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Stocks
Griffon Corporation
GFF

GFF Griffon Corporation

Griffon Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
96.03
▲ ⁦+0.77%⁩ (+0.73)
Market Cap$4.4B
Beta1.39
52w Low52w High
65.01108.57
Last Week
⁦+0.21%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.37%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+9.05%⁩
Last Year
⁦+24.23%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall83
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 83% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
63
23.9x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
37
18.2%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
91
19.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
53
2.1x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
71
0.87%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
80
41.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
34
5▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$96
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$123
⁦+28%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$120–$125⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$41
⁦-58%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.6⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$41–$123⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$122.50
⁦+27.6%⁩
Current Price $96.03·Median $122.50
Low
$120.00
High
$125.00
Current price
$96.03
Average target
$122.50
Street summary

Griffon Corporation (GFF) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Griffon Corporation stock has seen a tangible improvement in analyst outlook over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 6.52% to reach $122.5. This increase coincided with the number of analysts rising from one to two, leading to a narrowing of the dispersion in forecasts (between $120 and $125), which reflects increased certainty and confidence in the stock's fair value compared to its current price of $100.55.

As of 2026-08-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.14
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦7 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
5%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
1
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.14 → 4.14
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Stephens & Co.
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-08
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $115.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-09
    Stephens & Co.
    Overweight· $115.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    23.95x
    4.94x39.51x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    15.70x
    3.70x29.59x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.33x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.9%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.2%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    199.3%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    41.4%
    7.6%58.9%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    19.2%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.14x
    0.22x3.72x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    21.8%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Griffon Corporation became a company focused exclusively on building products following the closing of the Australasia business joint venture on July 31, 2026. Its operations center on Clopay, which sells residential and commercial doors and products for fire protection, security, and interior partitioning, benefiting from repair and renovation demand and facilities such as data centers, semiconductor plants, and pharmaceutical facilities. The company operates through a large installed base and a nationwide network, with a focus on premium product categories, while new residential construction represents a small part of its business, according to management.

In fiscal Q3 2026, EDGAR-reported revenue was approximately $481.4 million, gross profit was $226.1 million, net income was $51.6 million, and earnings per share were $1.14. The earnings call showed organic revenue growth of 7%, comprising 6% from improved price and mix and 1% from higher volume, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 2% to $125 million. Gross margin was 47%, compared with 48.7% in the comparable period, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin was 25.9%.

Demand was mixed in fiscal Q3 2026; door volume declined slightly due to residential activity, but increased fan volumes offset this, leaving overall commercial volume flat. Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses were $111 million, or 23% of revenue, compared with 23.7% in the comparable period. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, continuing operations generated free cash flow of $194 million, compared with $202 million in the comparable period.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 5, 2026, Griffon maintained its fiscal 2026 guidance of $1.8 billion in revenue and $458 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, with the margin expected to remain at 25% or higher and free cash flow from continuing operations expected to exceed the net income of those operations.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Pricing and mix contributed 6% to fiscal Q3 2026 results, and management said price and mix made approximately equal contributions. The impact of price increases implemented during the quarter is expected to flow through the backlog, with the aim of offsetting higher raw material, labor, energy, distribution, and logistics costs.
  • Clopay is targeting commercial opportunities in data centers, where doors are used for entrances, fire protection, and interior partitioning, as well as security applications in pharmaceutical facilities and high-security doors at embassies. As of August 5, 2026, Griffon was expanding its architectural sales team and seeing a meaningful increase in inquiries that could convert into bids, while management acknowledged that the project cycle is longer.
  • At the closing of the Australasia joint venture on July 31, 2026, Griffon received $181 million in cash, a $49 million note receivable, and a 49% ownership interest. Total consideration realized from the series of strategic actions was $281 million in cash, $210 million in 10% payment-in-kind notes, and minority interests with a book value of $139 million.
  • The company repaid the remaining $285 million term loan balance after the end of the quarter, reducing pro forma net leverage to approximately 2 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Griffon also reduced its fiscal 2026 interest expense estimate by $13 million to $80 million.
  • Griffon repurchased 626 thousand shares for $53 million during fiscal Q3 2026, with $194 million remaining under the authorization as of June 30, 2026. From April 2023 through June 2026, it repurchased 12.1 million shares for $664 million, reducing shares outstanding by 21% compared with the end of fiscal Q2 2023.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The company maintained organic revenue growth of 7% and an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of 25.9% in fiscal Q3 2026 despite weak U.S. housing and commercial construction markets, reflecting pricing and mix strength and operating discipline.
    • +Griffon's transformation into a pure-play building products company provides direct exposure to a recovery in residential and commercial activity, while its premium repair and renovation business and installed product base support demand in a weaker environment. Management believes improving volumes could generate operating leverage and materially higher free cash flow.
    • +Balance sheet flexibility improved after the repayment of a $285 million term loan and the reduction of pro forma net leverage to approximately 2 times, within the new target range of 1.5 to 2.5 times. During the first nine months of fiscal 2026, the company returned approximately $135 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases while simultaneously reducing leverage.
    • +Innovation and new product launches support opportunities for mix improvement, while expanding commercial uses for Clopay doors broaden the growth opportunity to include data centers, fire protection, pharmaceutical facilities, and high-level security applications.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Following the Australasia transactions, Griffon became a pure-play building products company, increasing its exposure to the U.S. housing and commercial construction cycle. In fiscal Q3 2026, the U.S. housing market remained slow, and door volume declined slightly due to residential activity, while management described new commercial construction as low compared with prior years.
    • −Organic revenue increased 7% in fiscal Q3 2026, but adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew only 2% to $125 million. This gap indicates pressure from material costs and selling, general, and administrative expenses, while gross margin declined to 47% from 48.7% in the comparable period.
    • −Maintaining a margin of 25% or higher depends on price increases successfully offsetting inflation in raw materials, labor, energy, distribution, and logistics. Management stated that most of the price-cost balancing is expected to occur in fiscal Q4 2026, leaving execution and the timing of passing through price increases as risk factors.
    • −Free cash flow from continuing operations during the first nine months of fiscal 2026 declined to $194 million from $202 million in the comparable period, despite improved operating performance during the quarter. Net debt was also $1.2 billion as of June 30, 2026, before the Australasia transaction and term loan repayment reduced pro forma leverage to approximately 2 times.
    • −The average analyst target of $122.5 is above the upper end of the 52-week range of $108.57, so the consensus valuation assumes a level above the recorded high within that range. Achieving this may require margins to remain above 25% and demand volumes to improve, both of which currently face weakness in housing and commercial construction.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 13, 2026, recorded net selling of $32.8 million, with 47 sales and no purchases. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available information does not establish otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $122.5, within a narrow range of $120 to $125, with a consensus rating of "Buy." The average target is above the 52-week range high of $108.57, reflecting expectations for continued strength in margins and cash flow and benefits from a recovery in construction volumes, but it also increases the valuation's sensitivity to any delay in that recovery or weakness in passing through cost increases.

