices; price declines during fiscal Q2 2026 caused a net loss of $85 million, an adjusted gross loss of $42 million in the Treasury and Corporate segment, and a 15% decline in net digital assets and investments to $1.2 billion.
    • −The Helios contract entails significant concentration with CoreWeave, as 133 megawatts from Phase I and 260 megawatts from Phase II are part of the Helios I project dedicated to this client, making expected cash flows dependent on project execution and the contractual obligations of a single major counterparty.
    • −Data center expansion is capital-intensive; segment capital expenditures reached $448 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and management expects them to continue rising, alongside $3.5 billion of senior secured notes used to fund Helios Phase II.
    • −The approved 830-megawatt capacity of Helios II has not yet been leased, and the timing of contracting is tied to prospective customers focusing on power available sooner than the scheduled energization in late 2028. The credit quality of some prospective tenants also requires additional guarantee structures.
    • −The Texas projects face regulatory and execution risks after the state governor directed PUCT and ERCOT to conduct a comprehensive review of data center grid interconnection projects, which delayed expected communication regarding Batch Zero classifications and leaves the capacities of Helios III, Selene, and Caspian subject to completion of the regulatory process.
    • −Valuation adds risk given continuing losses; the company recorded a trailing-twelve-month loss of $151.1 million and negative earnings per share of approximately $0.39, while the average analyst target of $35.83 falls within a wide range of $30 to $45, reflecting material divergence in estimates of future results.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $35.83 within a range of $30 to $45. The average target is approximately 22% below the 52-week range high of $45.92, while the highest target is close to that high and the lowest target is approximately 83% above the range low of $16.43. This consensus must be weighed against the trailing-twelve-month loss of $151.1 million and negative earnings per share, making the realization of contracted data center earnings and a reduction in the sensitivity of results to cryptocurrencies essential to justify the valuation.

    BuyAnalyst target: $35.83(+46.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving the transformation of Galaxy Digital's business model in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Helios Phase I began generating operating results after 133 megawatts were delivered to CoreWeave on time and within budget. The Data Centers segment generated adjusted gross profit of $20 million and adjusted EBITDA of $11 million in fiscal Q2 2026. Management expects approximately $80 million in lease revenue and a project-level margin exceeding 90% in the phase's first full quarter, fiscal Q3 2026.

    Why did Galaxy Digital lose money in fiscal Q2 2026?

    The company recorded a net loss of $85 million and a loss per share of $0.09 in fiscal Q2 2026. Management attributed the result primarily to declines in digital asset prices, as the Treasury and Corporate segment recorded an adjusted gross loss of $42 million. Adjusted operating expenses also increased by $25 million quarter over quarter to $172 million as the company began recording data center interest and depreciation.

    How large is the Helios opportunity, and when do the next phases begin?

    Helios Phase I operates 133 megawatts of critical IT load for CoreWeave. Phase II adds 260 megawatts, with delivery of its halls beginning in fiscal Q2 2027, seven halls operating by the end of fiscal year 2027, and the eighth hall in early fiscal year 2028. Phase III adds 133 megawatts of critical IT load during fiscal year 2028, while the 830-megawatt capacity of Helios II remains unleased.

    How is Galaxy Digital growing beyond cryptocurrency trading?

    In fiscal Q2 2026, the company signed a multi-year agreement with Bank of New York to develop digital asset infrastructure, including staking support on the bank's custody platform. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management selected Galaxy Digital to support staking in two new exchange-traded products, and the company announced a partnership with Bank Leumi on August 15, 2026, for regulated trading and custody infrastructure. At the product level, GOFR generated approximately $300 million in loan originations, and Galaxy Curator made yield strategies available to more than 2,400 institutional clients.

    What are the key risks to Galaxy Power's expansion in Texas?

    The potential development pipeline exceeded 5.7 gigawatts after Merlin, Caspian, and Selene were added to Helios, but a large portion of this capacity remains in the approval, development, and leasing stages. In August 2026, the governor of Texas directed both PUCT and ERCOT to review data center interconnection projects, delaying communication regarding the Batch Zero classification. Galaxy Digital has posted financial guarantees of $50 million for Helios III and $45 million for Selene, but it must still complete regulatory and execution procedures before converting potential capacity into operating assets.