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Home
Stocks
Federal Realty Investment Trust
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall66
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 4/8Better than 66% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
37
22.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
61
12.2%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
64
8.4%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
45
4.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
43
3.90%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
76
19.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
79
8▲3Top tier
FRT

FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust

Federal Realty Investment Trust · NYSE
Market Closed
114.36
▼ ⁦-0.42%⁩ (-0.48)
Market Cap$9.9B
Beta0.93
52w Low52w High
90.03128.21
Last Week
⁦-3.04%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.65%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.41%⁩
Last Year
⁦+14.03%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$114
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$130
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$118–$149⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$43
⁦-63%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.5⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$43–$130⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$131.27
⁦+14.8%⁩
Current Price $114.36·Median $130.00
Low
$118.00
High
$149.00
Current price
$114.36
Average target
$131.27
Street summary

Gradual improvement in Federal Realty (FRT) price targets

Bullish tilt

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) stock saw a positive revision in its average price target over the past 30 days, with the consensus rising from 127.08 to 131 dollars, an increase of 3.08%. This rise was accompanied by an increase in the number of analysts contributing to the forecasts, reflecting growing interest in the stock, especially with the current price (118.89) trading at a level nearly matching the low-end estimate (118), indicating a positive price gap compared to the average.

As of 2026-08-13
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.95
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦20 (+1)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
70%
High
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
5
9
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.85 → 3.95
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-21
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-09
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-08
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.87x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    34.30x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.65x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.9%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    12.2%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    26.9%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    52.0%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    8.4%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.49x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.9%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    89.2%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

Federal Realty Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust listed under the ticker FRT on the NYSE, and it generates its income primarily from leasing large, dominant shopping centers in their markets, alongside mixed-use assets and residential projects developed on surplus land within its existing centers. Growth sources include raising rents upon lease renewals, increasing occupancy, redeveloping assets, acquiring centers with operational improvement potential, and generating additional revenue from parking, sponsorships, signage, and events; the company targeted a 20% increase in these additional initiatives during fiscal year 2026 compared with the comparable group in the prior year.

In Q2 fiscal year 2026, FFO per share was $1.88, up 7% year over year and $0.03 above the midpoint of guidance, while adjusted comparable-property growth on a cash basis was 4.2% and growth under GAAP was approximately 2.8%. Total occupancy reached 96%, and the company signed 124 comparable deals covering 819 thousand square feet, with first-year cash rent of $33.68 per square foot and a 15% cash increase over prior rents; the small-shop leased rate was 93.9% and the occupancy rate was 92.3%.

The latest available EDGAR data for Q1 fiscal year 2026 shows revenue of $341.1 million, net income of $159.1 million, and earnings per share of $1.81, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 46.6%. On a trailing-twelve-month basis in fiscal year 2026, revenue was $1.3 billion, net income was $440.4 million, and earnings per share were approximately $5.08; meanwhile, the operating growth mix in Q2 fiscal year 2026 was driven by rents and collections, percentage rents, parking, lease termination fees, and capital recycling.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Leasing activity in Q2 fiscal year 2026 reached a record 819 thousand square feet, with a 15% cash rent increase and a 28% straight-line increase, while the rent increase for comparable leases during the twelve months ended that quarter was 17%, the highest in more than ten years.
  • The operating pipeline supports identified future revenue: more than 1.5 million square feet was under lease negotiations as of July 31, 2026, and fully executed leases are expected to add $31 million in revenue during the following eighteen months, with a target of raising total occupancy to the mid-to-high 94% range by the end of fiscal year 2026.
  • At Grossmont Shopping Center, FRT signed a 20-year lease with Bass Pro Shops for 161 thousand square feet, alongside a new lease with AMC for 53 thousand square feet, as part of a comprehensive $56 million redevelopment targeting a 10% incremental cash return. At Barracks Road Shopping Center, the company signed a lease for 79 thousand square feet with Harris Teeter to expand a major grocery store.
  • The company allocated $400 million to residential projects on land at its existing centers, including Blair at Ballard, 301 Washington Street, Lot 12 at Santana Row, and an additional 261 units at Willow Grove. Together, these projects are expected to add approximately 800 units and $27 million in net operating income after stabilization during the years following Q2 fiscal year 2026.
  • Management raised NAREIT FFO and Core FFO guidance for fiscal year 2026 to a range of $7.48–$7.56 per share, with a midpoint of $7.52 and expected growth of 6.5% compared with fiscal year 2025. It set FFO guidance at $1.82–$1.86 per share for Q3 fiscal year 2026 and $1.91–$1.95 for Q4 fiscal year 2026, supported by leases already signed for occupancy.
  • Liquidity was $1.2 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal year 2026, and the annualized net debt-to-EBITDA ratio improved to 5.4 times, with fixed-charge coverage at 3.9 times. The company also completed $225 million in asset sales from the beginning of fiscal year 2026 through the end of the quarter and raised its quarterly dividend to $1.16 per share, marking the fifty-ninth consecutive year of annual dividend increases.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Pricing power is supported by limited supply and strong demand for the company's assets; cash rent growth was 15% in Q2 fiscal year 2026 deals, and comparable lease growth over twelve months reached 17%, alongside total occupancy of 96%.
  • +The signed lease backlog provides growth visibility, as fully executed leases are expected to add $31 million in revenue over eighteen months, while management targets cash comparable-property growth of between 4% and 4.5% in fiscal year 2026.
  • +FRT combines internal growth with redevelopment; the $56 million Grossmont project targets a 10% incremental cash return, while the four residential projects are expected to add approximately 800 units and $27 million in net operating income after stabilization.
  • +The financial position supports execution of the plan, with liquidity of $1.2 billion, no debt maturities after $30 million in August 2026 until mid-2027, and expected free cash flow after dividends and maintenance capital exceeding $100 million in fiscal year 2026.
  • +The increase in Core FFO guidance to $7.48–$7.56 per share, following 7% growth in FFO per share in Q2 fiscal year 2026, provides quantitative evidence that improvements in rents, occupancy, and additional revenue are translating into operating earnings.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $131.27, within a wide range of $118 to $149, compared with a 52-week trading range of $90.03 to $128.21; accordingly, the average target is slightly above the top of the 52-week range, while the highest target assumes substantially greater valuation expansion. The “Buy” consensus is supported by the increase in Core FFO guidance for fiscal year 2026 and leasing growth, but the wide range of targets reflects uncertainty related to the timing of occupancy, slowing comparable-property growth in the second half, and higher acquisition and financing costs.

