EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Eagle Materials Inc.
EXP

EXP Eagle Materials Inc.

Eagle Materials Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
185.12
▲ ⁦+0.73%⁩ (+1.35)
Market Cap$5.7B
Beta1.38
52w Low52w High
171.99245.53
Last Week
⁦-4.90%⁩
Last Month
⁦-13.61%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-15.19%⁩
Last Year
⁦-19.83%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall44
Weak — below market medianContrarianF 5/9SafeBetter than 44% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
69
14.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
20
1.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
62
14.5%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
65
2.0x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
52
0.54%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
29
-8.3%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
38
7▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$185
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$219
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$196–$230⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$25
⁦-86%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.5⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$25–$219⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$213.00
⁦+15.1%⁩
Current Price $185.12·Median $219.00
Low
$196.00
High
$230.00
Current price
$185.12
Average target
$213.00
Street summary

Target consensus declines amid increased caution

Bearish tilt

The consensus price target remained at 213, unchanged over the last day, but declined from 221.8 on 2026-09-03 and from 222.25 on 2026-08-11, down 3.97% and 4.16%, respectively. The number of analysts remaining at two means that the decline reflects lowered estimates rather than an expansion in the coverage base. The target range also remains dispersed between 196 and 230, with a median of 219, indicating a notable divergence in valuation.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.09
Hold
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
9%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
18%
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
1
10
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.91 → 3.09
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-09
    Citigroup
    NeutralCautious
  • = Reiterate2026-07-08
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-20
    Jefferies
    Hold· $200.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.07x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.74x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.47x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.5%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.7%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -3.2%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    28.1%
    7.6%58.9%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    14.5%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.04x
    0.22x3.72x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.5%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    7.5%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.21
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-19 data

Company Overview

Eagle Materials Inc. produces essential construction materials in the United States through two main segments: Heavy Materials, which includes cement, concrete, and aggregates, and Light Materials, which includes wallboard and recycled paperboard. The company relies on selling these products to infrastructure projects, nonresidential construction, and residential construction, and supports its economics by owning quarry reserves sufficient for an average of more than 50 years at each plant, limiting the transportation costs of limestone, gypsum, and rock and enhancing supply stability.

In quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, revenue was $651.0 million, gross profit was $161.2 million, net income was $102.1 million, and earnings per share were $3.29. These results equate to a gross profit margin of approximately 24.8% and a net income margin of approximately 15.7%. In fiscal year 2026, the company recorded record revenue of $2.3 billion, gross profit of $652.5 million, net income of $423.8 million, and earnings per share of $13.16.

Fiscal year 2026 revenue increased 2%, but earnings per share declined 4% despite a 5% reduction in the fully diluted share count due to repurchases. The divergence between the segments was clear: Heavy Materials revenue rose 10%, supported by 8% growth in cement volume and 19% growth in concrete and aggregates revenue, while Light Materials revenue declined 9% to $881 million and its operating profit fell 15% to $331 million due to weaker wallboard volumes and prices.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Cement and aggregates volumes are the strongest growth driver; cement sales volume increased 8% in fiscal year 2026, while aggregates volume reached a record 6.6 million tons, up 70%, and organic aggregates volume grew 24% excluding the contribution from the two acquired aggregates operations.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Eagle Materials' markets benefit from public infrastructure spending and data center development; management described data centers as a significant contributor to improved demand, with several projects remaining in early stages such as soil stabilization. Management expects positive momentum in cement volumes to continue in fiscal year 2027, but did not suggest that double-digit growth would be repeated.
  • The Mountain Cement modernization project was approximately 60% complete as of May 19, 2026, with the new kiln line expected to begin operating in late calendar year 2026. The Duke wallboard project was approximately 30% complete on the same date, with the new line expected to begin operating in the second half of calendar year 2027; both projects aim to reduce costs, improve reliability, increase production capacity, and generate a double-digit return.
  • The company increased operating cash flow 12% to $614 million in fiscal year 2026 and returned $414 million to shareholders, including $382 million to repurchase approximately 1.7 million shares. Approximately 2.9 million shares remained under the repurchase authorization as of March 31, 2026.
  • The company locked in its primary cement fuel costs during the winter preceding fiscal year 2027, providing short-term protection from energy disruptions. It also announced cement price increases in most markets effective April 1, 2026, and a wallboard price increase effective June 1, 2026, in an effort to offset transportation inflation.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The Heavy Materials segment has tangible operating momentum; its revenue and operating profit increased 10% in fiscal year 2026, supported by 8% growth in cement volume and 24% growth in organic aggregates volume. Management links this performance to strong government infrastructure budgets and data center projects within the company's geographic footprint.
    • +Quarry reserves averaging more than 50 years near the plants provide a cost and supply advantage that is difficult to replicate, particularly when energy prices rise or supply chains are disrupted. The proximity of limestone, gypsum, and rock to the plants also reduces the operations' exposure to transportation costs compared with greater reliance on distant raw materials.
    • +The Mountain Cement and Duke modernizations could expand production capacity and reduce energy consumption and operating costs once completed. The company targets a double-digit return on investment and expects the savings from both projects to become fully impactful in fiscal year 2029.
    • +Liquidity and the balance sheet support the company's ability to complete the investment; it ended fiscal year 2026 with $298 million in cash and approximately $1 billion in committed liquidity, with net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at 1.9 times and no significant near-term debt maturities.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Housing weakness is placing direct pressure on the Light Materials segment; its revenue declined 9% to $881 million in fiscal year 2026, and its operating profit fell 15% to $331 million, with wallboard prices declining 4%. Management acknowledged that wallboard demand is well below the historical trend and that its trajectory during the six to nine months following the May 19, 2026 call was unclear.
    • −Group results slowed despite record nominal figures; fiscal year 2026 revenue increased only 2%, and earnings per share declined 4%, even after repurchases reduced the fully diluted share count by 5%. Net cement selling prices also declined 1%, showing that volume growth was not accompanied by a comparable improvement in pricing.
    • −The modernization program increases funding and execution requirements; capital expenditures were $417 million in fiscal year 2026, and the company expects them to rise to between $490 and $525 million in fiscal year 2027 before declining. Net debt to capital was 50%, and net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was 1.9 times as of March 31, 2026, so any delay or cost overrun could pressure cash flow and financial flexibility.
    • −Margins face inflation in transportation and diesel costs; the cost of shipping wallboard increased by approximately two to three dollars, and the cost of transporting cement to terminals rose by a few dollars per ton. Eagle Materials bears the wallboard delivery cost, while the increase in the Baltic Dry Index raised the cost of cement imports into South Texas and Northern California.
    • −Some of the strength in cement in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026 benefited from an easy comparison with severe weather in the corresponding period, while management said underlying demand for key products remained well below previous peak levels. Therefore, it should not be assumed that the increase in cement volumes recorded in fiscal year 2026 will recur at the same rate, and management explicitly stated that it does not necessarily expect double-digit increases to continue.

