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EPR Properties
EPR

EPR EPR Properties

EPR Properties · NYSE
Market Closed
59.18
▼ ⁦-0.25%⁩ (-0.15)
Market Cap$4.5B
Beta1.02
52w Low52w High
48.1164.97
Last Week
⁦-0.72%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.02%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.04%⁩
Last Year
⁦+11.30%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall46
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9Better than 46% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
47
19.0x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
34
4.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
61
7.6%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
40
5.6x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
36
6.56%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
67
14.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
44
4▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$59
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$65
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$61–$71⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-0.23
⁦-100%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-0.23–$65⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$65.50
⁦+10.7%⁩
Current Price $59.18·Median $65.00
Low
$61.00
High
$70.50
Current price
$59.18
Average target
$65.50
Street summary

EPR Properties Target Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

EPR Properties stock has seen a positive trend in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, with the average target price rising from 63.7 to 65.5, an overall increase of 2.83%. This momentum was bolstered by an upgrade of the company's rating by KeyBanc to "Overweight" on August 19, 2026, reflecting growing confidence in the stock's ability to outperform its sector, coinciding with stable positive outlooks from other institutions such as Morgan Stanley and Citigroup.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
42%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
16%
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
3
2
6
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.25 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-19
    KeyBanc
    Sector WeightOverweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Raymond James
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-02
    Citigroup
    Market Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.97x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    19.31x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.27x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.2%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.5%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    53.7%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    39.5%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    7.6%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.57x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    6.6%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    112.9%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

EPR Properties is a real estate company focused on assets tied to location-based experiences; the gross value of its portfolio investments reached $7.5 billion as of June 30, 2026, distributed across 346 properties that were 99% leased or operated. Core experiential categories accounted for 95% of portfolio value across 291 properties operated by 57 customers, while the education segment represented 5% across 55 properties leased to five operators. The company generates revenue primarily from rent, in addition to percentage rent, participating interest, operated properties, and financing investments.

In Q2 FY 2026, revenue reached $196.1 million versus $178.1 million in the corresponding period, up 10.1%, while net income was $67.2 million and earnings per share were $0.79; equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 34.3%. Adjusted operating funds from operations FFOAA rose to $1.42 per share from $1.26, an increase of 12.7%, while AFFO rose to $1.43 from $1.24, an increase of 15.3%. During the twelve months ended in 2026, the company recorded revenue of $742.6 million and net income of $263.3 million.

Movie theaters now represent approximately one-third of the portfolio, down from 36% in the previous quarter, alongside the addition of assets in amusement parks, golf, hot springs, fitness and wellness, including Netflix House in King of Prussia and a portfolio of seven parks formerly operated by Six Flags. The portfolio maintained unit-level rent coverage of two times, while the AFFO payout ratio was approximately 65% in Q2 FY 2026. The company's model therefore combines rental cash flows from a highly occupied portfolio with expansion through the acquisition and development of experiential properties at high targeted initial yields.

