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Stocks
Fox Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall84
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/8Better than 84% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
77
16.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
23
5.1%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
60
14.8%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
74
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
66
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
62
1.5%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
88
12▲3Top tier
FOXA

FOXA Fox Corporation

Fox Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
65.94
▲ ⁦+1.17%⁩ (+0.76)
Market Cap$28.6B
Beta0.54
52w Low52w High
48.3476.39
Last Week
⁦-2.34%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.12%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.03%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.45%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$66
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$71
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$60–$82⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$52
⁦-20%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$52–$71⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$70.38
⁦+6.7%⁩
Current Price $65.94·Median $71.00
Low
$60.00
High
$82.00
Current price
$65.94
Average target
$70.38
Street summary

Limited Increase in Target Amid Declining Coverage

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 68 to 70.38, an increase of 2.38 or 3.5%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days. However, the number of analysts included in the consensus fell from 3 to just one analyst, making the increase less robust in terms of the breadth of the estimate base. The current target price of 70.38 is higher than the current price of 65.94, with a range between 60 and 82, indicating clear divergence in the estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+3.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦18 (-2)⁩
Buy conviction
56%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
1
9
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.39 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-14
    Wells Fargo
    NeutralOverweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-07
    Seaport Global
    BuyNeutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.86x
    4.21x33.71x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.33x
    3.09x24.70x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.37x
    2.57x20.60x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.1%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.1%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -20.4%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    36.6%
    11.3%77.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    14.8%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.64x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Fox Corporation operates a media portfolio focused on news, sports, and entertainment across cable networks, television stations, and digital platforms. It generates revenue primarily from advertising, distribution fees, and content licensing; its assets include FOX News, FOX Sports, and FOX stations, along with the free ad-supported streaming platform Tubi and the direct-to-consumer streaming service FOX One. During fiscal year 2026, advertising revenue increased 7%, distribution revenue rose 4%, and content and other revenue grew 4%.

In Q4 of fiscal year 2026, total revenue increased 28% to $4.2 billion, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 27% to $1.2 billion, representing a calculated margin of approximately 28.6%. Net income attributable to Fox shareholders was approximately $691 million, or $1.61 per share, while adjusted earnings per share increased 41% to $1.79. Advertising revenue grew 78% and distribution revenue increased 5%, while content and other revenue declined to $262 million from $269 million due to the timing of sports sublicensing revenue.

The segment mix showed a clear divergence in Q4 of fiscal year 2026; Television segment revenue grew 45% and its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 129%, supported by the World Cup, political advertising, and Tubi. In contrast, Cable Network Programming revenue increased 9%, but segment earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 3% after expenses rose 20%. For fiscal year 2026, revenue exceeded $17 billion and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $3.9 billion, while net income totaled $1.7 billion and earnings per share were $3.84.

What's Driving the Stock

  • World Cup soccer broadcasts drove a 78% increase in advertising revenue in Q4 of fiscal year 2026 and a 108% increase in Television segment advertising revenue, contributing to total quarterly revenue of $4.2 billion. The tournament hub on Tubi also attracted more than 20 million viewers and helped FOX One acquire additional subscribers, with retention rates exceeding management's expectations.
  • Tubi achieved the highest revenue and streaming volume in its history in Q4 of fiscal year 2026; revenue growth accelerated to 35% and total viewing time increased 17%, while the platform ended the fiscal year with 110 million monthly active users. Management confirmed on August 6, 2026, that World Cup revenue represented a relatively small portion of Tubi's growth, indicating that the momentum did not depend on the tournament alone.
  • Fox launched FOX One during fiscal year 2026, and management stated that its performance exceeded expectations, with a positive contribution to distribution revenue and minimal cannibalization of the traditional pay-TV subscriber base. Net digital investment declined from just under $300 million in fiscal year 2025 to less than $200 million in fiscal year 2026, and management expects the bottom line of this portfolio to continue improving in fiscal year 2027.
  • Fiscal year 2027 began with advertising momentum driven by the remainder of the World Cup and the start of the midterm election cycle, after upfront advertising bookings achieved double-digit volume growth across sports, news, and Tubi. Management expects midterm election revenue to exceed the prior cycle's level of more than $260 million, compared with more than $400 million in political advertising during the 2024 presidential election.
  • Fox is awaiting completion of the announced acquisition of Roku, which management said on August 6, 2026, was proceeding according to plan and targeted to close in the first half of 2027 following approvals. The company believes the transaction will combine its live content and advertising relationships with Roku's scale in connected-TV distribution and its platform and subscription capabilities.
  • During fiscal year 2026, Fox returned approximately $2 billion through share repurchases and distributed around $243 million in cash, while also raising the semiannual dividend to $0.29 per share. Total capital returned to shareholders since the separation reached $10.7 billion, including $8.6 billion used to repurchase approximately 36% of total shares outstanding since the program began in November 2019.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fox reported record revenue exceeding $17 billion and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $3.9 billion in fiscal year 2026, with adjusted earnings per share growing 13% to $5.42. Revenue growth of 5%, despite comparison with a year that benefited from the Super Bowl and the presidential election, demonstrates the portfolio's ability to offset differences in the event calendar.
  • +Tubi provides the company with a large-scale digital growth engine; it reached 110 million monthly active users, grew revenue 35% in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, and was positive at the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization level in every quarter of the year. According to management, approximately 70% of its viewers do not use traditional cable subscriptions, expanding its advertising reach.
  • +FOX One provides additional distribution revenue from audiences outside the pay-TV ecosystem, with limited cannibalization of traditional customers and a subscriber churn rate below management's expectations. This coincided with annual digital investment declining to less than $200 million in fiscal year 2026, supporting the path toward improved profitability for the digital businesses.
  • +The financial position provides flexibility to fund the Roku transaction and continue share repurchases; Fox ended Q4 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately $4.2 billion in cash versus $6.6 billion in debt. Management said the repurchase program would continue during and after the transaction's pending period, despite expecting net leverage at closing to reach approximately 2.8 times.

