EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
EZCORP, Inc.
EZPW

EZPW EZCORP, Inc.

EZCORP, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
32.47
▲ ⁦+0.00%⁩ (0.00)
Market Cap$1.9B
Beta0.64
52w Low52w High
16.3137.13
Last Week
⁦-0.37%⁩
Last Month
⁦+19.46%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+3.94%⁩
Last Year
⁦+97.99%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall89
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/8Better than 89% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
66
16.3x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
89
28.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
82
——Top tier
▸
Safety
68
——Top tier
▸
Capital Return
22
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
90
68.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
35
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$32
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$44
⁦+36%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$40–$45⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$54
⁦+66%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$44–$54⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$43.00
⁦+32.4%⁩
Current Price $32.47·Median $44.00
Low
$40.00
High
$45.00
Current price
$32.47
Average target
$43.00
Street summary

Growing Optimism and Upward Revision of Price Targets for EZCORP Stock

Bullish tilt

EZCORP (EZPW) stock has seen a strong positive revision in price targets, with the average target price jumping from $36.67 to $43 over the past 30 days, an overall increase of 17.26%. This move, which recorded a 10.97% rise in the last 24 hours, reflects growing confidence in the stock's intrinsic value, especially as it is currently trading at $29.18, a level significantly below the minimum target of $40.

As of 2026-08-06
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.83
Buy
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
67%
High
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
1
3
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.83 → 3.83
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-08
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    Citigroup
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-08
    Roth MKM
    Buy· $40.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.32x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.03x
    2.76x22.06x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.52x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.1%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    28.6%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    56.7%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    58.6%
    23.5%98.3%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    8.9%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.95x
    0.25x7.31x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

EZCORP operates a network of pawn stores that meet short-term liquidity needs against collateral including jewelry, gold, and general merchandise, then generates revenue from pawn service charges PSC, the sale of pre-owned merchandise, and the sale of scrap gold. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, pawn loans outstanding PLO reached a record $382 million, while merchandise sales reached $203.5 million, pawn service charges reached $149.1 million, and scrap gold sales reached $55.7 million according to adjusted operating figures. The company also benefits from expanding its store network and acquisitions, including SMG, which became wholly owned in July 2026 and operates La Familia and CashWiz stores.

According to EDGAR filings, EZCORP recorded revenue of $418.7 million, gross profit of $246.2 million, and net income of $38.2 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, with earnings per share of $0.48. These results equate to a gross profit margin of approximately 58.8% and a net income margin of approximately 9.1%. Compared with the second quarter of fiscal 2026, revenue declined from $446.9 million and net income declined from $49.1 million, despite performance remaining above the fiscal 2025 total on a twelve-month basis ending in fiscal 2026, when revenue reached $1.5 billion and net income reached $146.6 million.

