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Home
Stocks
Exelixis, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
55
17.3x17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
81
9.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
97
37.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
92
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
46
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
93
40.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
61
10▲3Around median
EXEL

EXEL Exelixis, Inc.

Exelixis, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
56.12
▼ ⁦-2.28%⁩ (-1.31)
Market Cap$14.1B
Beta0.42
52w Low52w High
33.7659.72
Last Week
⁦-4.12%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.97%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+11.61%⁩
Last Year
⁦+48.07%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$56
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$52
⁦-7%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$46–$56⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$93
⁦+66%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$52–$93⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$51.78
⁦-7.7%⁩
Current Price $56.12·Median $52.00
Low
$46.00
High
$56.00
Current price
$56.12
Average target
$51.78
Street summary

Target prices for Exelixis remain stable with a cautious bias

Consensus estimates were unchanged over the past day or seven days, with five analysts remaining and the average target at 51.78 versus a current price of 56.12. Over the past 30 days, consensus rose slightly from 51.50 to 51.78, an increase of 0.28 or 0.54%, with no change in the number of analysts. The target range is between 46 and 56, reflecting limited dispersion but placing the consensus and median at 51.78 and 52, below the current price.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.30
Hold
Analyst coverage
20
Buy conviction
35%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
18%
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
1
6
12
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.45 → 3.30
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    William Blair
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.32x
    3.94x44.30x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.09x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.64x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.0%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.2%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    55.8%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    96.5%
    12.8%90.7%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    37.4%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Exelixis is a company specializing in the development and commercialization of oncology therapies, with revenue primarily dependent on the cabozantinib franchise, particularly CABOMETYX sales in the United States, alongside royalties from partners Ipsen and Takeda on cabozantinib sales. The company is seeking to expand its model from reliance on a single compound to multiple therapeutic franchises, with zanzalintinib at the center of this transition through a clinical trial program spanning colorectal cancer, kidney cancer, neuroendocrine tumors, and other indications.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue was approximately $629 million, including $573 million in cabozantinib franchise net revenue and $571 million from CABOMETYX, in addition to approximately $53 million in royalties from Ipsen and Takeda. GAAP net income was approximately $212 million, or $0.85 per basic share and $0.82 per diluted share, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 33.7%. Operating expenses were $380 million, compared with $359 million in Q1 FY2026, while gross-to-net discounts for the cabozantinib franchise were 29.5%.

EDGAR data show that profitability continued before that; in Q1 FY2026, revenue was $610.8 million, gross profit was $590.9 million, net income was $210.5 million, and earnings per share were $0.79. On a trailing-twelve-month basis ending in FY2026, revenue was $2.4 billion, gross profit was $2.3 billion, and net income was $833.4 million, compared with revenue of $2.3 billion and net income of $782.6 million in FY2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Net revenue from the cabozantinib franchise in the United States grew approximately 10% year over year to $573 million in Q2 FY2026, while global revenue generated by Exelixis and its partners from the franchise rose approximately 13% to $806 million.
  • CABOMETYX prescription volume increased 12% in Q2 FY2026 compared with Q2 FY2025, outpacing the 6% growth of the TKI inhibitor market basket, while its share of total prescriptions increased from 45% to 47%. In neuroendocrine tumors, its share of new patients receiving second-line and later oral therapy exceeded 45%.
  • The zanzalintinib application with atezolizumab based on STELLAR-303 is under review for the treatment of third-line and later colorectal cancer, with a regulatory decision expected in early December 2026. Management estimated the target population at approximately 23 thousand patients in the United States and the market opportunity at $1.5 billion at contemporary prices, with the launch remaining contingent on regulatory approval.
  • The company expects topline results from the STELLAR-304 trial in the second half of 2026; it is a global, randomized phase 3 trial comparing zanzalintinib with nivolumab versus sunitinib in non-clear cell renal cell carcinoma, which represents approximately 20% of renal cell carcinoma cases. If the results are positive, they could support a second new drug application for zanzalintinib.
  • Cash and marketable securities totaled approximately $1.4 billion as of June 30, 2026. During Q2 FY2026, the company repurchased 6.5 million shares for approximately $312 million at an average of $47.85 per share, with approximately $598 million remaining under the repurchase plan authorized by the board in May 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +CABOMETYX continues to strengthen its commercial position; prescription volume grew 12% year over year in Q2 FY2026, and its share reached 47% of the defined TKI inhibitor basket, with management describing it as the most prescribed TKI inhibitor in renal cell carcinoma and the leading second-line and later oral therapy for neuroendocrine tumors.
  • +The profitability of the existing business provides a clear capacity to fund the research pipeline; the company generated net income of $212 million on revenue of approximately $629 million in Q2 FY2026 and held approximately $1.4 billion in cash and marketable securities as of June 30, 2026.
  • +zanzalintinib could reduce Exelixis's reliance on a single franchise if its regulatory review and pivotal trials succeed. The program includes the STELLAR-303 application currently under review, STELLAR-304 with results expected in the second half of 2026, and the STELLAR-311 trial, whose enrollment was months ahead of expectations as of August 5, 2026.
  • +The company lowered the midpoint of its FY2026 research and development expense guidance range by $50 million and kept its free cash flow outlook essentially unchanged, despite continued investment in pivotal zanzalintinib trials.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $51.78, within a range of $46 to $56, and the average is approximately 10% below the 52-week range high of $57.57, while the highest target is close to that high. The consensus remains "Neutral," reflecting the balance between CABOMETYX growth and zanzalintinib opportunities on one hand, and the reduction in FY2026 revenue guidance and regulatory and legal uncertainty on the other; the data do not include a usable earnings multiple.

