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Stocks
Extra Space Storage Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall50
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 7/9DistressBetter than 50% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
30.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
53
4.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
75
5.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
44
6.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
53
4.69%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
47
-0.2%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
72
7▲3Top tier
EXR

EXR Extra Space Storage Inc.

Extra Space Storage Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
137.64
▲ ⁦+0.87%⁩ (+1.19)
Market Cap$29.1B
Beta1.19
52w Low52w High
125.71158.88
Last Week
⁦-1.64%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.99%⁩
Last Year
⁦-5.00%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$138
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$159
⁦+16%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$148–$172⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$45
⁦-68%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.6⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$45–$159⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$160.00
⁦+16.2%⁩
Current Price $137.64·Median $159.00
Low
$148.00
High
$172.00
Current price
$137.64
Average target
$160.00
Street summary

Extra Space Storage (EXR) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

EXR stock has seen a positive shift in analyst sentiment over the last 30 days, with the average price target rising by 0.99% to reach 160, supported by BMO Capital's upgrade from 'Market Perform' to 'Outperform' on August 27, 2026. Despite a slight downward adjustment in the consensus over the last week by 0.31%, the current price of 140.98 is still trading below the lowest observed price target (148), indicating general optimism regarding market value.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.57
Buy
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
43%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
17%
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
3
6
12
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.62 → 3.57
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-27
    BMO Capital
    Market PerformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    30.38x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    28.81x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.44x
    3.68x29.40x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    6.0%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.2%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -1.7%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    72.8%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    5.0%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.41x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.7%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    143.1%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.27
    -0.883.10
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Extra Space Storage Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust specializing in self-storage, with a business model based on operating a broad portfolio of storage facilities and optimizing occupancy and pricing through digital marketing, revenue management, and technology. Its revenue sources are also diversified through third-party facility management, tenant insurance, and a bridge loan program that generates interest, management fees, and tenant insurance income while also creating a potential acquisition pipeline. At the end of Q2 FY2026, the technology and operating platform covered more than 4,400 facilities, including 1,964 facilities in the third-party management portfolio, while outstanding bridge loans totaled approximately $1.5 billion.

According to EDGAR data, the company generated revenue of $874.2 million, gross profit of $642.4 million, net income of $263.5 million, and earnings per share of $1.25 in Q2 FY2026. This represents a gross profit margin of approximately 73.5% and a net income margin of approximately 30.1%. Compared with Q1 FY2026, revenue increased from $856.0 million, gross profit from $617.7 million, and net income from $241.0 million.

At the operating level, Core FFO per share reached $2.15 in Q2 FY2026, up 4.9% year over year, while same-store revenue increased 2.4% and same-store net operating income grew 3.5%, with a slight decline in expenses. The company ended the quarter with occupancy of 94.2% and benefited from stable demand, higher customer retention, and gradually declining new supply. During the quarter, it closed on the acquisition of 18 facilities for $91 million, originated $141 million of new bridge loans, and added 67 facilities to third-party management, for a net increase of 48 facilities.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its Core FFO per share guidance for FY2026 to a range of $8.25–$8.40 after Q2 FY2026 delivered year-over-year growth of 4.9% to $2.15 per share, reflecting facility-level performance above its internal expectations.
  • Same-store revenue growth accelerated by 70 basis points from Q1 FY2026 to 2.4%, while same-store net operating income growth accelerated by 230 basis points to 3.5%, prompting the company to raise its same-store revenue growth range to 1%–2% and its same-store net operating income growth range to 0.5%–2.5%.
  • Occupancy reached 94.2% at the end of Q2 FY2026, while customer length of stay increased by approximately a month and a half year over year. Management says customers storing because of a lack of space, rather than a residential move, are expected to stay at least twice as long as moving customers, supporting retention and revenue from existing customers.
  • External growth channels continued to expand during Q2 FY2026; the company acquired 18 facilities for $91 million, originated $141 million of bridge loans, and the program balance reached approximately $1.5 billion. Net growth in third-party managed facilities since the beginning of FY2026 also reached 108 facilities, increasing the managed portfolio to 1,964 facilities.
  • Ancillary businesses supported results; tenant insurance net income exceeded the company's expectations due to higher penetration and lower claims, while interest income exceeded estimates because of slightly higher interest rates and greater loan retention than assumed. At the same time, the company completed a semiannual insurance renewal on favorable terms that it expects to continue benefiting the remainder of FY2026 and into FY2027.
  • The company maintained significant financing flexibility; at the end of June 2026, it priced $550 million of notes at a 4.9% yield to repay notes maturing on July 1, 2026, and as of July 29, 2026, it had approximately $2 billion available on its revolving credit facilities before accounting for amounts reserved to support the commercial paper program.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 FY2026 results demonstrate clear operating leverage; same-store net operating income growth of 3.5% exceeded same-store revenue growth of 2.4%, with a slight decline in expenses and a 4.9% increase in Core FFO per share.
  • +Occupancy of 94.2% and a year-over-year extension in length of stay of approximately a month and a half support the revenue base, while 76% of move-outs occur because the customer no longer needs storage, not because of price or service. The company provides partial relief to approximately 16% of customers receiving a rent increase, which helps retain them.
  • +Third-party management and bridge loans provide the company with multiple revenue sources and a structured acquisition pipeline; it managed 1,964 facilities and had approximately $1.5 billion in outstanding bridge loans at the end of Q2 FY2026. The program adds interest income, management fees, and tenant insurance income, alongside opportunities to add facilities in the future.
  • +Declining new supply in most major metropolitan areas provides a better pricing and occupancy environment, and new customer move-in rates turned positive year over year in Austin, Dallas, and Miami during Q2 FY2026. The Midwest, D.C., Boston, Chicago, Richmond, and San Diego markets also performed above the company's expectations.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $160.5, with the highest target at $172 and the lowest at $148, while the 52-week range high is $158.88; this means the average target exceeds the top of the range by only approximately $1.62. The “Neutral” consensus and relatively wide target range reflect the market's balancing of higher FY2026 guidance and improved Core FFO on one hand, against stable demand, the potential slowdown in same-store revenue growth, and challenges in some Sun Belt markets on the other.

