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Stocks
EMCOR Group, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
44
24.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
79
18.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
70
34.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
84
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
52
0.17%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
58
30.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
43
7▲3Around median
EME

EME EMCOR Group, Inc.

EMCOR Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
780.66
▲ ⁦+4.32%⁩ (+32.33)
Market Cap$33.0B
Beta1.15
52w Low52w High
564.92951.96
Last Week
⁦+6.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.43%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+0.51%⁩
Last Year
⁦+25.30%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$781
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$1047
⁦+34%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$918–$1200⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$405
⁦-48%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.5⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$405–$1047⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$1055.40
⁦+35.2%⁩
Current Price $780.66·Median $1047.00
Low
$918.00
High
$1200.00
Current price
$780.66
Average target
$1055.40
Street summary

EMCOR Group (EME) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

The price target for EMCOR Group (EME) has seen a notable positive revision over the past 30 days, with the average forecast rising by 6.86% to reach 1055.4 compared to 987.67 previously. This adjustment reflects growing optimism from the three analysts covering the stock, especially as the current price (862.54) is trading below the lowest observed price target (918), indicating a collective conviction in an upside valuation gap.

As of 2026-08-17
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.70
Buy
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
70%
High
Target dispersion
36%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
7
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.70
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    24.35x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    23.31x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.95x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.4%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.9%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    32.9%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    19.4%
    8.6%54.6%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    34.1%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.2%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    4.0%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.95
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

EMCOR Group performs complex electrical and mechanical construction work, alongside building services and industrial services, serving data center, institutional, manufacturing, warehouse, water and wastewater, and healthcare projects. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the electrical and mechanical construction segments together generated revenue of $3.96 billion, while building services recorded $837.7 million and industrial services $353.8 million; the two construction businesses therefore accounted for approximately 77% of the group’s quarterly revenue of $5.15 billion.

EMCOR reported record quarterly revenue of $5.15 billion in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 19.8% year over year, with organic growth of 19.6% after excluding the impact of acquisitions and the sale of EMCOR U.K. Gross profit rose 22.6% to $1.02 billion, with gross margin improving 40 basis points to 19.8%, while net income reached $403.7 million and diluted earnings per share were $9.06, up approximately 35% from $6.72 in the comparable quarter.

Operating income reached a record $547.3 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up approximately 32%, and operating margin expanded 100 basis points to 10.6%. The electrical construction segment generated revenue of $1.66 billion and an operating margin of 13.9%, while the mechanical construction segment recorded $2.3 billion and a margin of 12.5%, and building services margin reached 7.6% after improving 130 basis points. EDGAR data for fiscal 2025 shows annual revenue of $17.0 billion, net income of $1.3 billion, and earnings per share of $28.19.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Remaining performance obligations reached $17.14 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, up 44% year over year, 29% since the end of fiscal 2025, and 10% since March 2026, with 95% of the growth being organic; this gives EMCOR greater visibility into future revenue despite some projects extending over longer execution periods.
  • AI infrastructure and data centers remain the most prominent growth driver; network and communications revenue in the electrical construction segment rose 45%, while growth exceeded 100% in the mechanical segment during Q2 fiscal 2026. Management explained that AI data centers increase mechanical work content by approximately 1.5 to 2 times and electrical content by approximately 1.5 times compared with traditional projects.
  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to revenue of between $20.0 billion and $20.5 billion and diluted earnings per share of between $32 and $33.25, supported by first-half performance and record remaining performance obligations. This compares with revenue of $17.0 billion and earnings per share of $28.19 in fiscal 2025.
  • The acquisitions of B&B Electric, Sidney Electric, Giles Electric, Schmidt Electric, and Connelly Electric are intended to expand EMCOR’s electrical capabilities and presence in Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, Texas, and the Chicago area. The five companies collectively generated revenue of $625 million and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $105 million during the twelve months ended June 30, 2026, and fiscal 2026 guidance includes a revenue contribution of between $250 million and $275 million from them during the second half.
  • The conversion of revenue growth into earnings improved due to execution efficiency and operating leverage; quarterly revenue grew 19.8%, while selling, general, and administrative expenses rose only 13.5%, and their share of revenue declined 50 basis points to 9.2%. The company also generated operating cash flow of $289.4 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, with $924 million in cash and $1.45 billion in working capital.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The record remaining performance obligations of $17.14 billion combine 44% annual growth with diversified bookings across data centers, water and wastewater, healthcare, and institutional sectors, reducing the dependence of future visibility on a single end market despite data centers leading growth.
  • +EMCOR has demonstrated its ability to deliver rapid growth without sacrificing group margins; in Q2 fiscal 2026, operating income rose approximately 32% compared with revenue growth of 19.8%, while operating margin expanded to 10.6% and gross margin to 19.8%.
  • +The company’s balance sheet provides flexibility to fund organic growth, acquisitions, and capital returns; it held $924 million in cash and $1.45 billion in working capital at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026. Management expects fiscal 2026 operating cash flow to at least equal net income, or to reach 80% to 85% of operating income.
  • +The five acquisitions expand EMCOR’s base in high-demand regions such as Texas and Chicago, with the acquired businesses generating $625 million in revenue and $105 million in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization during the twelve months ended June 30, 2026. Management sees opportunities to add data center work to these companies’ existing capabilities in industrial, healthcare, and design-build projects.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $1055.4, a high of $1200, and a low of $918; the average is above the 52-week range high of $951.96, while the wide gap between the highest and lowest targets reveals uncertainty about the sustainability of data center growth and margins. The available data does not include a usable price-to-earnings multiple, so the stock’s valuation here is based on the 52-week range of $564.92 to $951.96 and analyst targets, while weighing the increase in fiscal 2026 guidance against contract mix risks and acquisition amortization.

