EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
General Mills, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall30
Weak — below market medianValue TrapF 5/9Grey zoneBetter than 30% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
—17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
9
-5.4%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
35
2.0%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
35
10.0x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
72
6.81%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
21
-24.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
84
12▲3Top tier
GIS

GIS General Mills, Inc.

General Mills, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
35.85
▼ ⁦-0.31%⁩ (-0.11)
Market Cap$19.1B
Beta-0.05
52w Low52w High
31.7551.33
Last Week
⁦-8.69%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.10%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.00%⁩
Last Year
⁦-28.31%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$36
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$35
⁦-2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$31–$43⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$24
⁦-34%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$24–$35⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$35.73
⁦-0.3%⁩
Current Price $35.85·Median $35.00
Low
$31.00
High
$43.00
Current price
$35.85
Average target
$35.73
Street summary

GIS target-price consensus declines as dispersion widens

Bearish tilt

The target-price consensus held steady at 35.82 with five analysts, unchanged over the last 7 days. However, compared with August 7, the consensus declined from 36.92 to 35.82, a decrease of 1.10 or 2.98%, alongside an increase in the number of analysts from two to five; this makes the decline more representative but does not settle the direction of the estimates. The range also spans 31 to 43, with a median of 36, reflecting clear variation around fair value compared with the current price of 37.69.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.05
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦20 (+3)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
20%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
3
1
12
2
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.19 → 3.05
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Bank of America Securities
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-02
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-02
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    11.26x
    3.86x30.86x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    23.33x
    2.86x22.90x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    8.5%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -5.4%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -103.9%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    33.6%
    9.2%67.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    2.0%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    10.04x
    0.61x4.86x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    6.8%
    0.9%8.3%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.09
    -4.825.90
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-01 data

Company Overview

General Mills is a food company trading under the ticker GIS and generates its revenue from a portfolio of brands that includes Cheerios cereal; Totino's, Chex Mix, Old El Paso, and Wanchai Ferry meals and snacks; Blue Buffalo, Tiki Cat, and Wilderness pet food; Haagen Dazs ice cream; as well as Annie's. The company operates through four segments identified by management: North America Retail, Pet Food, Foodservice, and International, with demand and inventory dynamics varying across these channels.

In quarter 4 of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $4.6 billion and gross profit was $1.6 billion, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 34.8%, while the company recorded a net loss of $2.0 billion. For fiscal 2026, revenue reached $18.4 billion and gross profit was $6.2 billion, with a calculated gross margin of approximately 33.7%, while net income was a loss of $87.6 million and earnings per share were negative $0.16. By contrast, an August 9, 2026 report stated that adjusted earnings per share and revenue exceeded analysts' expectations, so a distinction must be made between adjusted operating outperformance and the net loss recorded in EDGAR data.

The company enters fiscal 2027 after investments that reduced base prices in important parts of the portfolio during fiscal 2026. According to management, the volume base in areas covered by those investments increased by approximately 1% after declining by approximately 10% a year earlier, while household penetration improved and pound share increased in North America Retail. The priority is now shifting to innovation, product and packaging renovation, and price/mix improvement, while the Pet Food segment illustrated the effect of channel mix: retail sales increased 1% in fiscal 2026, but organic sales lagged them by approximately four points due to lower inventory at fast-growing e-commerce and mass retail channels.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The transformation plan targets $3 billion in cumulative savings over four years ending in fiscal 2030, including $750 million in fiscal 2027; management expects approximately $2 billion to come from the Holistic Margin Management program and approximately $1 billion from the Global Transformation initiative and other actions.
  • In fiscal 2027, the company is betting on products with benefits for which consumers can pay a premium; Cheerios Protein has become a business worth approximately $100 million, while Love Made Fresh increased 80% in the latest quarter compared with its previous level, and management highlighted growth in Tiki Cat and the cat food business.
  • Fixing Totino's represents an important driver because management described it as a larger challenge than Wilderness in terms of the size of the business. The plan includes fixing the price-pack architecture, improving promotions, and launching Blasted Totino's Rolls and Ultimate Pizza, in addition to a frozen Old El Paso meal and the introduction of Wanchai Ferry; during the four weeks through June 2026, the hot snacks trend improved by one point and the pizza trend by approximately five points.
  • Management expects price/mix improvement to be modest and driven primarily by mix, through innovation, product renovation, and package sizes, rather than repeating base price reductions. The company aims to compete for dollar share across its four segments during fiscal 2027, after placing greater emphasis on pound share in North America Retail during fiscal 2026.
  • Pet Food performance is a mixed factor: fiscal 2026 ended with 1% retail sales growth, and the company recorded share gains in Life Protection Formula and the cat business, but differences in customer inventory created a two-point gap between organic sales and retail sales in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026. Management assumes a continued low-single-digit negative impact on sales in fiscal 2027 due to customer mix.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The savings program provides a quantitative path to improving efficiency, as General Mills targets $3 billion in cumulative savings through fiscal 2030, with $750 million planned for fiscal 2027 to help absorb inflation, fund investment in growth, and support earnings and cash flows over time.
  • +The value investments in fiscal 2026 show tangible signs of stabilizing the business; the volume base in areas where prices were reduced shifted from a decline of approximately 10% to growth of approximately 1%, alongside improved household penetration and increased pound share in North America Retail.
  • +The company has specific growth platforms rather than relying on an improvement in the consumer environment, including Cheerios Protein with a size of approximately $100 million, 80% growth in Love Made Fresh in the latest quarter, improvement in Tiki Cat and cat food, and the return of the International business to growth with support from Haagen Dazs.
  • +The company's results announced on August 9, 2026 exceeded analysts' expectations for revenue and adjusted earnings per share, alongside the unveiling of the $3 billion cost-reduction plan. The combination of results outperformance and a multiyear savings program gives management tools to improve performance even under the assumption of continued consumer pressure.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

Analyst consensus on GIS is neutral, with an average price target of $35.1 and a range of $31 to $41; the average is approximately 10.6% above the 52-week range low of $31.75, but approximately 31.6% below its high of $51.33. This range reflects a balance between the opportunity presented by the $3 billion savings plan and the risks of the net loss, consumer pressure, and inflation, while the sales multiple of 1.1 times versus 0.7 times for the sector increases valuation sensitivity if improvement in organic growth and margins is delayed.

