EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
GBTG

GBTG Global Business Travel Group, Inc.

Global Business Travel Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
9.46
▼ ⁦-0.21%⁩ (-0.02)
Market Cap$4.9B
Beta0.94
52w Low52w High
4.969.56
Last Week
⁦-0.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.21%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+0.96%⁩
Last Year
⁦+16.65%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall62
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/9DistressBetter than 62% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
33
59.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
89
30.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
59
3.7%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
40
3.7x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
35
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
90
13.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
21
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$9.46
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$9.50
⁦+0%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$9.50–$9.50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$1.56
⁦-83%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.5⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$1.56–$9.50⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$9.50
⁦+0.4%⁩
Current Price $9.46·Median $9.50
Low
$9.50
High
$9.50
Street summary

Higher Target Amid Narrower Coverage

The consensus price target rose to 9.50 from 8.85 within one day, an increase of 0.65 or 7.34%, and also rose from 8.43 to 9.50 over 7 and 30 days, an increase of 1.07 or 12.69%. However, the current price target reflects only one analyst, with the number of analysts declining from three 30 days ago, reducing the significance of the consensus and making dispersion currently unmeasurable.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+12.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦4 (-2)⁩
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
2
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-05-04
    BTIG
    BuyNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-04
    Lake Street
    —· $9.50
  • = Reiterate2026-03-11
    Deutsche Bank
    —· $8.20
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    59.12x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    22.60x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.58x
    2.75x22.03x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    2.1%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    30.2%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    223.1%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    58.5%
    12.0%66.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    3.7%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.69x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.23
    -2.656.14
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-03-09 data

Company Overview

Global Business Travel Group operates a global corporate travel management platform that combines travel booking, policy management, approvals, payments, invoicing, expenses, and traveler care services. It generates revenue from travel transactions and products and professional services, including Meetings & Events and client-specific revenue; in fiscal Q4 2025, travel revenue increased 36%, while products and professional services revenue grew 27%. Its platforms include Egencia, Complete, the joint solution with SAP Concur, and Neo, with a combination of digital service and travel counselor support.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue was $870 million, net income was $17 million, and earnings per share were $0.03, compared with revenue of $840 million, net income of $54 million, and earnings per share of $0.10 in fiscal Q1 2026. Trailing twelve-month revenue in the 2026 data was approximately $3.2 billion, with net income of $92 million and earnings per share of approximately $0.177, compared with revenue of $2.7 billion and net income of $111 million in fiscal 2025.

The fiscal Q4 2025 earnings call clearly showed the impact of consolidating CWT; total transaction value increased 45% to $10 billion, and revenue rose 34% to $792 million, but growth excluding CWT was only 8%. Adjusted gross profit margin for fiscal 2025 was approximately 60%, and reported adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin was 20%, while the margin was 21% excluding CWT after improving by 144 basis points.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The nearest operational growth catalysts lie in expanding digital products; management planned during the March 9, 2026 call to launch the next generation of Egencia and Egencia AI in April 2026, enabling natural-language travel search, booking, and modification while complying with corporate policies and traveler preferences.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The percentage of transactions completed through digital channels increased from approximately 60% five years ago to 83% during the twelve months preceding the March 9, 2026 call, while 57% of non-transactional inquiry conversations were resolved without human intervention. Management linked this shift to an increase in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin from 17% to 20% over the same period.
  • The CWT acquisition, which closed in September 2025, increased reported revenue in fiscal Q4 2025 by 34%, compared with growth of 8% excluding CWT. The company is targeting ultimate cost savings of $155 million, including $55 million expected during fiscal 2026, and had implemented actions equivalent to $45 million by the March 9, 2026 call.
  • Management reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance on March 9, 2026, targeting revenue between $3.235 billion and $3.295 billion, representing growth of 19% to 21%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $615 million and $645 million, representing growth of 16% to 21%. It also expects free cash flow between $125 million and $155 million, or between $235 million and $265 million excluding restructuring and CWT integration costs.
  • Commercial demand supports the revenue base; the value of new contracts, excluding CWT, was approximately $3.3 billion in fiscal 2025, with client retention of 96%. In fiscal Q4 2025, transactions grew 37%, while the company targeted migrating more than 90% to 95% of shared clients with SAP Concur to Complete during fiscal 2026.
  • In February 2026, the company doubled its share repurchase authorization from $300 million to $600 million, after returning $103 million to shareholders through March 5, 2026. Net leverage was 1.9 times, within the target range of 1.5 to 2.5 times, after financing the cash portion of the CWT acquisition.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Growth combines demand expansion with share gains; fiscal 2025 revenue increased 12% and total transaction value rose 17%, with new contracts worth $3.3 billion excluding CWT and client retention of 96%.
    • +Automation provides tangible operational evidence, as digital transactions increased to 83% and adjusted gross profit margin improved by 100 basis points during the twelve months preceding the March 9, 2026 call. Management targets increasing this margin by 150 to 200 basis points annually, reaching the high sixties by 2030.
    • +The integration of CWT provides a defined savings opportunity of $155 million, and by March 9, 2026, the company had taken actions to deliver $45 million of the $55 million targeted during fiscal 2026. On a pro forma basis including the full savings, management estimated fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $715 million and $745 million.
    • +Cash flow and the balance sheet provide capacity for investment and repurchases; the company generated $104 million in free cash flow in fiscal 2025, net leverage was 1.9 times, and it then increased its share repurchase authorization to $600 million in February 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A significant portion of fiscal 2026 growth depends on the consolidation of CWT rather than the core business alone; in fiscal Q4 2025, reported revenue increased 34%, but growth excluding CWT was limited to 8%. Management also explained that annual growth rates will decline after the anniversary of the transaction's closing in September 2026.
    • −The integration of CWT pressured profitability because the acquired company operated at lower margins before savings; therefore, the fiscal Q4 2025 margin declined slightly, and the reported fiscal 2025 margin was approximately 20% compared with 21% excluding CWT. Achieving the targeted cost savings of $155 million remains critical to restoring margin expansion.
    • −Earnings quality weakened between the first two reported quarters of fiscal 2026; while revenue increased from $840 million to $870 million, net income fell from $54 million to $17 million and earnings per share declined from $0.10 to $0.03. This divergence between revenue growth and net income makes the margin and execution trajectory more important.
    • −Fiscal 2026 guidance did not include a prolonged impact from the conflict in the Middle East, although the region represents approximately 5% of revenue. Management explained on March 9, 2026 that travel disruptions could initially increase modification and cancellation transactions, but could later pressure future bookings if they persist.
    • −The margin targets require broad adoption of Egencia AI and the transfer of self-service capabilities to Complete, Neo, and CWT clients; management targets increasing adjusted gross profit margin by 150 to 200 basis points annually through 2030. Any delay in increasing digital transactions above the 83% level or reducing human intervention would weaken the expected expansion trajectory.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 21, 2026 recorded net sales of $31.4 million across 17 sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own, because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $8.43, within a range from $7 to $9.5, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target is below the 52-week high of $9.54, while the highest target is close to it, and no published price-to-earnings ratio is available that can be relied upon to compare valuation with earnings. These targets balance fiscal 2026 revenue growth guidance of 19% to 21% against the risks of pressure on CWT margins, the decline in fiscal Q2 2026 net income, and the execution required to achieve $155 million in savings.