BuyAnalyst target: $1,055.4(+35.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove EMCOR’s growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

EMCOR’s revenue rose to a record quarterly level of $5.15 billion, up 19.8%, while organic growth reached 19.6%. The two construction segments led this performance with combined revenue of $3.96 billion, with electrical construction growing 24% and mechanical construction by more than 31%. Data centers were the largest driver, as network and communications revenue rose 45% in the electrical segment and more than doubled in the mechanical segment.

What is the significance of the $17.14 billion in remaining performance obligations for EME stock?

Remaining performance obligations reached a record $17.14 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, up 44% year over year and 29% since the end of fiscal 2025. Organic growth accounted for 95% of the increase, and bookings included data centers, water and wastewater, healthcare, and institutional sectors. However, only approximately 75% to 76% is expected to be performed within 12 months, compared with approximately 85% historically, due to larger projects, a higher share of water and wastewater work, and mobilization timing.

What is EMCOR’s guidance for fiscal 2026?

EMCOR raised its fiscal 2026 revenue forecast to a range of $20.0 billion to $20.5 billion. It also raised diluted earnings per share guidance to between $32 and $33.25, compared with earnings per share of $28.19 in fiscal 2025. The outlook is based on first-half strength, record remaining performance obligations, and continued demand, but it does not assume that the record quarterly operating margin of 10.6% will recur throughout the second half.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −A significant portion of the growth acceleration has become tied to data centers; most electrical construction growth came from this market, while network and communications was the largest source of mechanical growth, with its mechanical revenue more than doubling from the prior-year level. Any slowdown in the mobilization of large projects or change in AI infrastructure construction plans could affect the pace at which remaining performance obligations convert into revenue, particularly after the share expected to be performed within 12 months declined from approximately 85% historically to 75% or 76%.
  • −Mechanical construction margin declined 110 basis points to 12.5% in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to a higher share of construction manager or prime contractor agreements and guaranteed maximum price and cost-plus contracts. Management estimated that the shift in the mechanical contract mix toward guaranteed maximum price was approximately 9% to 10%, making continued mix changes a risk to margins even if execution remains strong.
  • −Management cautioned that the group’s 10.6% margin in Q2 fiscal 2026 is not the level assumed to recur in second-half guidance and that the guidance midpoint assumes performance closer to the first half as a whole. It also expects a weaker refinery turnaround season in the second half because refineries need to continue production amid tensions in the Middle East, which could pressure the contribution from industrial services, particularly in Q4 fiscal 2026.
  • −The five acquisitions carry near-term execution and financing risks; the company expects to fund them with available cash and borrowing capacity as needed, with an upfront purchase price stated at $750 million and potential additional payments of up to $90 million for two transactions. Acquisition-related intangible asset amortization and lower net interest income will also limit their impact on diluted earnings per share during the remainder of fiscal 2026, before contract backlog amortization subsides within 12 to 18 months.
  • −Projects face geopolitical risks, commodity cost volatility, and unstable equipment lead times, while management also discussed proposals to halt or restrict data centers at local and state levels. It pointed to union labor capacity and prefabrication as supporting mobility between regions, but changes in project locations or delays in permitting and power availability could still increase operational complexity and delay execution.
  • −Analyst targets range from $918 to $1200, a spread of $282 that reflects meaningful differences in earnings and risk estimates, while the average target is $1055.4 and exceeds the 52-week range high of $951.96 by approximately 10.9%. Insider activity also recorded net sales of 802,275 during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 17, 2026, but insider selling is a weak standalone signal because such transactions may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.
How do the acquisitions of B&B Electric, Sidney, Giles, Schmidt, and Connelly affect EMCOR?

The five companies add electrical capabilities and geographic reach in Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, Texas, and the Chicago area. Collectively, they generated revenue of $625 million and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $105 million during the twelve months ended June 30, 2026. EMCOR expects them to contribute between $250 million and $275 million in revenue during the second half of fiscal 2026, but intangible asset amortization and lower interest income will limit their near-term impact on earnings per share.

What are EMCOR’s main margin risks following the Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

Mechanical construction margin declined 110 basis points to 12.5% due to an increase in projects where EMCOR acts as construction manager or prime contractor and a rise in guaranteed maximum price and cost-plus contracts. Management estimated the shift toward a guaranteed maximum price contract mix in the mechanical business at approximately 9% to 10%. In industrial services, the refinery turnaround season in the second half of fiscal 2026 may be weaker than usual, while guidance does not assume a repeat of the group’s 10.6% margin recorded in Q2.

What is the analyst view of EME stock’s valuation?

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” and the average price target is $1055.4, with a range of $918 to $1200. The average target exceeds the 52-week range high of $951.96 by approximately 10.9%, but the $282 target range indicates clear differences in estimates of growth and margin sustainability. The bullish case is tied to higher fiscal 2026 guidance and remaining performance obligations of $17.14 billion, while the cautious case is tied to the concentration of growth in data centers, the decline in mechanical margin, and the impact of acquisition amortization.