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Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT
ELC

ELC Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT

Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT · NYSE
Market Closed
19.31
▼ ⁦-0.46%⁩ (-0.09)
Market Cap$48.9B
Beta0.31
52w Low52w High
19.3121.94
Last Week
⁦-0.77%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.47%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.30%⁩
Last Year
⁦-9.85%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall84
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 2/8Better than 84% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
97
4.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
31
-13.4%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
76
19.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
51
0.6x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
97
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
27
-7.8%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
53
—3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$19
Analyst target
No data
vs
DCF (estimate)
$17
⁦-13%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    4.88x
    4.50x36.01x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    2.48x
    3.07x24.54x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    24.6%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -13.4%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Weak
  • EPS Growth YoY
    39.9%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    68.2%
    9.8%69.4%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    19.1%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.63x
    1.28x10.25x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Entergy Louisiana, LLC COLLATERAL TR MT, listed under the ticker ELC, is associated with the Entergy system, which serves electricity demand in the Gulf South states and invests in generation, transmission, distribution, and grid resilience. The monetization model described in the data is based on electricity sales to customers, recovery of eligible investments and expenses through rates and regulatory mechanisms, and the addition of large industrial and technology loads; technology companies were the largest contributor to demand growth in the five-year plan, alongside demand from steel mills, liquefied natural gas facilities, and petrochemical plants.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $3.5 billion, gross profit was $1.0 billion, net income was $487.8 million, and earnings per share were $1.05; equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 28.6% and a net income margin of approximately 13.9%. Management reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.03, slightly lower than the comparable period because weather returned to levels closer to normal after hotter weather in 2025, while industrial segment sales increased 10% excluding the impact of weather.

During the twelve months ended in 2026, the financial statements recorded revenue of $13.5 billion, gross profit of $4.1 billion, net income of $1.8 billion, and earnings per share of $3.96, implying a gross margin of approximately 30.4% and a net income margin of approximately 13.3%. By comparison, fiscal year 2025 revenue was approximately $12.9 billion and net income was $1.8 billion, indicating that revenue growth did not translate into a comparable increase in net profit through the 2026 period presented.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 29, 2026, management confirmed that the company remained on track to achieve its adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal year 2026 and its outlook through 2030, with most of the year-over-year earnings increase expected to appear in Q4 of fiscal year 2026 if weather is normal.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Potential opportunities for hyperscale computing projects ranged between 7 and 12 gigawatts, compared with interest ranging between 3 and 5 gigawatts from traditional industrial sectors, while reserved generation plant equipment totaled approximately 7.5 gigawatts within an overall opportunity ranging between 10 and 17 gigawatts.
  • Entergy expects to deliver $7 billion in customer bill benefits under data center agreements signed through July 29, 2026, as the Fair Share Plus arrangements require those facilities to bear the full cost of serving them and their share of fixed costs, limiting cost shifting to existing customers.
  • Industrial sales increased 10% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 excluding the impact of weather as new projects and operational expansions commenced, providing actual evidence that part of the industrial project pipeline has converted into realized electricity demand.
  • The number of operational self-healing networks exceeded 400, serving more than half a million customers, and since installation began in 2021, the program has helped avoid more than 700 thousand outages and an estimated 80 million outage minutes; the Saint Bernard project also includes replacing or reinforcing approximately 640 poles to withstand winds of up to 150 miles per hour.
  • In May 2026, the company completed a $2.175 billion forward equity offering, bringing approximately 60% of the five-year equity plan requirements under contract through 2028; it then settled 8.7 million shares on June 22, 2026, generating net proceeds of $672 million to support the investment plan and credit.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The quantified demand pipeline, comprising 7 to 12 gigawatts of hyperscale computing opportunities and 3 to 5 gigawatts of traditional industrial interest, provides a path for load growth that extends beyond reliance on weather alone.
    • +The Fair Share Plus model reduces the risk that existing customers will bear data center costs, while the signed agreements are expected to provide $7 billion in bill benefits and require new customers to cover their incremental costs and a share of fixed costs.
    • +The 10% increase in industrial sales in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, together with more than 1,000 miles of transmission lines under construction, supports management's view of actual demand growth and grid investment rather than merely preliminary inquiries.
    • +Targeting a cash flow from operations to debt ratio of 15% or more throughout the forecast period, along with having approximately 60% of five-year equity requirements under contract through 2028, provides capacity to fund investment and address weather events.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A significant portion of the growth story depends on the execution of massive data center projects; the technology sector is the largest contributor to demand growth in the five-year plan, but management described a large part of the additional interest as early indications of interest rather than completed proposals and did not raise the 7 to 12 gigawatt range on July 29, 2026.
    • −Data center expansions face local acceptance and regulatory risks, as a data center moratorium was in effect in New Orleans on July 29, 2026, while the service proceedings for the Meta expansion, regulatory extensions, and the Cottonwood plan were still going through customary approval processes.
    • −Management explained that the Cottonwood acquisition creates an early impact on customer bills because the entire plant will be available at the beginning of 2027 before all targeted industrial loads arrive, and it was therefore still working with stakeholders to mitigate the timing and cost issue.
    • −Adjusted earnings per share of $1.03 in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 were slightly lower than in the comparable period, with pressure from higher operations and maintenance expenses, increased interest expense at the parent company, and a higher share count following the settlement of forward contracts; management also expected a year-over-year increase in operations and maintenance expenses of approximately $0.05 to $0.10 per share in Q3 of fiscal year 2026.
    • −Revenue increased from $12.9 billion in fiscal year 2025 to $13.5 billion during the twelve months ended in 2026, or approximately 4.7%, but net income remained at $1.8 billion and earnings per share declined from $3.98 to $3.96, indicating that revenue growth did not translate into net earnings growth during the period presented.
    • −New generation plans require management of significant risks; management said on July 29, 2026, that discussions regarding new nuclear power had not yet reached a level that would allow a project to be launched, and emphasized the need to protect customers and the operating companies' balance sheets from its risks.

