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Stocks
Fox Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 6/8Better than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
14.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
22
5.1%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
69
18.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
74
0.7x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
40
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
62
4.4%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
74
4▲3Top tier
FOX

FOX Fox Corporation

Fox Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
58.45
▲ ⁦+0.67%⁩ (+0.39)
Market Cap$25.6B
Beta0.58
52w Low52w High
44.0868.18
Last Week
⁦-3.34%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.43%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.74%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.84%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$58
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$80
⁦+37%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$71–$93⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$50
⁦-14%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$50–$80⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$81.33
⁦+39.1%⁩
Current Price $58.45·Median $80.00
Low
$71.00
High
$93.00
Current price
$58.45
Average target
$81.33
Street summary

FOX Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

FOX has seen a notable upward revision in its average price target over the past 30 days, with the consensus rising by 14.55% from $71 to $81.33. This shift reflects technical optimism despite recent rating divergences; in mid-August 2026, Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to "Overweight," while UBS took a more conservative stance by adjusting its rating to "Neutral."

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+14.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
67%
High
Rating activity · 30d
2↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
38%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
1
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-14
    UBS
    BuyNeutral
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-14
    Wells Fargo
    UnderweightOverweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.72x
    4.21x33.71x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.04x
    3.09x24.70x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.26x
    2.57x20.60x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.8%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.1%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -19.1%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    49.4%
    11.3%77.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    18.9%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.73x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Fox Corporation operates in media and sports, news, and entertainment broadcasting through FOX Sports, FOX News, and television stations, alongside the digital streaming platforms Tubi, FOX One, and FOX Nation and the digital assets of FOX News and FOX Sports. The company generates revenue primarily from advertising, distribution fees, content sales, and sublicensing rights; in fiscal year 2026, advertising revenue increased 7%, distribution revenue rose 4%, and content and other revenue grew 4%.

In Q4 of fiscal year 2026, total revenue increased 28% to $4.2 billion, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization improved 27% to $1.2 billion, representing a margin of approximately 28.6%. Net income attributable to Fox shareholders was approximately $691 million, or $1.61 per share, compared with $717 million and $1.57 per share in the comparable period, while adjusted earnings per share increased 41% to $1.79.

The Television segment led the growth mix in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, with revenue rising 45% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increasing 129%, driven by a 108% increase in advertising revenue due to the World Cup, political advertising at the stations, and Tubi growth. In contrast, Cable Network Programming segment revenue increased 9%, but adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 3%, as a 20% increase in expenses related to sports rights and World Cup production exceeded revenue growth.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Fiscal year 2026 generated record revenue exceeding $17 billion and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $3.9 billion, representing growth of 5% and 8%, respectively, even though the comparable year benefited from the Super Bowl and the presidential election.
  • Broadcasting the 2026 Men's World Cup increased advertising revenue in Q4 of fiscal year 2026 by 78% and helped Fox rank first among all networks in live sports consumption during fiscal year 2026, while also supporting new subscriber acquisition for FOX One at retention rates that exceeded management's expectations.
  • In Q4 of fiscal year 2026, Tubi recorded the highest quarterly viewership and revenue in its history; revenue grew 35%, viewing time increased 17%, and monthly active users reached 110 million, while the platform's World Cup hub attracted more than 20 million viewers.
  • FOX One's growth exceeded management's expectations and made a positive contribution to distribution revenue, while company data showed that its subscribers are incremental and come from outside the traditional pay-TV ecosystem, with a churn rate well below expectations. Total digital investment declined from just under $300 million in fiscal year 2025 to less than $200 million in fiscal year 2026, and management expects further improvement in fiscal year 2027.
  • Fox entered fiscal year 2027 with advertising momentum that included double-digit growth in upfront booking volumes across sports, news, and Tubi. Management expects advertising revenue from the 2026 midterm election cycle to exceed the $260 million recorded in the previous midterm cycle, benefiting from a U.S. political market in which spending could exceed $11 billion.
  • Fox announced its pending acquisition of Roku and expects to close the transaction in the first half of calendar year 2027 after completing the approval process. Management believes that combining Fox's live content with Roku's platform and connected-TV distribution could expand the reach of digital advertising and subscriptions.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The combination of live sports and widely followed news provides tangible pricing and advertising power; advertising revenue increased 78% in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, while FOX News Media added approximately 400 new advertisers during the year and recorded record quarterly and annual revenue.
  • +Digital growth has become more efficient, as Tubi was profitable on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization basis in every quarter of fiscal year 2026, while combined digital investment fell below $200 million as Tubi and FOX One outperformed expectations.
  • +Liquidity of $4.2 billion at the end of Q4 of fiscal year 2026 supports the capital-return policy; the company repurchased $2 billion of shares during the year and raised its semiannual dividend to $0.29 per share, bringing total capital returned to shareholders since the separation to $10.7 billion.
  • +Growth in midterm election advertising and the continuation of a portion of World Cup revenue into Q1 of fiscal year 2027 provide cyclical support, alongside management's expectation for distribution revenue growth in both the Cable Network Programming and Television segments and improved bottom-line results from the digital portfolio.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $81.33, within a range of $71 to $93, compared with a 52-week range of $44.08 to $68.175; even the lowest target is above the top of this range. However, the “Neutral” consensus and the breadth of the target range reflect caution regarding the sustainability of World Cup-driven growth, declining cable subscribers, and execution risks related to the Roku transaction, so a re-rating depends on continued growth in Tubi, FOX One, and advertising without comparable pressure from rights costs.