    BuyAnalyst target: $8.43(-10.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving GBTG's growth in fiscal 2026?

    Management reaffirmed on March 9, 2026 revenue guidance between $3.235 billion and $3.295 billion, equivalent to growth between 19% and 21%. A significant portion of this growth comes from the consolidation of CWT, as fiscal Q4 2025 revenue increased 34%, compared with 8% excluding CWT. The core business is supported by new contracts worth $3.3 billion excluding CWT and a client retention rate of 96% in fiscal 2025.

    How does Global Business Travel Group use artificial intelligence?

    During the March 9, 2026 call, the company planned to launch Egencia AI in April 2026 to enable natural-language travel search, booking, and modification within corporate policies. Average booking time on Egencia was less than three minutes, while 57% of non-transactional inquiry conversations were resolved without human intervention. Complete also integrates Global Business Travel Group's travel capabilities with SAP's artificial intelligence solution Juul, and the company is building assistance tools for travel counselors to reduce processing time and cost.

    How important is the CWT acquisition to GBTG's results?

    The company closed the CWT acquisition in September 2025, and the integration contributed to a 45% increase in transaction value in fiscal Q4 2025 to $10 billion. Management is targeting ultimate cost savings of $155 million, including $55 million during fiscal 2026, with actions equivalent to $45 million implemented through March 9, 2026. Conversely, CWT operates at lower margins before savings, which slightly reduced fiscal Q4 2025 margins and kept the reported fiscal-year margin at 20% compared with 21% excluding CWT.

    Did GBTG's profitability improve in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue was approximately $870 million, up from $840 million in fiscal Q1 2026. However, net income fell from $54 million to $17 million, and earnings per share declined from $0.10 to $0.03. In the 2026 trailing twelve-month data, revenue was $3.2 billion, net income was $92 million, and earnings per share were approximately $0.177.

    What are the key risks facing GBTG stock?

    Operational risk is concentrated in integrating CWT and achieving the targeted cost savings of $155 million, because CWT pressured margins before savings. Fiscal 2026 guidance also does not include a prolonged impact from the conflict in the Middle East, a region that represents approximately 5% of revenue. In addition, fiscal Q2 2026 net income declined to $17 million despite revenue increasing to $870 million, alongside net insider sales of $31.4 million over the three months through August 21, 2026, with the possibility that those sales were prearranged.

    What supports GBTG's cash flow and share repurchases?

    The company generated free cash flow of $104 million in fiscal 2025, and net leverage was 1.9 times. Management expects fiscal 2026 free cash flow between $125 million and $155 million, or between $235 million and $265 million excluding restructuring and CWT integration costs. In February 2026, the company doubled its repurchase authorization to $600 million, and it had returned $103 million to shareholders through March 5, 2026.