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FirstService Corporation
FSV

FSV FirstService Corporation

FirstService Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
137.78
▲ ⁦+1.30%⁩ (+1.77)
Market Cap$6.3B
Beta0.91
52w Low52w High
119.41209.66
Last Week
⁦-1.21%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.50%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.68%⁩
Last Year
⁦-31.63%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall42
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 5/9Better than 42% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
47
39.4x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
51
2.8%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
52
9.2%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
50
2.6x2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
54
0.78%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
20
-27.8%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
85
6▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$138
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$173
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$140–$195⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$90
⁦-35%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.4⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$90–$173⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$169.33
⁦+22.9%⁩
Current Price $137.78·Median $172.50
Low
$140.00
High
$195.00
Current price
$137.78
Average target
$169.33
Street summary

Stable Targets Despite a Broader Coverage Base

The average price target remained unchanged at 169.33 over the last day, 7 days, and 30 days. However, the number of analysts increased from 2 to 3, reflecting a broader coverage base without a change in the consensus rating. The range is between 140 and 195, a difference of 55, while the median is 172.5 versus a consensus of 169.33, indicating a notable divergence among estimates. Compared with the current price of 137.78, the consensus and the lower bound are above the current price, but this does not represent a new upward revision.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.10
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦10 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
80%
High
Target dispersion
40%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
3
5
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.10 → 4.10
Recent analyst moves
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    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    39.37x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    21.08x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.48x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.2%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.8%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    11.8%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    29.8%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    9.2%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.61x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.8%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    30.5%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

FirstService Corporation operates through two main divisions. FirstService Residential provides property and residential community management services, while FirstService Brands includes restoration operations through Paul Davis and First Onsite, roofing, fire protection through Century Fire, and home services through California Closets, CertaPro Painters, Floor Coverings International, and Pillar To Post; therefore, revenue is generated from a mix of property management and installation, maintenance, repair, restoration, and home services operations.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, consolidated revenue reached $1.45 billion, up 2% year over year, with only about half a percentage point coming from organic growth. Adjusted EBITDA reached $161.7 million, up 3%, with a consolidated margin of 11.2% that improved by 10 basis points, while adjusted earnings per share increased 2% to $1.75. During the first half of fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $2.77 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $267 million, but the margin declined by 10 basis points to 9.7%.

FirstService Residential accounted for approximately $617 million of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, with reported growth of 4% and organic growth of 5%, and generated $69 million of EBITDA at a margin of 11.2%. FirstService Brands recorded revenue of $832 million and EBITDA of $96 million, both up 1%, with the margin declining by 10 basis points to 11.5%. Within this division, Century Fire growth exceeded 10%, while roofing operations declined 6% on a reported basis and 10% organically, and restoration and home services operations remained close to prior-year levels.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects FirstService Residential to deliver mid-single-digit revenue growth during the second half of fiscal 2026, with modest margin improvement similar to the pace in the first half; the division's margin increased by 20 basis points in Q2 to 11.2%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The restoration operations restored their backlog to a level management described as historically healthy after signing several large-loss projects across North America during the four to six weeks preceding the July 23, 2026 call. Management expects approximately 5% growth for these operations in the second half of fiscal 2026, with the new projects converting into revenue over 12 to 18 months.
  • Century Fire delivered growth exceeding 10% in Q2 fiscal 2026, with high-single-digit organic growth and sequential improvement in backlog. Management expects revenue growth to remain above 10% in Q3 and Q4 fiscal 2026, also supported by the acquisitions of Titan Fire Protection in Florida and GSC Fire and Security in Texas.
  • The company allocated approximately $250 million to repurchase more than 1.8 million shares during the first half of fiscal 2026 at an average of $135.91 per share. Although net debt to EBITDA increased from 1.5 times to 1.8 times, available liquidity remained above $800 million, allowing the company to balance repurchases with additional acquisitions.
  • For full-year fiscal 2026, management expects consolidated revenue growth similar to or modestly better than the first half's 4% growth, and mid-single-digit growth in annual adjusted EBITDA. However, expected performance is weighted toward Q4 fiscal 2026 because of the timing of converting the restoration backlog into revenue.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +FirstService Residential's 5% organic growth in Q2 fiscal 2026 combines a large revenue base of $617 million with a 20-basis-point improvement in the division's margin, providing a more stable contribution amid weakness in some of the brands operations.
    • +Century Fire represents the strongest growth driver, as its growth exceeded 10% in Q2 fiscal 2026, its backlog improved compared with the previous quarter and the prior year, and data center projects accounted for no more than 15% of that backlog; this indicates that growth is also distributed across sprinkler and alarm systems and repair and inspection services.
    • +The backlog of new restoration projects may support revenue in the second half of fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027, after Paul Davis and First Onsite won projects involving factories, warehouses, government buildings, large retail stores, and multifamily properties across North America.
    • +The company generated $130 million of operating cash flow after working capital movements in Q2 fiscal 2026, and approximately $220 million during the first half. With liquidity exceeding $800 million and leverage of 1.8 times, FirstService has the flexibility to fund additional acquisitions and share repurchases together.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Roofing revenue declined 10% organically in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management expects the mid-single-digit organic decline to continue in Q3. The business faces weakness in new construction and reroofing, intense pricing competition, and particular pressure in Las Vegas and Southwest Florida, where low prices prompted the company to withdraw from some business.
    • −The acceleration of the restoration operations depends on the timing of converting the project backlog into revenue, which is vulnerable to delays caused by scope determination, permitting, and insurance negotiations. Management expects growth of only approximately 5% in the second half of fiscal 2026 despite the improved backlog, and explained that the new projects will not contribute meaningfully in Q3, with some appearing in Q4 and fiscal 2027.
    • −Consolidated growth remained limited to 2% for revenue and 3% for adjusted EBITDA in Q2 fiscal 2026, and management expects a low-single-digit pace for both in Q3. The first-half margin also declined by 10 basis points to 9.7%, highlighting the slow improvement at the group level despite FirstService Residential's margin expansion.
    • −Home services are tied to the housing market and consumer confidence, which management said on July 23, 2026 were near their lowest levels in ten years. Management does not assume improvement in either factor during the second half of fiscal 2026, so its revenue outlook for California Closets, CertaPro Painters, Floor Coverings International, and Pillar To Post is limited to a slight year-over-year increase.
    • −The acquisition strategy faces increasing competition from private equity, while management said the number of good companies available for sale has declined and acquisition spending in fiscal 2026 is expected to be close to the fiscal 2025 level. This limits the pace of deploying capital into deals that achieve management's mid-teens return target.
    • −Analyst targets range from $140 to $195, a wide spread of $55, while the stock's 52-week range extends from $119.41 to $209.66. This divergence reflects the valuation's sensitivity to the path of the roofing recovery and the speed of restoration backlog conversion, while the average target of $169.33 is approximately 19% below the top of the 52-week range.