What's Driving the Stock

  • EPR Properties invested approximately $440.8 million during Q2 FY 2026 at an average initial cash yield of approximately 8.5%, bringing first-half investments to $492.2 million; the transactions included seven parks formerly operated by Six Flags and the Netflix House asset, which introduced Netflix, rated A, as a new partner in the portfolio.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Management raised FY 2026 investment spending guidance to a range of $600 million to $700 million, from $500 million to $600 million, with investments expected to lean more toward acquisitions than development. There are also approximately $92 million of expected commitments for existing development and redevelopment projects, of which approximately $65 million is expected to be funded during the remainder of FY 2026.
  • The company raised FY 2026 FFOAA guidance to $5.41–$5.57 per share from $5.37–$5.53, with the midpoint reflecting growth of 7.2% over FY 2025. Management explained that approximately $0.035 of the $0.04 guidance increase was attributable to investment and improved portfolio performance, while approximately $0.005 came from a debt extinguishment charge associated with the full repayment of a $10.8 million mortgage loan.
  • Movie theater ticket sales rose by approximately 10% compared with the same period in 2025, while food and beverage spending remained strong, and percentage rent due from Regal increased during June 2026. This improvement helped offset weather-related weakness at the Northern California ski property, while overall rent coverage remained at two times.
  • Liquidity supports execution of the investment plan; as of June 30, 2026, the company had $16.2 million in cash and $640 million available under a $1 billion revolving facility. On July 17, 2026, it entered into a $1.6 billion credit agreement that includes a $600 million delayed-draw term facility maturing in 2032, in addition to estimated net proceeds of $69.5 million from unsettled forward equity sale agreements.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Q2 FY 2026 delivered simultaneous growth of 10.1% in revenue, 12.7% in FFOAA per share, and 15.3% in AFFO per share, indicating that investment spending and rent and interest increases translated into growth in core cash-flow metrics.
    • +The portfolio has 99% occupancy or operation and rent coverage of two times, while credit losses and earnings-impacting issues were near 40 basis points compared with an original assumption of between 50 and 75 basis points. This performance allowed the company to raise FY 2026 FFOAA guidance while maintaining an AFFO payout ratio of 65%.
    • +The dominance of movie theaters is gradually declining; their share fell from 36% to approximately one-third of the portfolio following investments in amusement parks, fitness and wellness, golf, hot springs, and Netflix House. These transactions provide diversification within the experiential real estate sector, with an average initial cash yield of approximately 8.5% on quarterly investments.
    • +Adjusted net debt to annualized EBITDAre was 5.1 times as of June 30, 2026, at the low end of the target range of 5–5.6 times, while fixed-charge coverage was 3.4 times and interest and debt-service coverage was 4 times. These ratios, together with the $1.6 billion credit agreement, give the company flexibility to fund the FY 2026 investment range of $600–$700 million.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Sector concentration remains significant despite improved diversification; movie theaters represent approximately one-third of the portfolio, while the education portfolio of 55 properties depends on only five operators. Therefore, weaker performance by movie theater operators or one of the education operators could materially affect rent coverage and collections.
    • −Some experiential assets are exposed to weather and seasonality; unfavorable weather reduced percentage rent from the Northern California ski property, while management also noted a seasonal decline in ski activity and that the third quarter is the primary operating season for some operated properties. This makes part of the results vulnerable to conditions beyond the company's control.
    • −The strength of Q2 FY 2026 does not mean that all of the improvement will recur; management maintained percentage rent and participating interest income guidance at $18.5–$22.5 million because the June 2026 increase included a timing effect expected to partially reverse in the second half. The FFOAA result within the $5.41–$5.57 range also depends on the timing and yields of acquisitions, percentage rent, operated properties, and general and administrative expenses.
    • −Net interest expense increased by $5 million in Q2 FY 2026 because of higher average borrowings and lower capitalized interest, while consolidated debt reached $3.3 billion. The company also relies on a mix of approximately 60% equity and 40% debt to fund additional investments, and the unsettled forward sale agreements represented slightly less than 1.2 million shares, creating financing-cost and ownership-dilution risks if expansion accelerates.
    • −Valuation offers a limited margin for error when compared with the year's reference points; the average analyst target of $65.5 is only slightly above the top of the 52-week range of $64.97, with a neutral consensus and targets ranging from $61 to $70.5. The price-to-earnings ratio is also unavailable in the provided data, reducing the ability to test valuation using this traditional metric.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $65.5, within a range of $61 to $70.5, against a neutral consensus; the average is only approximately 0.8% above the top of the 52-week range of $64.97. The spread in targets reflects differing assessments of the impact of the $600–$700 million investment plan, financing risks, and exposure to experiential real estate, while the provided data do not offer a valid comparable price-to-earnings ratio. Therefore, the valuation case is based primarily on expected FFOAA growth of 7.2% at the midpoint of FY 2026 guidance and on the target range, while the overall analyst view remains neutral.

    HoldAnalyst target: $65.5(+10.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove EPR Properties' results in Q2 FY 2026?

    Revenue rose to $196.1 million from $178.1 million, or by 10.1%, driven by investment spending and rent and interest increases. FFOAA rose to $1.42 per share from $1.26, while AFFO increased to $1.43 from $1.24. Net income was $67.2 million and earnings per share were $0.79, with improved portfolio collections and fewer credit issues than originally assumed.

    How is EPR Properties executing its growth plan in FY 2026?

    The company spent $440.8 million in Q2 FY 2026 at an average initial cash yield of approximately 8.5%, bringing first-half spending to $492.2 million. Investments included seven parks formerly operated by Six Flags and Netflix House in King of Prussia, in addition to assets in golf, hot springs, and attractions. Based on the strength of the transaction pipeline, management raised FY 2026 investment guidance to $600–$700 million.

    How dependent is EPR Properties on movie theaters?

    Movie theaters represented approximately one-third of the portfolio as of June 30, 2026, down from 36% in the previous quarter, indicating progress in diversification without eliminating concentration. During the same period, ticket sales were approximately 10% above their 2025 level, with strength in food and beverage spending and improved percentage rent from Regal during June 2026. The sector remains important to rent coverage, but it is now complemented by additional assets in fitness and wellness, amusement parks, golf, and Netflix House.

    Can EPR Properties' balance sheet fund the announced investments?

    Adjusted net debt to annualized EBITDAre was 5.1 times as of June 30, 2026, at the low end of the target range of 5–5.6 times, while interest and debt-service coverage was 4 times. The company had $16.2 million in cash and $640 million available under a $1 billion revolving facility, in addition to $69.5 million in net proceeds from unsettled forward equity sales. On July 17, 2026, it added a $1.6 billion credit agreement, but the $5 million increase in net interest expense remains a factor to monitor.

    What are EPR Properties' earnings and payout guidance for FY 2026?

    Management raised FY 2026 FFOAA guidance to $5.41–$5.57 per share from $5.37–$5.53, with the midpoint representing growth of 7.2% over FY 2025. The company expects an approximately similar increase in AFFO per share, while the AFFO payout ratio remained at 65% in Q2 FY 2026. Reaching different parts of the range depends on the timing and yields of acquisitions, percentage rent, the performance of operated properties, and general and administrative expenses.

    −
    Insiders recorded net sales of $2 million during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 19, 2026, with nine sales and no purchases recorded, and the signal was classified as a strong sell. However, this remains a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged, and the provided data offer no evidence to the contrary.