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Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
FND

FND Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
47.34
▲ ⁦+1.00%⁩ (+0.47)
Market Cap$5.0B
Beta1.57
52w Low52w High
42.6492.41
Last Week
⁦-0.84%⁩
Last Month
⁦-21.09%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-6.48%⁩
Last Year
⁦-43.41%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall47
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 7/9Grey zoneBetter than 47% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
57
22.0x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
54
2.4%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
55
5.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
70
3.1x▼2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
34
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
12
-24.0%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
85
15▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$47
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$62
⁦+30%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$41–$75⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$20
⁦-57%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.4⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$20–$62⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$60.83
⁦+28.5%⁩
Current Price $47.34·Median $61.50
Low
$41.00
High
$75.00
Current price
$47.34
Average target
$60.83
Street summary

Floor & Decor (FND) Price Target Review

Floor & Decor stock saw a 3.61% decline in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus falling from $64 to $61.69, while this valuation remained unchanged over the last week. This adjustment reflects a more conservative outlook from analysts, particularly given the significant dispersion in estimates (a wide price range between $41 and $75), which indicates uncertainty regarding the stock's fair valuation despite revenue and annual EPS growth projections through 2028.

As of 2026-08-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.13
Hold
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
30%
Target dispersion
72%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
1
6
13
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.16 → 3.13
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Telsey Advisory Group
    Outperform
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.02x
    4.56x36.49x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    22.17x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.23x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.2%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.4%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    10.3%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    44.9%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    5.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.07x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.50
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) sells hard-surface flooring and installation materials through warehouse-format stores and digital channels, serving two core customer groups: professionals and homeowners. Its assortment includes tile, wood, vinyl, laminate, and installation materials, with tile representing its largest category, while Spartan Surfaces adds exposure to commercial projects. In Q2 fiscal 2026, professional sales accounted for approximately 55% of total sales, and online sales contributed 20.3%, illustrating the revenue model’s reliance on stores alongside the growing role of the digital channel.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, sales increased 3% to $1.2503 billion, despite a 2.1% decline in comparable-store sales due to continued weakness in large discretionary flooring projects. Gross profit according to EDGAR filings was approximately $603.1 million, equivalent to a gross margin of about 48.2%, but this figure benefited from an IEEPA tariff refund; excluding this impact, adjusted gross margin was 43.7%, down 20 basis points year over year. Net income reached $95.9 million and GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.89, while adjusted diluted earnings per share were unchanged year over year at $0.58, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 12.2% versus 12.4% in the comparable period.

The sales mix showed clear divergence: professional sales grew by approximately 4%, and installation materials, tile, and wood outperformed the company, while vinyl remained under pressure from slowing demand and industry oversupply. Comparable-store sales improved progressively from a decline of 5.1% in April 2026 to 1.3% in May and 0.3% in June, while the decline in comparable transactions narrowed to 2.9% and the average ticket increased 0.8%. Spartan Surfaces sales rose 2% year over year as backlog converted into revenue, but the business remained exposed to variability in commercial project markets, particularly multifamily housing.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The comparable-store sales trend improved during Q2 fiscal 2026 from a decline of 5.1% in April to 0.3% in June, after the quarterly decline was 2.1% versus 3.7% in Q1 fiscal 2026; however, comparable sales from the beginning of Q3 fiscal 2026 through the July 30, 2026 call were down 2.2%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The professional category continued to outperform, growing approximately 4% and accounting for about 55% of sales, supported by strong growth in installation materials and expansion of the supply center strategy. The company also increased the number of regional commercial account managers to 80 employees, with the focus shifting toward increasing their productivity.
  • The company launched NatureMatch in June 2026 with approximately 100 stock-keeping units across porcelain tile, luxury vinyl plank, and waterproof laminate, aiming to offer the appearance of natural wood and stone at a more accessible price and strengthen cross-selling across categories.
  • Online sales penetration reached 20.3% in Q2 fiscal 2026, versus 18.6% a year earlier and up 110 basis points from Q1 fiscal 2026. The company is executing an 18-to-24-month digital transformation after its research showed that 70% to 80% of homeowners research online before visiting a store, with a new professional app targeted for launch in 2027.
  • Floor & Decor opened eleven warehouse stores during the first half of fiscal 2026, including five in Q2, and approximately 55% of the locations planned for the year were open versus 35% in the comparable period. The average size of the fiscal 2026 store class is approximately 55 thousand square feet, allowing entry into higher-density markets while maintaining, according to management, sales productivity.
  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 earnings-per-share outlook following Q2 results that exceeded its expectations and a greater impact from share repurchases, setting sales at between $4.770 billion and $4.990 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share at between $1.88 and $2.13. Fiscal 2026 includes a fifty-third week expected to add approximately $65 million to sales, $11 million to adjusted EBITDA, and $0.08 to adjusted diluted earnings per share.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The pace of improvement during Q2 fiscal 2026 demonstrates the ability of internal initiatives to mitigate market weakness; the comparable-store sales decline narrowed from 5.1% in April to 0.3% in June, and comparable transactions improved to a decline of 2.9% versus 5.5% in the previous quarter.
    • +Professionals provide a more resilient demand base, as their sales grew approximately 4% and represented about 55% of sales, with strong performance in installation materials and the potential to sell tile, wood, and other categories to the same customer.
    • +Liquidity supports investment flexibility and shareholder returns; the company generated $278.4 million in operating cash flow during the 26 weeks of fiscal 2026 versus $155.3 million in the comparable period and ended the quarter with unrestricted liquidity of $942.4 million. It also repurchased 1.3 million shares for $65.7 million, with $334.3 million remaining under the authorization.
    • +NatureMatch, the reset of the vinyl and laminate assortment, and the 18-to-24-month digital transformation provide company-specific drivers that do not depend entirely on a housing-market recovery. This is supported by the increase in online penetration to 20.3% and the quarterly and annual increase in the penetration of products classified in the “better” and “best” tiers.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Demand for large discretionary flooring projects remains weak amid existing-home sales activity near 4 million units annually in June 2026 and housing affordability challenges. This was reflected in a 2.1% decline in comparable-store sales in Q2 fiscal 2026, while full-year guidance assumes a range from flat to down 4%.
    • −The vinyl and laminate category, the company’s second-largest category, faces oversupply and downward pricing pressure that has reduced the products’ relative market value within the quality ladder. Management expects pressure on vinyl to persist through at least the first half of 2027, with a negative impact on the average ticket because purchases in this category are typically associated with larger projects.
    • −Underlying operating margins appear under pressure despite sales growth; adjusted gross margin declined 20 basis points to 43.7%, and adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 12.2% from 12.4%. Management expects adjusted gross margin of between 43.6% and 43.8% for fiscal 2026 and stated that the Q1 margin of 44.0% is likely to be the highest level during the year.
    • −Expense growth exceeded revenue growth in Q2 fiscal 2026; selling, general, and administrative expenses increased 6.3% versus sales growth of 3%, and their efficiency as a percentage of sales deteriorated by 120 basis points to 38.3%. One-time IEEPA tariff refund costs contributed approximately 110 basis points of this deterioration, but the twenty-four stores opened since the comparable period also increased the cost base.
    • −Results are exposed to inflation, supply-chain costs, and tariff volatility; the company began seeing higher domestic transportation costs due to freight capacity and used IEEPA tariff refund benefits to offset oil and supply-chain inflation and selective pricing investments. As these benefits subside after fiscal 2026, maintaining margins and competitive pricing could become more difficult if cost pressures persist.
    • −

