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Home
Stocks
Five Below, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9SafeBetter than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
43
21.9x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
89
25.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
77
12.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
78
1.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
47
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
83
63.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
67
14▲3Top tier
FIVE

FIVE Five Below, Inc.

Five Below, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
244.60
▲ ⁦+1.38%⁩ (+3.32)
Market Cap$13.3B
Beta0.99
52w Low52w High
137.77263.88
Last Week
⁦+1.93%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.42%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+8.12%⁩
Last Year
⁦+63.03%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$245
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$295
⁦+21%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$224–$420⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$152
⁦-38%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.8⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$152–$295⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$298.60
⁦+22.1%⁩
Current Price $244.60·Median $295.00
Low
$224.00
High
$420.00
Current price
$244.60
Average target
$298.60
Street summary

Target-price consensus rises while dispersion remains high

Bullish tilt

The target-price consensus rose to 298.6 from 249.56 on August 11, 2026, an increase of 49.04 or 19.65% over 30 days. The consensus remained unchanged over the last 7 days, while the number of analysts also stayed at 7, indicating stability in the latest revision rather than a broader coverage base. The range is between 224 and 420, with a median of 295, reflecting clear dispersion among estimates compared with the current price of 241.28.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+19.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.76
Buy
Analyst coverage
25
Buy conviction
68%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
80%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time25 analysts rating
2
15
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.72 → 3.76
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Craig-Hallum
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Guggenheim
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.88x
    4.56x36.49x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    25.72x
    3.79x30.29x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.50x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.5%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    25.6%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    125.4%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    40.3%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    12.9%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.18x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    5.29
    -2.656.14
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-02 data

Company Overview

Five Below operates a retail store network focused on value and trendy products aimed at children, Gen Alpha and Gen Z customers, and their families. Its model relies on driving visits through rapid assortment refreshes, product-related stories and events, and social and digital marketing, then converting that interest into in-store transactions; the assortment includes toys, collectibles, crafts, room décor, accessories, technology, candy, and snacks. The company ended the second quarter of fiscal 2026 with 2,022 stores, after opening 52 net new stores during the quarter, reaching its 2,000th store in July 2026, and entering Idaho in August 2026.

In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, net sales rose 23% to $1.3 billion, supported by comparable sales growth of slightly more than 14% and unit growth of approximately 9%. Growth was driven primarily by increased transactions and customer traffic and extended across customer segments, regions, and product categories, from toys and collectibles to technology, snacks, and room décor, rather than depending on a single category. Two-year cumulative comparable sales growth reached 26.5%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.

