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Home
Stocks
EOG Resources, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 4/9SafeBetter than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
86
11.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
78
19.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
89
18.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
86
0.3x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
60
2.08%2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
82
14.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
64
17▲3Around median
EOG

EOG EOG Resources, Inc.

EOG Resources, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
147.36
▼ ⁦-0.07%⁩ (-0.10)
Market Cap$78.5B
Beta0.28
52w Low52w High
101.59153.67
Last Week
⁦-0.67%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.61%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+7.30%⁩
Last Year
⁦+25.25%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$147
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$157
⁦+7%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$134–$193⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$280
⁦+90%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$157–$280⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$159.85
⁦+8.5%⁩
Current Price $147.36·Median $157.00
Low
$134.00
High
$193.00
Current price
$147.36
Average target
$159.85
Street summary

Recent Stability with a Slight Reduction in the Average Target

The average price target remained stable at 159.85 from 6 analysts over the last day and 7 days, but over 30 days it declined from 162.90 to 159.85, a decrease of 3.05 or 1.87%, with the number of analysts unchanged. The range between 134 and 193 reflects clear variation in estimates, while the mean and median stand at 159.85 and 157 compared with the current price of 145.19, indicating a mixed outlook rather than a strong bullish consensus.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.40
Hold
Analyst coverage
30
Buy conviction
37%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
40%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time30 analysts rating
1
10
19
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.58 → 3.40
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Seaport Global
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.47x
    3.56x28.47x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.85x
    3.36x26.89x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.92x
    2.12x16.98x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.2%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    19.1%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    24.6%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    69.5%
    7.8%72.1%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    18.7%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.30x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.1%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    23.8%
    11.9%109.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.01
    -1.814.34
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

EOG Resources explores, develops, and produces oil and natural gas across a multi-basin portfolio that includes Delaware, Eagle Ford, Utica, and Dorado, alongside international exploration programs in the UAE and Bahrain. It generates revenue from the sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids production, while facilities such as the Janus gas processing plant and the Verde pipeline support its ability to access markets and improve net realized prices; Janus, with a capacity of 300 million cubic feet per day, increased net realizations by more than $0.65 per thousand cubic feet during the first half of fiscal year 2026.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue according to EDGAR data was approximately $8.6 billion and net income was $2.7 billion, implying a derived net income margin of approximately 31%. Earnings per share according to EDGAR were approximately $5.15, while adjusted earnings per share reported by management were $5.07 versus analyst expectations of $5.01, and revenue reported in the earnings release rose 57.4% to $8.62 billion, supported by 24.4% production growth and favorable oil prices.

Free cash flow in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 reached a record $2.8 billion, and adjusted cash flow from operations was $8.29 per share. EOG returned just over $1.8 billion to shareholders, including $540 million through regular dividends and $1.3 billion through share repurchases, and ended the quarter with $4.9 billion in liquidity and $3 billion in net debt.

What's Driving the Stock

  • EOG maintained its fiscal year 2026 program at capital expenditures of $6.5 billion, targeting 5% oil production growth and 14% total production growth; the plan also projects, at market curve prices and the midpoint of guidance ranges, free cash flow of $8 billion and a WTI breakeven below $50 per barrel.
  • Exploration in the UAE showed strong initial results in June 2026; two wells with one-mile laterals produced an average of more than 25 thousand barrels of oil per well during their first 30 days and were still flowing naturally at the time of the August 5, 2026 call. The company intends to complete additional wells with laterals exceeding two miles, but the program remains within a three-year exploration phase across a 900 thousand-acre concession.
  • EOG added a promising Austin Chalk area in Lavaca County after leasing 60 thousand net acres at an average of $1,200 per acre and drilling more than 12 wells. The wells achieved payback periods of less than one year and returns exceeding 100% at WTI of $65, and the company identified approximately 125 remaining locations with two-mile laterals, equivalent to nearly one additional year of drilling inventory at the current Eagle Ford pace.
  • The integration of Encino assets in Utica exceeded the $150 million savings target ahead of schedule, and direct well costs declined to below $600 per foot. Internal production optimization tools also increased base production by 5% and reduced downtime by 5%, and management expected most of the oil growth under the three-year scenario to come from Utica.
  • Operational efficiency continues to reduce development costs: daily drilling footage in Delaware increased 13% during the first half of fiscal year 2026, and direct costs declined to below $710 per foot, while Eagle Ford costs fell to below $525 per foot, the lowest level in EOG's history in this basin.
  • EOG committed to returning at least 70% of annual free cash flow to shareholders during fiscal year 2026, and $11.7 billion remained under the share repurchase authorization as of June 30, 2026. The company returned approximately $2.8 billion in total to shareholders during the first half of fiscal year 2026, with a record of regular dividends that have not been reduced or suspended for 28 years.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +EOG's model combines a WTI breakeven below $50 per barrel with a plan to generate $8 billion in free cash flow in fiscal year 2026, giving the company the ability to fund production growth, exploration, and distributions from its operations under management's assumptions.
  • +The balance sheet supports financial flexibility; liquidity was $4.9 billion and net debt was $3 billion at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, while more than $1.8 billion was returned to shareholders during the quarter.
  • +The initial UAE results, Austin Chalk inventory of approximately 125 locations, and Encino savings exceeding $150 million provide defined growth pathways beyond reliance on a single domestic asset.
  • +Improvements in Delaware, Eagle Ford, and Dorado demonstrate EOG's ability to withstand service cost inflation; despite modest inflation, the company maintained its expectation for a low-single-digit decline in well costs during fiscal year 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $159.85, with a wide range between $134 and $193 and a Buy consensus, and the average is slightly above the 52-week range high of $153.67, while the highest target is significantly above that high. In contrast, Roth Capital's Neutral rating and $138 target on August 5, 2026 reflect a degree of caution despite the record results, and the available data do not include a valid price-to-earnings multiple that can be used to confirm whether the valuation is low or high on an earnings basis.

