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Home
Stocks
Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall47
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 5/9Better than 47% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
24
28.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
46
2.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
72
9.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
42
5.2x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
64
3.43%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
45
8.5%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
72
5▲3Top tier
ELS

ELS Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
60.08
▼ ⁦-0.36%⁩ (-0.22)
Market Cap$11.7B
Beta0.66
52w Low52w High
58.7269.00
Last Week
⁦-4.04%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.20%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.81%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.17%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$60
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$65
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$59–$72⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$13
⁦-78%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$13–$65⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$65.80
⁦+9.5%⁩
Current Price $60.08·Median $65.00
Low
$59.00
High
$72.00
Current price
$60.08
Average target
$65.80
Street summary

Equity LifeStyle Properties (ELS) Price Target Review

The stock has seen a notable decline in its average price target over the past thirty days, falling from $70.5 to $66.4, a decrease of 5.82%. This decline coincided with an increase in the number of analysts contributing to the valuation, reflecting a more conservative outlook from those who recently joined. Furthermore, Morgan Stanley's recent rating on August 12, 2026, which was "Hold," reinforced the cautious stance toward the stock, narrowing the gap between the current price (65.73) and the average target.

As of 2026-08-19
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.79
Buy
Analyst coverage
19
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Target dispersion
22%
Analyst ratings over time19 analysts rating
3
9
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.89 → 3.79
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    Morgan Stanley
    Mixed
  • = Reiterate2026-05-05
    Truist Securities
    —· $67.00
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-04-15
    Deutsche Bank
    HoldBuy· $72.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    28.88x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    27.90x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    24.56x
    3.68x29.40x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    2.9%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.5%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    7.8%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    9.0%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.24x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.4%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    99.0%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Equity LifeStyle Properties operates a portfolio of manufactured housing communities, recreational vehicle sites, and marinas, a significant proportion of which target customers over the age of 55. The core manufactured housing portfolio represents approximately 60% of total revenue and had 94% occupancy in fiscal Q2 2026, while 97% of residents in these communities own their homes. The company relies on recurring and stable revenue from residents, annual guests, and Thousand Trails members, with these annual streams accounting for more than 90% of core revenue, while annual rentals represent more than 70% of core recreational vehicle revenue.

In the latest available EDGAR filings, the company generated revenue of 397.6 million dollars and net income of 111.5 million dollars in fiscal Q1 2026, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 28.0% and earnings per share of 0.56 dollars. For the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026, revenue totaled 1.5 billion dollars, net income was 399.2 million dollars, and earnings per share were approximately 1.99 dollars. By comparison, fiscal 2025 recorded revenue of 1.5 billion dollars, net income of 402.1 million dollars, and earnings per share of 2.01 dollars.

Fiscal Q2 2026 results showed operational improvement, with core net operating income growing 6.5% year over year, 120 basis points above prior guidance, and normalized funds from operations per share increasing 7.7% to 0.74 dollars. Core property operating revenue rose 4.9%, compared with a 2.9% increase in core operating expenses, enabling faster net operating income growth. Within the recreational vehicle and marina mix, core annual rental income increased 5.4%, but seasonal and transient rentals came in 170 basis points below guidance.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised fiscal 2026 normalized funds from operations per share guidance to a range of 3.01 to 3.23 dollars, with a midpoint of 3.18 dollars, after fiscal Q2 2026 exceeded guidance by 0.02 dollars per share; improved core net operating income, particularly expense savings, was the main driver of the increase.
  • Manufactured housing remains the largest revenue driver, with occupancy of 94% and an increase of approximately 70 units over two consecutive quarters, while the company expects rental growth in this business of between 5.2% and 6.2% in fiscal 2026. The company also added 140 expansion sites during the first half and is working on four new projects in Florida comprising approximately 500 sites.
  • The Thousand Trails business added 800 members in fiscal Q2 2026, and subscription revenue increased 11%. The company has sold more than 9 thousand memberships from new products since their launch, including approximately 7 thousand during the twelve months preceding the call, while the membership business's net contribution reached 17.1 million dollars for the quarter and 34.4 million dollars for the first half, representing 9.6% year-over-year growth for the period.
  • Cost control supported earnings growth, as core operating expenses increased only 2.9% in fiscal Q2 2026 and were 120 basis points below guidance due to utility and property tax savings, including the settlement of tax appeals in Texas. The utility cost recovery ratio increased to 50.4% in the first half, up 220 basis points year over year.
  • The financing structure provides flexibility to execute expansions and allocate capital, with a debt-to-adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio of 4.4 times, interest coverage of 5.6 times, and approximately 1.2 billion dollars available through the credit facility and at-the-market programs. Variable-rate borrowings are also limited to balances drawn under the credit facility.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Revenue is supported by a recurring base, with more than 90% of core revenue coming from manufactured housing residents, annual recreational vehicle and marina guests, and Thousand Trails members, while core manufactured housing revenue grew at an average rate of 5.8% over five years and core recreational vehicle revenue grew at an average rate of 5.7%.
  • +Fiscal Q2 2026 demonstrated a clear ability to convert revenue growth into faster earnings growth, as core property operating revenue increased 4.9% compared with 2.9% for expenses, resulting in a 6.5% increase in core net operating income and a 7.7% increase in normalized funds from operations per share.
  • +The manufactured housing customer base provides a degree of stability, with occupancy at 94% and 97% of residents owning their homes, in addition to more than half of the properties remaining 98% occupied for years, according to management. This is supported by an expansion pipeline comprising approximately 500 sites across four projects in Florida and 140 sites added during the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • +The membership business is growing through a better mix of pricing and products, as Thousand Trails subscription revenue increased 11%, and average annual revenue per dues-paying member rose from approximately 580 dollars to nearly 700 dollars following the introduction of upgrade options with terms of between two and four years and a total cost of between two thousand and four thousand dollars.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is 66.4 dollars, with a relatively wide range of 59 to 72 dollars and a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average is approximately 3.8% below the 52-week range high of 69 dollars, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target is close to the low of 58.72 dollars, reflecting differing assessments of the impact of manufactured housing strength versus transient rental weakness. The absence of a stated price-to-earnings ratio in the data does not allow for a reliable comparison based on the earnings multiple.

