EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.
FBIN

FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc.

Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
40.73
▲ ⁦+2.49%⁩ (+0.99)
Market Cap$4.9B
Beta1.39
52w Low52w High
32.3464.84
Last Week
⁦-4.77%⁩
Last Month
⁦-22.11%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.22%⁩
Last Year
⁦-30.90%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall37
Weak — below market medianContrarianF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 37% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
63
33.1x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
11
-2.3%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
69
5.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
48
5.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
28
2.50%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
21
-11.4%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
90
11▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$41
Analyst target · 8 analysts
$57
⁦+39%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$44–$70⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$18
⁦-57%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.6⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$18–$57⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 8 analysts setting price target
$57.90
⁦+42.2%⁩
Current Price $40.73·Median $56.50
Low
$44.00
High
$70.00
Current price
$40.73
Average target
$57.90
Street summary

Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

FBIN stock saw a slight decline in its average price target of 1.19% over the past thirty days, reaching 58.3, with this average stabilizing over the last week. The variance between the high (70) and low (44) reflects a dispersion in analyst estimates; however, the current price (44.33) is trading at levels very close to the low end of expectations, indicating a significant growth gap compared to the target average.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.39
Hold
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
39%
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 1↓
Mixed
Target dispersion
64%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
2
5
10
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.17 → 3.39
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    William Blair
    Perform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-24
    Wolfe Research
    Peer PerformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    33.11x
    4.94x39.51x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    11.93x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.49x
    2.62x20.92x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    8.2%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.3%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -61.4%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    45.9%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    5.3%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.43x
    0.22x3.72x
    High debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.5%
    0.2%5.5%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    82.1%
    4.7%147.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.45
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Fortune Brands Innovations operates through three main segments: Water, Outdoors, and Security, and its business is built on brands including Moen, Therma-Tru, and Master Lock, alongside the Moen Flo business and Yale connected locks. The company generates revenue from the sale of water products, doors, security products, and connected locks through wholesale, retail, e-commerce, and trade channels, with clear exposure to the repair and remodeling and new home construction markets.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue was $1.2 billion, down 4%, and gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $590.7 million, while net income under those data was a loss of $22.5 million and earnings per share were negative $0.19. Based on the adjusted metrics before charges and gains used in the earnings call, operating income was $236 million, up 18.4%, operating margin reached 20.4%, up 390 basis points, and adjusted earnings per share were $1.35; however, the tariff refund added $81 million to operating income, $0.52 to earnings per share, and 700 basis points to the margin.

Water led the revenue mix with sales of $605 million, but declined 6.5%, while Outdoors recorded sales of $365 million, down 3.8%, and Security generated sales of $184 million, up 3.8%. For fiscal 2025, revenue was $4.5 billion and net income was $298.8 million, while figures for the twelve months ended in 2026 show revenue of $4.4 billion and net income of $271.7 million, reflecting a decline in financial scale compared with the previous year.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.35 in Q2 fiscal 2026 exceeded the analyst estimate of $0.81 and the $1.00 reported in the comparable period, but $0.52 of the result came from the net benefit of the tariff refund; therefore, underlying operating performance, excluding it, was in line with the company's expectations.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Security achieved sales growth of 3.8% to $184 million, and management estimated that new Yale and Master Lock products added approximately 200 basis points to segment growth. Master Lock Elite exceeded initial sales expectations, while early engagement with the Moen SwivelControl faucet and Retrofit Wand accessory was positive among consumers and channel partners.
  • The cost-reduction program targets approximately $70 million in annual savings by Q1 fiscal 2027, including $15 million expected during fiscal 2026. The measures include returning brand, marketing, and advertising teams to the business units and reducing corporate costs to accelerate decision-making and bring resources closer to customers.
  • The company maintained its fiscal 2026 net sales outlook for a low-single-digit decline, but expects a result slightly below the midpoint of that range. For Q3 fiscal 2026, it expects sales to decline between 1% and 2%, adjusted earnings per share of between $0.72 and $0.76, and an operating margin of between 12.5% and 13%.
  • The company is conducting a strategic review of the Fiberon business after appointing advisers, with the aim of focusing capital and management attention on its core brands. At Therma-Tru, management sees an opportunity to convert more of the door market from wood and steel to more resilient materials, noting that the conversion has reached only approximately 55%.
  • Free cash flow in Q2 fiscal 2026 was approximately $179 million, compared with $119 million in the comparable period, driven primarily by inventory reductions. The company intends to use cash flow to reduce net debt of approximately $2.3 billion and lower the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio from 2.7 times to below 2.5 times.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The Moen, Therma-Tru, and Master Lock brands, alongside Moen Flo and Yale connected locks, provide multiple platforms for growth, and tangible momentum emerged in Security, where sales grew 3.8% and new products added approximately 200 basis points to segment growth in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +The $70 million annual savings program, targeted to reach its full run rate by Q1 fiscal 2027, could improve efficiency after marketing and advertising are returned to the business units and corporate layers are reduced.
    • +Free cash flow rose to $179 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, supporting the plan to reduce leverage to below 2.5 times while continuing to fund product development and service improvements.
    • +Insider purchases provide a supportive signal, as net activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 7, 2026, was approximately $15 million, with four purchases versus one sale.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Water's underperformance represents the most significant operating risk, as its sales declined 6.5% to $605 million, or 5.4% excluding China, with volumes down by a high-single-digit percentage. The company attributed the weakness to service and supply chain issues, previous market share losses, and weak demand related to new construction, while additional service costs reduced the segment's underlying margin by approximately 200 basis points.
    • −End-market demand remains weak; the company expects the repair and remodeling market to decline by a low-single-digit percentage and single-family home construction to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage during fiscal 2026. Its outlook also assumes no recovery in single-family home construction during fiscal 2026, limiting the opportunity to offset volume weakness quickly.
    • −The company reduced its underlying earnings-per-share range for fiscal 2026, excluding the tariff refund benefit, to $2.70–$3.00 from $3.00–$3.30 previously. Approximately $0.20 of the decline at the midpoint of the range represents additional investments, while approximately $0.10 reflects volume weakness associated with service constraints, with sales expected to continue declining year over year in the second half.
    • −The strength of the reported results depends partly on a non-operating benefit whose recurrence is not assured, as the tariff refund added $0.52 to Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings per share and 700 basis points to operating margin. Excluding the benefit, the company said the results were in line with expectations, and it does not expect an additional net tariff refund benefit in the second half.
    • −Margins face pressure from tariffs, commodities, and freight; the company expects an annual increase of approximately $100 million in tariffs flowing through the income statement and raised its estimate for commodity and freight inflation from $80 million to $90 million because of copper, aluminum, brass, and freight. Price versus cost remains unfavorable in Q3 fiscal 2026, and the outlook assumes no easing of commodity inflation before the end of fiscal 2026.
    • −Net debt of approximately $2.3 billion and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.7 times remain constraints on capital allocation, as management is prioritizing lowering the ratio to below 2.5 times before expanding capital returns. The neutral analyst consensus and the wide range of targets between $44 and $70 increase valuation uncertainty, particularly as revenue declined from $4.5 billion in fiscal 2025 to $4.4 billion during the twelve months ended in 2026.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on FBIN is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $58.30 and a wide range between $44 and $70; the average is below the 52-week range high of $64.84, while the highest target exceeds that high. No displayed price-to-earnings ratio is available, and the breadth of the targets reflects the market's balance between the cost-reduction program and cash flow on one hand, and weakness in Water, the reduced underlying earnings outlook, and tariff and commodity pressures on the other.

