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Stocks
Global Partners LP
GLP

GLP Global Partners LP

Global Partners LP · NYSE
Market Closed
52.75
▼ ⁦-2.44%⁩ (-1.32)
Market Cap$1.8B
Beta1.05
52w Low52w High
39.5854.29
Last Week
⁦+0.30%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.12%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+9.90%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.47%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall73
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 6/9Better than 73% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
10.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
77
20.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
58
11.2%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
26
6.9x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
11
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
76
-6.8%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
79
1▼3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$53
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$46
⁦-13%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$46–$46⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$98
⁦+86%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$46–$98⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$46.00
⁦-12.8%⁩
Current Price $52.75·Median $46.00
Low
$46.00
High
$46.00
Street summary

Forecast Stability Analysis for Global Partners LP

Global Partners LP (GLP) stock shows a state of complete stability in analyst estimates, with the target price holding steady at 46 dollars without any change over the past 7 and 30-day periods. It is noted that only one analyst currently covers the stock, leading to a total lack of Dispersion in forecasts, as the high, low, and mean values coincide at the same level, reflecting the absence of any recent revisions or flow of new investment opinions.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
1
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time1 analysts rating
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-03-02
    Stifel Nicolaus
    —· $46.00
  • = Reiterate2025-11-06
    Needham
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2023-12-27
    TD Cowen
    Buy
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    10.70x
    3.56x28.47x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.92x
    3.36x26.89x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.32x
    2.12x16.98x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    11.1%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    20.4%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    87.5%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    5.6%
    7.8%72.1%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    11.2%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.89x
    0.40x3.19x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

Global Partners LP operates through an integrated liquid energy platform that combines gasoline distribution, gas station and convenience store operations, wholesale trading, and commercial activities such as marine fuel bunkering. The GDSO segment’s portfolio comprised approximately 1,500 gas station and convenience store locations at the end of Q2 FY2026, in addition to 69 locations within the Spring Partners joint venture. The segment’s margin comes from gasoline distribution, store sales, prepared foods, diversified merchandise, and rental income, while the wholesale business benefits from gasoline and gasoline blendstocks, distillates, and other oils.

In Q2 FY2026, the company recorded revenue of $6.8 billion, gross profit of $328.9 million, and net income of $71.0 million; equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 4.8% and a net income margin of approximately 1.0%. According to management’s comparison with the corresponding quarter, net income increased from $25.2 million, EBITDA rose from $95.7 million to $146.0 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased from $98.2 million to $148.2 million.

Total reported product margins across the segments reached $362.2 million in Q2 FY2026. The GDSO segment represented approximately 67.7% of this total, with a margin of $245.2 million, compared with approximately 29.4% for the wholesale business, with a margin of $106.5 million, and approximately 2.9% for the commercial segment, with a margin of $10.5 million. On a last-twelve-month basis within the latest 2026 data, revenue reached $28.9 billion, gross profit $1.2 billion, and net income $195.2 million, compared with revenue of $18.6 billion and net income of $98.0 million in FY2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Improvement in gasoline fuel margin was the most significant driver in Q2 FY2026; gasoline distribution margin in the GDSO segment increased by $37.1 million to $175.0 million, while margin per gallon rose from $0.36 to $0.50.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The wholesale segment’s product margin increased by $14.8 million to $106.5 million, driven by a $19.6 million increase in gasoline and gasoline blendstocks margin to $78.4 million as a result of more favorable market conditions.
  • The commercial segment achieved product margin growth of $4.4 million to reach $10.5 million, which management attributed primarily to improved conditions in the marine fuel bunkering business.
  • Distributable cash flow jumped to $92.6 million in Q2 FY2026 from $52.0 million in the corresponding period, and distribution coverage reached 2.25 times, or 2.19 times after accounting for preferred unit distributions. The board also approved a quarterly cash distribution of $0.78 per unit, equivalent to $3.12 annually, which was paid on August 14, 2026, to unitholders of record on August 12, 2026.
  • Balance sheet flexibility supported capital allocation; leverage stood at 2.85 times on June 30, 2026, and the company then redeemed all Series B preferred units carrying a fixed yield of 9.5% on July 30, 2026. Management maintained its FY2026 capital expenditure estimates at $60–70 million for maintenance and $75–85 million for expansion, excluding acquisitions.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Global Partners LP’s model demonstrated a strong ability to convert improved fuel margins into earnings, with Q2 FY2026 net income rising to $71.0 million from $25.2 million and adjusted EBITDA increasing to $148.2 million from $98.2 million.
    • +The diversified portfolio spanning approximately 1,500 gas stations and stores, wholesale operations, and commercial fuel supply provides more than one source of margin, and all three segments contributed positively in Q2 FY2026, with total reported product margins of $362.2 million.
    • +Distribution coverage of 2.25 times, or 2.19 times after preferred unit distributions, provides a cash safety margin for the quarterly distribution of $0.78 per unit based on Q2 FY2026 results.
    • +Leverage of 2.85 times on June 30, 2026, together with the redemption of the Series B units carrying a fixed cost of 9.5%, gives the company greater flexibility to finance gas station expansion or evaluate assets that complement its portfolio. This view is reinforced by insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 18, 2026, when 11 purchases and no sales were recorded, for a net amount of $2.6 million.