BuyAnalyst target: $131.27(+14.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove FRT's results in Q2 fiscal year 2026?

FFO per share was $1.88 in Q2 fiscal year 2026, up 7% year over year and $0.03 above the midpoint of guidance. Higher rental income and collections contributed $0.03, percentage rents, parking, and additional initiatives added $0.02, and capital recycling added $0.05. In contrast, $0.015 was deducted due to a one-time investment write-off, alongside $0.01 each for a straight-line rent write-off and higher general and administrative expenses.

What is the significance of the Bass Pro Shops and AMC leases at Grossmont for FRT stock?

FRT signed a 20-year lease with Bass Pro Shops for 161 thousand square feet to replace Macy's and adjacent underperforming small shops. It also signed a lease with AMC for 53 thousand square feet to create a modern theater in place of a smaller operator that had closed. The company plans a $56 million redevelopment of Grossmont, targeting a 10% incremental cash return, with a roster of anchor tenants that also includes Walmart and Target.

What does FRT's occupancy and rent trajectory look like after July 31, 2026?

Total occupancy was 96% in Q2 fiscal year 2026, while the small-shop leased rate reached 93.9% and occupancy reached 92.3%. The company added more than 100 thousand square feet of net small-shop occupancy during the quarter, raising the occupancy rate for this category by 100 basis points over three months. Management expects total occupancy to reach the mid-to-high 94% range by the end of fiscal year 2026, with some volatility remaining during Q3 before improvement in Q4.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The timing of converting signed leases into actual occupancy and paid rent remains an operating risk; management expected occupancy volatility to continue during Q3 fiscal year 2026 and indicated that the Q4 acceleration might not show its full impact until fiscal year 2027.
  • −Management's expectations indicate a slowdown in comparable-property net operating income growth in the second half of fiscal year 2026, with the GAAP measure in the low 2% range and total growth for the half near 3%, after adjusted cash growth reached 4.6% from the beginning of the year through the end of Q2.
  • −Redevelopment and residential densification projects require precise execution and significant capital; $400 million was allocated to residential projects, and additional projects worth $400–500 million may begin during the 12 to 24 months after July 31, 2026 if they meet return criteria. Any delay in delivery, leasing, or stabilization of approximately 800 units would postpone the targeted $27 million in net operating income.
  • −Competition for prime real estate assets intensified as more capital entered the retail sector and capitalization rates compressed below 5% for some deals; management said it could not achieve an 8% unlevered internal rate of return on some of these opportunities. Continued capitalization-rate pressure could raise acquisition costs or reduce the number of deals capable of meeting return targets.
  • −The increase in fiscal year 2026 guidance includes items that may not recur at the same level, including targeted lease termination fees of between $10 million and $11 million; these fees totaled $8.6 million from the beginning of the year through Q2 and included a single $3 million fee equivalent to seven years of rent. A decline in these fees in subsequent periods could make earnings growth more dependent on underlying rents and occupancy.
  • −The company raised its general and administrative expense forecast by $2 million due to investment in digital innovation and business development teams, and it partially offset the guidance increase with more conservative interest-rate assumptions worth $0.01–$0.02 per share. If returns on these investments are delayed or financing costs remain elevated, FFO growth and margins could face additional pressure.
How much growth is expected from FRT's residential projects?

The company allocated $400 million to four residential projects being developed on surplus land at its existing centers. The portfolio includes Blair at Ballard, which was two-thirds leased as of July 31, 2026, 301 Washington Street, scheduled for delivery in January 2027, Lot 12 at Santana Row, scheduled for delivery in late 2027, and 261 units at Willow Grove. Management expects these projects together to add approximately 800 units and $27 million in net operating income after stabilization.

Can FRT fund acquisitions and redevelopment without significant pressure on its balance sheet?

Liquidity was $1.2 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal year 2026, and after a $30 million maturity in August 2026, the company had no debt due until mid-2027. The annualized net debt-to-EBITDA ratio improved to 5.4 times, and fixed-charge coverage was 3.9 times. The company also sold $225 million in assets from the beginning of fiscal year 2026 through the end of the quarter and expects free cash flow after dividends and maintenance capital to exceed $100 million during the year.

What are the main risks associated with FRT's new acquisitions?

The acquisition opportunity pipeline exceeded $1.4 billion in Q2 fiscal year 2026, but competition for the best assets pushed capitalization rates on some deals below 5%. Management explained that it withdrew from opportunities where it could not achieve an 8% unlevered internal rate of return, despite the quality of the properties. The company typically targets capitalization rates near 6%, or slightly lower when it can achieve compound annual growth of between 4% and 5% during the first five years and an unlevered internal rate of return above 8%.