    HoldAnalyst target: $58.3(+43.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did FBIN exceed Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings expectations despite lower revenue?

    Adjusted earnings per share were $1.35 versus analyst estimates of $0.81 and earnings of $1.00 in the comparable period. The result benefited from $81 million in net tariff refunds, which added $0.52 to earnings per share and 700 basis points to operating margin. Excluding this benefit, the company said its Q2 fiscal 2026 results were in line with its expectations.

    What is the main problem in Fortune Brands Innovations' Water segment?

    Water sales in Q2 fiscal 2026 declined 6.5% to $605 million, or 5.4% excluding China, with low-single-digit price growth and a high-single-digit volume decline. Management attributed approximately half of the sales decline to the continuing effect of previous market share losses and approximately the other half to service issues and the inability to meet demand. Expedited freight, distribution center, and higher-cost supplier expenses also reduced the underlying margin by approximately an additional 200 basis points.

    What new products could support FBIN's growth?

    Moen launched the SwivelControl faucet, which provides directional control, hands-free operation, and automatic redocking, alongside the Retrofit Wand to add the feature to existing Moen faucets. Master Lock launched the Elite lock with enhanced materials and security features to address forced-entry concerns, and its sales exceeded the company's initial expectations. In Q2 fiscal 2026, new Yale and Master Lock products added approximately 200 basis points to Security sales growth.

    What is Fortune Brands Innovations' outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

    The company expects fiscal 2026 net sales to decline by a low-single-digit percentage, with the result slightly below the midpoint of the range. The adjusted earnings-per-share range is between $3.22 and $3.52, including $0.52 from the tariff refund, or between $2.70 and $3.00 excluding that benefit. For Q3 fiscal 2026, it expects sales to decline between 1% and 2%, earnings per share of between $0.72 and $0.76, and an operating margin of between 12.5% and 13%.

    How does FBIN plan to improve profitability and cash flow?

    The company is targeting annual savings of approximately $70 million by Q1 fiscal 2027, with $15 million of those savings to be realized during fiscal 2026. Free cash flow was $179 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with $119 million in the comparable period, driven primarily by inventory reductions. Management will balance organic investment with reducing net debt of approximately $2.3 billion to lower the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio from 2.7 times to below 2.5 times.

    What does the strategic review of the Fiberon business mean for FBIN shareholders?

    Management confirmed on the August 4, 2026 call that the Fiberon review is underway and that it has engaged advisers to determine the appropriate outcome. The process is intended to maximize shareholder value and focus investment and management attention on the brands where the company believes it has a clear right to compete. Management did not specify a timeline or final outcome for the review, so the available information does not support assuming either a sale or retention of the business.