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Home
Stocks
Gilead Sciences, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall43
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 8/9Better than 43% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
31
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
29
5.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
44
-8.7%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
48
42.0x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
60
2.20%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
67
14.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
67
16▲3Top tier
GILD

GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc.

Gilead Sciences, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
143.72
▼ ⁦-0.75%⁩ (-1.09)
Market Cap$179.8B
Beta0.34
52w Low52w High
108.46157.29
Last Week
⁦-3.94%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.86%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+18.31%⁩
Last Year
⁦+24.15%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$144
Analyst target · 10 analysts
$150
⁦+4%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$123–$175⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$157
⁦+9%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$150–$157⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 10 analysts setting price target
$150.00
⁦+4.4%⁩
Current Price $143.72·Median $150.00
Low
$123.00
High
$175.00
Current price
$143.72
Average target
$150.00
Street summary

Limited Decline in the Average Price Target Amid Clear Divergence

The average price target held steady at 150, implying an increase of approximately 4.4% from the current price of 143.72, but it declined by 1.25 over seven days and by 5.5 over 30 days, or 3.54%, with the number of analysts falling from 11 to 10. The range is between 123 and 175, reflecting notable divergence in estimates and downside potential of approximately 14.4% at the lower end versus upside potential of approximately 21.8% at the upper end.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.89
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦28 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
75%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
36%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time28 analysts rating
6
15
6
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.86 → 3.89
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    HSBC
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    21.23x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    359.35x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    7.3%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.5%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -152.7%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    79.6%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    -8.7%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    42.05x
    0.60x5.10x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    2.2%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Gilead Sciences is a biopharmaceutical company that generates revenue from treatments for and prevention of HIV, liver diseases, oncology, and cell therapy. Key products include Biktarvy, Descovy, and Yeztugo in HIV, Trodelvy in breast cancer, Livdelzi and Hepcludex in liver diseases, and Kite products in cell therapy. The company is diversifying its portfolio through antibody-drug conjugate and T-cell therapy platforms after closing the acquisitions of Arcellx, Tubulis, and Ouro Medicines during FY2026.

In FY2026 Q2, product sales reached $7.6 billion, up 8% year over year, while core business sales excluding Veklury rose 10% to $7.6 billion. HIV sales accounted for $5.7 billion, or approximately 75% of product sales, liver disease sales totaled $877 million, Trodelvy approximately $457 million, and cell therapy $417 million. Other revenue added $176 million, including $156 million in non-cash, non-recurring revenue related to a revision of royalty estimates.

The non-GAAP product gross margin was 87% in FY2026 Q2, but acquired research and development expenses of $11.2 billion drove the operating margin to negative 94% and diluted earnings per share to negative $6.75. Excluding $11.1 billion of these expenses related to the acquisitions of Arcellx, Tubulis, and Ouro Medicines, the operating margin was approximately 49%, and illustrative adjusted earnings per share were $2.27. By comparison, EDGAR data for FY2026 Q1 showed revenue of $7.0 billion, net income of $2 billion, and earnings per share of $1.61.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Gilead raised its FY2026 HIV sales growth forecast to 9%–10% from 8%, after segment sales grew 12% to $5.7 billion in FY2026 Q2; it also raised its core business sales range to $29.8–$30.1 billion and its total product sales range to $30.1–$30.4 billion.
  • Pre-exposure prophylaxis PrEP sales exceeded $1 billion quarterly for the first time in FY2026 Q2 and are running at a $4 billion annualized rate; Yeztugo generated sales of $232 million, up 40% sequentially, with more than 70% of users returning for their next injection after six months, while prevention-related Descovy sales totaled approximately $801 million and grew 60% year over year.
  • Trodelvy sales increased 26% to $457 million in FY2026 Q2, driven by demand in metastatic triple-negative breast cancer and previously treated HR-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer. On August 24, 2026, the European Commission approved Trodelvy with Keytruda as a first-line treatment for unresectable metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, expanding the product's use in Europe.
  • Livdelzi sales more than doubled year over year to $167 million in FY2026 Q2, with sequential growth of 26%, and Phase 3 IDEAL results supported the opportunity to expand its use among patients with inadequately controlled primary biliary cholangitis. Gilead also launched Hepcludex in the United States after accelerated FDA approval in May 2026 as the first treatment approved there for chronic hepatitis D.
  • Legal developments supported the strength of distribution channels and reduced liability risks; on August 14, 2026, a U.S. appeals court upheld a ban on parallel imports of Gilead medicines, and on August 5, 2026, the California Supreme Court issued a ruling limiting the company's liability for failing to prioritize the development of safer drug alternatives.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The HIV business provides a broad growth engine, as its sales increased 12% in FY2026 Q2, with Biktarvy sales rising 7% to approximately $3.8 billion, while the PrEP business grew more than 100%, outpacing the approximately 14% growth of the U.S. PrEP market.
  • +The portfolio combines fast-growing commercial products with a multi-horizon pipeline; the ISLEND-1 and ISLEND-2 studies of once-weekly islatravir plus lenacapavir met their non-inferiority endpoints, and the company identified a potential launch in 2027. The FDA also accepted the filing for once-weekly lenacapavir for prevention in June 2026 and set February 2, 2027, as the expected date for a regulatory decision.
  • +Trodelvy's expansion into first-line treatment for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, together with GS-8824 data in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, provides two oncology growth paths; GS-8824 achieved a confirmed objective response rate of 61% and median progression-free survival of 11 months in Phase 1 data presented during FY2026.
  • +The core business model remained high-margin despite the impact of acquisitions, with a product gross margin of 87% and an illustrative operating margin excluding acquired research and development expenses of approximately 49% in FY2026 Q2. The company returned approximately $1.4 billion to shareholders during the quarter, including $355 million in share repurchases, and dividends and repurchases together accounted for approximately 49% of free cash flow in the first half of FY2026.