BuyAnalyst target: $66.4(+10.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving ELS growth in fiscal 2026?

The manufactured housing business is driving growth, representing approximately 60% of total revenue and reaching 94% occupancy in fiscal Q2 2026. Management expects rental growth in this business of between 5.2% and 6.2% during fiscal 2026, after achieving rental rate growth of 5.8% in the quarter. Expense control also contributed to raising normalized funds from operations per share guidance to a range of 3.01 to 3.23 dollars.

Why did ELS lower its outlook for the transient recreational vehicle business?

Seasonal and transient rentals came in 170 basis points below guidance in fiscal Q2 2026 due to weakness in transient rentals, particularly in June. Management cited the impact of severe weather events and smoke from Canadian wildfires on booking trends during June and early July 2026. It therefore lowered its outlook for transient activity in Q3 and assumed no year-over-year growth in fiscal Q4 2026.

How important is Thousand Trails to ELS results?

The Thousand Trails portfolio added approximately 800 members in fiscal Q2 2026, and subscription revenue increased 11%. Sales of new memberships exceeded 9 thousand since the launch of the updated products, including approximately 7 thousand during the twelve months preceding the July 23, 2026 call. The membership business's net contribution reached 17.1 million dollars for the quarter and 34.4 million dollars for the first half, with 9.6% year-over-year growth for the period.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The seasonal and transient recreational vehicle business faced clear pressure in fiscal Q2 2026, as seasonal and transient rentals came in 170 basis points below guidance due to weakness in transient rentals, particularly in June. Management lowered its transient rental assumptions for the second half, and fiscal Q4 2026 guidance now assumes no year-over-year growth.
  • −Transient lodging revenue is subject to weather-related volatility, as severe weather events in June and smoke from Canadian wildfires in early July 2026 affected booking trends, while holidays during the period were also slightly weaker than in the prior year. Fiscal 2026 guidance does not include any assumption for the impact of a potential material storm, leaving results vulnerable to negative deviation if such an event occurs.
  • −Manufactured housing occupancy remains below the 95% target discussed by analysts, reaching 93.7% at the end of June 2026 despite the addition of 67 occupied sites and 140 expansion sites during the first half. Management explained that the recovery from the effects of the 2024 and 2025 storms and the timing of introducing home inventory into the communities continue to affect the pace of occupancy improvement.
  • −The combined recreational vehicle and marina business is guided to rental growth of only between 1.1% and 2.1% in fiscal 2026, substantially slower than the manufactured housing rental growth range of 5.2% to 6.2%. Even with annual rental growth expected to be 4.8% at the midpoint of the range, weakness in seasonal and transient activity limits growth for the platform as a whole.
  • −Expenses could face pressure from inflation and insurance after fiscal 2026, as utilities, payroll, and maintenance, which represent approximately two-thirds of core expenses, are roughly linked to the Consumer Price Index. Management also identified insurance as the largest source of volatility within the remaining one-third of expenses in prior years.
  • −The range of analyst targets reflects significant variation in valuation estimates, extending from 59 to 72 dollars, while the lower end is very close to the 52-week range low of 58.72 dollars. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, limiting the ability to assess valuation against earnings using this metric.
Can ELS raise manufactured housing occupancy to 95%?

Occupancy reached 93.7% at the end of June 2026 after an increase of 67 occupied sites and the addition of 140 expansion sites during the first half of fiscal 2026. Management said occupancy increased by approximately 70 units over two quarters and that more than half of the properties maintain occupancy of 98%. However, the pace of reaching 95% depends on completing the recovery from the effects of the 2024 and 2025 storms and introducing home inventory into the communities.

What is the scale of ELS expansions in manufactured housing and recreational vehicles?

ELS is working on four new manufactured housing projects in Florida comprising approximately 500 sites and has completed a 140-site expansion at an age-qualified property in the Tampa-St. Petersburg area. In fiscal Q2 2026, it added seven recreational vehicle communities comprising approximately 1,400 sites to the non-core portfolio, including two in California and Colorado and five in the Southeastern United States. Longer-term revenue streams represent approximately 40% of the revenue from these seven properties, and the company is seeking to increase this percentage.

What is the state of ELS's balance sheet and financing capacity?

The debt-to-adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio was 4.4 times, and interest coverage was 5.6 times in fiscal Q2 2026. The company has access to approximately 1.2 billion dollars of capital through its credit facility and at-the-market programs, while its variable-rate exposure is limited to balances drawn under the credit facility. Management stated that ten-year loans were being offered at yields of between 5.25% and 5.75%, with loan-to-value ratios of between 55% and 70%.