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Stocks
Equinox Gold Corp.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall96
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 7/9Better than 96% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
75
10.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
98
95.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
57
9.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
81
0.3x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
91
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
37
43.3%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
83
5▲3Top tier
EQX

EQX Equinox Gold Corp.

Equinox Gold Corp. · AMEX
Market Closed
12.40
▲ ⁦+1.68%⁩ (+0.20)
Market Cap$9.8B
Beta2.40
52w Low52w High
8.0718.96
Last Week
⁦-5.49%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.99%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-1.43%⁩
Last Year
⁦+50.67%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$12
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$3.20
⁦-74%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$13.00
⁦+4.8%⁩
Current Price $12.40·Median $13.00
Low
$13.00
High
$13.00
Average rating
★ 4.45
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
5
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.44 → 4.45
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Scotiabank
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    CIBC
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-09
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    10.76x
    4.94x39.51x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    6.24x
    3.70x29.59x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.94x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    1.8%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    95.2%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    2956.5%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    46.7%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    9.0%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.34x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Equinox Gold Corp. is a gold producer whose revenue depends on extracting, processing, and selling the metal from a portfolio of mines in North America. Following the completion of its merger with Orla Mining on July 31, 2026, the combined portfolio became centered on the Greenstone, Musselwhite, and Valentine mines, with a contribution from Camino Rojo and a plan to restart Los Filos; therefore, cash generation is linked to production volumes, ore grades, recovery rates, operating costs, and gold prices, which also affect certain royalties.

In fiscal year 2025, revenue reached $1.8 billion, gross profit was $642.9 million, net income was $221.5 million, and earnings per share were $0.35, compared with revenue of $912.8 million, gross profit of $206.1 million, net income of $339.3 million, and earnings per share of $0.75 in fiscal year 2024. Gross profit margins calculated from these figures were approximately 35.7% in fiscal year 2025 and approximately 22.6% in fiscal year 2024; that is, revenue and gross profit increased strongly, while net income and earnings per share declined.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, the company reported earnings per share of $0.16, slightly below the analysts' estimate of $0.17. The provided data did not include a figure for quarterly revenue or net income, but operating performance showed that Greenstone had effectively reached its nameplate capacity, the Valentine plant was operating above nameplate capacity, and Valentine's average feed grade improved to more than 1.8 grams per tonne in July 2026. The financial benefits of the Orla Mining merger will not begin to appear in the results until quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Equinox Gold raised its fiscal year 2026 production guidance to a range of 870 thousand to 920 thousand ounces, including 12 months of the former Equinox Gold operations and five months of contributions from Musselwhite and Camino Rojo following completion of the merger on July 31, 2026; on a pro forma basis, the combined company's production is approximately 1.1 million ounces annually.
  • Valentine's operating indicators improved during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026; the processing plant consistently operated above nameplate capacity, high-grade ore reconciliation improved by approximately 20% compared with the previous quarter, and average plant feed exceeded 1.8 grams per tonne in July and approached 2 grams per tonne in early August 2026.
  • Greenstone's average throughput was approximately 26 thousand tonnes per day in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, then exceeded 28 thousand tonnes per day through August 5, 2026, compared with an assumption of approximately 27 thousand tonnes per day for the second half. Management expects to install the trommel screen before the end of 2026 to reduce the ingress of unwanted materials and the resulting downtime and efficiency losses.
  • Fiscal year 2026 guidance targets total cash costs of between $1,600 and $1,700 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of between $1,900 and $2,000 per ounce. The assumption of improvement in the second half depends on higher production and better absorption of fixed costs, in addition to contributions from Musselwhite and Camino Rojo.
  • The board of directors approved a 50% increase in the annual dividend to $0.09 per share. The decision came after the company ended July 2026 with approximately $650 million in cash, net cash of approximately $214 million, and available liquidity of approximately $1.2 billion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The Orla Mining merger provides the company with an immediate increase in scale and operational diversification across Greenstone, Musselwhite, Valentine, and Camino Rojo; guidance places fiscal year 2026 production between 870 thousand and 920 thousand ounces, with an annual pro forma rate of approximately 1.1 million ounces for the combined company.
  • +The post-merger financial position provides capacity to fund expansion; cash was approximately $650 million, net cash was approximately $214 million, and available liquidity was approximately $1.2 billion at the end of July 2026, alongside an increase in the annual dividend to $0.09 per share.
  • +There is measurable operating evidence of improvement at the Canadian assets: Valentine exceeded its nameplate capacity and increased feed grade to more than 1.8 grams per tonne in July 2026, while Greenstone exceeded 28 thousand tonnes per day through August 5, 2026.
  • +The company approved funding for phase two of Valentine to bring the plant to five million tonnes annually by the end of 2028, and it also began steps to restart heap leaching at Los Filos and develop an underground access at Camino Rojo to collect bulk samples and study the processing of sulfide ore.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $13 and identical high and low targets of $13; however, the target is approximately 31% below the 52-week high of $18.96 and approximately 53% above its low of $8.485. No price-to-earnings ratio is available for the stock, so the assessment of the valuation depends more heavily on achieving fiscal year 2026 production guidance of 870–920 thousand ounces, containing all-in sustaining costs within $1,900–2,000 per ounce, and the emergence of benefits from the Orla Mining merger beginning in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026.