On the adjusted operating basis presented during the August 6, 2026 call, revenue reached $408.4 million and gross profit increased 31% to $240.3 million, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 48% to $65.6 million and its margin expanded 190 basis points to 16%. The U.S. pawn segment accounted for approximately 61.5% of adjusted operating revenue, with revenue of $251.2 million, Latin America generated $114.1 million, or approximately 27.9%, and SMG added $43.1 million, or approximately 10.6%. In Latin America, where the company presented its growth results on a constant-currency basis, segment earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 40% to $25.4 million and its margin expanded 240 basis points to 22%.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Pawn loans outstanding PLO reached a record $382 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, growing 31%, which increased pawn service charges PSC by 29% to $149.1 million; total core pawn profit also increased 28%, and same-store profit from the core business increased 13%.
  • Growth in Latin America was a key driver, as PLO increased 33% to $93.7 million, merchandise sales rose 20%, the merchandise margin expanded 490 basis points to 36%, and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew 40% to $25.4 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
  • EZCORP expanded its footprint in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 by acquiring 33 stores in Guatemala and opening nine new greenfield stores in Latin America, including five in Mexico, three in Guatemala, and one in Honduras. SMG also became wholly owned in July 2026, after contributing approximately $43.1 million in revenue and $6.6 million of the increase in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization during the quarter.
  • Retail economics improved, as consolidated merchandise sales increased 21% to $203.5 million and the merchandise margin expanded 190 basis points to 38%. In the United States, the margin reached 40% after improving by 130 basis points, while the Latin America margin increased to 36% after improving by 490 basis points.
  • Expense discipline provided clear operating leverage in the third quarter of fiscal 2026; U.S. segment revenue increased 14% while store expenses rose only 8%, increasing segment earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by 23% to $64.5 million and expanding its margin by 200 basis points to 26%.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The core business is growing faster than the contribution from scrap gold, as same-store earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization excluding scrap profit added $12.9 million, the largest single component in the earnings growth bridge, while total core pawn profit grew 28%.
    • +Latin America combines scale expansion with margin improvement; same-store PLO increased 28%, same-store sales rose 11%, and total core pawn profit grew 31%, while aged general merchandise remained below 1% of its inventory.
    • +The company has liquidity of $311 million, and its first debt maturity does not occur before December 2029, when $230 million of convertible notes mature, followed by $300 million of senior notes maturing in April 2032. This gives EZCORP room to fund PLO growth, store openings, and acquisition integration without near-term maturities.
    • +Integrating SMG could increase returns from a platform comprising 108 stores in 12 countries, particularly after removing its capital constraints and introducing EZCORP's systems and operating discipline. SMG generated gross profit of $22.4 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, including $19.7 million from the core pawn business.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −EDGAR filings showed a quarterly slowdown in the third quarter of fiscal 2026; revenue declined approximately 6.3% from $446.9 million in the second quarter to $418.7 million, net income fell approximately 22.2% from $49.1 million to $38.2 million, and earnings per share declined from $0.61 to $0.48.
    • −Scrap gold profit is moving toward normalization after exceptional levels; the scrap margin fell from 38% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 to 26% in the third quarter, and management expects it to return to its historical range of 15% to 20% if the gold price stabilizes. This implies a smaller contribution from scrap to annual earnings growth even if the core pawn business remains strong.
    • −Integrating SMG requires migrating the business to the EZCORP point-of-sale system and Workday and implementing operational and cultural change, and management said on August 6, 2026 that this process would take approximately one year. The company also expects sequential expense increases to continue as it develops existing stores, opens new stores, and integrates acquisitions, creating execution risks and potential pressure on margins.
    • −Consolidated net inventory increased 39% to $312.5 million, while inventory turnover declined to 2.3 times from 2.4 times a year earlier. Despite aged general merchandise declining to 1.3%, continued inventory growth at a faster pace than turnover could increase required working capital and raise the sensitivity of results to pricing and clearance quality.
    • −Seasonal results face pressure in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 because bonus payments in July in Latin America typically increase collateral redemptions and seasonally reduce PLO. Management also explained that the PLO yield is gradually pressured as average loan sizes rise because larger loans carry lower monthly rates in states such as Texas.
    • −Insiders recorded net sales of $1.7 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 24, 2026, with three sales and no purchases. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures state otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $43, within a range of $40 to $45, with a consensus rating of Buy. The average is approximately 15.8% above the 52-week range high of $37.13, so achieving it assumes that the stock surpasses its annual high, supported by continued PLO growth and successful SMG integration, while normalization of the scrap margin and the decline in EDGAR results between the second and third quarters of fiscal 2026 could limit the rerating. The wide 52-week range between $16.31 and $37.13 demonstrates the valuation's sensitivity to changes in growth expectations and the quality of core earnings compared with scrap profits.

    BuyAnalyst target: $43(+32.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What was the primary driver of EZCORP's growth in the third quarter of fiscal 2026?

    The most important driver was pawn loan growth, as PLO ended the quarter at a record $382 million, up 31%. This led pawn service charges PSC to increase 29% to $149.1 million, while total core pawn profit increased 28%. The company emphasized that core operations and new stores, rather than scrap gold, drove most of the increase in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

    How important is Latin America to EZCORP's business?

    EZCORP ended the third quarter of fiscal 2026 with 881 stores in four Latin American countries, and segment revenue reached $114.1 million. PLO increased 33% to $93.7 million, total core pawn profit grew 31%, and the merchandise margin expanded to 36%. The company also acquired 33 stores in Guatemala in April 2026 and opened nine new greenfield stores during the quarter in Mexico, Guatemala, and Honduras.

    How do gold prices affect EZCORP's earnings?

    EZCORP prices gold loans based on medium-term prices, including a rolling view of approximately three months, instead of adjusting lending according to daily movements. Gold's largest impact appears in the scrap business, where sales reached $55.7 million and gross profit reached $14.5 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026. The scrap margin declined to 26% from 38% in the second quarter, and management expects it to approach 15% to 20% if gold prices remain stable.

    What does SMG add to EZCORP?

    SMG ended the third quarter of fiscal 2026 with 108 stores in 12 countries under the La Familia and CashWiz brands and became wholly owned by EZCORP in July 2026. During the quarter, it generated revenue of $43.1 million, including $17.1 million from merchandise sales, $14.3 million from PSC, and $11.7 million from scrap gold sales. EZCORP plans to migrate SMG to its point-of-sale system and Workday, and management estimated during the August 6, 2026 call that the principal integration work would take approximately one year.

    Can EZCORP fund its expansion and acquisitions?

    The company ended the third quarter of fiscal 2026 with cash liquidity of $311 million. Its first debt maturity does not occur before December 2029, when $230 million of convertible notes mature, followed by $300 million of senior notes in April 2032. The company allocated capital to PLO growth, store openings, acquisitions, and share repurchases, and had used $8 million of a $50 million repurchase program by the end of the quarter.

    What are EZCORP's key inventory quality indicators?

    Consolidated net inventory reached $312.5 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, up 39%, with turnover of 2.3 times. Aged general merchandise declined to 1.3% of total general merchandise inventory, and in the United States it was 1.9%, or only $0.7 million. The company typically converts unsold jewelry into scrap gold after approximately 12 months, but it prefers to keep jewelry displays fully stocked and sell it at retail margins whenever possible.