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Stocks
Guardant Health, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall21
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketMomentum TrapF 5/9SafeBetter than 21% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
18
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
85
42.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
47
-37.5%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
26
—2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
15
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
98
163.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
75
12▲3Top tier
GH

GH Guardant Health, Inc.

Guardant Health, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
157.38
▼ ⁦-1.04%⁩ (-1.65)
Market Cap$21.1B
Beta1.59
52w Low52w High
53.40176.58
Last Week
⁦-3.48%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.67%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+21.87%⁩
Last Year
⁦+144.11%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$157
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$200
⁦+27%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$180–$225⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$199.40
⁦+26.7%⁩
Current Price $157.38·Median $200.00
Low
$180.00
High
$225.00
Current price
$157.38
Average target
$199.40
Street summary

Guardant Health Price Targets Rise While Ratings Remain Positive

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target for the stock rose to 199.4, an increase of 6.33 or 3.28% over 7 days, and an increase of 14.9 or 8.08% over 30 days. The number of analysts increased from 7 to 8 over 30 days, while remaining unchanged over the past week. The current range is between 180 and 225, versus a current price of 157.38, reflecting a more optimistic trend in price targets without a recent change in the number of analysts over the past week.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+8.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.08
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦25 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
96%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
29%
Analyst ratings over time25 analysts rating
5
19
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.13 → 4.08
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
Premium content
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Guardant Health develops blood- and tissue-based tests for precision medicine through its Smart Platform and targets four areas: therapy selection, cancer recurrence monitoring, cancer screening, and multi-disease detection. The company generates revenue from its oncology business, which includes Guardant360 Liquid, Guardant360 Tissue, and Reveal; from Biopharma & Data services and companion diagnostic partnerships; and from the Shield colorectal cancer screening test. Management says its data repository includes more than 1.3 million patient tests and more than 700 thousand epigenomic profiles covering more than 100 tumor types, and supports InfinityAI applications and drug discovery programs.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $335.0 million, up 44% year over year, and gross profit was $219.0 million, equivalent to a GAAP gross margin of approximately 65.4%, while the company recorded a net loss of $120.1 million and a loss per share of $0.90, according to EDGAR data. Revenue disclosed on the call was split between $219 million from oncology, up 38%, $61 million from Biopharma & Data, up 9%, and $53 million from Shield, compared with $15 million a year earlier. On a non-GAAP basis, gross margin was 67% versus 66% a year earlier, but adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization loss widened to $56 million from $52 million.

The results reflect strong growth in test volumes alongside continued high spending to expand the screening business. Oncology test volume rose 63% to approximately 104 thousand tests, Guardant360 Liquid volume increased by more than 30%, and Reveal growth exceeded 100%, while the company performed approximately 66 thousand Shield tests versus 16 thousand in the comparable quarter. Meanwhile, non-GAAP operating expenses reached $288 million, up 34%, and free cash flow burn reached $70 million during the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Guardant Health raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $1.34 billion to $1.36 billion, representing growth of between 36% and 38%, and expects approximately 30% growth in oncology revenue and approximately 50% growth in oncology test volumes.
  • Shield revenue rose in fiscal Q2 2026 to $53 million from $15 million, and volume jumped to approximately 66 thousand tests from 16 thousand; therefore, the company raised its fiscal 2026 Shield guidance to revenue of between $218 million and $230 million and between 270 thousand and 285 thousand tests.
  • Shield was included in the American Cancer Society guidelines in May 2026 after being included in the NCCN guidelines in June 2025, and UnitedHealth Group coverage for average-risk adults aged 45 and older began on August 1, 2026. The company estimates that these developments made the test covered for approximately 70 million people, or nearly 60% of the eligible market of approximately 120 million people.
  • Guardant360 Liquid CDx received FDA approval in May 2026, and its phased rollout to customers in the United States began in June 2026. According to the company, the test contains 100 times more content than the previous liquid CDx product, while the company is targeting ADLT designation in the first half of fiscal 2027.
  • Reveal is leading the expansion of the residual disease monitoring business, with volume growth exceeding 100% year over year for the third consecutive quarter, and the company is targeting the launch of Reveal Ultra later in fiscal 2026. Coverage requests with MolDX for breast cancer, immunotherapy, and chemotherapy monitoring also remain ongoing, and management said on July 30, 2026, that the breast cancer and immunotherapy requests are closest to the finish line.
  • In July 2026, the FDA approved a higher-throughput, lower-cost Shield process, which entered production for new samples in August 2026. The company expects to reduce the cost of the test by approximately 15% from the level of around $410 by the end of fiscal 2026, then reach its target of $200 per test in fiscal 2028.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The growth case is based on several established products rather than a single product; oncology revenue grew 38%, Biopharma & Data revenue grew 9%, and Shield revenue more than tripled in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +Commercial momentum combines growth of more than 30% in Guardant360 Liquid, acceleration in Guardant360 Tissue as the second-fastest-growing oncology product, and Reveal volume growth of more than 100%, supporting guidance for approximately 50% growth in oncology test volumes in fiscal 2026.
  • +The regulatory and commercial positions of the products were strengthened by FDA approval of Guardant360 Liquid CDx and the lower-cost Shield process, the inclusion of Shield in the American Cancer Society guidelines, and the start of UnitedHealth Group coverage on August 1, 2026.
  • +Cash and investments of approximately $1.2 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 2026 provide funding for laboratory and commercial infrastructure expansion, while management affirms its commitment to reaching company-wide cash flow breakeven by the end of fiscal 2027.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $193.07, within a wide range of $150 to $210, and the stock has a consensus “Buy” rating; the average target is also approximately 9.3% above the 52-week high of $176.58. With no usable price-to-earnings ratio due to continued losses, the valuation depends heavily on achieving fiscal 2026 growth guidance of between 36% and 38%, reducing cash burn, and reaching cash flow breakeven by the end of fiscal 2027, while the wide range of targets and the 52-week range of $53.4 to $176.58 highlight the extent of the uncertainty.

