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Stocks
Globe Life Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall83
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Better than 83% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
79
11.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
41
5.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
94
——Top tier
▸
Safety
25
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
54
0.70%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
89
30.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
38
7▲3Bottom tier
GL

GL Globe Life Inc.

Globe Life Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
171.17
▲ ⁦+0.22%⁩ (+0.37)
Market Cap$13.3B
Beta0.47
52w Low52w High
127.85191.55
Last Week
⁦-1.25%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.98%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+10.87%⁩
Last Year
⁦+22.80%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$171
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$183
⁦+7%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$166–$200⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$257
⁦+50%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$183–$257⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$183.00
⁦+6.9%⁩
Current Price $171.17·Median $183.00
Low
$166.00
High
$200.00
Current price
$171.17
Average target
$183.00
Street summary

Slight Increase in Consensus with a Broader Analyst Base

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose to 183 from 177.8 over the last 30 days, an increase of 5.2 or 2.92%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days. The number of analysts included also increased from 2 to 4, enhancing the breadth of the consensus, but the target range between 166 and 200 reflects clear divergence; the consensus is approximately 7.1% above the current price of 170.8, while the lower end is slightly below it.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.09
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
73%
High
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
4
4
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.09 → 4.09
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-15
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-10
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-06-23
    TD Cowen
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.32x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.53x
    2.76x22.06x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.2%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    20.6%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.7%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    7.5%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Globe Life Inc. is an insurance company focused on life and health policies targeting the middle-income market, generating income primarily from insurance premiums, underwriting margins, and investment portfolio income. It distributes its products through the American Income Life, Liberty National, and Family Heritage agencies, alongside the Globe Life direct-to-consumer channel and United American operations, including Medicare Supplement insurance and the Evri group business. In fiscal 2026 Q2, life premiums totaled $861 million and health premiums totaled $437 million, while net investment income reached $294 million.

The company reported fiscal 2026 Q2 revenue of $1.6 billion and net income of $287.7 million, equivalent to earnings per share of $3.65. According to the earnings call, net income rose to approximately $288 million, and earnings per share increased 20% from $3.05 a year earlier, while net operating income increased 10% to $285 million, or $3.61 per share. Reported return on equity was 18.4% through June 30, 2026, while book value per share excluding accumulated other comprehensive income increased 11% to $100.04.

Growth was mixed across the insurance businesses in fiscal 2026 Q2; life premiums increased 3% to $861 million, and the underwriting margin reached $359 million, or 42% of premiums, while health premiums jumped 16% to $437 million, but their margin increased only 1% to $99 million and declined from 26% to approximately 23% of premiums. Across distribution channels, United American achieved 29% growth in health premiums to $211 million, and American Income Life life premiums increased 5% to $466 million, while direct-to-consumer channel premiums declined 1% to $244 million. The data did not disclose gross profit, so the profitability assessment focuses on net income and underwriting margins.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Globe Life raised its fiscal 2026 diluted operating earnings per share guidance to a range of $15.55–$15.95, representing growth of 8.5% at the midpoint, supported by improved life underwriting margins and excess investment income, with actuarially adjusted earnings growth expected to be between 9% and 10%.
  • Health insurance represents the fastest growth driver; management expects health premium growth of between 14% and 16% in fiscal 2026, supported by approximately $65 million in rate increases on individual Medicare Supplement policies and strong sales at United American and Family Heritage. It also expects growth of between 30% and 35% in United American net health sales during fiscal 2026.
  • The profitability of the life business improved as the underwriting margin increased 6% to $359 million in fiscal 2026 Q2 and rose to 42% of premiums from 41% a year earlier. Management expects a normalized life margin of between 41% and 42% for fiscal 2026 after excluding the effect of the assumption update, along with expected remeasurement gains of between $110 million and $130 million in fiscal 2026 Q3.
  • Higher investment yields support earnings growth; excess investment income totaled $38 million in fiscal 2026 Q2, up 10%, and the company invested $399 million in fixed-income securities at an average yield of 6.27% and an average rating of A. Management expects to invest $700–800 million across asset classes during the remainder of fiscal 2026 at an average yield of between 6.3% and 6.5%.
  • Capital allocation to shareholders increased; the company repurchased approximately 1.1 million shares for $175 million in fiscal 2026 Q2 and expects to repurchase $670–700 million of shares during fiscal 2026. On August 10, 2026, it announced a new authorization to repurchase up to $2.5 billion, which became effective on August 15, 2026, and replaced the previous authorizations.
  • Signs of improvement emerged in the American Income Life network; although the average number of producing agents declined 7% year over year to 11.4 thousand agents, the number increased 3% sequentially in fiscal 2026 Q2, while the pipeline of candidates undergoing licensing increased 8% compared with fiscal 2026 Q1. Management expects mid-single-digit growth in agent count and life sales during the second half of fiscal 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company combines earnings growth with strong underwriting profitability; reported earnings per share increased 20% and net operating income per share increased 10% in fiscal 2026 Q2, and it recorded double-digit growth in net operating income per share in eight of the last nine quarters through that date.
  • +Health insurance growth provides clear revenue leverage, with health premiums increasing 16% in fiscal 2026 Q2 and expected to grow 14%–16% in fiscal 2026, while United American premiums alone increased 29% to $211 million.
  • +The investment portfolio's quality appears conservative according to the available figures; of $19.3 billion in fixed-income securities, $18.8 billion was investment grade with an average rating of A, while below-investment-grade securities were limited to 2.7% of the portfolio.
  • +Cash generation gives the company substantial capacity to return capital, with expected cash dividends of approximately $95 million and share repurchases of $670–700 million in fiscal 2026, in addition to the new $2.5 billion authorization.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Neutral, with an average price target of $183 and a relatively wide range of $166 to $200, reflecting differing assessments of the impact of earnings growth versus pressure on health margins and the digital transformation of the direct-to-consumer channel. The average target is approximately 4.5% below the 52-week range high of $191.55, while the highest target is approximately 4.4% above that high, and the annual range low is $127.85. The data does not provide a usable price-to-earnings multiple, so the valuation of GL here is based more on the Neutral consensus, the dispersion of targets, and the earnings-per-share track record than on a market multiple.