BuyAnalyst target: $13(+4.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the impact of the Orla Mining merger on Equinox Gold's outlook for fiscal year 2026?

The merger was completed on July 31, 2026, so guidance includes only five months of production from Musselwhite and Camino Rojo during fiscal year 2026. The company expects combined production of between 870 thousand and 920 thousand ounces, while the merged entity's annual pro forma production reaches approximately 1.1 million ounces. Management said the financial benefits of the merger will begin to appear in the results of quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026, with a focus on integration, capital discipline, and delivery of the operating plans.

Did Valentine operations improve in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

The Valentine plant consistently operated above its nameplate capacity during quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, while high-grade ore reconciliation improved by approximately 20% compared with the previous quarter. The plant's average feed grade exceeded 1.8 grams per tonne in July 2026 and approached 2 grams per tonne in early August, compared with a second-half guidance assumption of 1.8–1.85 grams per tonne. Nevertheless, the grade remains below the average of 2.5 grams per tonne stated in the mine plan through 2028, and the company continues to work on selectivity, ore control, and reducing dilution and blending.

What is the main operational issue at Greenstone?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Executing the Orla Mining merger and integrating several mines simultaneously represents a major operational risk; fiscal year 2026 guidance assumes five months of contributions from Musselwhite and Camino Rojo, while management said the transaction's financial benefits will not begin to appear before quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 and that the immediate priority is integration and delivery of the second-half plans.
  • −Valentine remains below the 2.5 grams per tonne grade stated in the mine plan through 2028; second-half fiscal year 2026 guidance is based on approximately 1.8–1.85 grams per tonne, following issues with selectivity, dilution, and ore reconciliation. Although mining reached approximately 140–145 thousand tonnes per day and high-grade reconciliation improved by approximately 20%, management acknowledged that the operational work has not yet been completed.
  • −Greenstone faces weak recoveries despite improved throughput and grades; the recovery rate was approximately 80% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 due to higher levels of the mineral arsenopyrite. The company needs a sampling campaign and a better understanding of its distribution during the remainder of 2026 and in 2027, making the timing of recovery improvements uncertain based on the provided data.
  • −Operating margins are under pressure from fuel and costs; the company assumed consolidated fuel prices approximately 50% above its original plan and estimated the impact of fuel and related costs at approximately an additional $100 per ounce across the portfolio and approximately $200 at Valentine from the combined price and volume effects. Valentine site services and support also exceeded expectations by approximately $10 million on a fiscal year 2026 basis.
  • −Capital requirements have increased across several projects; the Valentine plan includes between $50 million and $60 million for phase two during the second half of fiscal year 2026, while the chief financial officer did not provide an immediate explanation during the call for the approximately additional $30 million raised by the analyst. The plan also includes approximately $35–40 million to restart Los Filos and $30–35 million at Camino Rojo, including $25 million for underground access and development.
  • −Earnings per share in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 were $0.16, below the analysts' estimate of $0.17, while annual earnings per share declined from $0.75 in fiscal year 2024 to $0.35 in fiscal year 2025 despite revenue nearly doubling. This indicates that growth in scale and gross profit did not translate proportionally into net profit for shareholders.
  • −Valuation carries risk because of the wide 52-week range between $8.485 and $18.96, while the sole analyst target is $13, approximately 31% below the top of the range. The identical high and low targets of $13 also mean that the displayed consensus data do not provide a diverse range of analyst views, and no price-to-earnings ratio is available to serve as an additional valuation anchor.

Greenstone's average throughput reached approximately 26 thousand tonnes per day in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, then exceeded 28 thousand tonnes per day through August 5, 2026, placing the plant at or above its nameplate capacity. However, the recovery rate remained near 80% due to elevated arsenopyrite content in some ore. The company plans a sampling campaign during the remainder of 2026 and in 2027, and it also aims to install a trommel screen before the end of 2026 to reduce unwanted materials and downtime.

What is Equinox Gold's cost guidance for fiscal year 2026?

The company expects total cash costs of between $1,600 and $1,700 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of between $1,900 and $2,000 per ounce in fiscal year 2026. The plan assumes consolidated fuel prices approximately 50% above the original estimates, with an impact of approximately $100 per ounce across the portfolio and approximately $200 at Valentine from the combined price and volume effects. Management is counting on higher production, improved absorption of fixed costs, and lower initial operating-stage support expenses to reduce unit costs during the second half.

How is Equinox Gold funding expansion and dividends after the merger?

The company ended July 2026 with approximately $650 million in cash, net cash of approximately $214 million, and available liquidity of approximately $1.2 billion. The board of directors approved a 50% increase in the annual dividend to $0.09 per share, alongside funding phase two of Valentine. Growth plans also include restarting Los Filos and developing an underground access at Camino Rojo, requiring a continued balance between shareholder returns and capital spending.

What is the key valuation anchor for EQX stock based on the available data?

The stock has a “Buy” consensus and an average target of $13, with the high and low targets at the same figure. This target lies between the 52-week low of $8.485 and its high of $18.96, and is approximately 31% below the high. Because no price-to-earnings ratio is available, the valuation assessment depends more heavily on achieving fiscal year 2026 production of 870–920 thousand ounces and controlling all-in sustaining costs within $1,900–2,000 per ounce.