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates FOXA as “Buy,” with an average price target of $70.38 and a wide target range from $60 to $82. The average target falls within the 52-week range of $48.34 to $76.39 and is approximately 7.9% below the top of that range, while the highest target exceeds the peak by approximately 7.3%; this dispersion reflects the balance between Tubi and FOX One growth and advertising momentum versus declining traditional distribution subscribers, sports costs, and execution risks related to the Roku transaction.

BuyAnalyst target: $70.38(+6.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove FOXA's results in Q4 of fiscal year 2026?

Fox revenue increased 28% to $4.2 billion in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 27% to $1.2 billion. World Cup broadcasts were the largest driver of the 78% surge in advertising revenue, alongside Tubi growth and political advertising at the stations. Adjusted earnings per share reached $1.79, up 41% from $1.27 in the comparable period.

Does Fox's digital growth depend solely on the World Cup?

Tubi achieved 35% revenue growth and a 17% increase in viewing time during Q4 of fiscal year 2026, reaching 110 million monthly active users. The World Cup hub on the platform attracted more than 20 million viewers, but management explained on August 6, 2026, that tournament revenue was relatively small within Tubi's total growth. FOX One also exceeded expectations, with additional subscribers and a churn rate below management's estimates.

Why is the Roku transaction important to FOXA investors?

Fox said on August 6, 2026, that the pending acquisition of Roku aims to expand its presence in connected-TV distribution, digital advertising, and subscriptions. The transaction was in the early stages of the approval process, with closing expected in the first half of 2027. Management expects net leverage to reach approximately 2.8 times at closing, so the transaction combines an opportunity to expand digital scale with approval, integration, and financing risks.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The traditional distribution business remains exposed to declining pay-TV subscribers; net subscriber losses among third-party distributors remained below 6.5% in Q4 of fiscal year 2026. Although price increases and FOX One growth offset the impact in that quarter, continued declines could increase the company's reliance on pricing and digital platforms to sustain distribution growth.
  • −The quarterly advertising surge depended on the World Cup, an event that does not recur annually; advertising revenue increased 78% in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, but management explained that tournament revenue was more heavily weighted toward fiscal year 2026 than fiscal year 2027. Subsequent comparisons after the tournament's impact ends therefore present a clear risk to the growth rate, even with support from the midterm elections.
  • −Sports rights and production costs are pressuring margins in some businesses; Cable Network Programming expenses increased 20% in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, causing segment earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to decline 3% despite 9% revenue growth. At the company level, quarterly expenses rose 28% due to World Cup rights, production costs, and FOX One growth.
  • −Tubi operates in a connected-TV advertising market that management described on August 6, 2026, as active, highly competitive, and price-sensitive, with new advertising inventory becoming available. Tubi grew revenue 35% without lowering its advertising rates, but continued pricing pressure or competition from larger platforms could weaken future growth.
  • −The Roku transaction carries approval, execution, and financing risks; as of August 6, 2026, the transaction was still in the early stages of the approval process, with closing targeted for the first half of 2027. Management expects net leverage to be approximately 2.8 times at closing, increasing reliance on achieving the anticipated operational and financial benefits from combining the two platforms.
  • −The range of analyst targets from $60 to $82 reflects substantial variation in estimates of FOXA's value, while the average target is $70.38. The average target is also approximately 7.9% below the 52-week high of $76.39, so rerating potential may be limited if advertising momentum slows or the benefits of Roku and FOX One do not materialize as expected.
How do Tubi and FOX One affect Fox's profitability?

Tubi was positive at the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization level in every quarter of fiscal year 2026, alongside 35% revenue growth in the final quarter. FOX One exceeded management's expectations and contributed to distribution revenue with minimal cannibalization of pay-TV subscribers. Combined digital investment declined from just under $300 million in fiscal year 2025 to less than $200 million in fiscal year 2026, and management expects continued improvement in fiscal year 2027.

What are the main growth drivers and risks in fiscal year 2027?

Management expects Q1 of fiscal year 2027 to benefit from the remainder of World Cup revenue, in addition to midterm election advertising that is expected to exceed the more than $260 million recorded in the prior cycle. Upfront advertising bookings also achieved double-digit volume growth across sports, news, and Tubi, and the company expects distribution revenue growth in both the Cable Network Programming and Television segments. In contrast, World Cup revenue will carry less weight in fiscal year 2027 than in fiscal year 2026, while subscriber declines among third-party distributors continue amid strong competition in the connected-TV market.

How did Fox return capital to shareholders during fiscal year 2026?

The company repurchased $2 billion of shares during fiscal year 2026 and paid approximately $243 million in cash dividends. It also raised the semiannual dividend to $0.29 per share, bringing total capital returned since the separation to $10.7 billion. This total included $8.6 billion in share repurchases, representing approximately 36% of total shares outstanding since the program launched in November 2019.