HoldAnalyst target: $81.33(+39.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove FOX's results in Q4 of fiscal year 2026?

Total revenue increased 28% to $4.2 billion, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 27% to $1.2 billion. The largest driver was a 78% increase in advertising revenue due to the broadcast of the 2026 Men's World Cup, Tubi's growth, and advertising trends across Fox's portfolio. Adjusted earnings per share also increased 41% to $1.79, exceeding the $1.34 expectation included in the August 6, 2026 data.

Has Tubi become an important financial driver for Fox?

In Q4 of fiscal year 2026, Tubi recorded the highest quarterly revenue and viewership in its history, with revenue growth of 35% and a 17% increase in viewing time. The platform ended fiscal year 2026 with 110 million monthly active users, and its World Cup hub attracted more than 20 million viewers. Tubi was also profitable on an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization basis in every quarter of fiscal year 2026, while management explained that World Cup revenue represented a relatively small portion of its overall growth.

How does FOX One affect the traditional pay-TV business?

Management said on the August 6, 2026 call that FOX One exceeded expectations and made a meaningful positive contribution to distribution revenue. Company data showed that the service's subscribers are incremental and come from outside the traditional video distributor ecosystem, with minimal substitution of the pay-TV business. Churn was also well below management's expectations, and this trend continued in Q1 of fiscal year 2027.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The decline in subscribers to external cable distributors remains just under 6.5%, and price increases offset this decline in Q4 of fiscal year 2026; continued subscriber losses could pressure distribution revenue if pricing and FOX One are no longer sufficient to compensate.
  • −The surge in Q4 of fiscal year 2026 depended heavily on the World Cup, an event management described as unique, and its revenue was weighted more toward fiscal year 2026 than fiscal year 2027. It is therefore difficult to assume that quarterly revenue growth of 28% or advertising growth of 78% will continue after the tournament's impact fades.
  • −Sports programming rights and production costs, particularly for the World Cup, increased Cable Network Programming segment expenses by 20% and caused its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to decline 3% despite 9% revenue growth. At the company level, expenses increased 28% in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, highlighting the sensitivity of profitability to rights costs and major events.
  • −According to management, Tubi faces a highly competitive and price-sensitive connected-TV advertising market as new advertising inventory becomes available. Despite Tubi's 35% revenue growth, pricing competition could limit advertising rates or the efficiency with which viewership growth is converted into revenue.
  • −The Roku acquisition remains in the early approval stage, and the company expects it to close in the first half of calendar year 2027 with net leverage of approximately 2.8 times at closing. This adds approval, execution, and large-scale platform integration risks, even as management maintains that the transaction structure preserves capital-allocation flexibility.
  • −The analyst consensus rating on FOX shares is “Neutral” despite an average price target of $81.33, with a relatively wide range of $71 to $93. Both the average target and the lowest target also exceed the upper end of the 52-week range of $68.175, meaning that achieving analysts' targets assumes a re-rating that requires strong results to continue after the World Cup boost fades.
What is the impact of the World Cup on FOX's future results?

The World Cup supported 78% advertising revenue growth in Q4 of fiscal year 2026, boosted subscriber acquisition for FOX One, and helped Tubi record two of the highest-traffic days in its history. The tournament's contribution will extend into Q1 of fiscal year 2027, but management explained that its total revenue is weighted more toward fiscal year 2026. The event therefore represents a powerful but nonrecurring catalyst, and the growth rates from Q4 of fiscal year 2026 should not be automatically extrapolated to subsequent periods.

What does the proposed Roku transaction mean for FOX shareholders?

Fox expects to close its pending acquisition of Roku in the first half of calendar year 2027, with the transaction remaining in the early approval stage according to the August 6, 2026 call. The transaction aims to combine Fox's live content with Roku's open platform and its scale in connected-TV distribution, advertising, and subscriptions. Management expects net leverage to be approximately 2.8 times at closing, with the share repurchase program continuing during and after the transaction's pending period.

Can Fox continue returning capital to shareholders?

Fox ended Q4 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately $4.2 billion of liquidity and $6.6 billion of debt. It repurchased $2 billion of shares during fiscal year 2026 and paid approximately $243 million in dividends, then raised its semiannual dividend to $0.29 per share. Since the repurchase program began in November 2019, cumulative purchases have reached $8.6 billion, equivalent to approximately 36% of total shares outstanding, as part of the $10.7 billion returned to shareholders since the separation.