HoldAnalyst target: $35.1(-2.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

Why did General Mills record a loss in fiscal 2026 despite results exceeding analysts' expectations?

EDGAR data show a net loss of $2.0 billion in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026 and a loss of $87.6 million for the full fiscal 2026. Annual earnings per share were negative $0.16, while revenue reached $18.4 billion and gross profit was $6.2 billion. By contrast, an August 9, 2026 report stated that revenue and adjusted earnings per share exceeded analysts' expectations. The available information does not explain the reason for the gap, so it would be inappropriate to assume a particular accounting item or event to explain it.

How will General Mills execute the $3 billion cost-reduction plan?

The company targets $3 billion in cumulative savings over four years ending in fiscal 2030. Management expects to achieve $750 million of this amount in fiscal 2027. Approximately $2 billion will come from the Holistic Margin Management program, while approximately $1 billion will come from the Global Transformation initiative and other savings actions. Areas of work include redesigning processes, tools, technology, and operating models, in addition to evaluating a supply chain transformation to accelerate innovation and increase packaging flexibility.

Which products is General Mills relying on for growth in fiscal 2027?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −General Mills recorded a net loss of $2.0 billion in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026, and fiscal 2026 ended with a net loss of $87.6 million and negative earnings per share of $0.16, compared with net income of $303.1 million in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026; these figures present a clear financial risk despite adjusted metrics exceeding expectations.
  • −Management assumes continued consumer pressure in fiscal 2027, with increased purchasing during promotions and trade-offs among package sizes and channels, while category growth also slowed by approximately one point at the end of quarter 4 of fiscal 2026. This limits the ability of innovation and higher-priced mix to convert improvement in base volume into profitable organic growth.
  • −The company faces expected inflation of between 4% and 5% in fiscal 2027, and management expects modest pressure on gross margin and slightly greater pressure on operating margin. The assumption was also based on oil at $100 per barrel for the unhedged portion of the year, while steel and aluminum tariffs remain in place and the company does not expect a material contribution from tariff refunds.
  • −Execution and share issues remain at Totino's and Wilderness; management acknowledged that the price-pack architecture transition at Totino's was not executed well and that innovation was insufficient, while Wilderness also faced headwinds. Although the pizza trend improved by approximately five points and the hot snacks trend by one point during the four weeks through June 2026, management cautioned that this period is insufficient to establish a sustainable trend.
  • −General Mills faces competitive pressure from private labels and smaller brands, after management said that both took share from its brands in North America Retail. Improvement in the volume base after price adjustments does not guarantee the recovery of dollar share, particularly because the company assumes that North America Retail categories will remain approximately flat in value in fiscal 2027.
  • −Relative valuation carries risk despite the stock declining by more than 19% from the beginning of 2026 through August 7, 2026; an August 9, 2026 report cited a sales multiple of 1.1 times versus an average of 0.7 times for the U.S. food sector. Analyst consensus is also neutral, and the average target of $35.1 is well below the 52-week range high of $51.33, reflecting caution regarding the pace of the turnaround.

Cheerios Protein has become a business worth approximately $100 million, and management says that pricing it at a premium to the base product helped cover the cost of innovation. Love Made Fresh also increased 80% in the latest quarter compared with its previous level, and management highlighted growth in Tiki Cat and cat food. In frozen meals, initiatives include Blasted Totino's Rolls, Ultimate Pizza, a frozen Old El Paso meal, and the introduction of Wanchai Ferry. Management also said that the International business returned to growth, with strong performance from Haagen Dazs.

What is the problem with Totino's, and have signs of improvement begun to appear?

Management said that Totino's was a larger challenge than Wilderness because of the absolute size of the business, and that the price-pack architecture transition was not executed to the required standard amid insufficient innovation. In fiscal 2027, the company fixed the price-pack architecture, strengthened promotions, and added products such as Blasted Totino's Rolls and Ultimate Pizza. During the four weeks through June 2026, the hot snacks trend improved by one point and the pizza trend by approximately five points. However, management explained that four weeks are insufficient to prove a trend and that the business will not stabilize immediately.

Why do Pet Food segment sales lag retail sales?

The Pet Food segment ended fiscal 2026 with 1% retail sales growth, with share gains in Life Protection Formula and the cat business. However, organic sales lagged retail sales by two points in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026 and by approximately four points for the full year. Management attributes this primarily to customer mix, because fast-growing e-commerce and mass retail channels hold less inventory than traditional customers. For this reason, the company assumes a low-single-digit negative impact from retail inventory in fiscal 2027.

What are General Mills' key assumptions regarding inflation and margins in fiscal 2027?

The company expects inflation of between 4% and 5% in fiscal 2027, assuming an oil price of $100 per barrel for the unhedged portion of the year. The chief financial officer explained that the company is hedged for between eight and nine months, making the exposed portion relatively limited. Management expects modest pressure on gross margin and slightly greater pressure on operating margin, with the impact of inflation after savings expected to improve gradually through quarter 2 and quarter 3 of fiscal 2027. Steel and aluminum tariffs remain in place, while management described expected tariff refunds as immaterial.