HoldAnalyst target: $160.5(+16.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were EXR's key results in Q2 FY2026?

According to EDGAR, Extra Space Storage recorded revenue of $874.2 million and gross profit of $642.4 million in Q2 FY2026. Net income reached $263.5 million and earnings per share were $1.25, representing a net margin of approximately 30.1%. On an operating basis, Core FFO per share reached $2.15, up 4.9% year over year, while occupancy reached 94.2%. Same-store revenue also grew 2.4%, and same-store net operating income increased 3.5%.

Why did Extra Space Storage raise its FY2026 guidance?

The company raised its Core FFO per share guidance to $8.25–$8.40 after Q2 FY2026 growth exceeded its internal expectations. It also raised same-store revenue growth guidance by 100 basis points to 1%–2% and same-store net operating income growth guidance by 200 basis points to 0.5%–2.5%. This followed an acceleration in same-store revenue growth to 2.4% and a slight decline in expenses. Results also benefited from tenant insurance, interest income, and expense control.

How does EXR generate growth outside its core storage portfolio?

The company closed on the acquisition of 18 facilities for $91 million in Q2 FY2026, with most transactions completed off-market. It also originated $141 million of new bridge loans, bringing the outstanding balance to approximately $1.5 billion. The third-party management platform added 67 facilities during the quarter, for net growth of 48 facilities, and the total managed portfolio reached 1,964 facilities. These channels generate interest, management fees, and tenant insurance income, in addition to providing a potential acquisition pipeline.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Customer demand remained stable without improvement in the housing market or a notable increase in the number of prospective customers, and management said the summer leasing season in FY2026 did not produce a material demand catalyst. Therefore, performance improvement depends significantly on easing supply and the ability of pricing and occupancy systems to capture a greater share, rather than on expansion of the market itself.
  • −Same-store revenue growth may slow in the second half of FY2026 toward the low end of the 1%–2% guidance range because of difficult comparisons and considerations related to consumer confidence and inflation. Management acknowledged that returning to historical growth of 3%–4% would be difficult without improvement in occupancy or pricing, and FY2026 guidance does not assume that level will be reached.
  • −Performance remains geographically uneven. Although Austin, Dallas, and Miami improved, Houston, Tampa, and Phoenix remained challenging markets in Q2 FY2026. Management noted that the portfolio's exposure to the Sun Belt is slightly higher than the market, making continued weakness in some of these markets an obstacle to faster growth.
  • −Storage asset prices remain elevated, with management estimating capitalization rates in class A to C markets within a range beginning in the high 4% area and extending to the high 5% area. This could limit attractive acquisition opportunities or cause the company to rely more heavily on relationship-based transactions, joint ventures, and bridge loans to maintain returns above its cost of capital.
  • −The company paid $1.7 million to settle a claim by the City of New York based on 117 complaints over three years out of 130,000 customers, while continuing to deny the allegations. It also estimated that pricing restrictions in Los Angeles would reduce FY2026 performance by approximately 20–30 basis points, and New York City operations face licensing and operating requirements that took effect on August 24, 2026.
  • −The analyst consensus remains “Neutral” despite the company's guidance increase, with price targets ranging from $148 to $172, a $24 spread reflecting meaningful differences in assessments of the recovery path. Insider activity also recorded net selling of $495 thousand during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 11, 2026, but this is a weak indicator on its own because such sales may be prearranged unless the context states otherwise.
Has self-storage demand at Extra Space Storage returned to strong growth?

Management said on July 29, 2026, that demand remained stable and that it had not seen improvement in the housing market or a clear increase in customer numbers. Performance improvement came primarily from declining new supply and the company's optimization of the pricing and occupancy mix, rather than from a broad demand recovery. Customer length of stay increased by approximately a month and a half compared with the prior year, and the company did not observe an increase in move-outs. Customers storing because of a lack of space are also expected to stay at least twice as long as customers undergoing residential moves.

What are the main operating risks facing EXR stock during FY2026?

Risks include difficult comparisons in the second half of FY2026, as same-store revenue growth could slow toward the low end of the 1%–2% range. Houston, Tampa, and Phoenix also remained challenging markets despite improvements in Austin, Dallas, and Miami. Acquisition prices remained elevated as well, with capitalization rates ranging approximately from the high 4% area to the high 5% area, depending on the market class. The company also estimated that pricing restrictions in Los Angeles would create pressure of 20–30 basis points during FY2026.

What does the analyst consensus indicate about EXR's valuation?

The analyst consensus on the stock is “Neutral,” and the average price target is $160.5. The target range extends from $148 to $172, representing a $24 spread between the two ends. The average target exceeds the 52-week range high of $158.88 by a limited $1.62. This reflects recognition of improved guidance and operating profitability, while caution persists regarding stable demand, the potential slowdown, and challenges in some Sun Belt markets.