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Home
Stocks
GE Aerospace
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall65
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/9SafeBetter than 65% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
19
38.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
53
21.7%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
81
22.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
71
0.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
61
0.51%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
63
33.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
45
13▲3Around median
GE

GE GE Aerospace

GE Aerospace · NYSE
Market Closed
323.66
▼ ⁦-0.15%⁩ (-0.49)
Market Cap$335.8B
Beta1.37
52w Low52w High
268.91388.84
Last Week
⁦-2.94%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.41%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.73%⁩
Last Year
⁦+14.20%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$324
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$421
⁦+30%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$375–$455⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$73
⁦-78%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.4⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$73–$421⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$418.44
⁦+29.3%⁩
Current Price $323.66·Median $421.00
Low
$375.00
High
$455.00
Current price
$323.66
Average target
$418.44
Street summary

Target stability with a slight decline in consensus

The price consensus remained stable at 418.44 versus a current price of 325.42, while targets ranged between 375 and 455 among 7 analysts; reflecting a potentially positive trend with clear variation in estimates. The consensus did not change over the last 7 days, but it declined over 30 days by 0.66 or 0.16%, alongside a decrease in the number of analysts from 13 to 7, making the comparison appear less consistent and increasing the degree of uncertainty regarding the breadth of the sample.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.91
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦22 (-6)⁩
Buy conviction
86%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
25%
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
3
16
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.82 → 3.91
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-27
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    38.21x
    5.69x45.54x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    36.99x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    27.88x
    3.43x27.47x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    2.5%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    21.7%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    18.0%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    35.5%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    22.5%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.87x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.5%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    19.6%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.48
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-16 data

Company Overview

GE Aerospace manufactures commercial and military aircraft engines and provides spare parts, maintenance, and repair services, benefiting from a decades-long service cycle for a fleet of 80,000 engines with more than 2.3 billion flight hours. Its operations are divided between Commercial Engines & Services CES and Defense & Propulsion Technologies DPT; commercial services, supported by long-term contracts and recurring shop visits, represent the largest and highest-margin part of the portfolio, while new engine sales expand the installed base that generates subsequent service revenue.

In fiscal Q2 2026, EDGAR revenue was approximately $13.3 billion, net income was $2.4 billion, and earnings per share were $2.26, equating to a calculated net income margin of approximately 18.0%. According to the non-GAAP results presented during the July 16, 2026 call, revenue increased 24%, operating profit reached $2.7 billion, up 18%, while operating margin declined 130 basis points to 21.7% and adjusted earnings per share increased 22% to $2.02.

CES led growth in fiscal Q2 2026, with revenue increasing 27% and profit rising 20% to $2.7 billion, as service revenue grew 26% and equipment revenue grew 30%, although its margin declined 160 basis points to 27.3%. DPT revenue increased 16%, profit rose 18%, and its margin improved 30 basis points to 13.8%; the company also generated $3 billion in free cash flow, up 43%, with conversion exceeding 140%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 16, 2026, GE Aerospace raised its fiscal 2026 outlook across all metrics; it now expects revenue growth in the upper teens, operating profit of $10.55–$10.75 billion, adjusted earnings per share of $7.65–$7.85, and free cash flow of $8.9–$9.2 billion.
  • CES revenue increased 27% in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by 26% growth in services, more than 50% growth in internal LEAP shop visits, and more than 25% growth in spare parts sales, while the commercial services backlog reached approximately $170 billion.
  • Total engine deliveries increased 31% during the first half of fiscal 2026, including a 41% increase in LEAP deliveries, while Copa Airlines selected up to 120 LEAP-1B engines to power its growing fleet of 737 MAX aircraft.
  • FLIGHT DECK improvements supported higher production; the production time for a critical F110 engine component was reduced by approximately 60%, increasing its deliveries by more than 50% in fiscal Q2 2026, while the final assembly time for the CFM56 engine at the Celma site decreased by approximately 50%.
  • The August 17, 2026 announcement added the GEK800 engine, developed with Kratos and designated F143-ZZ-100 by the military, to the defense catalysts after it was selected as a second propulsion source for the JASSM missile program and awarded an engineering, manufacturing, and development contract for integration into the system.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +A backlog exceeding $210 billion, including approximately $170 billion for commercial services and more than $30 billion for DPT, provides strong revenue visibility; more than 95% of expected spare parts revenue for fiscal Q3 2026 was also included in the backlog.
  • +The installed base of 80,000 engines supports a recurring service revenue model, and management expects LEAP shop visits to grow at a compound annual rate of approximately 25% through 2030, with the external channel's share rising from the mid-teens to approximately 30% by 2030.
  • +The company demonstrated a strong ability to convert earnings into cash in fiscal Q2 2026; free cash flow increased 43% to $3 billion, and management raised its fiscal 2026 outlook by $650 million compared with the previous upper bound, to a range of $8.9–$9.2 billion.
  • +The LEAP durability kit could improve the product's long-term economics; more than 40% of the LEAP-1A fleet has been equipped with the kit, and the company expects an approximately twofold improvement in time on wing, while certification of the LEAP-1B kit was completed during fiscal Q2 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $418.44, with a consensus Buy rating and a wide range of $375 to $455; the average is approximately 7.6% above the 52-week range high of $388.84. However, the low target is approximately 3.6% below the annual range high, so the valuation reflects a meaningful divergence over whether service growth and raised guidance can offset pressure on CES margins and the supply chain.

