EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Global-e Online Ltd.
GLBE

GLBE Global-e Online Ltd.

Global-e Online Ltd. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
37.18
▲ ⁦+1.86%⁩ (+0.68)
Market Cap$6.2B
Beta1.01
52w Low52w High
26.8542.75
Last Week
⁦-4.18%⁩
Last Month
⁦-12.15%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+11.65%⁩
Last Year
⁦+11.12%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9Better than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
22
41.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
96
31.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
88
16.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
91
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
73
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
63
20.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
35
7▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$37
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$48
⁦+29%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$44–$60⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$43
⁦+15%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦8.8⁩% discount · ⁦10⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$43–$48⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$48.86
⁦+31.4%⁩
Current Price $37.18·Median $48.00
Low
$44.00
High
$60.00
Current price
$37.18
Average target
$48.86
Street summary

Consensus targets rise as coverage broadens

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose from 42 to 48.86 over the last 30 days, an increase of 6.86 or 16.33%, alongside an increase in the number of analysts from 3 to 6. There was no change over the last 7 days, with the consensus remaining at 48.86 and the number of analysts at 6. Current targets range from 44 to 60, with a median of 48, reflecting notable variation in estimates, while all targets remain above the current price of 38.37.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+11.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.23
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦13 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
92%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
43%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
4
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.31 → 4.23
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Needham
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Raymond James
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    41.39x
    4.56x36.49x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    26.27x
    3.79x30.29x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    51.31x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    4.4%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    31.4%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    604.0%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    45.2%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    16.4%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-12 data

Company Overview

Global-e Online provides a cross-border e-commerce platform that helps brands sell internationally, combining a merchant-of-record model with fulfillment, shipping, localized pricing, customs clearance, and duties services. The company generates revenue from service fees and fulfillment services; in Q2 fiscal 2026, service fee revenue was $139.4 million, or 46.6% of total revenue, while fulfillment services revenue was $159.6 million, or 53.4%. The company is also expanding its reach through Shopify Managed Markets V2, Borderfree.com, and its duty recovery service, while the Passport acquisition added a logistics option that largely does not rely on the merchant-of-record model.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, gross merchandise value increased 44% year over year to $2.089 billion, and revenue rose 39% to $299 million. GAAP gross profit was approximately $131.9 million, with a 44.1% margin, while non-GAAP gross profit was approximately $135.4 million, with a 45.3% margin, compared with 46.5% a year earlier. The company reported GAAP net income of $47.7 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.27, along with non-GAAP net income of $64.9 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.37.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $62.4 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 62%, while the margin increased to 20.9% from 17.9% a year earlier. These results confirm the continued financial turnaround evident in EDGAR data: fiscal 2025 revenue increased to $962.2 million from $752.8 million in fiscal 2024, while net income shifted from a loss of $75.5 million to a profit of $68.3 million. The company ended the quarter with $530 million in cash, short-term investments, and marketable securities, and generated free cash flow of $73.2 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Global-e raised its fiscal 2026 outlook after exceeding the upper end of its Q2 guidance and now expects revenue between $1.305 billion and $1.355 billion, representing 38% growth at the midpoint, and gross merchandise value between $8.81 billion and $9.11 billion, representing 36.4% growth.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company expects Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue between $308.5 million and $315.5 million, representing growth exceeding 41%, and gross merchandise value between $1.995 billion and $2.045 billion, equivalent to 34% growth at the midpoint.
  • The Passport acquisition closed and integration began, and Global-e expects it to add between $55 million and $59 million to second-half fiscal 2026 revenue and between $3 million and $4 million to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization; Passport is also tracking toward annual revenue exceeding $100 million and has become positive on an adjusted earnings and cash flow basis.
  • The migration of merchants from Shopify Managed Markets V1 to V2 was completed during Q2 fiscal 2026, and the service expanded to Canada and the United Kingdom, with early indications of rising adoption and transaction volumes. The vast majority of merchants can now onboard in nearly the same session, instead of undergoing a review process that previously took up to 24 hours.
  • Unique visits to Borderfree.com exceeded 10 million during the twelve months ended Q2 fiscal 2026, and the channel accounted for 6.5% of participating merchants’ sales. During the same period, several merchants began using U.S. import duty recovery capabilities, adding a potential source of value-added service fees.
  • New brands and expansion with existing customers supported platform growth in Q2 fiscal 2026; Global-e launched services with Ferrari, Officine Universelle Buly, Naked Wolfe, and Dolce Vita, and expanded its relationships with FIGS, Pokemon, Fresh, and Isabel Marant. Consumer response to annual promotions, which for some large brands exceeded the growth of comparable-quarter promotions by more than 25%, also contributed to accelerating transaction volumes.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +In Q2 fiscal 2026, Global-e combined revenue growth of 39% with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth of 62%, lifting the adjusted margin by more than 300 basis points to 20.9%.
    • +Annual profitability improved materially, as the company moved from a net loss of $133.8 million in fiscal 2023 and a loss of $75.5 million in fiscal 2024 to net income of $68.3 million in fiscal 2025, while revenue reached $962.2 million.
    • +Passport expands the addressable market through a logistics solution that largely does not rely on the merchant-of-record model, while providing Global-e with opportunities to cross-sell shipping, returns, direct injection, and duty recovery services to both companies’ customers. Management expects Passport’s margins and cash flows to improve with growth and the realization of integration synergies.
    • +Cash and liquidity of $530 million and quarterly free cash flow of $73.2 million provide flexibility to fund growth and return capital; the company completed a $200 million repurchase program, and the board approved a new $500 million program in June 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The non-GAAP gross margin declined to 45.3% in Q2 fiscal 2026 from 46.5% a year earlier because Global-e temporarily absorbed part of the increases in carrier fuel surcharges instead of quickly passing every update on to merchants. Continued fuel price volatility or a widening time lag between carrier cost increases and merchant price adjustments could maintain pressure on gross profit.
    • −Second-half fiscal 2026 guidance assumes comparable-sales growth will return to more normal levels and that the foreign exchange support that benefited the company in the first half will fade. This caution is reflected in the forecast for Q3 gross merchandise value growth of 34% at the midpoint, compared with actual growth of 44% in Q2.
    • −The company expects an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of 19.4% at the midpoint of its Q3 fiscal 2026 guidance, below the 20.9% achieved in Q2. It also expects Passport to contribute less than $1 million to these earnings during the quarter, despite an expected revenue contribution between $24 million and $26 million.
    • −The integration of Passport carries execution and profitability risks because its gross margin is in the mid-thirties, compared with Global-e’s non-GAAP gross margin of 45.3% in Q2 fiscal 2026. Expectations that Passport will approach Global-e’s profitability depend on Passport’s growth and the realization of integration synergies over several quarters, benefits that have not yet been fully realized.
    • −Some growth drivers depend on a changing regulatory and trade environment, including tariffs, the elimination of de minimis thresholds, and documentation requirements for duty recovery claims. Management explained that preparing the first claim may take time because merchants need to gather documents from prior years, making the timing of this service’s contribution uneven.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended August 19, 2026, recorded net sales of $32.8 million across 37 sales and no purchases. This is a weaker trading signal than the operational and financial risks because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $48.86 and a wide range between $44 and $60. The average target is approximately 11% above the 52-week range high of $43.99, while the highest target is approximately 36% above that high; this reflects elevated growth expectations but leaves room for execution risk if gross merchandise value slows or gross margin pressure persists. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation assessment is based on the target range and the 52-week range of $26.845 to $43.99, balancing accelerating revenue and profitability against Passport’s lower margins and the expected Q3 margin decline from Q2.

