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Elevance Health Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall92
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9SafeBetter than 92% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
68
18.6x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
25
6.3%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
79
6.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
63
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
50
1.61%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
92
25.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
96
19▲3Top tier
ELV

ELV Elevance Health Inc.

Elevance Health Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
418.72
▲ ⁦+0.52%⁩ (+2.18)
Market Cap$90.3B
Beta0.69
52w Low52w High
274.84436.24
Last Week
⁦+3.89%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.29%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-1.35%⁩
Last Year
⁦+35.88%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$419
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$456
⁦+9%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$391–$498⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$496
⁦+18%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$456–$496⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$444.06
⁦+6.1%⁩
Current Price $418.72·Median $456.00
Low
$391.00
High
$498.00
Current price
$418.72
Average target
$444.06
Street summary

Elevance Health (ELV) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

The average price target for Elevance Health stock has seen a 2.26% increase over the past 30 days, rising from $434.25 to $444.06, despite a decrease in the number of analysts covering the stock from 6 to 4. This upward adjustment in consensus reflects growing optimism among the analysts continuing coverage, especially with a positive gap between the current price ($400.32) and the median price target of $456.

As of 2026-08-16
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.82
Buy
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
68%
High
Target dispersion
26%
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
3
12
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.86 → 3.82
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    TD Cowen
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.61x
    3.94x44.30x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    14.52x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    18.51x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.9%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.3%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -4.4%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    89.1%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    6.0%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    1.6%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    30.3%
    7.4%76.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.03
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-15 data

Company Overview

Elevance Health operates in health insurance, benefits management, and integrated health services through its commercial and government health benefits businesses, including Medicaid, Medicare Advantage, and Individual ACA plans, alongside the Carelon platform, which includes pharmacy, care, and complex case management solutions. The company generates revenue primarily from health plan premiums, fees for administering self-funded plans, and product and service revenue, while its integrated medical and pharmacy benefits model supports opportunities to control costs and improve customer retention. It ended Q2 FY2026 with 44.9 million medical members, with the sequential decline primarily attributable to the transition of a known fee-based customer and lower Individual ACA and Medicaid membership.

According to EDGAR data, Q2 FY2026 revenue was approximately $50.5 billion, gross profit was $45.0 billion, net income was $1.5 billion, and earnings per share were $6.71, implying a net margin of approximately 3.0%. According to management's operating presentation, operating revenue was $49.8 billion, up 0.8% year over year, supported by higher premium yields and product revenue, partially offset by lower health plan membership. The company also reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $7.45, exceeding its expectations, due to improved benefit expenses in Medicare Advantage and Individual ACA and expense discipline.

Performance was divided among clear improvement in Medicare Advantage, commercial performance in line with expectations, Individual ACA developing according to pricing and plan, and a growing role for Carelon, versus continued pressure in Medicaid. For comparison, the company recorded Q1 FY2026 revenue of $50.2 billion, net income of $1.8 billion, and earnings per share of $8.00, meaning sequential revenue growth in Q2 FY2026 was accompanied by lower net income. FY2025 revenue was $199.1 billion, net income was $5.7 billion, and earnings per share were $25.21.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance for FY2026 to at least $27, identified $26 as an appropriate basis for modeling, and reaffirmed its confidence in returning to growth of at least 12% in FY2027 from a year-end FY2026 earnings baseline.
  • Medicare Advantage performed better than expected due to plan design, membership mix, and claims experience, and the company is targeting an operating margin of at least 2% in FY2026. Medicare Advantage and Individual ACA together accounted for approximately $0.50 of the operating outperformance in earnings per share during Q2 FY2026, split roughly equally between the two businesses.
  • The company raised its FY2026 operating cash flow outlook to at least $6 billion after reporting $1.9 billion in Q2 FY2026. Quarterly cash flow also benefited from the timing of a transitory government Medicaid payment received during the quarter and then transferred in July 2026, so the entire increase does not represent a recurring improvement in cash generation.
  • Carelon's contribution is expanding through scalable solutions; management said CareBridge can generate medical savings in the mid-teens percentage range for some members, while behavioral health programs generated average savings of 10%. Sydney Health serves approximately 22 million members, and Health OS tools target moving 80% of transactions to real time and reducing documentation requests and administrative friction.
  • The commercial business supports the growth trajectory through demand for the integrated medical and pharmacy model, patient advocacy services, behavioral health, and digital engagement. Management described FY2026 as a record year for the national accounts business and said the FY2027 opportunity pipeline had returned to a size comparable to the FY2026 pipeline, with some customers returning after moving to alternative payers two or three years ago.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The buying case is based on diversified improvement that does not depend on a single business; adjusted diluted earnings per share of $7.45 exceeded expectations for Q2 FY2026, and management raised FY2026 guidance to at least $27 while targeting growth of at least 12% in FY2027.
  • +Medicare Advantage repositioning measures are producing tangible results, as favorable claims experience and a more focused product mix supported a path toward an operating margin of at least 2% in FY2026, with the same discipline applied to FY2027 offerings.
  • +Carelon provides an additional source of growth and cost improvement, supported by savings in the mid-teens percentage range through CareBridge and average savings of 10% through behavioral health programs, alongside expanding these capabilities to external markets and customers.
  • +Raising the operating cash flow outlook to at least $6 billion for FY2026 strengthens the company's ability to fund its targeted investments and manage capital, although the recurring operating improvement must be separated from the timing effect of the transitory Medicaid payment in Q2 FY2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $444.06 and a wide range between $391 and $498; the average is approximately 1.8% above the 52-week high of $436.24, while the low is $274.84. The higher target is supported by expectations for increased FY2026 earnings and a return to adjusted growth of at least 12% in FY2027, but the wide range of targets and Medicaid margin pressure of approximately negative 1.75% highlight that the rerating depends on executing an operating improvement that is not yet complete.

