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Stocks
ESCO Technologies Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall79
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 4/9SafeCongress sellingBetter than 79% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
27
22.3x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
90
26.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
63
7.8%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
85
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
33
0.12%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
56
61.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
80
33Top tier
ESE

ESE ESCO Technologies Inc.

ESCO Technologies Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
270.30
▲ ⁦+1.14%⁩ (+3.04)
Market Cap$7.0B
Beta1.12
52w Low52w High
193.68362.15
Last Week
⁦+1.27%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.59%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.29%⁩
Last Year
⁦+34.54%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$270
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$413
⁦+53%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$413–$413⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$168
⁦-38%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.3⁩% discount · ⁦9⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$168–$413⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$413.00
⁦+52.8%⁩
Current Price $270.30·Median $413.00
Low
$413.00
High
$413.00
Street summary

Raised Target Price Despite Decline in Analyst Count

Bullish tilt

The consensus target price rose over the last 30 days from 350 to 413, an increase of 63 or 18%. It did not change over the last 7 days or 1 day, remaining at 413. The current range appears narrow because the high, low, average, and consensus are all at 413, but this reflects only one analyst, compared with two analysts in the previous two snapshots; this indicates declining coverage and statistical confidence, not broad convergence among the views of multiple analysts. Compared with the current price of 274.02, the current target is higher, but the data is insufficient to measure true dispersion among analysts.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.50
Strong Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
2
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.33 → 4.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-04-17
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy· $400.00
  • = Reiterate2026-03-25
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.27x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    30.86x
    5.19x41.53x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    26.10x
    4.52x36.15x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.8%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    26.7%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    172.8%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    42.5%
    12.9%79.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    7.8%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.1%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    2.6%
    4.4%96.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.95
    -10.9113.66
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

ESCO Technologies operates through three interconnected segments serving specialized markets with demanding technical requirements. The Aerospace & Defense segment provides components for commercial and defense aviation and content for the Virginia- and Columbia-class submarine programs, while Utility Solutions, through Doble and NRG, provides testing, monitoring, and diagnostic tools for electrical infrastructure and renewable energy assets. The Test segment sells industrial shielding solutions, shielded rooms, and electromagnetic interference filters used in facilities including commercial and government data centers.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, revenue was $339.0 million, gross profit was $141.5 million, net income was $32.7 million, and reported earnings per share were $1.26. These figures equate to a gross margin of approximately 41.7% and a net margin of approximately 9.6%, compared with revenue of $309.3 million and net income of $34.7 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. On management's adjusted presentation, revenue increased 14%, including 8% organic growth and $23 million from Maritime, adjusted EBIT margin improved 90 basis points to 22%, and adjusted earnings per share increased 37.5% to $2.20.

The Aerospace & Defense segment generated revenue of $168 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, representing approximately half of consolidated revenue, with growth of 23%, organic growth of 9%, and an adjusted EBIT margin of 30%. Utility Solutions sales increased 8%, supported by 17% growth in Doble sales, but the segment recorded a 130-basis-point decline in adjusted EBIT margin, while Test sales grew 5% and its adjusted margin increased 50 basis points to 16.4%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The book-to-bill ratio was 1.21 times in Q3 fiscal 2026 and exceeded 1.0 times across all three segments, raising backlog to a record $1.54 billion; Aerospace & Defense accounted for $1.1 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.16 times.
  • ESCO raised its adjusted earnings-per-share guidance for fiscal 2026 to a range of $8.30–$8.40, representing growth of between 38% and 39% from fiscal 2025. Management also expects underlying growth of between 8% and 10% for Aerospace & Defense, between 10% and 12% for Test, and between 4% and 6% for Utility Solutions during fiscal 2026.
  • Doble orders increased 30% in Q3 fiscal 2026, including growth of 67% in condition monitoring, 23% in protection, 13% in services, and 13% in offline testing, in addition to a major renewal from a cybersecurity customer. Management is targeting continued low-double-digit growth for Doble during Q4 fiscal 2026.
  • Test segment orders jumped 42% in Q3 fiscal 2026, driven by industrial shielded-room projects in the United States and Europe and EMI filters for commercial and government data centers. The need for this shielding is limited to specific facilities, but management said adoption is increasing among data centers that host government data or utility systems and critical infrastructure.
  • The Aerospace & Defense segment is supported by a global backlog of approximately 18,000 aircraft and estimated unmet demand for roughly 5,000 aircraft, alongside naval contracts covering 9 Block VI Virginia submarines and 5 Columbia submarines. ESCO was already contracted with the prime contractors to supply its content for these programs, and the commercial aerospace, defense aerospace, and naval businesses each recorded organic growth of 10% in Q3 fiscal 2026.
  • Operating cash flow reached $193 million during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, compared with $88 million in the corresponding period, benefiting from advance payments on large naval contracts. Leverage on an EBITDA basis was approximately 0.2 times before the funding requirements for the Megger transaction expected in Q1 fiscal 2027.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The record backlog of $1.54 billion provides strong revenue visibility, particularly in Aerospace & Defense, where backlog reached $1.1 billion, with the book-to-bill ratio exceeding 1.0 times across all three segments during Q3 fiscal 2026.
  • +ESCO combines revenue growth with improving efficiency; reported revenue grew 14%, adjusted EBIT margin increased to 22%, and adjusted earnings per share rose 37.5% in Q3 fiscal 2026. During the first nine months, adjusted EBIT margin increased 250 basis points and adjusted earnings per share rose 55%.
  • +Doble benefits from the expansion of electricity generation, transmission, and distribution associated with data centers, electric vehicles, industrial electrification, and heat pumps, which was reflected in 30% growth in orders and 17% growth in sales in Q3 fiscal 2026. The Megger transaction, if completed according to the announced regulatory timeline, could add greater scale to Utility Solutions and enable integration across products, manufacturing, and go-to-market operations.
  • +Submarine programs and the long-term aircraft production cycle support the Aerospace & Defense segment, which generated revenue of $168 million and an adjusted EBIT margin of 30% in Q3 fiscal 2026. Organic growth of 10% in each of commercial aerospace, defense aerospace, and naval also reduces the segment's performance dependence on a single source of growth.

