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Stocks
F5, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall94
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9Better than 94% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
27
32.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
64
9.4%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
93
16.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
84
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
79
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
90
30.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
45
9▲3Around median
FFIV

FFIV F5, Inc.

F5, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
411.71
▲ ⁦+3.32%⁩ (+13.23)
Market Cap$23.2B
Beta1.03
52w Low52w High
223.76435.00
Last Week
⁦+5.28%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.33%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+7.38%⁩
Last Year
⁦+30.47%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$412
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$450
⁦+9%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$300–$475⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$342
⁦-17%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦8.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$342–$450⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$416.60
⁦+1.2%⁩
Current Price $411.71·Median $450.00
Low
$300.00
High
$475.00
Current price
$411.71
Average target
$416.60
Street summary

Consensus Stability Amid Wider Target Dispersion

The consensus price target remained unchanged at 416.6 over the last 30 days, approximately 4.6% above the current price of 398.48. However, the number of analysts increased from 4 to 5 over 30 days, then declined from 6 to 5 during the last day, with no impact on the consensus; this indicates a stable figure alongside a limited change in the coverage base. The target range remains wide, between 300 and 475, while the median stands at 450, reflecting notable divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.46
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦13 (-1)⁩
Buy conviction
38%
Target dispersion
43%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
3
2
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.53 → 3.46
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    Needham
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    Bank of America Securities
    Underperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    32.55x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    22.88x
    5.19x41.53x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    24.05x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    4.4%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.4%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    11.2%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    81.9%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    16.9%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-27 data

Company Overview

F5, Inc. provides application delivery and security solutions across on-premises, cloud, and hybrid multi-cloud environments, positioning its platform in front of applications and APIs to manage and protect traffic. Its revenue model is split among software systems, hardware systems, and support services; in Q3 fiscal 2026, product revenue accounted for 54% of total revenue and services for 46%, while 69% of revenue came from recurring sources. Its portfolio includes BIG-IP, Distributed Cloud Services, NGINX, and F5 Insight, alongside AI Guardrails and AI Red Team for protecting AI applications and models.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, revenue rose 11% year over year to $865 million, exceeding the high end of the company’s guidance, supported by 19% growth in product revenue to $463 million, compared with 3% growth in services to $402 million. Systems revenue reached $240 million, up 32%, and software revenue reached $223 million, up 7%; within software, subscriptions totaled $201 million, grew 9%, and accounted for 90% of software revenue, while perpetual licenses declined 4% to $22 million.

F5 recorded a GAAP gross margin of 82.2% and an operating margin of 24.7% in Q3 fiscal 2026, with net income of $208 million and earnings per share of $3.62. On a non-GAAP basis, gross margin was 84.2% and operating margin was 35%, while net income reached $272 million and earnings per share reached $4.73, up 14% year over year. The company generated $316 million in operating cash flow and $281 million in free cash flow, and ended the period with $1.63 billion in cash and investments and $2.19 billion in deferred revenue, up 12% year over year.

What's Driving the Stock

  • F5 raised its fiscal 2026 revenue growth outlook to approximately 9%–10% from 7%–8%, and raised its non-GAAP earnings per share range to $17.21–$17.33 from $16.25–$16.55. For Q4 fiscal 2026, it expects revenue between $870 million and $890 million, representing year-over-year growth of slightly less than 9% at the midpoint, with a non-GAAP gross margin between 83% and 84%.
  • The systems business represents the strongest growth driver, with revenue rising 32% in Q3 fiscal 2026, while hardware growth exceeded 30% during the first three quarters of fiscal 2026. Management attributes this to the iSeries replacement cycle, expansion accompanying upgrades, workload repatriation to data centers, digital sovereignty requirements, and the need for higher-performance appliances for AI traffic.
  • The cumulative number of customers using direct AI use cases rose 50% during Q3 fiscal 2026, and the number of AI security customers doubled during the same period. The company had previously surpassed the $50 million threshold in revenue from direct AI use cases, while wins during the period included AI Guardrails, AI Red Team, AI data delivery, and AI factory load-balancing business.
  • AI-powered WAF, launched in Q2 fiscal 2026, had been adopted by 15% of Distributed Cloud WAF customers by Q3 fiscal 2026, with 75% of adopters using it in blocking mode rather than monitoring mode. F5’s acquisition of SurePath AI during Q3 fiscal 2026 also added discovery capabilities to its AI security platform, at a time when the company said application-layer attacks had risen 140% over three years, compared with more than 60% for attacks on IT assets overall.
  • Geographic expansion was mixed in Q3 fiscal 2026: the Americas grew 11% and accounted for 55% of revenue, EMEA jumped 27% to 30% of revenue, while APAC declined 11% and accounted for 15%. Management explained that volatility in APAC and the Americas was affected by the timing of order shipments, while underlying demand remained strong across regions.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q3 fiscal 2026 results show broadening operating growth: eight consecutive quarters of double-digit product growth, total revenue growth of 11%, and non-GAAP earnings per share growth of 14%. The increase in fiscal 2026 revenue and earnings per share guidance also provides numerical evidence that momentum exceeded management’s previous assumptions.
  • +F5 has direct exposure to three areas identified by management: AI data delivery, runtime AI security, and AI factory load balancing. Tests of traffic-management software paired with NVIDIA DPU units showed a 30% to 50% increase in the number of tokens generated from the same GPU architecture, while direct AI deals ranged from hundreds of thousands of dollars to eight-figure transactions.
  • +The financial mix provides a degree of resilience, with 69% of Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue coming from recurring sources and subscriptions accounting for 90% of software revenue. Deferred revenue also rose 12% to $2.19 billion, and management expects fiscal 2027 software growth to benefit from a stronger renewal pool and the completion of the transition of some legacy SaaS and managed-service offerings.
  • +Liquidity supports both shareholder returns and investment; the company generated $281 million in free cash flow in Q3 fiscal 2026 and repurchased $100 million of shares at an average of $299 per share. $422 million remained under the authorization at the end of the period, with at least 50% of fiscal 2026 free cash flow expected to be allocated to repurchases.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $416.6, approximately 4% below the upper end of the 52-week range of $435, while the target range extends from $300 to $475 and is accompanied by a neutral consensus. This dispersion reflects a balance between the increase in fiscal 2026 guidance and accelerating systems and AI growth, versus the cyclicality of the replacement cycle and uncertainty regarding fiscal 2027 margins; a reliable comparison using an earnings multiple cannot be made because the data do not provide a specific multiple.

