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Stocks
Fortinet, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
13
55.0x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
78
18.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
96
74.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
80
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
63
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
98
102.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
43
25▲3Around median
FTNT

FTNT Fortinet, Inc.

Fortinet, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
156.07
▼ ⁦-1.75%⁩ (-2.78)
Market Cap$114.5B
Beta1.06
52w Low52w High
73.55173.89
Last Week
⁦-3.57%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.78%⁩
Last Year
⁦+94.21%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$156
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$165
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$100–$203⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$77
⁦-51%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.1⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$77–$165⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$159.21
⁦+2.0%⁩
Current Price $156.07·Median $165.00
Low
$100.00
High
$203.00
Current price
$156.07
Average target
$159.21
Street summary

Slight Decline as Target Range Widens

The consensus price target remained steady at 159.21 over the last day, but declined by $0.18, or 0.11%, compared with the last 7 and 30 days. Meanwhile, the number of analysts included increased from 9 to 11 over 30 days, broadening the consensus base, while the current range stands between $100 and $203 around the current average price of $156.07, reflecting clear dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.16
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦44 (+2)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
25%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
66%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time44 analysts rating
1
10
29
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.32 → 3.16
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-10
    Wedbush
    UnderperformNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Susquehanna
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    54.95x
    6.87x54.92x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    42.80x
    5.19x41.53x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    43.11x
    4.52x36.15x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    2.6%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.8%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    12.7%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    80.2%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    74.1%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    8.93
    -10.9113.66
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Fortinet develops cybersecurity solutions centered on network security, combining FortiGate firewalls, FortiASIC technology, and the FortiOS platform within a unified architecture. Its portfolio includes secure networking, Unified SASE, and AI-powered security operations, with cloud, on-premises, and sovereign data-processing options. The company generates revenue from product sales, particularly FortiGate appliances, and from recurring services such as FortiCare, FortiGuard, FortiSASE, and security operations solutions.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 26% to $2.05 billion, exceeding the market consensus of $1.89 billion, while revenue reported in EDGAR data was approximately $2.0 billion and net income was $606.3 million. Product revenue jumped 52% to $773 million, or about 38% of total revenue, while service revenue grew 14% to $1.27 billion, or about 62% of the total. GAAP gross margin was 80.2%, and non-GAAP operating margin reached a record second-quarter level of 38%, up 490 basis points.

GAAP earnings per share were $0.82 in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 44%, while non-GAAP earnings per share increased 41% to $0.90. Billings rose 33% to $2.37 billion, and deferred revenue increased 17%, while free cash flow exceeded $966 million after more than tripling. The company repurchased 1.9 million shares for $146 million during the quarter, and its purchases since the beginning of fiscal 2026 totaled approximately 12.5 million shares for $973 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Fortinet raised its fiscal 2026 outlook following its second-quarter results; it now expects revenue between $8.02 billion and $8.18 billion, billings between $9.35 billion and $9.55 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share between $3.41 and $3.47.
  • Security infrastructure upgrades are driving product growth, with product revenue increasing 52% to $773 million, supported by growth in FortiGate units and customers shifting to higher-performance, higher-priced models, as well as demand related to AI data centers.
  • Unified SASE accelerated strongly in Q2 fiscal 2026; its billings grew 35%, FortiSASE billings growth exceeded 100%, and FortiSASE adoption within the customer base reached 90% among large enterprises.
  • Fortinet launched the FortiGate 1200G appliance and the FortiSOC platform and expanded FortiEndpoint capabilities, targeting the integration of local security enforcement with cloud services. Management says the addressable market for on-premises and sovereign SASE solutions is two to three times the size of the cloud-only SASE market.
  • Deals provided quantitative evidence of demand: an AI infrastructure cloud provider selected Fortinet in an eight-figure deal, a global pharmaceutical company signed a seven-figure FortiSASE deal to protect more than 45 thousand users, and a utility organization entered into a seven-figure deal to modernize communications across thousands of field sites.
  • Operational technology security billings increased by more than 55%, and AI-powered security operations billings grew 25%. This reflects demand to protect critical infrastructure and AI data centers, alongside customers' shift toward consolidating multiple solutions on the FortiOS platform.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 fiscal 2026 combines revenue growth of 26%, billings growth of 33%, and a 52% jump in product revenue, indicating momentum beyond improvement in just one portfolio category.
  • +The internally developed architecture around FortiOS, FortiASIC, and FortiGate gives the company the ability to integrate firewall, SD-WAN, and SASE into a single system, and this architecture supported a FortiSASE deal for more than 45 thousand users and an eight-figure AI data center deal.
  • +Earnings quality improved alongside growth; non-GAAP operating margin reached 38%, non-GAAP earnings per share were $0.90, and free cash flow was $966 million in Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • +The raised fiscal 2026 outlook supports operational visibility, targeting midpoint growth of approximately 19% for revenue and 25% for billings, with a non-GAAP operating margin between 35% and 37%.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Service revenue grew only 14% in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with 52% growth in product revenue, so the fiscal 2026 outlook partly depends on the acceleration in services that management expects during the second half.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $159.39, approximately 7.4% below the 52-week high of $172.09, while the broad target range spans $100 to $203 and is accompanied by a Neutral consensus. No specific earnings multiple is available in the data, so the comparable valuation centers on the breadth of the target range and Fortinet's ability to achieve its fiscal 2026 outlook of $8.02 billion to $8.18 billion in revenue and $3.41 to $3.47 in non-GAAP earnings per share.