HoldAnalyst target: $183(+6.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove GL's earnings in fiscal 2026 Q2?

Globe Life's revenue in fiscal 2026 Q2 totaled approximately $1.6 billion, net income was $287.7 million, and earnings per share were $3.65. Reported earnings per share increased 20% from $3.05 a year earlier, while net operating income per share increased 10% to $3.61. Support came from an improved life underwriting margin and a 10% increase in excess investment income to $38 million, while weakness in the health margin limited the strength of the results.

What is Globe Life's outlook for fiscal 2026?

Management expects diluted operating earnings per share of between $15.55 and $15.95 in fiscal 2026, equivalent to growth of 8.5% at the midpoint. It expects growth of between 6.5% and 7% in total premiums, between 2.5% and 3% in life premiums, and between 14% and 16% in health premiums. The outlook includes remeasurement gains of between $110 million and $130 million from updating life and health assumptions in fiscal 2026 Q3, while actuarially adjusted earnings per share growth is estimated at between 9% and 10%.

Why did GL's health insurance margin decline?

The health underwriting margin declined from 26% to approximately 23% of premiums in fiscal 2026 Q2, despite health premium growth of 16% to $437 million. Health policy obligations increased to 56.8% of premiums due to Medicare Supplement claims attributable to prior periods, a CMS correction to physician reimbursements, high-severity claims at Evri, and volatility in cancer claims at Liberty National. Management expects an underlying health margin of approximately 25% in Q3 and approximately 23%–25% in fiscal 2026 Q4, before the effect of the assumption update.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The health underwriting margin declined to approximately 23% in fiscal 2026 Q2 from 26% a year earlier, as health policy obligations increased to 56.8% of premiums from 53.3%. Pressures included Medicare Supplement claims attributable to prior periods, a CMS correction to physician reimbursements, high-severity claims at Evri, and adverse volatility in cancer claims at Liberty National.
  • −Evri still lacks the scale necessary to achieve its target margins; it recorded an underwriting loss of approximately $10 million in the first half of fiscal 2026, including approximately $7 million in Q2, and management expects an additional loss of between $3 million and $4 million in the second half. The business could reduce United American's margin by approximately two percentage points for fiscal 2026.
  • −The direct-to-consumer channel faces disruption in customer acquisition due to the shift in digital search toward artificial intelligence tools; net life sales for the channel declined 15% to $27 million in fiscal 2026 Q2, and management expects a single-digit decline in its sales for the full year. The reduction in traditional paid-search volume also increased the cost per click, requiring a period of testing and adaptation across artificial intelligence advertising and platforms such as Google and Facebook.
  • −American Income Life slowed due to contraction in its distribution network; the average number of producing agents declined 7% to 11.4 thousand agents, and net life sales decreased 2% to $95 million in fiscal 2026 Q2. A return to sales growth in the second half depends on the success of adjustments to agent recruitment and retention incentives.
  • −The portfolio contains an unrealized loss of $1.4 billion on fixed-income securities because market interest rates rose above the book yield, while BBB-rated bonds represent 41% of the portfolio. Management says the long duration of liabilities and its ability to hold bonds to maturity limit the risk of forced sales, but interest-rate sensitivity and credit quality remain significant financial exposures.
  • −The insider trading signal was strong_sell during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 7, 2026, with net selling of $40.1 million and 31 sales without any purchases. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data did not explain the motives for the transactions.
  • How is artificial intelligence affecting Globe Life's business?

    The shift by consumers from traditional paid search to artificial intelligence-supported search led to lower search volume and a higher cost per click for the direct-to-consumer channel. As a result, net life sales for this channel declined 15% to $27 million in fiscal 2026 Q2, and management expects a single-digit decline in its sales for the full year. Globe Life is working with platforms such as Google and Facebook on new advertising formats, while also developing content that artificial intelligence assistants can interpret and testing agent-training tools to improve productivity and retention.

    How large is GL's share repurchase program?

    Globe Life repurchased approximately 1.1 million shares for $175 million in fiscal 2026 Q2 and returned approximately $200 million to shareholders when including $25 million in dividends. The company expects to repurchase $670–700 million of shares and pay approximately $95 million in dividends during fiscal 2026. On August 10, 2026, it announced a new authorization of up to $2.5 billion that became effective on August 15, 2026, while funding growth in insurance operations remains a priority before directing excess capital to repurchases.

    What is the condition of Globe Life's investment portfolio?

    Invested assets totaled $22.1 billion in fiscal 2026 Q2, including $19.3 billion in fixed-income securities at amortized cost. Of that amount, $18.8 billion was investment grade with an average rating of A, while below-investment-grade securities were limited to $516 million, or 2.7% of the fixed-income portfolio. The earned yield on total long-term investments was 5.51%, but the portfolio carried an unrealized loss of $1.4 billion primarily associated with higher interest rates.