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Stocks
Energy Transfer LP
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall83
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Better than 83% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
83
13.4x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
60
33.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
53
10.1%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
43
4.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
15
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
95
20.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
89
10▲3Top tier
ET

ET Energy Transfer LP

Energy Transfer LP · NYSE
Market Closed
21.55
▼ ⁦-0.83%⁩ (-0.18)
Market Cap$74.2B
Beta0.56
52w Low52w High
16.1821.84
Last Week
⁦+0.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.71%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+13.18%⁩
Last Year
⁦+25.51%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$22
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$23
⁦+7%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$23–$23⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$7.31
⁦-66%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$7.31–$23⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$23.00
⁦+6.7%⁩
Current Price $21.55·Median $23.00
Low
$23.00
High
$23.00
Street summary

Energy Transfer’s price targets remain stable as analyst coverage broadens

Price targets have not changed over the last day, 7 days, or 30 days; consensus remained at 23, with an identical range between the highest and lowest targets and the median. The number of analysts increased from 3 to 4, broadening coverage without changing the consensus level, meaning that the apparent dispersion among targets is currently zero. Comparing consensus with the current price of 21.73, the target mathematically indicates an upside of approximately 5.8%. Annual estimates show expected EPS rising from 1.5629 in 2026 to 1.9602 in 2029, while expected revenue rises through 2028 before declining in 2029. The latest rating changes were all reiterations of previous ratings: Buy at TD Cowen, Citigroup, and Jefferies; Overweight at Barclays; and Outperform at RBC Capital. Therefore, there is no new rating signal that is more optimistic or pessimistic, while some uncertainty remains regarding future revenue.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.14
Buy
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
90%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
5
14
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.16 → 4.14
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Jefferies
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.39x
    3.56x28.47x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.45x
    3.36x26.89x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.40x
    2.12x16.98x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    7.0%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    33.3%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    22.9%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    23.6%
    7.8%72.1%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    10.1%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.09x
    0.40x3.19x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-05 data

Company Overview

Energy Transfer LP operates through an extensive network of pipelines, gathering, processing, fractionation, storage, and terminal facilities, transporting natural gas, crude oil, natural gas liquids, and refined products from U.S. production basins to power plants, data centers, refineries, trading hubs, and export markets. Earnings generation depends on transportation, processing, and export volumes, contracted prices and fees, and opportunities to optimize inventory value and market differentials; long-term contracts also support a significant portion of new projects, including agreements ranging from 15 to 25 years and the Springerville project backed by 20-year contracts.

In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $34.3 billion, gross profit was $7.4 billion, and net income was $2.1 billion, representing a gross profit margin of approximately 21.6% and a net margin of approximately 6.1%. Revenue increased by approximately 23.4% compared with the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, while net income rose from $1.3 billion to $2.1 billion; news dated August 5, 2026, also reported adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $5.07 billion, with record volumes in natural gas liquids transportation, exports, and crude oil.

First-quarter fiscal year 2026 figures demonstrate the diversity of segment contributions: adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $1.2 billion in natural gas liquids and refined products, $887 million in midstream services, $869 million in crude oil, $519 million in interstate natural gas, and $437 million in intrastate natural gas. The group's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization totaled $4.9 billion, while adjusted distributable cash flow reached $2.7 billion, compared with $1.5 billion spent on organic growth during the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 5, 2026, Energy Transfer raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance range for fiscal year 2026 to between $18.8 billion and $19.1 billion, after recording $5.07 billion in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 and record volumes in natural gas liquids transportation, exports, and crude oil.
  • The company benefits from growing gas demand for power generation and data centers; announced contracts include approximately 150 million cubic feet per day for the Nexus Hubbard complex, a letter of intent for approximately 150 million cubic feet per day for a data center in Arkansas, and a binding 20-year agreement to provide at least 250 thousand MMBtu per day to Entergy Louisiana facilities.
  • Projects under development are expanding the network's capacity, with the first phase of Hugh Brinson providing approximately 1.5 billion cubic feet per day, Springerville Lateral providing approximately 625 million cubic feet per day, and the FGT Phase 9 project targeting the addition of approximately 525 million cubic feet per day.
  • The natural gas liquids business supports operational growth after the company recorded all-time-high fractionation and export volumes in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, extended the vast majority of its ethane export contracts at Nederland through 2041, and targeted the commissioning of its ninth fractionation unit at Mont Belvieu in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026.
  • The company continues returning cash to unitholders; news dated August 16, 2026, reported that it had increased distributions for 19 consecutive quarters, while management targets long-term annual distribution growth of between 3% and 5%.
  • Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 19, 2026, recorded net purchases of $21.5 million, distributed across three purchases with no sales, which is a supportive indicator of internal alignment but does not guarantee continued operational or market performance.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Profit improved faster than revenue in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026; net income reached $2.1 billion compared with $1.3 billion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, alongside an increase in full-year adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to $18.8–$19.1 billion.
  • +The integrated network enables the company to capture demand across multiple stages, from gathering and processing to pipelines, fractionation, storage, and exports, and it recorded all-time-high volumes in midstream gathering, natural gas liquids fractionation and exports, and crude oil transportation in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.
  • +Several expansions are supported by long-term commitments; the Springerville project is backed by 20-year agreements, the two FGT projects are supported by agreements with major shippers ranging from 15 to 25 years, and the majority of ethane export contracts at Nederland were extended through 2041.
  • +According to management during the May 5, 2026, call, operational capacity is available for use with limited or no capital in Mid-Continent, Eagle Ford, Haynesville, the Northeast, and certain pipeline networks, enabling volume increases without requiring every increase to be supported by a major capital project.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst target is $23, which is also the highest and lowest target, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; this target is approximately 6.3% above the 52-week range high of $21.64, while the range low is $16.18. No usable earnings per share or price-to-earnings multiple is available in the provided data, so the available valuation rests on a single, narrow target, weighed against capital spending risks, the Green Chile delay, and nonrecurring earnings items.