    ▼ Selling Case5 pts

    • −Management warned that volatility in refined product markets and geopolitical developments had increased price volatility and inventory risks, and that the steep backwardation in the forward price curve was expected to increase the cost of carrying hedged inventory during periods following Q2 FY2026.
    • −The wholesale segment’s distillates and other oils margin declined by $4.8 million to $28.1 million in Q2 FY2026 because of less favorable conditions in the residual fuel oil market, illustrating that the improvement in gasoline does not extend equally to all products.
    • −Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased by $8.3 million to $83.0 million in Q2 FY2026 as a result of higher discretionary incentive compensation, wages and benefits, and other expenses, while operating expenses increased by $1.1 million to $136.8 million.
    • −Management observed a limited impact from inflation and higher prices on consumers in Q2 FY2026 and July 2026, including a slight reduction in average fuel fill volume, possible switching from 93 octane gasoline to 87 octane gasoline, and a slight decline in store transactions. Management did not describe these movements as material, but they represent a risk to volumes and product mix if pricing pressure intensifies.
    • −The analyst consensus reflects a Sell rating with a sole price target of $46, with no variation between the highest and lowest estimates, which is a negative market indicator despite the operational improvement in Q2 FY2026. The absence of a published P/E ratio in the data also deprives investors of a traditional valuation anchor for comparing earnings with the price.

    Valuation

    The consensus analyst price target is $46, which is also the highest and lowest target, with a consensus Sell rating; this target falls within the 52-week range of $39.58–$53.24, approximately 13.6% below the top of the range and approximately 16.2% above its bottom. No P/E ratio is available in the data, so GLP’s valuation here relies on a single analyst target with no estimate range and on improvements in net income and cash flow, balanced against inventory cost risks and higher expenses.

    SellAnalyst target: $46(-12.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove GLP’s earnings in Q2 FY2026?

    Improvement in gasoline margin was the most important factor, as gasoline distribution margin in the GDSO segment increased by $37.1 million to $175.0 million. Margin per gallon increased from $0.36 in the corresponding quarter to $0.50 in Q2 FY2026. The wholesale business also contributed by increasing its product margin to $106.5 million, while the commercial segment’s margin rose to $10.5 million. As a result, net income reached $71.0 million compared with $25.2 million in the corresponding period.

    How sustainable are Global Partners LP’s distributions?

    The board approved a cash distribution of $0.78 per unit for Q2 FY2026, equivalent to $3.12 on an annualized basis. Distributable cash flow reached $92.6 million, compared with $52.0 million in the corresponding period. The coverage ratio reached 2.25 times, or 2.19 times after accounting for preferred unit distributions. The distribution was paid on August 14, 2026, to unitholders of record on August 12, 2026.

    How are GLP’s operations distributed across its segments?

    The GDSO segment’s product margin reached approximately $245.2 million in Q2 FY2026, supported by a portfolio comprising approximately 1,500 gas stations and stores, excluding 69 locations within Spring Partners. The wholesale segment recorded a product margin of $106.5 million, including $78.4 million from gasoline and gasoline blendstocks. The commercial segment recorded $10.5 million, supported by the marine fuel bunkering business. Accordingly, GDSO accounted for approximately two-thirds of the total reported product margins across the segments.

    What are the most significant operational risks facing GLP after Q2 FY2026?

    On August 7, 2026, management cited volatility in refined product markets and higher inventory risks due to geopolitical developments and tight inventory levels. It also expected the steep backwardation to increase the carrying cost of hedged inventory in subsequent periods. The margin from distillates and other oils declined by $4.8 million to $28.1 million because of weak conditions in residual fuel oil. In addition, selling, general, and administrative expenses increased to $83.0 million through higher wages and benefits, incentive compensation, and other expenses.

    What does the Series B unit redemption mean for GLP investors?

    Global Partners redeemed all outstanding Series B preferred units on July 30, 2026. These units carried a fixed yield of 9.5%, and management said the redemption is accretive to returns and simplifies the capital structure. The decision followed the generation of significant excess cash flow since the beginning of FY2026, with unused capacity available under its credit facilities. Leverage stood at 2.85 times on June 30, 2026, while $174.6 million was drawn under the working capital facility and $103.5 million under the revolving facility.

    How do analysts and insider activity view GLP stock?

    The available analyst consensus is Sell, with an average price target of $46, which is also the highest and lowest target. This target lies between the bottom of the 52-week range of $39.58 and its top of $53.24, and the data does not provide a P/E ratio that could be used as an additional anchor. In contrast, insiders recorded 11 purchases and no sales over three months, for net purchases of $2.6 million. The latest recorded insider transaction was on June 18, 2026, providing a positive internal signal that does not negate the Sell consensus or the operational risks.