Valuation

The analyst rating is “Buy,” with an average target of $413 and identical high and low targets of $413; this target is approximately 14% above the 52-week range high of $362.15, while the range low is $193.68. The target is supported by expected adjusted earnings-per-share growth of between 38% and 39% in fiscal 2026 and record backlog, but the consensus's reliance on a single target with no estimate range makes the valuation anchor less diverse, particularly given the risks related to NRG, Megger integration, and a debt cost of approximately 6%.

BuyAnalyst target: $413(+52.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving ESCO's growth in Q3 fiscal 2026?

Revenue reached $339.0 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, with reported growth of 14% and organic growth of 8%. Maritime contributed an additional $23 million in sales, while the Aerospace & Defense segment grew 23% to $168 million. Doble sales also increased 17%, and Test orders rose 42%, showing that growth spanned defense, electric utilities, and specialized testing.

How important is the $1.54 billion backlog to ESE stock?

Backlog reached a record $1.54 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026 after the book-to-bill ratio reached 1.21 times. Aerospace & Defense accounted for $1.1 billion of this backlog, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.16 times. This supports future revenue visibility, but the timing of recognition may vary because some cable-monitoring orders may take up to a year to execute.

How does the Megger transaction affect ESCO's future?

ESCO expects to close the Megger transaction in Q1 fiscal 2027 after completing the required regulatory approvals in several countries. The company plans to combine Megger with Doble to increase the scale of Utility Solutions, and working teams are reviewing manufacturing sites, product lines, and go-to-market strategy. On August 6, 2026, management expected the cost of debt to be approximately 6%, so the ultimate impact depends on realizing integration benefits while controlling financing and execution costs.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −NRG represents the clearest operational weakness; demand in renewable energy markets remained very weak, and the company is operating at low-double-digit margins compared with a level that was close to the segment margin in Q3 fiscal 2025. Management expects another year-over-year decline in Q4 fiscal 2026 and does not expect the business in fiscal 2027 to return to its fiscal 2025 level, despite forecasting high-single-digit growth from a low base.
  • −Utility Solutions' adjusted EBIT margin declined 130 basis points in Q3 fiscal 2026 despite 8% sales growth. Weak NRG margins offset modest improvement at Doble, while the sales mix of lower-margin high-voltage product lines and the timing of certain selling, general, and administrative expenses and cost of sales also created pressure.
  • −The Megger transaction requires regulatory approvals in several countries, and plans to integrate manufacturing sites, product lines, go-to-market strategy, and shared identity remained incomplete as of the August 6, 2026 call. ESCO expects to complete the transaction in Q1 fiscal 2027 and finance the debt at a cost of approximately 6%, adding execution, integration, and interest-rate risks to a structure that had low leverage of 0.2 times before the transaction.
  • −NRG's business faces regulatory and operational exposure in renewable energy; developers focused their capital spending on qualifying projects for tax credits, while wind energy faced permitting difficulties and tariff-related costs. Management believes solar may recover before wind, meaning the pace of demand recovery is not uniform across the two markets.
  • −Consolidated orders declined year over year in Q3 fiscal 2026, even though management attributed most of this to the non-recurrence of $364 million of acquired backlog from Maritime and $82 million of Virginia and Columbia submarine orders in the corresponding period. This comparison base shows that large contract volumes and acquisitions can make reported order growth volatile between periods.
  • −The target valuation carries a risk of elevated expectations, as the sole analyst target is $413, approximately 14% above the 52-week range high of $362.15. The absence of any difference between the highest and lowest targets, both at $413, means the displayed consensus does not provide a diverse range for testing downside scenarios.
Why is NRG considered ESCO's most significant operational risk?

The renewable energy markets served by NRG remained weak in Q3 fiscal 2026, and its margins declined to a low-double-digit level. Management expects another negative year-over-year comparison in Q4 fiscal 2026 because of the strength of the corresponding period, with growth beginning to return during fiscal 2027 from a lower base. Wind energy also faces permitting difficulties and tariff-related costs, while management expects a faster recovery in solar energy.

How strong is ESCO's Aerospace & Defense business?

The segment generated revenue of $168 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, an increase of 23%, including organic growth of 9%. Adjusted EBIT margin increased 120 basis points to 30%, and the commercial aerospace, defense aerospace, and naval businesses each recorded organic growth of 10%. Long-term demand is supported by a global backlog of approximately 18,000 aircraft and ESCO's contracted content on 9 Block VI Virginia submarines and 5 Columbia submarines.

What justifies ESCO's increased guidance for fiscal 2026?

Management raised adjusted earnings-per-share guidance for fiscal 2026 to $8.30–$8.40, implying growth of between 38% and 39% from fiscal 2025. During the first nine months, net organic orders grew 19%, organic sales grew 11%, and adjusted EBIT margin increased 250 basis points. Operating cash flow also increased to more than $193 million from $88 million, although part of the increase was related to the timing of advance payments on large naval contracts.