HoldAnalyst target: $159.39(+2.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Fortinet's growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue increased 26% to $2.05 billion, while billings grew 33% to $2.37 billion. Products were the fastest-growing driver, with revenue jumping 52% to $773 million due to growth in FortiGate units and the shift to higher-performance models. Unified SASE billings also grew 35%, and operational technology security billings increased by more than 55%.

What is Fortinet's outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

The company expects fiscal 2026 revenue between $8.02 billion and $8.18 billion and billings between $9.35 billion and $9.55 billion. It expects service revenue between $5.18 billion and $5.22 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share between $3.41 and $3.47. Q3 fiscal 2026 guidance includes revenue between $2.01 billion and $2.10 billion and a non-GAAP operating margin between 35% and 37%.

What does Fortinet's SASE Firewall strategy mean?

The strategy combines secure networking and Unified SASE on the same FortiOS system, leveraging FortiASIC and the company's global infrastructure. FortiGate 1200G enables local security processing while using cloud security services, addressing performance and data sovereignty requirements. In Q2 fiscal 2026, Unified SASE billings grew 35%, while FortiSASE billings growth exceeded 100%.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The Q3 fiscal 2026 outlook indicates revenue between $2.01 billion and $2.10 billion, equivalent to growth of 19% at the midpoint, a clear slowdown from revenue growth of 26% in Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • −Fortinet operates in a competitive market that includes Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and cloud SASE providers; despite winning replacement deals, continued growth depends on its ability to translate the FortiOS and FortiASIC advantage into actual gains against these platforms.
  • −Billings assumptions for the second half of fiscal 2026 include a high-single-digit impact from price increases, while the company makes monthly adjustments based on the costs of components such as memory. This pricing impact may make the pace of underlying demand more difficult to assess and also reveals the sensitivity of hardware costs to component price fluctuations.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 4, 2026, recorded net selling of $69.6 million, with 28 sales and no purchases. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data disclose otherwise.
  • −The analyst consensus reflects a Neutral rating and substantial valuation dispersion, with price targets ranging from $100 to $203. The gap between the endpoints exceeds $100, while the stock traded within a 52-week range of $73.55 to $172.09, highlighting elevated uncertainty about the sustainability of growth and rerating.
  • Is Fortinet's growth actually linked to AI?

    The company stated that customers are upgrading their infrastructure to protect AI workloads and data traffic within data centers. In Q2 fiscal 2026, Fortinet signed an eight-figure deal with a cloud provider hosting generative AI workloads, following a seven-figure deal with the same customer in Q1 fiscal 2026. AI-powered security operations billings also grew 25%, and the platform includes more than 20 AI-enabled solutions.

    How important is service revenue to Fortinet's business model?

    Service revenue was $1.27 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, representing about 62% of total revenue, and grew 14%. This revenue includes FortiCare and FortiGuard services, SecOps solutions, and services associated with FortiGate and FortiSASE products. The company expects service revenue between $5.18 billion and $5.22 billion in fiscal 2026, but it needs to achieve the expected acceleration in the second half after describing the first quarter as the bottom of the growth rate.

    How do analysts view the valuation of FTNT stock?

    The analyst consensus on FTNT is Neutral, with an average price target of $159.39. The target range spans $100 to $203, compared with a 52-week range of $73.55 to $172.09. The average target is approximately 7.4% below the 52-week high, reflecting that the strong Q2 fiscal 2026 results are offset by concerns about slowing growth and divergent valuation estimates.