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $60.83 within a wide range of $41 to $75; the average is approximately 34% below the 52-week range high of $92.405, while the low end is slightly below the range low of $42.64. This dispersion reflects the market’s balancing of improving comparable sales, growth in the professional business, and cash flow on one side against weak flooring projects and pressure on vinyl and margins on the other; the available data do not provide a valid earnings multiple to use as an additional valuation anchor.

    HoldAnalyst target: $60.83(+28.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving FND stock results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Floor & Decor sales increased 3% to $1.2503 billion, but comparable-store sales declined 2.1% due to weakness in large discretionary flooring projects. Professional sales grew approximately 4% and represented nearly 55% of the total, while installation materials, tile, and wood outperformed the company average. The monthly comparable-sales decline improved from 5.1% in April 2026 to 0.3% in June, indicating sequential improvement during the quarter without overall performance turning to positive comparable growth.

    Does earnings per share of $0.89 reflect recurring operating performance?

    GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.89 in Q2 fiscal 2026, but they included a net after-tax benefit of $32.9 million related to an IEEPA tariff refund and a debt extinguishment loss. Together, these items contributed $0.31 to earnings per share, resulting in adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.58, unchanged year over year. Gross profit also included a one-time benefit of $56 million related to inventory previously sold, making the adjusted metrics more representative of the period’s underlying performance.

    How important are NatureMatch and the digital transformation to Floor & Decor’s growth?

    The company launched NatureMatch in June 2026 with approximately 100 stock-keeping units, including porcelain tile, luxury vinyl plank, and waterproof laminate. The collection aims to combine designs that replicate natural wood and stone with a more accessible price point while creating cross-selling opportunities across categories. At the same time, online penetration increased to 20.3% of sales, and the company is executing an 18-to-24-month digital transformation and targeting the launch of a professional app in 2027.

    Why does the vinyl and laminate category represent a significant risk to FND?

    Vinyl and laminate are Floor & Decor’s second-largest category, and vinyl is the only category management said is facing clear downward pressure. This reflects slowing demand and oversupply, with some products previously classified in the mid-quality tier now priced as though they were in the entry tier. The company responded with selective pricing, opportunistic purchases, and an assortment reset, but management expects the pressure to extend through at least the first half of 2027.

    What is Floor & Decor’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects sales of between $4.770 billion and $4.990 billion, annual growth of between 1.8% and 6.5%, and comparable-store sales ranging from flat to down 4%. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $550 million and $585 million, and adjusted diluted earnings per share between $1.88 and $2.13. Fiscal 2026 includes a fifty-third week expected to add approximately $65 million to sales, $11 million to adjusted EBITDA, and $0.08 to adjusted diluted earnings per share.

    Does Floor & Decor have sufficient liquidity to open stores and repurchase shares?

    The company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with unrestricted liquidity of $942.4 million, including $320.6 million in cash and $621.8 million of available capacity under an asset-based credit facility. Operating cash flow during the 26 weeks was $278.4 million versus $155.3 million in the comparable period, with inventory increasing only 0.7% from December 25, 2025. The company repurchased 1.3 million shares for $65.7 million, with $334.3 million remaining under the authorization, while fiscal 2026 capital expenditure guidance ranged between $240 million and $275 million.

    Floor & Decor operates in a competitive market in which management indicates independents account for approximately 60%, in addition to big-box retailers that compete at opening price points and in installation materials. Although management had not observed disruptive pricing behavior outside vinyl and laminate as of the July 30, 2026 call, the strong relationships between independents and professional customers limit the ease of capturing market share.