HoldAnalyst target: $416.6(+1.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove F5’s growth in Q3 fiscal 2026?

Revenue rose 11% to $865 million, driven by 19% growth in product revenue to $463 million. Systems revenue jumped 32% to $240 million, while software grew 7% to $223 million and services grew 3% to $402 million. Management linked this performance to the iSeries replacement cycle, capacity expansion, digital sovereignty, competitive displacements, and increased AI traffic across on-premises and hybrid architectures.

How does F5 generate revenue from AI?

F5 targets three direct use cases: AI data delivery, runtime AI security, and AI factory load balancing. The cumulative number of customers for these use cases rose 50% in Q3 fiscal 2026, and the number of AI security customers doubled during the period, after direct revenue had surpassed $50 million. Products include AI Guardrails, AI Red Team, BIG-IP Next for Kubernetes, Distributed Cloud Services, and NGINX, in addition to the discovery capabilities added through the SurePath AI acquisition.

How important is AI-powered WAF to F5’s business?

F5 launched AI-powered WAF in Q2 fiscal 2026 as part of Distributed Cloud WAF. By Q3 fiscal 2026, it had been adopted by 15% of the product’s customers, and 75% of adopters were running it in blocking mode. The company says the multilayer engine evaluates the intent and risk of each request, and financial customers have used it to intercept zero-day attacks and accelerate virtual patching.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The acceleration in systems depends partly on the iSeries replacement cycle, which is inherently cyclical, and management clarified that the 32% hardware growth recorded in Q3 fiscal 2026 is not a rate it expects to continue for three years. Even with digital sovereignty, AI, and competitive displacement drivers, the fading of the replacement boost could lead to a clear slowdown compared with the rate recorded during the period.
  • −Q4 fiscal 2026 guidance points to revenue growth of slightly less than 9% at the midpoint, compared with 11% in Q3 fiscal 2026. Software growth also remained at 7% during the quarter, and the company expects mid-single-digit software growth in fiscal 2026, making the continuation of strong overall growth heavily dependent on faster-growing systems.
  • −Memory, storage, and hardware-component costs remain a source of uncertainty; despite raising its Q4 fiscal 2026 margin outlook to 83%–84%, the company did not update its previous fiscal 2027 margin outlook of 80%–82% because of the dynamic pricing environment and mixed signals for component prices. F5 has mitigated the risk through advance purchasing and supplier diversification, but component-cost inflation could pressure margins as the systems share increases.
  • −APAC revenue declined 11% in Q3 fiscal 2026, despite management’s assertion that underlying demand was healthy and shipment timing caused part of the volatility. This actual decline remains important because the region represents 15% of revenue and because longer shipment periods may make reported growth volatile between quarters.
  • −Analyst consensus on FFIV is neutral, with a wide price-target range between $300 and $475, reflecting significant differences in assessments of the sustainability of systems and AI growth. The 52-week range extending from $223.76 to $435 also illustrates the stock valuation’s sensitivity to changes in growth and margin expectations, particularly with no specific earnings multiple available in the data.
  • −Insiders recorded net sales of $6.2 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 5, 2026, with 24 sales and no purchases recorded. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, but the data provide no positive support from corresponding insider purchases.
What is F5’s outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

The company expects revenue between $870 million and $890 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, with year-over-year growth of slightly less than 9% at the midpoint. It expects a non-GAAP gross margin between 83% and 84% and non-GAAP earnings per share between $4.14 and $4.26 for the period. For fiscal 2026, it raised its revenue growth outlook to 9%–10% and non-GAAP earnings per share to $17.21–$17.33, with a non-GAAP operating margin between 34.5% and 35.5%.

Is F5’s 32% systems growth sustainable?

Management confirmed that part of the systems growth in Q3 fiscal 2026 was due to the iSeries replacement cycle, making it cyclical and not an expectation for a sustained 32% growth rate. In contrast, F5 sees longer-term drivers including digital sovereignty, workload repatriation to data centers, AI-related performance requirements, tool consolidation, and competitive displacements. It also said capacity expansion during and beyond upgrades was strong, but its longer-term guidance was for single-digit hardware growth rather than a continuation of a rate above 30%.

What are the main financial risks facing FFIV?

The first risk is a slowdown in systems growth after the iSeries replacement cycle fades, particularly because hardware was the fastest-growing driver in Q3 fiscal 2026. The second risk is the prices of memory, SSD units, and other components; therefore, F5 did not update its previous fiscal 2027 margin outlook of 80%–82% despite the improved Q4 fiscal 2026 outlook. APAC revenue also declined 11%, and software growth remained at 7%, while the neutral analyst consensus and wide target range between $300 and $475 indicate meaningful disagreement over the sustainability of performance.