EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Graco Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 6/9SafeBetter than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
38
24.0x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
52
4.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
87
20.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
95
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
60
1.51%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
30
-3.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
66
8▲3Top tier
GGG

GGG Graco Inc.

Graco Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
76.70
▲ ⁦+0.96%⁩ (+0.73)
Market Cap$12.4B
Beta0.92
52w Low52w High
72.5195.69
Last Week
⁦-1.52%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.01%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.66%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.86%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$77
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$95
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$94–$96⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$70
⁦-9%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦8.4⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$70–$95⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$95.00
⁦+23.9%⁩
Current Price $76.70·Median $95.00
Low
$94.00
High
$96.00
Current price
$76.70
Average target
$95.00
Street summary

Graco Inc. (GGG) Price Target Analysis

Graco Inc. stock saw a slight decline in its average price target of 1.05% over the past thirty days, falling from 95.67 to 94.67, with this valuation remaining stable over the last week. This change reflects a state of relative caution, especially after Wolfe Research downgraded the stock from 'Outperform' to 'Peer Perform' on July 9, 2026, while other institutions such as RBC Capital maintained their positive rating, indicating limited divergence in expectations.

As of 2026-07-23
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.45
Hold
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
27%
Target dispersion
3%
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
2
1
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.55 → 3.45
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-09
    Wolfe Research
    OutperformPeer Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-04-24
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $92.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    24.04x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    22.39x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.12x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.1%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.6%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    12.7%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    52.6%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    20.1%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.5%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    35.8%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    14.60
    -5.667.97
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Graco Inc. manufactures fluid and coatings handling systems and equipment and material dispensing systems, and generates revenue through three segments: Contractor, Industrial, and Expansion Markets. Contractor serves professional painting businesses, home improvement centers, protective coatings, and foam applications, while Industrial sells solutions for manufacturing, machinery, maintenance, and hot-melt material applications, and Expansion Markets benefits from semiconductor manufacturing equipment. The company is also expanding its offerings with products such as QuickShot and ProReach, autonomous and semi-autonomous road-marking solutions, and acquisitions targeting specialized markets.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Graco reported record second-quarter revenue of $590.6 million, up 3% year over year, and gross profit of $316.9 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 53.7%. Net income was $144.9 million, or $0.87 per diluted share, up 14% year over year, while adjusted earnings per share rose 17% to $0.91. Gross margin expanded by 130 basis points, and operating margin reached 30% versus 26% in the comparable quarter, with operating earnings increasing 11%.

Reported revenue growth included a 3% contribution from acquisitions and a positive 1% currency impact, while organic sales declined 1% due to the timing of finishing systems revenue in Industrial. Contractor sales grew 4%, Industrial sales grew 3%, and Expansion Markets sales grew 3%, reflecting growth across all three segments despite differing drivers. For the twelve months ended during fiscal 2026, revenue was $2.3 billion, net income was $533.5 million, and earnings per share were approximately $3.22, compared with revenue of $2.2 billion and net income of $521.8 million in fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Organic orders increased 5% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and average bookings accelerated by 14% year over year during the six weeks ended July 17, 2026, while backlog, excluding acquisitions, increased by $57 million, or 28%, since the beginning of fiscal 2026; these indicators support management's expectation of an improved second half of fiscal 2026.
  • Contractor achieved revenue growth of 4% and organic bookings growth of 4%, with both the professional paint and home improvement center channels in the Americas growing together for the first time in nearly two years. The segment's order growth accelerated to 14% during the six weeks ended July 17, 2026, supported by residential repainting and renovation, protective coatings and foam, and data center, energy, and manufacturing projects.
  • Bookings for the semiconductor business within Expansion Markets increased 58% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and 33% year to date, while the average for the latest six weeks rose 36%. Management links this momentum to investments in semiconductor manufacturing capacity, particularly in Asia Pacific, and demand for White Knight equipment.
  • Management maintained its outlook for the full fiscal 2026 and set Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue at between $580 million and $600 million, excluding VELCRO Meltan. It also expects a positive currency impact of approximately 1% on fiscal 2026 sales and earnings, capital expenditures of between $90 million and $100 million, and an adjusted effective tax rate of between 20% and 21%.
  • Graco announced the acquisition of VELCRO Meltan in May 2026 and expects to close the transaction during Q3 fiscal 2026. The target operates in the packaging material dispensing market and achieved an organic revenue compound annual growth rate of 9%, a gross margin of at least approximately 50%, and an initial EBITDA margin of approximately 20%, while more than half of its revenue comes from replacement parts and accessories.
  • Price increases of approximately 1.5% to 2%, improved manufacturing performance, and expense control supported margin expansion in Q2 fiscal 2026. The company generated $298 million in operating cash flow during the first half of fiscal 2026, providing funding for organic investment, acquisitions, and share repurchases.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 fiscal 2026 results combine record revenue of $590.6 million with net income growth of 14% and adjusted earnings-per-share growth of 17%, while operating margin increased from 26% to 30%. The fact that operating expenses remained nearly flat despite inflation and the addition of acquired businesses indicates clear operating discipline.
  • +The $57 million increase in backlog since the beginning of fiscal 2026 and the acceleration of six-week bookings to 14% provide better revenue visibility, which management relied on when issuing its Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue range of $580 million to $600 million.
  • +The diversity of demand sources gives Graco more than one growth driver, as Contractor orders accelerated to 14% over six weeks, Industrial orders to 11%, and semiconductor orders within Expansion Markets to 36%. Applications include paint, protective coatings, industrial maintenance, semiconductor equipment, and hot-melt materials used in data centers.
  • +The acquisition of VELCRO Meltan may expand Graco's presence in the packaging material dispensing market, building on historical organic growth of 9% and gross margins of at least approximately 50%. Cross-selling opportunities exist between VELCRO Meltan products, the Invisipak system, and corrugated packaging customers, with a plan to improve profitability gradually through Graco's manufacturing expertise and global reach.