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates GILD as a “Buy,” with an average target of $151.25, a high target of $180, and a low target of $123. The average target is approximately 3.8% below the top of the 52-week range of $157.29, while the high target exceeds that level by approximately 14.4%, but the $57 spread between the endpoints reflects tangible uncertainty about the value of the pipeline and the impact of acquisitions on earnings.

BuyAnalyst target: $151.25(+5.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What was the largest revenue driver for GILD in FY2026 Q2?

The HIV portfolio was the largest driver, with sales of $5.7 billion and year-over-year growth of 12% in FY2026 Q2. Biktarvy generated approximately $3.8 billion and grew 7%, while PrEP sales exceeded $1 billion for the first time. Yeztugo recorded sales of $232 million, and prevention-related Descovy sales totaled approximately $801 million. Based on these results, Gilead raised its FY2026 HIV sales growth forecast to 9%–10%.

Why did Gilead report a large loss in FY2026 Q2 despite sales growth?

Acquired research and development expenses totaled $11.2 billion and were primarily related to the acquisitions of Arcellx, Tubulis, and Ouro Medicines. These expenses resulted in a negative 94% operating margin and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of negative $6.75. Excluding $11.1 billion of acquisition expenses and the non-recurring revenue item, illustrative earnings per share were $2.27 and the operating margin was approximately 49%. Therefore, most of the loss reflects acquisition-related accounting, not a decline in core business sales, which grew 10%.

Why is Yeztugo important to GILD's growth story?

Yeztugo generated sales of $232 million in FY2026 Q2, up 40% sequentially, while continuing to target approximately $1 billion for FY2026. The product became the leading long-acting option among new PrEP patients, and more than 70% of users returned for their next injection after six months. Together with Descovy, Yeztugo helped lift PrEP sales above $1 billion quarterly and to a $4 billion annualized rate. Portfolio expansion is based on once-weekly lenacapavir, for which the FDA set February 2, 2027, as the decision date, and the annual injection program, for which the company is targeting a data update in 2027 and a potential launch in 2028.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Gilead depends heavily on its HIV portfolio, which generated $5.7 billion of the $7.6 billion in product sales in FY2026 Q2, or approximately three-quarters of the mix; therefore, any weakness in Biktarvy, Descovy, or Yeztugo would have a disproportionate impact on revenue.
  • −The cell therapy business faces competition within and outside the category, which reduced segment sales 14% year over year to $417 million in FY2026 Q2 and led the company to forecast a mid-teens percentage decline for FY2026.
  • −Veklury sales declined 81% in FY2026 Q2 as COVID-19-related hospital admissions fell, prompting Gilead to reduce its FY2026 sales forecast for the drug to approximately $300 million from approximately $600 million, despite raising the lower end of its total product sales forecast.
  • −HIV treatment market growth slowed in FY2026 Q2 because some patients lost insurance coverage related to Affordable Care Act changes, and management noted a greater-than-expected impact on Biktarvy demand; its forecast assumes market growth returns to its typical rate of 2%–3%.
  • −The acquisitions of Arcellx, Tubulis, and Ouro Medicines resulted in $11.2 billion of acquired research and development expenses during FY2026 Q2, producing a negative 94% operating margin and negative diluted earnings per share of $6.75. The company expects $11.5 billion of these expenses and non-GAAP earnings per share between negative $0.65 and negative $0.30 in FY2026, making the integration of the new assets and their conversion into successful products an important financial factor.
  • −Analyst targets range from $123 to $180, a spread of $57, while the average target of $151.25 is close to the top of the 52-week range of $157.29; this breadth reflects substantial variation in assessments of the value of the pipeline and acquisitions. Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026, also recorded net sales of $11.6 million across 17 sales and no purchases, with the caveat that insider sales may be prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to establish a weak outlook.
How is Gilead expanding in oncology beyond its HIV business?

Trodelvy sales grew 26% to $457 million in FY2026 Q2, driven by demand in two types of metastatic breast cancer. On August 24, 2026, the European Commission approved Trodelvy with Keytruda as a first-line treatment for unresectable metastatic triple-negative breast cancer. The Tubulis acquisition added an antibody-drug conjugate platform, including GS-8824, which achieved a confirmed response rate of 61% and median progression-free survival of 11 months in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer data. The Arcellx acquisition also gave the company full ownership of anito-cel and the D-Domain platform, with December 23, 2026, set as the PDUFA date for the drug in fourth-line and later relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma.

What are the main risks GILD followers should monitor?

The first risk is the concentration of approximately 75% of product sales in HIV during FY2026 Q2, alongside a slowdown in the treatment market due to Affordable Care Act changes. Cell therapy sales declined 14% to $417 million because of competition, while the company reduced its FY2026 Veklury sales forecast to approximately $300 million after quarterly sales fell 81%. Acquisitions also raised acquired research and development expenses to $11.2 billion and produced a large quarterly loss, increasing the importance of successfully integrating Arcellx, Tubulis, and Ouro Medicines. Finally, analyst targets range from $123 to $180, reflecting wide differences in assessments of these opportunities and risks.