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Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 8/9Better than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
86
13.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
38
-2.4%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
88
21.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
75
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
80
2.82%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
43
25.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
82
6▲3Top tier
ERIC

ERIC Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) · NASDAQ
Market Closed
10.31
▲ ⁦+3.00%⁩ (+0.30)
Market Cap$32.9B
Beta0.52
52w Low52w High
7.8713.77
Last Week
⁦+1.78%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.28%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-15.07%⁩
Last Year
⁦+29.52%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$10
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$6.94
⁦-33%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$6.10–$7.78⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$16
⁦+59%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$6.94–$16⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$6.94
⁦-32.7%⁩
Current Price $10.31·Median $6.94
Low
$6.10
High
$7.78
Current price
$10.31
Average target
$6.94
Street summary

Analyst Forecast Analysis for ERIC

Bearish tilt

Data shows complete stability in the average price target at 6.94 over the past thirty days, despite a notable negative gap between the current price (9.49) and the highest estimated price target (7.78). This discrepancy indicates analyst caution in raising their price targets to match the stock's current market performance, reflecting uncertainty regarding the sustainability of current price levels.

As of 2026-07-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.29
Sell
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
16%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
4
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.57 → 2.29
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-15
    Danske Bank
    HoldBuy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-15
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-04-28
    Citigroup
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.11x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.59x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.6%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.4%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    50.0%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    47.6%
    12.9%79.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    21.1%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.8%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    37.6%
    4.4%96.7%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-14 data

Company Overview

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson is a supplier of telecommunications equipment, software, and services, with its business concentrated in three segments: Networks, Cloud Software and Services, and Enterprise. The Networks segment generates revenue from mobile network solutions, including radio access networks, software, and deployment projects, while Cloud Software and Services provides software and operational services to telecom operators. Enterprise includes enterprise connectivity businesses, including Global Communications Platform and Enterprise Wireless Solutions, as well as Vonage and private networks.

In the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, sales amounted to SEK 52.7 billion, declining organically by 1% year over year, but growing by 1% after excluding the non-recurring intellectual property rights settlement recorded in the comparative quarter. Adjusted gross profit amounted to SEK 25.5 billion, with a margin of 48.4%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization amounted to SEK 6.9 billion, with a margin of 13.1%. Networks generated sales of SEK 33 billion and an adjusted gross margin of 50.4%, compared with sales of SEK 14.7 billion and a margin of 44.1% in Cloud Software and Services, while Enterprise remained loss-making, with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of negative SEK 0.8 billion.

For fiscal year 2025, the financial statements reported revenue of $236.7 billion, gross profit of $112.7 billion, net income of $28.7 billion, and earnings per share of 8.51. This compares with revenue of $247.9 billion and net income of $374 million in fiscal year 2024, and a net loss of $26.1 billion in fiscal year 2023. These figures show a significant improvement in profitability between fiscal years 2023 and 2025, alongside the continued contraction in annual revenue from its peak of $271.5 billion in fiscal year 2022.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Execution efficiency supported the results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026; the adjusted gross margin increased to 48.4%, and operating expenses excluding restructuring declined by about SEK 1 billion annually to SEK 19 billion, with wage pressures offset through headcount reductions and efficiency measures.
  • Cloud Software and Services grew organically by 5% in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 across all regions, and its adjusted gross margin increased from 43.2% to 44.1%. Its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization amounted to SEK 1.8 billion, with a margin of 14.2%. Management said the improvement did not include a non-recurring impact, but resulted from delivery efficiency, commercial discipline, portfolio focus, and cost reductions.
  • Enterprise achieved its third consecutive quarter of organic growth in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, growing by 3% with support from Global Communications Platform and Enterprise Wireless Solutions. However, the segment remained loss-making by SEK 0.8 billion at the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization level, making continued performance improvement an important factor for the stock.
  • Intellectual property rights revenue amounted to SEK 3.4 billion in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, and its annual run rate reached about SEK 13.5 billion following the agreements signed in July 2026. Management explained that the contribution of those agreements in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 would be limited, but the higher annual run rate enhances the future value of the intellectual property rights portfolio.
  • The company expects Networks sales in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 to grow by more than the average three-year seasonal pattern, alongside the delivery of most of the quarterly inventory increase of about SEK 5 billion. Management sees a long-term opportunity in increased uplink traffic associated with artificial intelligence applications, but bases its operating plans on the assumption that the radio access network market will remain broadly stable.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Ericsson demonstrated an ability to protect profitability despite weak sales; the adjusted gross margin reached 48.4% in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 and increased by approximately two percentage points after excluding the impact of the intellectual property rights settlement in the comparative period.
  • +The turnaround in Cloud Software and Services provides a positive pillar, after the segment grew organically by 5% and achieved an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of 14.2% in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 without non-recurring gains.
  • +Liquidity provides an operational safety margin; net cash amounted to SEK 59.8 billion at the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, and cash flow to sales over four quarters reached 12%, at the upper end of the target range of 9% to 12%.
  • +The Networks portfolio could benefit from the shift of artificial intelligence applications into devices and physical systems and the accompanying demand for low latency and higher uplink capacity. The flexibility of the RAN architecture supports this thesis, as management said the software suite can run on x86 processors, graphics processing units, or Ericsson custom silicon.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on ERIC is Neutral, with an average price target of $6.94 and a target range from $6.10 to $7.78. The average target is below the lower end of the 52-week range of $7.71, while the highest target of $7.78 exceeds that lower end only by a limited margin; this positioning reflects the market's balancing of improved profitability against continued weak Networks growth and component-cost pressures.