On an adjusted basis, gross profit increased 31% to $449 million, and gross margin expanded 220 basis points to 35.6%, driven by improved merchandise margin, fixed-cost leverage, and a better shrink provision. Selling, general, and administrative expenses declined by 140 basis points as a percentage of sales to 26.6%, while adjusted operating income more than doubled to $113 million, with operating margin rising 360 basis points to 9%. Adjusted net income also more than doubled to $93 million, and adjusted earnings per share reached $1.68, while EDGAR data for the twelve-month period ending in fiscal 2026 shows revenue of $5.3 billion, net income of $619.2 million, and earnings per share of approximately $11.16.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Five Below raised its fiscal 2026 outlook following a strong first half; it expects sales between $5.63 billion and $5.71 billion, year-over-year growth of approximately 19% at the midpoint, and comparable sales growth between 10% and 12%. It also expects adjusted earnings per share of $10.07 at the midpoint, representing 51% growth over fiscal 2025.
  • Management expects third-quarter fiscal 2026 sales between $1.21 billion and $1.23 billion, equivalent to growth of approximately 18% at the midpoint, with comparable sales growth between 8% and 10%. It expects an adjusted operating margin of approximately 6%, up 160 basis points, adjusted net income of approximately $59 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $1.07 at the midpoint.
  • New and licensed assortments are driving customer traffic, including FIFA, NBA, Toy Story, Spider-Man, and Netflix K-Pop Demon Hunters products, alongside Asian food and Squishy Dumplings. However, management explained that Squishy Dumplings contributed only a low-single-digit percentage to comparable sales growth during the second quarter of fiscal 2026, indicating that the direct growth impact was broader than a single popular product.
  • Geographic expansion remains a tangible driver; the company opened 52 net new stores across 26 states during the second quarter of fiscal 2026, compared with 32 stores a year earlier, and is targeting 150 net openings during fiscal 2026. It also plans to enter Puerto Rico in the second half of 2027 with a limited initial number of stores, while continuing to fill out its presence in the Pacific Northwest.
  • The company is investing in redesigning the Five Beyond space and converting it into more open areas that bring together toys, collectibles, and crafts, at an estimated capital cost between $40,000 and $45,000 per store. The program contributed to raising the fiscal 2026 capital expenditure outlook to a range between $250 million and $260 million, alongside improvements to the digital experience and BOPIS and third-party delivery services.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Growth demonstrated notable breadth and quality in the second quarter of fiscal 2026: sales rose 23%, comparable sales increased by slightly more than 14%, and the increase was driven primarily by customer traffic and transactions across regions, income segments, and product categories.
  • +The profitability model demonstrated strong operating leverage, as adjusted gross margin expanded 220 basis points to 35.6%, the ratio of selling, general, and administrative expenses declined 140 basis points, and adjusted operating margin rose 360 basis points to 9%. For fiscal 2026, the company expects adjusted operating margin to expand by approximately 250 basis points to around 12.5% at the midpoint.
  • +Store growth provides an additional path that does not depend solely on comparable sales; unit count increased by approximately 9% during the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and management confirmed that the productivity of the 2025 and 2026 store cohorts exceeded expected historical performance. The company is allocating a significant portion of its capital expenditures to opening 150 net new stores in fiscal 2026.
  • +Liquidity supports the company’s ability to fund expansion and return capital at the same time; it ended the second quarter of fiscal 2026 with approximately $1.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents and investments, including $170 million in pre-tax IEEPA refunds. After repurchasing approximately 311 thousand shares for nearly $60 million during the quarter, the board approved a new $600 million share repurchase authorization with no expiration date.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $298.6 and a wide range between $224 and $420; the average is approximately 13% above the 52-week range high of $263.88, while the range low is $137.77. This wide divergence indicates that the valuation is highly sensitive to the sustainability of double-digit comparable sales growth, achieving expected adjusted earnings per share of $10.07 in fiscal 2026, and maintaining margin expansion despite fuel costs and tariffs; the available information does not include a published price-to-earnings multiple that can be used as a reference.

BuyAnalyst target: $298.6(+22.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-04; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove FIVE’s results in the second quarter of fiscal 2026?

Net sales rose 23% to $1.3 billion, with comparable sales growth of slightly more than 14% and unit growth of approximately 9%. The improvement was driven primarily by increased customer traffic and transactions and extended across regions, customer segments, and product categories. Adjusted gross profit increased 31% to $449 million, while adjusted operating margin expanded to 9%. Adjusted earnings per share reached $1.68, more than double the level a year earlier.

Does Five Below’s growth depend solely on Squishy Dumplings?

Second-quarter fiscal 2026 data does not indicate that direct growth depended on a single product, as management said Squishy Dumplings contributed only a low-single-digit percentage to comparable sales growth. Its indirect impact was greater through attracting visits and enhancing brand awareness, but customers also purchased toys, collectibles, crafts, technology, snacks, and room décor. Licensed assortments included FIFA, NBA, Toy Story, Spider-Man, and Netflix K-Pop Demon Hunters. This broad assortment supports the strategy of shifting from selling individual items to interconnected product stories and collections.