    Valuation

    The average analyst target is $221.8, within a range of $200 to $240, while the consensus rates the stock a “Buy.” The average target is approximately 9.7% below the 52-week range high of $245.53, and even the highest target of $240 remains approximately 2.3% below that high, while the 52-week range low is $171.99. A reliable price-to-earnings ratio is not available in the data, so the stock's valuation is based on the target range relative to the 52-week range, balancing the strength of Heavy Materials and the long-term modernizations against the decline in Light Materials earnings and the peak in capital expenditures in fiscal year 2027.

    BuyAnalyst target: $221.8(+19.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Eagle Materials' growth in fiscal year 2026?

    The primary driver came from the Heavy Materials segment, where revenue increased 10% and operating profit rose 10%. Cement sales volume increased 8%, while aggregates sales reached a record 6.6 million tons, up 70%. Even after excluding the contribution from the two acquired aggregates operations, organic aggregates volume increased 24%, supported by public infrastructure and nonresidential construction, including data centers.

    Why did earnings per share decline despite record revenue?

    Fiscal year 2026 revenue reached a record $2.3 billion and increased 2%, but earnings per share declined 4% to $13.16. The primary reason was lower wallboard volumes and prices, as Light Materials revenue declined 9% and its operating profit fell 15%. This decline occurred even though share repurchases reduced the fully diluted share count by 5%.

    How important are the Mountain Cement and Duke projects to EXP's future?

    The Mountain Cement modernization was approximately 60% complete as of May 19, 2026, and the company expects the new kiln line to begin operating in late calendar year 2026. The Duke wallboard plant modernization was approximately 30% complete, with the new line targeted to begin operating in the second half of calendar year 2027. Eagle Materials expects the two projects to reduce costs, improve reliability, and increase capacity, and it targets a double-digit return with the full impact appearing in fiscal year 2029.

    How does the housing cycle affect the wallboard business?

    Housing affordability challenges caused Light Materials revenue to decline 9% to $881 million in fiscal year 2026. Wallboard prices declined 4%, and the segment's operating profit fell 15% to $331 million. Management said on May 19, 2026 that demand was well below its historical trend and that improved housing inventory turnover and new construction require mortgage rate pressures to ease.

    Can Eagle Materials fund the peak in capital expenditures?

    The company expects capital expenditures of between $490 and $525 million in fiscal year 2027, after spending $417 million in fiscal year 2026. As of March 31, 2026, it had $298 million in cash and approximately $1 billion in committed liquidity, with net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at 1.9 times. It also issued $750 million of ten-year senior notes bearing 5% interest and had no significant near-term debt maturities.

    What are the main risks to monitor for EXP stock?

    The main operating risk is continued housing weakness, following a 9% decline in Light Materials revenue and a 15% decline in its operating profit in fiscal year 2026. Other pressures include an approximately two-to-three-dollar increase in wallboard shipping costs and a few-dollar-per-ton increase in cement transportation costs, alongside the peak in capital expenditures in fiscal year 2027. Annual revenue growth was also limited to 2%, and earnings per share declined 4%, while insiders recorded five sales with net selling of $1.7 million through August 24, 2026, with the possibility remaining that these sales were prearranged.

    −
    Insider activity recorded a strong_sell signal during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 24, 2026, with five sales, no purchases, and net selling of $1.7 million. This remains a weaker trading signal than the operating risks because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures indicate otherwise.