    BuyAnalyst target: $122.5(+27.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Griffon's growth in fiscal Q3 2026?

    Fiscal Q3 2026 revenue increased organically by 7% to approximately $481 million. Six percentage points of growth came from improved price and mix, while volume added one percentage point. Price and mix made approximately equal contributions, with the company benefiting from new products and price increases implemented during the quarter.

    How are housing market conditions affecting GFF's business?

    Management said on August 5, 2026, that the U.S. housing market remained slow, and residential door volume declined slightly during fiscal Q3 2026. By contrast, the premium repair and renovation segment continued to perform well, while new residential construction represents a small part of the current picture. Griffon believes that improvements in housing transactions and new home construction could increase volumes and free cash flow through operating leverage.

    What growth opportunities does Clopay have outside the residential market?

    Clopay products are used in data centers for entrances, fire protection, and interior partitioning. Its doors are also used in security applications for pharmaceutical facilities, and the company offers high-security doors that can be used in embassies. As of August 5, 2026, Griffon was building an architectural sales team and seeing a meaningful increase in inquiries, with a longer cycle before they convert into bids and projects.

    How did the Australasia transaction change Griffon's financial position?

    At the closing of the joint venture on July 31, 2026, Griffon received $181 million in cash and a $49 million note receivable and retained a 49% interest. After the transaction, the company repaid the remaining $285 million term loan balance using proceeds from the strategic actions and its revolving credit facility. Pro forma net leverage became approximately 2 times, compared with 2.2 times as of June 30, 2026, and the company established a new target range of 1.5 to 2.5 times.

    Is Griffon maintaining its dividends and share repurchases?

    The board approved a regular quarterly dividend of $0.22 per share, payable on September 16, 2026, to shareholders of record on August 31, 2026, marking the sixtieth consecutive quarterly dividend. During fiscal Q3 2026, the company repurchased 626 thousand shares for $53 million at an average of $85 per share. From April 2023 through June 2026, repurchases totaled $664 million and reduced shares outstanding by 21% compared with the end of fiscal Q2 2023.

    What is Griffon's fiscal 2026 guidance?

    On August 5, 2026, management maintained its forecast of $1.8 billion in revenue from continuing operations and $458 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The company expects a margin of 25% or higher, capital expenditures of $50 million, depreciation of $27 million, and amortization of $15 million. It also reduced its interest expense estimate by $13 million to $80 million and expects free cash flow from continuing operations to exceed the net income of those operations.