HoldAnalyst target: $51.78(-7.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the primary source of revenue for Exelixis and its ticker EXEL?

Exelixis depends primarily on the cabozantinib franchise, particularly CABOMETYX in the United States, in addition to royalties from Ipsen and Takeda. In Q2 FY2026, net franchise revenue was $573 million out of total revenue of approximately $629 million. Royalties from the two partners were also approximately $53 million during the same period.

Why did Exelixis lower its FY2026 guidance?

The company lowered and narrowed its total revenue and net product revenue guidance ranges, reducing the midpoint by $50 million. It explained on the August 5, 2026 call that CABOMETYX use in neuroendocrine tumors increased at a more gradual pace than expected because of the slower nature of the disease and slow patient transitions between therapies. Nevertheless, its share of new patients receiving second-line and later oral therapy exceeded 45% during Q2 FY2026.

How important is zanzalintinib to the future of Exelixis?

zanzalintinib represents Exelixis's attempt to build a second oncology franchise and reduce its reliance on cabozantinib. Its application with atezolizumab in colorectal cancer is under review based on STELLAR-303, with a regulatory decision expected in early December 2026 and an estimated opportunity of approximately 23 thousand U.S. patients. The program also includes STELLAR-304 in kidney cancer, STELLAR-311 in neuroendocrine tumors, and other trials in genitourinary and gastrointestinal cancers.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Revenue concentration remains high; the cabozantinib franchise accounted for approximately $573 million, or nearly 91% of total Q2 FY2026 revenue of approximately $629 million. This makes results highly sensitive to the trajectory of CABOMETYX until zanzalintinib or another development pipeline asset becomes a proven commercial source.
  • −Exelixis lowered and narrowed its FY2026 total revenue and net product revenue guidance, reducing the midpoint of the range by $50 million. Management attributed this to a slower-than-expected gradual increase in CABOMETYX use in neuroendocrine tumors because of slow patient transitions between lines of therapy.
  • −Q2 FY2026 revenue of $628.7 million fell short of analyst expectations according to an August 19, 2026 report, while operating expenses increased to $380 million from $359 million in the previous quarter due to trial, marketing, and stock-based compensation costs. The company also expects gross-to-net discounts of between 30% and 31% for the full FY2026, compared with 29.5% in Q2.
  • −STELLAR-303 carries significant clinical and regulatory risk; the primary endpoint for the subgroup of patients without liver metastases had not achieved statistical significance as of June 2026, although the drug application is based on results from the full study population. Any restrictions in the approval or regulatory label could affect the size of the colorectal cancer opportunity estimated at approximately 23 thousand patients and $1.5 billion.
  • −The company faces legal and pharmaceutical exposure; on August 19, 2026, law firms including Levi & Korsinsky began investigations on behalf of investors following the guidance cut and share-price decline. The August 5, 2026 call also discussed ANDA applications and a product using the 505(b)(2) pathway, highlighting ongoing competition and intellectual property risks surrounding the cabozantinib franchise, without the company confirming accelerated generic entry before the agreed dates.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 10, 2026 showed seven sales and no purchases, with net sales of $7.1 million. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless otherwise stated, but it provides no counterbalancing support from insider purchases during the period.
What are the main clinical risks in the STELLAR program?

The primary endpoint for the STELLAR-303 subgroup of patients without liver metastases did not achieve statistical significance according to a June 2026 update, while the drug application is based on the full study population, which includes patients with and without liver metastases. As for STELLAR-304, its results remain undisclosed, and the company expects topline data in the second half of 2026. The value of STELLAR-311 also depends on zanzalintinib demonstrating appropriate superiority over everolimus in the phase 3 trial.

What do liquidity and share repurchases look like at Exelixis?

Cash and marketable securities totaled approximately $1.4 billion as of June 30, 2026. The company repurchased approximately 6.5 million shares during Q2 FY2026 for $312 million, at an average of $47.85 per share. After completing the October 2025 program, approximately $598 million remained under a $750 million repurchase program authorized by the board in May 2026.

What does the analyst consensus say about the valuation of EXEL?

The analyst consensus is "Neutral," with an average price target of $51.78. The target range is between $46 and $56, compared with a 52-week range of $33.76 to $57.57. This caution follows the reduction in FY2026 revenue guidance, while BMO Capital rated the stock "Market Perform" according to an August 19, 2026 report.