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Home
Stocks
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall54
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 6/9DistressBetter than 54% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
64
11.8x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
60
5.8%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
70
11.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
44
4.7x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
27
0.21%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
28
-7.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
90
6▲3Top tier
GLPI

GLPI Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
40.24
▼ ⁦-1.81%⁩ (-0.74)
Market Cap$11.6B
Beta0.69
52w Low52w High
40.0149.95
Last Week
⁦-4.96%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.25%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-15.78%⁩
Last Year
⁦-15.09%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$40
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$49
⁦+22%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$43–$55⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$14
⁦-66%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$14–$49⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$49.22
⁦+22.3%⁩
Current Price $40.24·Median $49.00
Low
$43.00
High
$55.00
Current price
$40.24
Average target
$49.22
Street summary

Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) stock price target analysis

Bullish tilt

GLPI stock has seen stability in its average price target at $50 over the past twenty days, following a slight decline of 1.96% a month ago coinciding with an analyst dropping coverage. Current estimates reflect cautious optimism, as the stock is currently trading at (43.71), a level even lower than the lowest price target set by analysts (45), suggesting a potential growth gap in the market's view despite the slight reduction in the general consensus.

As of 2026-08-20
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.83
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦24 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
67%
High
Target dispersion
30%
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
6
10
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.83 → 3.83
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Raymond James
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.77x
    5.03x40.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.18x
    5.89x47.13x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.06x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.4%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.8%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    31.5%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    47.0%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    11.1%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.71x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.2%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    2.4%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.28
    -0.883.10
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-04-24 data

Company Overview

Gaming and Leisure Properties operates by owning real estate associated with gaming facilities and financing acquisitions and development projects, then generating income from rents and financing-related interest. In Q1 FY2026, real estate income growth was driven by approximately $33 million in cash rent increases resulting from acquisitions and conversions, along with $4.6 million in contractual rent increases and percentage rent adjustments, while non-cash revenue items reduced the year-over-year increase by approximately $8 million.

In Q2 FY2026, GLPI reported revenue of $430.5 million, net income of $228.4 million, and earnings per share of $0.80, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 53.1%. These results compare with revenue of $420.0 million, net income of $231.8 million, and earnings per share of $0.82 in Q1 FY2026, meaning revenue increased sequentially by approximately 2.5% while net income declined by approximately 1.5%.

For the twelve months ended in 2026, revenue totaled $1.7 billion, net income reached $968.7 million, and earnings per share were approximately $3.39, compared with prior twelve-month data in the context showing revenue of $1.6 billion and net income of $891.8 million. The provided EDGAR data did not include a segment breakdown of revenue, but the April 24, 2026 call linked cash income growth to projects and assets including Bally’s Lincoln, Bally’s Chicago, Bally’s Baton Rouge, PENN projects, and Dry Creek, Ione, and Cordish Virginia financing.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management set FY2026 AFFO guidance on the April 24, 2026 call at between $1.212 billion and $1.223 billion, or between $4.08 and $4.12 per diluted share and OP units, while confirming that this guidance excludes the impact of unannounced future transactions.
  • Future capital commitments totaled approximately $1.8 billion, and management expected on April 24, 2026 to deploy most of them by the end of 2027; it also raised the planned development spending range for FY2026 to between $750 million and $800 million, an increase of $150 million at the high end due to the accelerated pace of spending on the Chicago project.
  • The Bally’s Chicago project was still targeted to open in the first half of 2027 according to the April 24, 2026 call, and significant development projects pay cash rent to GLPI as funding is deployed, converting a faster spending pace into income before the facility opens.
  • Opened projects supported demand indicators: Live! Casino & Hotel Virginia in Petersburg, which opened on January 22, 2026, generated slightly more than $15 million per month during its first two months, while management also described the February 2026 opening of Ione and Bally’s Baton Rouge’s performance following its December 2025 opening as strong.
  • Rent coverage remained supportive, as management said on April 24, 2026 that the vast majority of leases were covered at 1.8 times or more, and that the addition of Lincoln increased pro forma coverage of the primary Bally’s lease to 2.2 times; coverage of the primary Caesars lease was approximately 1.59 times.
  • Capitalization rates for typical regional transactions were estimated to start at approximately 8% instead of the 7.5% levels recorded in previous transactions, a range management described as accretive to GLPI’s value given its cost of capital at the time of the call.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Capital commitments of approximately $1.8 billion through the end of 2027 provide a visible path for income growth, particularly because financing significant development projects generates cash rent as funds are deployed, not only after opening.
  • +Q2 FY2026 results showed continued revenue growth to $430.5 million, while twelve-month revenue totaled $1.7 billion and net income reached $968.7 million, compared with revenue of $1.6 billion and net income of $891.8 million in the prior twelve-month data provided.
  • +High rent coverage strengthens cash flow quality, with coverage of at least 1.8 times for the vast majority of leases and pro forma coverage of 2.2 times for the primary Bally’s lease following the addition of Lincoln.
  • +Leverage was 5 times on April 24, 2026, the low end of the targeted range of 5 to 5.5 times, with $275 million in cash that had not yet been deployed, $363 million of forward equity, and approximately $230 million in annual free cash flow to support the commitments.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $50 and a range between $45 and $55. The average target is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $49.95, while the upper end of $55 is approximately 10.1% above it and the lower end of $45 is approximately 9.9% below it, reflecting meaningful divergence regarding how much growth GLPI’s development commitments can generate.