    BuyAnalyst target: $48.86(+31.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove GLBE’s Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

    Gross merchandise value increased 44% to $2.089 billion, and revenue rose 39% to $299 million. The company benefited from comparable sales above historical trends, strength among merchants onboarded in the second half of 2025, contributions from customers launched in 2026, and some foreign exchange support. Annual promotions at some large brands also generated a response that exceeded the growth of comparable-quarter promotions by more than 25%. As a result, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $62.4 million, with a 20.9% margin.

    How does the Passport acquisition change Global-e’s growth story?

    Global-e announced the closing of its acquisition of Passport, an asset-light global logistics solution that adds an option largely independent of the merchant-of-record model. Passport is tracking toward revenue exceeding $100 million in 2026, and the company expects it to contribute between $55 million and $59 million to second-half fiscal 2026 revenue. It also expects a contribution between $3 million and $4 million to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization during the same period. Passport’s integration into the carrier ecosystem has begun, and workstreams are targeting services such as consolidated returns, direct injection, and duty recovery.

    Why is Shopify Managed Markets V2 important for GLBE stock?

    The migration of Managed Markets merchants from V1 to V2 was completed during Q2 fiscal 2026, and Global-e expanded the service’s availability to Canada and the United Kingdom. Management said adoption and transaction volumes are rising and that merchant feedback regarding the experience and conversion has been positive. The vast majority of merchants can now onboard in nearly the same session, after the review previously took up to 24 hours. However, management described Managed Markets as a long-term path and did not provide a standalone numerical target for its revenue or gross merchandise value.

    What is Global-e’s fiscal 2026 outlook?

    The company expects revenue between $1.305 billion and $1.355 billion, equivalent to 38% growth at the midpoint. It expects gross merchandise value between $8.81 billion and $9.11 billion, representing 36.4% growth at the midpoint. It also targets adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $278 million and $300 million, representing 46% growth and a 21.7% margin at the respective midpoints. These figures include an expected Passport contribution of $55 million to $59 million in revenue and $3 million to $4 million in adjusted earnings during the second half of fiscal 2026.

    Has Global-e’s profitability improved sustainably?

    EDGAR data shows net income shifting from a loss of $133.8 million in fiscal 2023 to a loss of $75.5 million in fiscal 2024, and then to a profit of $68.3 million in fiscal 2025. In Q2 fiscal 2026, GAAP net income was approximately $47.7 million, compared with $10.5 million a year earlier. The adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin also increased to 20.9% from 17.9%. In contrast, the non-GAAP gross margin declined to 45.3% from 46.5% because of fuel costs, making the gross margin trajectory an important point to monitor.

    What are the main risks GLBE followers should monitor?

    The first risk is fuel cost pressure, which reduced the non-GAAP gross margin in Q2 fiscal 2026 by 120 basis points year over year. The second is the expected slowdown in gross merchandise value growth to 34% in Q3, compared with 44% in Q2, based on management’s assumption that comparable sales will return to more normal levels and foreign exchange support will fade. The third is Passport integration, as Passport generates a gross margin in the mid-thirties and is expected to make a limited contribution to adjusted earnings during 2026. This is compounded by net insider sales of $32.8 million during the three months through August 19, 2026, though this should be treated as a weak signal because those sales may be prearranged.