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Stocks
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
FR

FR First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.

First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
61.38
▲ ⁦+0.99%⁩ (+0.60)
Market Cap$8.1B
Beta1.06
52w Low52w High
50.2469.88
Last Week
⁦-0.44%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.54%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-1.89%⁩
Last Year
⁦+19.98%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall56
Balanced — near the middle of the marketMomentum TrapF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 56% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
22.3x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
66
8.4%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
44
6.5%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
54
3.6x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
65
3.08%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
63
23.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
68
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$61
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$72
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$66–$83⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-14.17
⁦-123%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.1⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-14.17–$72⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$72.13
⁦+17.5%⁩
Current Price $61.38·Median $72.00
Low
$66.00
High
$83.00
Current price
$61.38
Average target
$72.13
Street summary

Price Revision Analysis for First Industrial Realty Trust Stock

Bullish tilt

FR stock has seen a positive revision in its average price target over the last thirty days, with the consensus rising from 69.67 to 73, an increase of 4.78%, despite the number of analysts remaining constant at 3. The stock is currently trading at 62.76, a level even lower than the lowest forecast (66), which reflects increasing optimism from analysts regarding the stock's fair value compared to its current market price, with a dispersion in forecasts between 66 and 83.

As of 2026-08-19
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.76
Buy
Analyst coverage
17
Buy conviction
59%
Mixed
Target dispersion
28%
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
3
7
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.76
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
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    Sector Perform
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    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
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    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.32x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    29.04x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.30x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    0.5%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.4%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    34.1%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    11.7%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    6.5%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.60x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.1%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    71.0%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.06
    -0.883.10
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. is an industrial real estate investment trust that generates income from leasing logistics and industrial facilities, developing and leasing assets, and recycling capital through acquisitions and sales. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the demand base included third-party logistics, manufacturing, food and beverage, automotive, and home furnishings companies, while management described data center-related demand as incremental but not material. The company ended the period with in-service occupancy of 94.9% and executed commenced leases covering 2.6 million square feet, including 1.1 million for new leases, 1 million for renewals, and 500 thousand square feet for developments and acquisitions undergoing lease-up.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $194.9 million and net income was $77.1 million, representing a calculated net income margin of approximately 39.6%, while earnings per share were $0.58. NAREIT funds from operations were approximately $0.82 per fully diluted share, compared with $0.76 a year earlier, while same-store cash net operating income, excluding lease termination fees, grew by 6.7%. For comparison, fiscal 2025 recorded revenue of $727.1 million, net income of $247.4 million, and earnings per share of $1.87.

Operating momentum came from higher rental rates on new and renewal leases, contractual rent escalations, and lower free-rent periods, partially offset by lower average occupancy. The cash rental-rate increase on signed leases was 39%, and the company addressed 80% of fiscal 2026 lease expirations by square footage. On the development front, the company signed leases covering 643 thousand square feet during Q2 fiscal 2026, including full-building leases in Dallas and the Philadelphia market and an expansion for an existing tenant in South Florida.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 23, 2026, the company raised the midpoint of its funds from operations guidance by $0.02 per share and set its fiscal 2026 NAREIT FFO range at $3.08–$3.16 per share, or $3.12–$3.20 after excluding $0.04 per share of costs related to the contested proxy solicitation campaign.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The full-building lease covering 708 thousand square feet in Central Pennsylvania increased in-service occupancy to 94.9%, up 60 basis points from Q1 fiscal 2026, and generated a cash rent increase exceeding 60%.
  • The company signed development leases covering 643 thousand square feet in Q2 fiscal 2026, including a 176 thousand-square-foot building in First Park 121 for a wire and cable supplier serving the data center industry, a 226 thousand-square-foot building in First Park New Castle, and a 31 thousand-square-foot expansion in First Pompano Logistics Center.
  • The company started a second building in First Park New Castle spanning 613 thousand square feet, with an estimated investment of approximately $77 million and an expected cash yield exceeding 8%, after fully leasing the completed building at the site.
  • The market backdrop in Q2 fiscal 2026 indicates improving demand relative to supply; national net absorption reached 85 million square feet, compared with 48 million of new deliveries, and vacancy declined 20 basis points to 6.5%. Management also stated that activity for spaces between 700 thousand and 1.2 million square feet increased 127%, while activity above 1.2 million square feet increased 117%.
  • The company raised the midpoint of its same-store cash net operating income growth guidance by 25 basis points to a range of 5.25%–6.25% for fiscal 2026 and raised the midpoint of its expected cash rental-rate increases, setting the range at 35%–40%.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Rental pricing provides clear support for internal growth, as the cash increase on signed leases reached 39%, while the company raised its expected range for cash increases on leases commencing in fiscal 2026 to 35%–40%.
    • +New supply trailed demand in Q2 fiscal 2026, with national absorption of 85 million square feet and deliveries of 48 million, supporting lease-up opportunities for FR's large spaces.
    • +The development platform demonstrated an ability to convert projects into cash flows by signing leases covering 643 thousand square feet during the quarter, then launching the 613 thousand-square-foot First Park New Castle project with an estimated cash yield exceeding 8%.
    • +Financial guidance improved after completing the Central Pennsylvania lease, with the midpoint of expected NAREIT FFO rising by $0.02 per share as quarterly funds from operations grew to $0.82 per share from $0.76 a year earlier.
    • +The remaining development funding needs for fiscal 2026 appear manageable according to the company's statements, as it estimated required spending at approximately $75 million, with excess cash flow after capital expenditures and distributions expected to cover roughly half and the remainder to be funded through the credit line, which has a low outstanding balance.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Achieving the occupancy forecast depends on executing additional development leasing; the guidance assumed the lease-up of approximately 900 thousand square feet, mostly in Q4 fiscal 2026, from an original opportunity set of 1.7 million square feet. Management acknowledged the difficulty of determining the timing of tenant decisions before reaching letters of intent or exchanging lease drafts.
    • −The company expects in-service occupancy to decline to approximately 93.5% by the end of Q3 fiscal 2026 before recovering to approximately 95.5% at the end of fiscal 2026. Approximately 45 basis points of the decline results from a new development in Nashville entering service before its expected lease-up in Q4 fiscal 2026, creating timing and execution risks.
    • −Same-store net operating income growth entails an expected slowdown in the second half of fiscal 2026 compared with the first half, as management attributed a difference of approximately 250 basis points to the diminishing benefit from free rent. Therefore, the 6.7% growth recorded in Q2 should not be automatically extrapolated to the remainder of the year.
    • −Demand remains uneven by asset size and region; management described the 250–500 thousand-square-foot segment in Inland Empire as the weakest part of the market because tenants have numerous available options, affecting the lease-up of First Parris despite improving tours and inquiries.
    • −The growth strategy faces competition and constraints related to land and entitlements; management said land is highly competitive and that obtaining entitlements is not becoming easier, while data center developers pay prices far above traditional industrial land values. FR acquired the B-W Corridor site for $39 million, but it is not expected to become construction-ready until near the end of 2028 or the beginning of 2029.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $73 and a relatively wide range between $66 and $83. The lowest target falls within the 52-week range of $50.24–$69.88, while the average is approximately 4.5% above the top of that range and the highest target is approximately 18.8% above the high, reflecting expectations for continued rent and leasing growth. Conversely, the wide target range highlights the risks of executing the lease-up of 900 thousand square feet of developments, the expected occupancy decline during Q3 fiscal 2026, and the anticipated slowdown in net operating income growth during the second half.