BuyAnalyst target: $50(+24.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How does GLPI generate its revenue?

GLPI generates income from real estate associated with gaming facilities and from financing development projects, through rents and cash interest. In Q1 FY2026, acquisitions and conversions added approximately $33 million in cash rent increases, while contractual increases and percentage rent adjustments added approximately $4.6 million. Sources of the increase included Bally’s Chicago, Bally’s Baton Rouge, PENN projects, and Dry Creek, Ione, and Cordish Virginia financing.

What were GLPI’s key Q2 FY2026 results?

Revenue totaled $430.5 million in Q2 FY2026, while net income reached $228.4 million. Earnings per share were $0.80, and the calculated net income margin was approximately 53.1%. Compared with Q1 FY2026, revenue increased from $420.0 million, while net income declined from $231.8 million.

What is GLPI’s guidance for FY2026?

Management set an AFFO range of between $1.212 billion and $1.223 billion for FY2026 on April 24, 2026. This is equivalent to between $4.08 and $4.12 per diluted share and OP units. The guidance included total development spending of between $750 million and $800 million and the planned $225 million PENN Aurora acquisition, but excluded the impact of unannounced future transactions.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The stability of GLPI’s cash flows depends on gaming facility operators’ ability to pay rent; coverage of the primary Caesars lease declined to approximately 1.59 times, while the Pinnacle lease was the only lease for which management did not expect a contractual increase in FY2026, with an expected annual decline of less than $4 million in percentage rent adjustments, approximately half of which would be reflected during FY2026.
  • −The Bally’s Chicago project carries significant execution and financing exposure, as GLPI committed to provide $940 million for the project and increased the pace of development spending as construction progressed, while management acknowledged that permitting VGTs in Cook County would affect rent coverage even though it had incorporated this scenario into the underwriting.
  • −Digital and regulatory gaming alternatives may affect demand for physical facilities, including iGaming, prediction markets, and VGTs; management said on April 24, 2026 that it was monitoring these channels and that the proliferation of VGTs in Cook County would have some impact on traditional gaming activity.
  • −Higher SOFR rates could pressure interest expense and AFFO, as the chief financial officer explained that part of the benefit from accelerated funding at the high end of FY2026 guidance was offset by higher SOFR rate assumptions.
  • −The visible growth path does not extend with the same clarity beyond 2027; management said it could see growth through 2027, but growth in 2028 and beyond would depend, outside contractual increases, on executing new accretive transactions that cannot be predicted.
  • −Analyst targets show a limited range between $45 and $55, while the average target is $50 and nearly matches the 52-week range high of $49.95; therefore, exceeding that high requires results stronger than the level reflected by the average valuation, while no published price-to-earnings ratio is available within the provided data to support a direct comparison.
  • Why is the Bally’s Chicago project important to GLPI?

    GLPI committed to provide up to $940 million in financing for the Bally’s Chicago project, which was targeted to open in the first half of 2027 according to the April 24, 2026 call. The company raised the high end of its FY2026 development spending guidance by $150 million, primarily due to improved visibility into the pace of spending on Chicago. The financing generates cash income for GLPI as it is deployed, but potential VGTs in Cook County could affect rent coverage, and this possibility was incorporated into the project’s underwriting.

    Can GLPI fund its $1.8 billion in capital commitments?

    Leverage was 5 times on April 24, 2026, at the low end of the targeted range of 5 to 5.5 times. The company had $275 million in undeployed cash and $363 million of forward equity, in addition to approximately $230 million in annual free cash flow. Management expected leverage to remain at the low end of the targeted range after funding the commitments and receiving their full AFFO impact.

    What are the risks associated with the Caesars and Pinnacle leases?

    Coverage of the primary Caesars lease was approximately 1.59 times in the quarter referenced during the April 24, 2026 call, after some results were affected by operating factors that included the West Tower room renovation. The Pinnacle lease was the only lease for which management did not expect a contractual increase in FY2026. Management also expected percentage rent adjustments associated with Pinnacle and other leases to decline annually by less than $4 million, approximately half of which would be reflected during FY2026.