    Valuation

    The stock carries a consensus "Buy" rating with an average price target of $169.33, a high of $195, and a low of $140. The average target is below the 52-week high of $209.66 and above the low of $119.41, while the $55 target spread shows that analysts' valuations are influenced by the balance between the strength of Century Fire and FirstService Residential on one hand, and roofing weakness and uncertainty over the timing of restoration revenue on the other.

    BuyAnalyst target: $169.33(+22.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving FSV's growth in fiscal 2026?

    The most consistent growth came from FirstService Residential, which increased Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue by 4% on a reported basis and 5% organically to $617 million. Century Fire delivered growth exceeding 10%, with high-single-digit organic growth and improved backlog. Management also expects the restoration operations to grow by approximately 5% in the second half of fiscal 2026 after winning several large-loss projects.

    Why are FirstService's roofing operations declining?

    Roofing revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 declined 6% on a reported basis and 10% organically because of market weakness, intense competition, and delays in large projects. Pressure is concentrated in Las Vegas and Southwest Florida, and more than 50% of the Las Vegas branch's activity is tied to new construction compared with approximately 30% on average across the portfolio. Management expects a slight reported decline and a mid-single-digit organic contraction in Q3 fiscal 2026.

    How important is the restoration backlog to FSV stock?

    Paul Davis and First Onsite rebuilt the backlog to a level management described as historically healthy by July 2026. The new projects include factories, warehouses, government buildings, large retail stores, and multifamily properties across North America, and are expected to convert into revenue over 12 to 18 months. However, scope determination, permitting, and insurance processes may delay revenue, so management does not expect a meaningful contribution from them in Q3 fiscal 2026.

    How does FirstService use liquidity and capital?

    Operating cash flow after working capital movements reached $130 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 and approximately $220 million in the first half. The company spent slightly more than $40 million on additional acquisitions during the quarter and repurchased more than 1.8 million shares during the first half at a cost of approximately $250 million. Following these purchases, leverage stood at 1.8 times, with available liquidity exceeding $800 million.

    What is FirstService's outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

    Management expects low-single-digit growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA in Q3 fiscal 2026, close to Q2 performance. For full-year fiscal 2026, it expects revenue growth similar to or modestly better than the first half's 4% rate, with mid-single-digit growth in annual adjusted EBITDA. FirstService Brands growth is expected to be weighted toward Q4 because of the timing of converting the restoration backlog into revenue.

    How do analysts view FSV stock's valuation?

    The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average price target of $169.33. Estimates range from $140 to $195, while the 52-week range extends from $119.41 to $209.66. The average target is below the top of the 52-week range, consistent with the continuing risks from roofing weakness and the slow conversion of restoration projects into revenue despite the strength of Century Fire and FirstService Residential.