    BuyAnalyst target: $73(+18.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove FR's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    FR's revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 was approximately $194.9 million, net income was $77.1 million, and earnings per share were $0.58. NAREIT funds from operations increased to $0.82 per fully diluted share, compared with $0.76 a year earlier. Management attributed the performance to higher new and renewal rental rates, contractual escalations, and lower free rent, partially offset by lower average occupancy.

    What is FR's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    On July 23, 2026, the company set its fiscal 2026 NAREIT FFO range at $3.08–$3.16 per share after raising the midpoint by $0.02. After excluding $0.04 per share of costs related to the contested proxy solicitation campaign, the range becomes $3.12–$3.20. It also expects same-store cash net operating income growth of between 5.25% and 6.25% and average quarter-end occupancy of between 94% and 95%.

    Why is the Central Pennsylvania lease important for FR stock?

    FR leased the entire 708 thousand-square-foot building in Central Pennsylvania during Q2 fiscal 2026. The lease helped increase in-service occupancy by 60 basis points from the previous quarter to 94.9%, while the cash rent increase exceeded 60%. Based on the strength of this lease, the company raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 funds from operations guidance by $0.02 per share.

    How are FR's development projects progressing?

    The company signed development leases covering 643 thousand square feet during Q2 fiscal 2026. The leases included 176 thousand square feet in First Park 121, 226 thousand square feet in First Park New Castle, and 31 thousand square feet in First Pompano Logistics Center. After fully leasing the New Castle building, FR started a second 613 thousand-square-foot building, with an estimated investment of $77 million and an expected cash yield exceeding 8%.

    What are FR's main occupancy and leasing risks?

    The guidance assumes the lease-up of approximately 900 thousand additional square feet of developments, with most of that expected to occur in Q4 fiscal 2026. The company expects in-service occupancy to decline to approximately 93.5% by the end of Q3 before reaching approximately 95.5% at the end of fiscal 2026. The Nashville development entering service also accounts for approximately 45 basis points of the temporary decline, while the speed of tenant decisions remains the decisive factor in achieving the expected recovery.

    Where is FR investing capital after Q2 fiscal 2026?

    The company acquired a recently completed 161 thousand-square-foot facility in Great Southwest in Dallas for $26 million. It was 50% leased with a targeted cash yield of approximately 6%. It also acquired a 58-acre infill development site in B-W Corridor for $39 million, with a design accommodating three buildings totaling 629 thousand square feet. Conversely, it sold land in Phoenix for $131 million and four buildings in Detroit totaling 310 thousand square feet for $29 million.

  • −The range of analyst valuations carries a material degree of uncertainty, with a $17 difference between the highest target of $83 and the lowest target of $66. The average target of $73 also exceeds the 52-week range high of $69.88, making the realization of the consensus valuation dependent on successful leasing and development and the achievement of fiscal 2026 guidance.