Valuation

The analyst consensus on GGG is neutral, with an average price target of $95 and a very narrow range of $94 to $96. The average is only $0.69 below the 52-week range high of $95.69, versus a low of $72.51, indicating that the target reflects a return close to the top of the range more than substantial additional upside. A price-to-earnings multiple is not available in the data, so the expansion of operating margin to 30% and accelerating orders should be weighed against the 1% decline in organic sales and the dependence of part of the margin improvement on $9 million in tariff recoveries.

HoldAnalyst target: $95(+23.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove GGG's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Graco's revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 was approximately $590.6 million, up 3% year over year, while net income was $144.9 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.87. Acquisitions added 3% to growth and currency added 1%, but organic sales declined 1% due to the timing of finishing systems revenue in Industrial. Gross margin increased by 130 basis points, and operating margin reached 30% versus 26%, supported by pricing, improved manufacturing, expense control, and net tariff recoveries of $9 million.

Why does Graco expect stronger performance in the second half of fiscal 2026?

Organic orders increased 5% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and average bookings for the six weeks ended July 17, 2026 accelerated by 14% year over year. Backlog, excluding acquisitions, also grew by $57 million, or 28%, since the beginning of fiscal 2026. Based on this visibility, management set a Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue range of between $580 million and $600 million, excluding VELCRO Meltan.

How important is the semiconductor business to GGG stock?

Bookings for the semiconductor business in Expansion Markets increased 58% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and 33% year to date. Average bookings during the six weeks ended July 17, 2026 also grew 36%, with backlog remaining strong. Demand is linked to semiconductor manufacturing investments, particularly in Asia Pacific, but management explained that this market is volatile and its periods of strength may move through cycles of three to five years before cooling.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Consolidated organic sales declined 1% in Q2 fiscal 2026 despite a 3% increase in reported revenue, as acquisitions added 3% and currency added 1%. This means the reported growth was not entirely organic, and fiscal 2026 performance has become more dependent on converting backlog into shipments during the second half.
  • −Industrial faced pressure from the timing of acceptance and installation of powder coating systems projects, while Asian operations began fiscal 2026 slowly; China was affected by orders being pulled forward into the prior period ahead of tariff-related pricing measures and by weak automotive demand. Management expects project activity to improve in Q3 and Q4 fiscal 2026, but another implementation delay could pressure organic revenue.
  • −Management described the semiconductor market as volatile, with periods of strength typically moving through cycles lasting three to five years before potentially cooling. Therefore, the 58% growth in bookings for this business in Q2 fiscal 2026 provides a strong boost but increases Expansion Markets' sensitivity to any subsequent slowdown in spending on semiconductor manufacturing capacity.
  • −The improvement in gross margin in Q2 fiscal 2026 benefited from $9 million in tariff recoveries net of additional charges. Although pricing, improved manufacturing, and cost control also contributed, the full 130-basis-point increase is less clearly repeatable if these recoveries do not recur.
  • −VELCRO Meltan starts with an EBITDA margin of approximately 20%, and management ties improving its profitability to increasing revenue, enhancing efficiency and productivity, and reducing costs over time. Failure to achieve operating efficiencies or cross-selling opportunities with Invisipak and corrugated packaging customers could limit the expected return from one of Graco's largest acquisitions in more than a decade.
  • −The valuation offers limited upside according to the neutral analyst consensus, as the average target of $95 falls within a very narrow range of $94 to $96 and is close to the 52-week range high of $95.69. The absence of a price-to-earnings multiple in the data also prevents testing this target against a clear earnings valuation, despite twelve-month earnings per share of approximately $3.22.
What does the VELCRO Meltan acquisition add to Graco?

Graco announced the acquisition in May 2026 and expects to close it during Q3 fiscal 2026, describing VELCRO Meltan as one of its largest acquisitions in more than a decade. The target operates in packaging material dispensing and achieved compound annual organic growth of 9%, with a gross margin of at least approximately 50% and an initial EBITDA margin of approximately 20%. More than half of its revenue comes from replacement parts and accessories, and Graco sees cross-selling opportunities between its products, the Invisipak system, and corrugated packaging customers.

Has Graco's Contractor segment recovered in fiscal 2026?

Contractor revenue increased 4% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the professional paint and home improvement center channels in the Americas recorded simultaneous growth for the first time in nearly two years. The segment's organic bookings increased 4% during the quarter, and order growth for the six weeks ended July 17, 2026 accelerated to 14%. Results were supported by repainting and renovation work, protective coatings and foam, along with QuickShot and ProReach products and autonomous and semi-autonomous road-marking solutions.

What are the main valuation risks for GGG stock based on the available data?

The stock has a neutral consensus and an average target of $95, with a narrow target range of $94 to $96. This average is very close to the 52-week range high of $95.69, while the range low is $72.51. A price-to-earnings multiple is not available in the data, making it difficult to compare the target with a fixed earnings valuation, although earnings per share for the twelve months ended during fiscal 2026 were approximately $3.22.