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Stocks
EastGroup Properties, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall70
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 7/9Better than 70% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
20
34.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
67
11.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
56
5.1%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
67
3.2x▼2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
68
3.13%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
69
21.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
75
6▲3Top tier
EGP

EGP EastGroup Properties, Inc.

EastGroup Properties, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
198.12
▲ ⁦+0.72%⁩ (+1.42)
Market Cap$10.7B
Beta1.04
52w Low52w High
163.10226.71
Last Week
⁦+0.32%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.74%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.05%⁩
Last Year
⁦+17.77%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$198
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$231
⁦+16%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$206–$268⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$82
⁦-59%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$82–$231⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$230.58
⁦+16.4%⁩
Current Price $198.12·Median $230.50
Low
$206.00
High
$268.00
Current price
$198.12
Average target
$230.58
Street summary

Stable EGP Price Targets with Marginal Improvement

The consensus price target did not change over one or seven days, remaining at 230.58 with three analysts. Over 30 days, the consensus rose marginally from 230.45 to 230.58, an increase of 0.13 or 0.06%, with no change in the number of analysts. The range is between 206 and 268, reflecting notable variation among estimates compared with the current price of 200.24.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.90
Buy
Analyst coverage
20
Buy conviction
70%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
31%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
4
10
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.84 → 3.90
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    34.76x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    34.06x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    24.48x
    3.68x29.40x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    3.5%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    11.0%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    22.8%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    37.5%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    5.1%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.16x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.1%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    109.3%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

EastGroup Properties owns and develops a portfolio of industrial properties located primarily in infill locations near population centers, with a focus on small-bay and last-mile distribution buildings. It generates income from leasing existing space, repricing leases upon renewal, and leasing new development projects, while using acquisitions and ground-up development to expand the portfolio. The company aims to diversify revenue geographically and across tenants; the share of its ten largest tenants declined to 6.6% of rent in fiscal Q2 2026, down 30 basis points year over year.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue was $193.3 million, net income was $75.5 million, and earnings per share were $1.40, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 39.1%. Funds from operations were $2.36 per share, exceeding the midpoint of the company's guidance by $0.02 and rising 6.8% from the comparable quarter, while funds from operations per share increased 7.6% during the first half. For the annual comparison, fiscal 2025 recorded revenue of $721.3 million, net income of $257.4 million, and earnings per share of $4.87.

The operating performance mix was supported by both the existing portfolio and development: quarter-end leasing was 96.8%, occupancy was 95.6%, and same-property occupancy was 96.9%. Same-property cash net operating income increased 8.3% during the quarter, while re-leasing spreads reached 34% on a straight-line basis and 19% on a cash basis. On the growth side, the company signed a record 3.9 million square feet of leases, including approximately 1.1 million square feet of development and first-generation leasing, and transferred four projects totaling 669 thousand square feet and 100% occupancy to the operating portfolio.

What's Driving the Stock

  • EastGroup raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 funds from operations guidance by $0.03 to $9.59 per share, representing expected growth of 6.8% over fiscal 2025, and set its fiscal Q3 2026 range at $2.37–$2.45 per share.
  • Leases signed in fiscal Q2 2026 reached a record 3.9 million square feet, with approximately half covering new space; the company also reduced its remaining first-generation space from more than 700 thousand square feet to approximately 365 thousand square feet.
  • Data center suppliers have become a new demand driver; they represented approximately 40% of development leasing in fiscal Q1 2026 and approximately 20% in Q2, with notable activity in Dallas, Phoenix, Atlanta, and other major markets.
  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 development-start guidance by $60 million to $325 million, after starting $123 million of projects during the first half and assuming an additional $202 million in the second half. It also raised acquisition guidance by $55 million to $215 million, compared with $150 million of properties closed or under contract as of the call date.
  • The outlook for the existing portfolio improved, as management raised its fiscal 2026 same-property cash net operating income growth assumption by 60 basis points to 6.8%, increased its same-property occupancy forecast to 96.7%, and raised its average month-end portfolio occupancy forecast to 95.7%.
  • The balance sheet supports the capacity to finance development and acquisitions; the company ended the quarter with no borrowings on its $675 million unsecured credit facility, with debt equal to 12.9% of total market capitalization and interest and fixed-charge coverage of 15.1 times.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Funds from operations per share growth of 6.8% in fiscal Q2 2026 and 7.6% during the first half, together with the increase in full-year guidance to $9.59, provides numerical evidence of continued operating earnings growth.
  • +Record leasing of 3.9 million square feet, cash re-leasing spreads of 19%, and same-property cash net operating income growth of 8.3% reflect strong demand and the portfolio's ability to raise rents.
  • +The development platform gives the company a clear growth path; the four projects transferred to operations were fully leased and delivered a 9.4% yield, while management indicated that the typical yield on projects under construction or lease-up is approximately 7.1%–7.5%.
  • +Diversification limits the impact of a single tenant default, as the ten largest tenants represent only 6.6% of rent, while $675 million of credit liquidity and relatively low leverage provide flexibility to continue investing.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $230.45, compared with a wide target range of $206 to $268, and the average is only approximately 1.6% above the 52-week high of $226.71. The “Neutral” consensus reflects a balance between funds from operations growth and record leasing on one hand, and the delayed contribution of new leases, difficult occupancy comparisons, and acquisition pricing on the other.