What is Five Below’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

The company expects fiscal 2026 sales between $5.63 billion and $5.71 billion, representing growth of approximately 19% at the midpoint. It expects comparable sales growth between 10% and 12% and an adjusted operating margin of approximately 12.5% at the midpoint after expansion of approximately 250 basis points. The adjusted earnings per share estimate is $10.07 at the midpoint, representing 51% growth over fiscal 2025. This outlook excludes IEEPA tariff refunds and any future share repurchases.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The expected comparable sales trajectory is slowing relative to the strength of the second quarter of fiscal 2026; after growth of slightly more than 14%, management expects 8% to 10% in the third quarter and approximately 3% implicitly in the fourth quarter. The expected fourth-quarter slowdown is also related to a difficult comparison against 15% growth a year earlier, but it raises the burden of proving the momentum can be sustained during the holiday season.
  • −Margins remain exposed to tariff and transportation costs; higher fuel costs offset part of the second-quarter fiscal 2026 margin gains, and management expects elevated fuel costs to limit the extent to which tariff savings flow through to second-half margins. It also indicated that expected Section 301 rates in 2027 are slightly higher than the temporary rates under Section 122, despite expressing confidence in its ability to manage this through cost management.
  • −Maintaining store growth and investing in the experience require execution-intensive efforts; the company raised its capital expenditure outlook to $250–260 million for fiscal 2026, and the plan includes 150 new stores and redesigns costing $40,000–$45,000 per store. Management confirmed that it will not lower site standards or lease requirements, making the pace of expansion dependent on the availability of suitable real estate and the ability of operating teams to maintain execution quality.
  • −The fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 faces seasonal competition and operational pressure because a large volume of sales is concentrated within a short period. Management built an expectation of approximately 3% comparable sales growth for that quarter despite broader assortments, explicitly citing intense competition and the volume of business that Five Below and others must execute during the holiday season.
  • −Some growth tools remain in their early stages; management said that customer data collection, marketing personalization, and understanding in-store shopping journeys have not yet reached an advanced stage. Details concerning the operation of the full suite of BOPIS and delivery services during the holiday season, as well as their costs and margins, were also still being developed as of September 2, 2026.
  • −The wide range of analyst targets, from $224 to $420, reveals substantial disagreement over the pace of growth and the sustainability of margins. The average target of $298.6 is above the 52-week range high of $263.88, so reaching consensus valuations requires continued transaction growth, successful expansion, and delivery of margin expectations, rather than merely repeating a one-quarter earnings surge.
How will Five Below expand its store network?

The company ended the second quarter of fiscal 2026 with 2,022 stores after opening 52 net new stores across 26 states during the quarter. It is targeting 150 net openings in fiscal 2026, including approximately 40 stores in the third quarter. It entered Idaho in August 2026 and continues to seek opportunities to fill out its presence in the Pacific Northwest. It also plans to launch a limited number of stores in Puerto Rico during the second half of 2027 using a gradual and disciplined approach.

What are FIVE’s main margin risks following the second-quarter improvement?

Adjusted gross margin expanded 220 basis points to 35.6% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, driven by improved merchandise margin, fixed-cost leverage, and a better shrink provision. However, higher fuel costs offset part of the improvement, and management expects this pressure to continue in the second half of fiscal 2026. Section 301 rates in 2027 may also be slightly higher than the temporary rates under Section 122. In addition, the Five Beyond redesign program requires capital investment between $40,000 and $45,000 per store.

What do liquidity and share repurchases mean for FIVE shareholders?

Five Below ended the second quarter of fiscal 2026 with approximately $1.2 billion in cash and cash equivalents and investments, including $170 million in pre-tax IEEPA refunds. It repurchased approximately 311 thousand shares for nearly $60 million during the quarter under the previous $100 million authorization. The board then approved a new $600 million authorization with no expiration date, while affirming that investment in stores and the customer experience remains the priority. Insider activity during the three months through June 29, 2026, recorded one purchase and no sales, providing an overall neutral signal.