    Valuation

    The stock's 52-week range is between $19.65 and $21.94, a spread of $2.29, with the top of the range approximately 11.7% above the bottom, making it a relatively narrow range compared with the scale of the growth opportunities and regulatory execution risks. This range should be viewed in light of net income remaining unchanged at $1.8 billion between fiscal year 2025 and the twelve months ended in 2026, versus substantial load opportunities, some of which remain at the indication-of-interest or regulatory approval stage.

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the main growth driver for ELC within the Entergy system?

    The largest driver in the five-year plan is demand from the technology sector, with a hyperscale computing opportunity pipeline ranging between 7 and 12 gigawatts. In parallel, there is interest ranging between 3 and 5 gigawatts from traditional industrial sectors, including steel, liquefied natural gas, and petrochemicals. In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, industrial sales increased 10% excluding the impact of weather as new projects and expansions began operating.

    How does Entergy prevent data centers from increasing costs for existing customers?

    The company uses the Fair Share Plus commitment, which requires data centers to bear the full incremental cost of serving them and their share of fixed costs. On July 29, 2026, management estimated customer bill benefits from signed agreements at approximately $7 billion. The Meta facility in Louisiana is also subject to a comprehensive rate that includes fixed costs and current or future storm charges within the minimum bill.

    How were the results for Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue reached $3.5 billion, gross profit was $1.0 billion, and net income was $487.8 million. Earnings per share reported in the financial statements were $1.05, while adjusted earnings per share reported by management were $1.03. Adjusted performance was slightly lower than in the comparable period because of milder weather, in addition to higher operations and maintenance expenses, interest expense, and share count.

    What was the scale of the grid reliability investments presented by Entergy in 2026?

    The company had more than 400 self-healing networks in service by July 29, 2026, improving reliability for more than half a million customers. Since installations began in 2021, these networks have avoided more than 700 thousand outages and an estimated 80 million outage minutes. In Saint Bernard, the resilience program includes replacing or reinforcing approximately 640 transmission and distribution poles to withstand winds of up to 150 miles per hour.

    Can Entergy fund its announced expansion plan?

    Management stated that the cash flow from operations to debt ratio would remain at 15% or more throughout the forecast period under the Moody's measure. In May 2026, the company completed a $2.175 billion forward equity offering, bringing approximately 60% of the five-year equity plan requirements under contract through 2028. On June 22, 2026, it settled 8.7 million shares under those contracts, generating net proceeds of $672 million to support investment and credit.

    What are the main execution risks for ELC's growth plan?

    A large portion of the additional data center interest on July 29, 2026, remained at the indication-of-interest stage, and management did not change the opportunity range of 7 to 12 gigawatts. A data center moratorium was in effect in New Orleans, while the Meta expansion, Cottonwood filings, and certain regulatory proceedings remained under review. Management also expected a year-over-year increase in operations and maintenance expenses of approximately $0.05 to $0.10 per share in Q3 of fiscal year 2026, while timing, financing, and approval risks remained.