HoldAnalyst target: $6.94(-32.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How were Ericsson's results in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026?

Sales amounted to SEK 52.7 billion, with an organic decline of 1% year over year. After excluding the non-recurring intellectual property rights settlement in the comparative quarter, organic sales grew by 1%. The adjusted gross margin was 48.4%, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization amounted to SEK 6.9 billion, with a margin of 13.1%.

Which segment is the most important to Ericsson's revenue?

Networks was the largest segment in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, with sales of SEK 33 billion out of total group sales of SEK 52.7 billion. The segment recorded an adjusted gross margin of 50.4% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of SEK 5.8 billion. However, its reported sales declined by 8%, and organic sales fell by 4% due to the impact of the intellectual property rights settlement in the comparative period and weakness in some markets.

Has Ericsson's Cloud Software and Services segment improved?

The segment grew organically by 5% in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, and its reported sales increased by 3% to SEK 14.7 billion. The adjusted gross margin improved to 44.1% from 43.2%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization amounted to SEK 1.8 billion, with a margin of 14.2%. Management confirmed that the results did not benefit from non-recurring items, but reflected delivery efficiency, expense reductions, and portfolio focus.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Underlying demand remains weak; the group's organic sales declined by 1%, and reported Networks sales fell by 8% to SEK 33 billion in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, while management is planning on the basis of a broadly stable radio access network market. Fiscal year 2025 revenue also fell to $236.7 billion from $247.9 billion in fiscal year 2024 and $271.5 billion in fiscal year 2022.
  • −Enterprise remained a drag on earnings in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of negative SEK 0.8 billion. Management acknowledged that private networks had not delivered attractive growth or profitability and that Vonage was not a contributor, and it did not specify a timeline for reaching profitability.
  • −Component costs are rising due to the artificial intelligence boom and the global semiconductor situation, and Ericsson's long-term contracts generally do not include an automatic mechanism for passing inflation on to customers. Product redesigns require between six and nine months, so cost pressure may precede the impact of price increases, product substitution, and cost reductions during the second half of fiscal year 2026 and beyond.
  • −The company expects the adjusted gross margin for Networks to decline to a range of 48%–50% in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, compared with 50.4% in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. This is due to a higher share of lower-margin network deployment projects and a change in the product mix, with restructuring charges expected to remain elevated during fiscal year 2026.
  • −Ericsson faces competitive and technological change as NVIDIA enters graphics processing unit-based radio units, while the company primarily relies on its custom silicon. Although Ericsson's RAN suite is hardware-neutral, management acknowledged uncertainty about which architecture will dominate in the future and that some competitors within the Chinese ecosystem may face less component-cost inflation.
  • −External valuation reflects clear caution; the analyst consensus is Neutral, and the average target of $6.94 is below the lower end of the 52-week range of $7.71, with a relatively narrow target range between $6.10 and $7.78. This indicates that margin improvement has not dispelled concerns about revenue contraction, component pressures, and Enterprise losses.
What is the impact of component-cost inflation on Ericsson?

Management said on July 14, 2026, that higher component costs began in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 and that their financial impact would gradually accumulate during the second half of fiscal year 2026 and extend into the following year. Most long-term contracts do not include automatic inflation pass-through, so the company relies on renegotiation, higher tender prices, product substitution, and cost reductions. Product redesigns also take between six and nine months, creating a time gap between the cost increase and the completion of mitigation measures.

When will Per Narvinger become Ericsson's chief executive officer?

Ericsson announced that Per Narvinger will assume the position of chief executive officer on October 1, 2026, succeeding Börje Ekholm. Narvinger has spent about 30 years at the company and led Networks for a year and a half before the announcement, having previously led the transformation of Cloud Software and Services. Ekholm explained during the July 14, 2026, call that he would work with Narvinger over the following two or three months to ensure a smooth transition.

How is artificial intelligence related to Ericsson's growth opportunity?

Management believes that the shift of artificial intelligence into industrial and physical applications could increase demand for mobile connectivity, low latency, and uplink capacity. Ericsson noted during the July 14, 2026, call that broader demand for uplink traffic was emerging, but did not attribute it to a single specific application. The company's RAN suite can run on x86 processors, graphics processing units, or Ericsson custom silicon, with management emphasizing that custom silicon provides advantages in cost, energy efficiency, and field performance in 2026.