HoldAnalyst target: $230.45(+16.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove EGP's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

EastGroup recorded revenue of $193.3 million, net income of $75.5 million, and earnings per share of $1.40. Funds from operations were $2.36 per share, $0.02 above the midpoint of guidance and up 6.8% from the comparable quarter. The outperformance was primarily driven by higher-than-expected same-property net operating income, supported by occupancy that exceeded expectations. Same-property cash net operating income also increased 8.3% during the quarter.

How important is data center-related demand to EGP stock?

EastGroup does not lease data centers themselves, but instead leases space to suppliers serving these facilities. These suppliers accounted for approximately 40% of development leasing in fiscal Q1 2026 and approximately 20% in Q2, equivalent to roughly one-quarter of activity during the first half according to management's estimate. Management cited Dallas, Phoenix, and Atlanta among the markets that could experience significant expansion in data center capacity. It also emphasized that the buildings are not designed for tenant-specific use, limiting re-leasing risk if data center suppliers vacate.

What does EastGroup's fiscal 2026 development plan look like?

The company raised its development-start guidance to $325 million, an increase of $60 million from its previous forecast. It started $123 million of projects during the first half and assumes an additional $202 million of project starts in the second half. In fiscal Q2 2026, it signed development and first-generation leases totaling approximately 1.1 million square feet and transferred four projects totaling 669 thousand square feet at full occupancy to operations. Management expected yields slightly above 7% for typical projects after excluding the impact of the higher-yielding Dominguez project in Los Angeles.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Management identified consumer weakness as the most significant vulnerability; persistently high interest rates and fuel prices could slow tenant demand and then translate into credit issues within the portfolio, even though collections remained healthy and the watchlist was stable through July 23, 2026.
  • −Leasing strength does not immediately translate into earnings because space build-outs and permits delay occupancy commencement; management estimated that the commencement of all development leases signed in July 2026 would have added $0.03 to funds from operations, and it removed $0.01 from the assumed fiscal 2026 contribution of speculative development leasing.
  • −Development operations face execution and supply-chain risks, as approvals and permits have become slower and more complex compared with the period before the COVID pandemic, while lead times for steel, electrical equipment, switchgear, and transformers have lengthened, potentially adding several months to delivery schedules.
  • −The pace of operating growth could slow in the second half of fiscal 2026 because of the difficult comparison with 97% same-property occupancy in the second half of fiscal 2025, while the company currently expects a full-year average of 96.7%. Management also acknowledged that cash re-leasing spreads have declined from exceptional post-pandemic levels to 19% in fiscal Q2 2026 and may continue to normalize as the cycle matures.
  • −Geographic performance is uneven; the Bay Area market remained slower than the rest of the portfolio, the Arista project in Denver lagged the plan, and management described parts of Austin as oversupplied despite the strength of its infill portfolio locations. Weakness in these markets could pressure leasing velocity and returns compared with the stronger Dallas, Houston, Florida, and Atlanta markets.
  • −Acquisition pricing carries return risk after management indicated that the number of bidders for some high-quality industrial properties had doubled and capitalization rates had approached the high-4% to 5% range. The proximity of these returns to the yield on ten-year Treasury bonds means achieving the target return depends more heavily on continued rent growth.
  • Why did funds from operations guidance not increase as much as leasing activity?

    New leases require time before tenants begin paying rent because of build-out work and permits, which can take two to five months depending on the space. Management estimated that occupancy of all leases signed in July 2026 would have added $0.03 to fiscal 2026 funds from operations. Therefore, a larger portion of the impact from fiscal Q2 2026 leases is expected to appear in fiscal 2027. Nevertheless, the company raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 guidance to $9.59 per share from $9.50 at the beginning of the year.

    What are the main operating risks to monitor for EGP?

    Management believes consumer weakness could slow tenant demand and subsequently lead to credit pressure, particularly with elevated interest rates and fuel prices. Permit difficulties and long lead times for steel, switchgear, and transformers could also delay project deliveries by several months. Geographically, the Bay Area remained slower than most markets, the Arista project in Denver was delayed, and pockets of oversupply exist on the outskirts of Austin. In addition, re-leasing spreads may decline from previous exceptional levels after reaching 19% on a cash basis in fiscal Q2 2026.

    What do the balance sheet and valuation indicate about EGP?

    EastGroup ended fiscal Q2 2026 with no borrowings on its $675 million unsecured credit facility, with debt equal to 12.9% of total market capitalization and interest and fixed-charge coverage of 15.1 times. The average analyst price target is $230.45 within a range of $206 to $268, compared with a 52-week high of $226.71. The consensus stands at “Neutral” despite increased guidance for funds from operations, development, and acquisitions. The wide target range indicates a clear divergence in assessments of operating growth versus execution risks, slowing comparisons, and the pricing of acquired properties.