BuyAnalyst target: $23(+6.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove ET's results in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026?

Energy Transfer's revenue in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 reached approximately $34.3 billion, gross profit was $7.4 billion, and net income was $2.1 billion. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization totaled $5.07 billion, according to news dated August 5, 2026. The performance was accompanied by record volumes in natural gas liquids transportation, exports, and crude oil. As a result, the company raised its annual guidance for this metric to a range of $18.8–$19.1 billion.

How does Energy Transfer benefit from growing data center electricity demand?

The company signed an agreement to transport approximately 150 million cubic feet per day to the Nexus Hubbard artificial intelligence complex in Central Texas, with service scheduled to begin by the end of fiscal year 2026, according to the May 5, 2026, call. It also signed a letter of intent to supply approximately 150 million cubic feet per day to a data center site in Arkansas targeting service commencement in mid-2027. In Oklahoma, it added four power plant interconnections totaling approximately 300 million cubic feet per day and entered advanced negotiations to serve an additional 400 million cubic feet per day of demand. These contracts benefit from the existing gas and storage network, allowing some incremental volumes to be served with limited capital.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −The expansion program increases execution and spending risks, as the company raised its fiscal year 2026 organic growth capital guidance during the May 5, 2026, call to $5.5–$5.9 billion from $5.0–$5.5 billion, while needing to complete a large portfolio of pipelines, processing plants, and storage facilities on schedule and within budget.
  • −The commissioning date for Transwestern's Green Chile pipeline was delayed from August 2026 to February 2027, according to news dated August 14, 2026, a six-month delay that threatens the timeline of Oracle Project Jupiter and highlights projects' exposure to scheduling risks and interconnections with major customers.
  • −Some first-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings included nonrecurring or market-sensitive factors; management estimated that approximately $300 million of the $500 million outperformance versus plan was nonrecurring in nature and expected a $60 million increase in crude oil inventory valuation to be offset by hedging losses in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026.
  • −The midstream services business remained under pressure in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, as its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined to $887 million from $925 million a year earlier and was affected by approximately $25 million due to lower natural gas and natural gas liquids prices, in addition to a difficult comparison with $160 million of Winter Storm Uri revenue in the prior period.
  • −Natural gas liquids pipelines face competition for recontracting and volumes; management described the market as competitive, with numerous pipelines announced, and acknowledged that some volumes could come off contract during the year or two following the May 5, 2026, call, despite its confidence in replacing them and keeping most capacity under contract.
  • −Major projects remain subject to approvals and conditions that had not been completed as of the May 5, 2026, call; the Desert Southwest project was targeting the submission of its formal certificate application to FERC in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, while South Florida remained conditional on customer decisions before reaching a full final investment decision.
What are ET's most important growth projects, and when are they expected to enter service?

The first phase of Hugh Brinson is targeting transportation capacity of 1.5 billion cubic feet per day and full entry into service in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, followed by the second phase in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027. Springerville Lateral is approximately 120 miles long and has capacity of 625 million cubic feet per day, with an expected growth cost of $600 million and a service date in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2029. FGT Phase 9 targets the addition of 525 million cubic feet per day in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2028. As for Desert Southwest, the company expects it to enter service in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2029 after completing the FERC process.

Can Energy Transfer's distributions grow based on the available data?

News dated August 16, 2026, reported that Energy Transfer had increased its distributions for 19 consecutive quarters. During the May 5, 2026, call, management set a long-term annual distribution growth target of between 3% and 5%. Adjusted distributable cash flow reached $2.7 billion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, compared with $2.3 billion a year earlier. On the other hand, the company raised its fiscal year 2026 organic growth capital guidance to $5.5–$5.9 billion, making capital discipline and project execution important factors in sustaining this trajectory.

What is the impact of the Green Chile delay on the ET thesis?

Transwestern, an Energy Transfer subsidiary, announced that the commissioning of the Green Chile pipeline would be delayed from August 2026 to February 2027, according to news dated August 14, 2026. This represents a six-month delay in critical infrastructure for supplying gas to Oracle Project Jupiter in New Mexico. The delay could pressure the timeline of the project, which was valued at approximately $165 billion, although the provided data does not include a specific financial impact on Energy Transfer. This development makes scheduling and construction risks more important when evaluating the company's large expansion portfolio.

What do insider purchases and analyst consensus indicate about ET?

Net insider purchases over three months totaled $21.5 million across three purchases with no sales, with the latest transaction occurring on August 19, 2026. This indicates supportive insider buying activity, but it does not eliminate execution risks, commodity price volatility, or nonrecurring optimization opportunities. The analyst consensus rates the stock as “Buy,” with an average target of $23. Because the highest and lowest targets are both $23, the available estimate range does not show dispersion that can be used to assess differences among analyst views.