BuyAnalyst target: $159.85(+8.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove EOG's results in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

Revenue reached $8.62 billion, up 57.4%, driven by a 24.4% increase in production and favorable oil prices. The company delivered adjusted earnings per share of $5.07 versus expectations of $5.01, while EDGAR data showed net income of $2.7 billion and earnings per share of $5.15. Free cash flow also reached a record $2.8 billion, and adjusted cash flow from operations reached $8.29 per share.

What is the significance of EOG's discoveries in the UAE?

EOG drilled and completed two wells with one-mile laterals and began production from them in June 2026, with average production during the first 30 days exceeding 25 thousand barrels of oil per well. The project is located within a 900 thousand-acre concession in partnership with ADNOC and has a three-year exploration phase with an option for ADNOC to participate under the project structure. However, the two wells tested the same area and formation, so the company will need to test other areas and formations and monitor the response to artificial lift and decline curves before demonstrating large-scale development viability.

How is EOG returning capital to shareholders in fiscal year 2026?

The company returned just over $1.8 billion in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, split between $540 million in regular dividends and $1.3 billion in share repurchases. Total shareholder returns during the first half of fiscal year 2026 were approximately $2.8 billion, with a commitment to return at least 70% of annual free cash flow. As of June 30, 2026, $11.7 billion remained under the repurchase authorization, and the company has not reduced or suspended its regular dividend for 28 years.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Earnings and cash flows remain highly sensitive to commodity prices; management described strong oil prices as an important contributor to the record performance in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, while it expects continued price volatility due to the conflict with Iran and supply disruptions in the Middle East.
  • −EOG operates in a volatile geopolitical environment; Bahrain operations were intermittent because of the ongoing conflict, and management did not commit to specific outcomes during the second half of fiscal year 2026 because the safety of employees, contractors, and partners takes precedence over the pace of execution.
  • −The UAE opportunity remains at an early exploration stage despite the strength of the first two wells; the two wells tested the same area and formation within a 900 thousand-acre concession, and the repeatability of results across different areas and formations, the long-term decline curve, and full-development economics have not yet been established.
  • −Growth may not be balanced across basins; management said Delaware production could decline slightly year over year in fiscal year 2026, then stabilize or achieve modest growth under the three-year scenario, while most oil growth depends on Utica and the integration of Encino.
  • −Service costs pose a risk to margins, as management noted modest inflation across several services, even though it had succeeded as of August 5, 2026 in offsetting most of it and maintaining its expectation for a low-single-digit decline in well costs.
  • −Analyst views show valuation divergence; the consensus rating is Buy with an average target of $159.85, but the lowest target is $134, and Roth Capital maintained its Neutral rating on August 5, 2026 despite raising its target from $132 to $138. Insiders recorded net sales of $5.7 million across two sale transactions during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 24, 2026, which is a weak standalone signal because such sales may be prearranged unless disclosures indicate otherwise.
  • What are EOG's production and spending targets for fiscal year 2026?

    EOG is targeting 5% growth in oil production and 14% growth in total production during fiscal year 2026, with capital expenditures unchanged at $6.5 billion. The plan projects free cash flow of $8 billion at market curve prices and the midpoint of guidance ranges, with a WTI breakeven below $50 per barrel. Management said Utica and the integration of Encino are driving an important portion of oil growth, while Delaware production could decline slightly year over year.

    What are EOG's main sources of cost reductions?

    In Delaware, daily drilling footage increased 13% and direct costs declined to below $710 per foot during the first half of fiscal year 2026. In Eagle Ford, daily completion footage increased 11% compared with fiscal year 2025, and direct costs fell to below $525 per foot, while Dorado costs declined to below $700 per foot, or by 7%. The internal drilling motor program also improved average footage drilled per run by 70% since 2023, and avoiding a single motor failure could save between $100 thousand and $250 thousand.

    How do analysts view EOG stock?

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $159.85, a high target of $193, and a low target of $134. The average target is slightly above the 52-week range high of $153.67, but the wide target range reflects meaningful differences in estimates of the impact of oil prices and operational execution. On August 5, 2026, Roth Capital raised its target from $132 to $138 while maintaining a Neutral rating, providing a more cautious view than the broader consensus.