BuyAnalyst target: $193.07(+22.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Guardant Health's growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue reached approximately $335 million, up 44% year over year. Oncology revenue grew 38% to $219 million as volume rose 63% to approximately 104 thousand tests, while Biopharma & Data posted a record $61 million. Shield generated revenue of $53 million from approximately 66 thousand tests, compared with $15 million and 16 thousand tests in the comparable period.

Why is Shield an important factor for GH stock?

Shield is an FDA-approved blood test for colorectal cancer screening, and its volume reached approximately 66 thousand tests in fiscal Q2 2026 versus 16 thousand a year earlier. The test was added to the American Cancer Society guidelines in May 2026, and UnitedHealth Group began covering it for average-risk adults aged 45 and older on August 1, 2026. The company estimates that approximately 70 million people are now covered, and it raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to between 270 thousand and 285 thousand Shield tests.

Is Guardant Health profitable in fiscal 2026?

The company continues to record losses, with a net loss of approximately $120.1 million in fiscal Q2 2026 according to EDGAR and a loss per share of $0.90. The earnings report published on July 31, 2026, showed an adjusted loss of $0.42 per share, which was larger than the analyst estimate of $0.40 but slightly better than the loss of $0.44 a year earlier. Free cash flow burn reached $70 million in the quarter, while management expects burn of between $195 million and $205 million during fiscal 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Guardant Health remains far from GAAP profitability; it recorded a net loss of $120.1 million in fiscal Q2 2026 and a net loss of $416.3 million in fiscal 2025, while free cash flow burn reached $70 million in the latest quarter.
  • −The company is increasing spending before achieving operating leverage in Shield; non-GAAP operating expenses rose 34% to $288 million, and sales and marketing expenses increased to $172 million from $108 million. Management also raised its fiscal 2026 free cash flow burn forecast by $10 million to a range of between $195 million and $205 million due to investments in expanding Shield laboratory capacity.
  • −Although non-GAAP gross margin reached 67% in fiscal Q2 2026, management maintained its full-year guidance at 64% to 65% because of the product mix as Shield and Reveal expand. It also intends to reinvest the additional gross profit from Screening in commercial expansion, which may delay the translation of strong growth into earnings.
  • −Part of Shield's growth depends on expanded coverage and commercial pricing, whose impact is not yet fully clear; management said on July 30, 2026, that the effect of UnitedHealth Group on the average price per test would take time, and it did not expect major additional wins with large insurers during the remainder of fiscal 2026. No additional major coverage wins were included in the financial guidance either.
  • −Reveal Ultra operates in a market that management described on July 30, 2026, as highly competitive, while MolDX coverage for some Reveal uses remains in progress and is taking longer than the company had wanted. This means that volume growth of more than 100% has not yet fully translated into a reimbursement-supported revenue opportunity in therapy monitoring.
  • −Insider data for the three months ended August 21, 2026, showed net sales of $83.6 million, with 43 sales versus one purchase. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available data do not include details establishing the motives behind these transactions.
  • How important is Guardant360 Liquid CDx to GH's business?

    Guardant360 Liquid CDx received FDA approval in May 2026, and its phased rollout in the United States began in June 2026. The company describes it as the only FDA-approved liquid test that integrates genomic and epigenomic content, with 100 times more content than the previously approved CDx product. Guardant Health is targeting ADLT designation in the first half of fiscal 2027, and management expects a Medicare price of $8,455 upon obtaining it, compared with $5,000 currently, with other payers transitioning their pricing over a period that may extend from 12 to 24 months.

    What role do Reveal and Reveal Ultra play in Guardant Health's growth?

    Reveal was the fastest-growing oncology product in fiscal Q2 2026, with volume growth exceeding 100% year over year for the third consecutive quarter. The product supports residual disease monitoring and treatment response monitoring, and the company says its result turnaround time is five days. Guardant Health is targeting the launch of Reveal Ultra later in fiscal 2026 and has stated that the test consistently achieved detection limits below one part per million during development, but some MolDX coverage decisions remain under review.

    What are Guardant Health's main financial targets following its fiscal Q2 2026 results?

    Management raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to between $1.34 billion and $1.36 billion, equivalent to growth of between 36% and 38%. It expects approximately 30% growth in oncology revenue and 50% growth in oncology volumes, with Shield revenue guidance of between $218 million and $230 million. It also maintained its non-GAAP gross margin target at 64% to 65% and affirmed its commitment to achieving company-wide cash flow breakeven by the end of fiscal 2027.