BuyAnalyst target: $418.44(+29.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the primary driver of GE Aerospace's growth in fiscal 2026?

Commercial services were the leading driver in fiscal Q2 2026, with revenue increasing 26% and internal LEAP shop visits rising more than 50%. The commercial services backlog reached approximately $170 billion, with more than 95% of expected spare parts revenue for fiscal Q3 2026 included in the backlog. Accordingly, the company raised its fiscal 2026 commercial services growth outlook from the mid-teens to the low twenties.

How important is the LEAP engine to GE Aerospace's results?

LEAP deliveries increased 41% during the first half of fiscal 2026, making the platform the company's fastest-growing. Management expects LEAP shop visits to grow at a compound annual rate of approximately 25% through 2030, with the external service channel's share rising to approximately 30%. Copa Airlines also selected up to 120 LEAP-1B engines for its 737 MAX aircraft, supporting growth in the installed base and subsequent service revenue.

How did GE Aerospace's fiscal 2026 outlook change?

On July 16, 2026, the company raised its revenue growth outlook to the upper teens from the low teens. It raised its operating profit range to $10.55–$10.75 billion and its adjusted earnings per share range to $7.65–$7.85. The free cash flow outlook also became $8.9–$9.2 billion, an increase of $650 million over the upper bound of the previous guidance.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The ability to meet demand remains constrained by the supply chain and capacity; despite spare parts sales growth of more than 25%, overdue shipments due to material shortages increased 20% sequentially in fiscal Q2 2026, and management described the challenge as supply-related rather than demand-related.
  • −The mix of new engines, investments, and inflation pressured profitability in fiscal Q2 2026, causing the company's margin to decline 130 basis points to 21.7% and the CES margin to fall 160 basis points to 27.3%. Management expects losses on initial GE9X units to increase until peaking in 2028, while LEAP service margins remain below the service portfolio average.
  • −The growth trajectory involves a slowdown following strong comparisons; fiscal 2026 guidance for commercial services growth in the low twenties implies low-teens growth during the second half, and management said that spare parts order growth of approximately 40% at the start of fiscal Q2 2026 was unsustainable and had begun trending toward more typical levels.
  • −LEAP durability and ownership costs remain concerns for airlines; despite cycle time declining to approximately 100 days and the number of aircraft grounded due to engines approaching zero, management described addressing the issue as unfinished work, and the upgrades to the LEAP-1A and LEAP-1B fleets will not be fully completed before the early 2030s.
  • −Valuation estimates vary despite the consensus Buy rating; the low target of $375 is approximately 3.6% below the 52-week range high of $388.84, while the average target of $418.44 is approximately 7.6% above it, highlighting the sensitivity of expected returns to the achievement of growth and margin targets.
  • −Net insider transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 11, 2026 were negative $7.2 million, with zero purchases and eight sales. This is a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.
Why did margins decline despite revenue and profit growth?

The company's operating margin declined 130 basis points to 21.7% in fiscal Q2 2026 despite a 24% increase in revenue. In CES, the margin declined 160 basis points to 27.3% due to installed engine growth, GE9X investments, and inflation. Management explained that LEAP services are improving but remain below the overall service portfolio margin, and that losses on initial GE9X units are expected to peak in 2028.

What are the main execution risks facing GE Aerospace?

Overdue spare parts shipments increased 20% sequentially in fiscal Q2 2026 due to material availability constraints. Engines removed and scheduled for removal in fiscal Q3 2026 also exceeded the annual shop visit guidance by more than 40%, illustrating demand pressure on available capacity. Despite FLIGHT DECK improvements, management said that growth in 2027 and beyond will depend heavily on continuing to relieve supplier bottlenecks and expand maintenance and repair capacity.

What did the defense business add to GE Aerospace's growth story?

DPT revenue increased 16% in fiscal Q2 2026, profit grew 18%, and margin improved 30 basis points to 13.8%. The segment's backlog exceeded $30 billion, an increase of approximately $5 billion since the start of fiscal 2026. On August 17, 2026, the GEK800 engine, developed with Kratos, was announced as a second propulsion source for the JASSM program after receiving the military designation F143-ZZ-100.