BuyAnalyst target: $444.06(+6.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were ELV's key Q2 FY2026 results?

EDGAR data showed revenue of $50.5 billion, net income of $1.5 billion, and earnings per share of $6.71 in Q2 FY2026. Gross profit was $45.0 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 89.1%, while the net income margin was approximately 3.0%. On the operating basis presented by management, revenue was $49.8 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share were $7.45, with year-over-year revenue growth of 0.8%.

Why did Elevance Health raise its FY2026 earnings guidance?

Management raised its adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance for FY2026 to at least $27 after Q2 FY2026 performance exceeded its expectations. The outperformance came from improved benefit expenses in Medicare Advantage and Individual ACA, alongside expense control and the execution of care management initiatives. Management identified $26 as the basis for modeling and reaffirmed its target of at least 12% adjusted earnings per share growth in FY2027 from the year-end FY2026 baseline.

How significant is ELV's Medicaid problem?

The company expects an operating margin of approximately negative 1.75% for the Medicaid business in FY2026 and considers this year the expected trough for margins. Cost pressures are concentrated in behavioral health, including applied behavior analysis treatment, specialty drugs, outpatient surgeries, and emergency department utilization. Rate updates effective July 1, 2026 were in the mid-single-digit percentage range and leaned toward the upper end of that range, but management does not assume a material improvement in the cost trend during the second half.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Medicaid represents the largest direct financial pressure; the company expects an operating margin of approximately negative 1.75% in FY2026, with continued cost increases in behavioral health, specialty drugs, outpatient surgeries, and emergency department utilization. Management views FY2026 as the trough for margins, but it does not assume a material improvement in the cost trend during the second half and plans to exit additional markets over the next 12 to 18 months where no path to sustainable performance is available.
  • −According to management, medical cost inflation continues to exceed Medicare Advantage funding despite improved business results and the target of a margin of at least 2% in FY2026. This makes achieving sustainable improvement sensitive to the accuracy of pricing for FY2027 offerings, continued favorable claims experience, and care management programs.
  • −Operating revenue growth slowed to only 0.8% year over year in Q2 FY2026, with higher premium yields and product revenue partially offset by lower health plan membership. According to EDGAR, net income also declined from $1.8 billion in Q1 FY2026 to $1.5 billion in Q2 FY2026, despite revenue increasing from $50.2 billion to $50.5 billion.
  • −The Individual ACA business involves seasonal volatility and estimation risk; management emphasized that it is not extrapolating first-half favorability to the remainder of FY2026 because of the higher mix of bronze plans and incomplete claims maturity. The company also incorporated the vast majority of the FY2025 risk adjustment favorability into FY2026 reserves rather than treating it as recurring profit.
  • −The company expects the adjusted operating expense ratio to be in the upper half of its FY2026 guidance range, while near-term Carelon Services earnings reflect platform investments and the expansion of new risk-based programs that need time to mature. The company will also use a nonrecurring benefit of $0.80 per share to fund accelerated one-time investments in the second half of FY2026.
  • −The valuation remains exposed to the risk that the repricing assumed by analysts will not materialize; the average target of $444.06 exceeds even the upper end of the 52-week range of $436.24, while targets range from $391 to $498. This disparity reveals a meaningful difference in estimates of the speed of the Medicaid recovery, the sustainability of Medicare Advantage improvement, and Carelon's growth.
How can Carelon support Elevance Health's growth?

Carelon is expanding value-based care solutions in complex and chronic areas, including CareBridge, behavioral health, and oncology. Management said CareBridge can generate medical savings in the mid-teens percentage range for some members, while behavioral health programs generated average savings of 10%. Conversely, near-term Carelon Services earnings reflect continued investment in the platform and the expansion of new risk-based programs that need time to mature.

What changed in Medicare Advantage during FY2026?

Elevance Health repositioned the portfolio through more disciplined plan design, greater focus on D-SNP and HMO products, and a more favorable membership mix. Improved claims experience and care management programs contributed to Q2 FY2026 results exceeding expectations, with a target operating margin of at least 2% for FY2026. The company submitted its FY2027 offerings based on a cautious view of the cost trend, despite management stating that underlying medical cost growth continues to exceed program funding.

What do the analyst consensus and ELV's valuation mean?

The stock has a Buy consensus, with an average price target of $444.06 and targets ranging from $391 to $498. The average exceeds the upper end of the 52-week range of $436.24, while the lower end of the range is $274.84. The wide range of targets reflects differing assessments of the company's ability to improve Medicaid, maintain the targeted Medicare Advantage margin, and convert Carelon investments into sustainable earnings growth.