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Home
Stocks
Equifax Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall56
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 6/9SafeBetter than 56% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
48
29.6x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
71
10.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
78
9.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
61
2.8x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
51
1.25%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
21
-28.4%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
63
19▲3Around median
EFX

EFX Equifax Inc.

Equifax Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
169.00
▲ ⁦+0.57%⁩ (+0.96)
Market Cap$19.9B
Beta1.30
52w Low52w High
150.75271.84
Last Week
⁦-8.89%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.12%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.77%⁩
Last Year
⁦-32.94%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$169
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$214
⁦+26%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$182–$245⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$85
⁦-50%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.1⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$85–$214⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$216.92
⁦+28.4%⁩
Current Price $169.00·Median $213.50
Low
$182.00
High
$245.00
Current price
$169.00
Average target
$216.92
Street summary

Slight Increase in Consensus Amid Divergent Ratings

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose to 216.92 from 214.36 over 7 days, and to 216.92 from 212.30 over 30 days, an increase of 1.19% and 2.18%, respectively, while the number of analysts remained at 6. This indicates a limited improvement in the overall outlook, while the range between 182 and 245 and the divergence between the average and the median at 213.5 clearly reflect differing estimates. The consensus is also higher than the current price of 168.09.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.88
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
71%
High
Rating activity · 30d
2↑ · 2↓
Mixed
Target dispersion
37%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
4
13
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 3.88
Recent analyst moves
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    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-21
    William Blair
    Outperform
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    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.65x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    17.45x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.25x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.6%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.3%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    11.3%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    44.4%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    9.1%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.79x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.3%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    37.2%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.13
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-21 data

Company Overview

Equifax Inc. provides credit data, income and employment verification, analytics, and decision-making tools to lenders, government agencies, employers, and consumers. Its business drivers include Workforce Solutions, which relies on The Work Number database for income and employment verification, USIS for credit data and mortgage solutions, and international operations; the company says more than 90% of its revenue comes from proprietary data sources, including more than 100 data exchange platforms globally. It also expands its offerings through EFX.AI and the Ignite and InterConnect platforms, while new products achieved a vitality index of 16% in Q2 FY2026.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue reached $1.7 billion, up 11% on a reported basis and 10% in constant currency, while net income according to EDGAR data was approximately $183.9 million and reported earnings per share were $1.54. On an adjusted basis as presented by management, EBITDA was approximately $552 million at a margin of 32.5%, while the margin excluding the impact of FICO royalties was approximately 35% and increased 120 basis points year over year, and adjusted earnings per share reached $2.25, up 13%. By segment, Workforce Solutions revenue grew 7%, USIS grew 17% or 6% excluding FICO, and international revenue grew approximately 4% in constant currency.

The operating mix showed clear divergence in Q2 FY2026: US mortgage revenue rose 25% and 7% excluding FICO, and diversified markets within Workforce Solutions grew due to high double-digit growth in talent solutions and consumer lending, but government revenue declined approximately 4% due to a difficult comparison with a large contract in FY2025. The EBITDA margin was 52.1% in Workforce Solutions, 32.8% in USIS or 40.5% excluding FICO, and 27.6% in international operations, with a year-over-year improvement of 120 basis points. On a trailing twelve-month basis through Q2 FY2026, revenue was $6.4 billion, net income was $691.4 million, and earnings per share were approximately $5.80.

What's Driving the Stock

  • During the four months preceding the July 21, 2026 call, Workforce Solutions signed government contracts with an annual value of approximately $300 million, including approximately $100 million in new business and $200 million in renewals, with limited benefit in the second half of FY2026 and the primary benefit in 2027; the government deal pipeline was also approximately twice its level a year earlier.
  • The number of active The Work Number records increased 10% to 217 million records, including 124 million current active records covering 108 million unique Social Security numbers, strengthening coverage rates for income and employment verification. Management links this asset to a $5 billion addressable government market opportunity, compared with government revenue approaching $800 million within Workforce Solutions.
  • VantageScore transactions in Q2 FY2026 reached approximately 2.2 million, with growth of nearly threefold compared with Q1 FY2026; approximately 1,200 lenders used the free score alongside FICO, while approximately 100 lenders moved to using it exclusively at a price of $1 per transaction. Equifax plans to maintain this price through the end of 2027, while FICO mortgage score royalties represent approximately 7% of the company's total revenue but carry a zero margin.
  • Equifax launched 54 products incorporating artificial intelligence capabilities during the first half of FY2026, and the new-product vitality index reached 16% versus a 15% target for FY2026. Launches include Ignite AI Advisor, Equifax IQ, and TWN Indicator solutions, while management doubled its artificial intelligence-related operating savings target from $75 million to $150 million during 2026-2028.
  • Equifax signed a definitive agreement to acquire Círculo de Crédito at an enterprise value of $750 million, with closing expected in Q4 FY2026 after satisfying conditions and obtaining regulatory approvals. Círculo covers 2 billion credit lines and 80 million verified identities in Mexico, achieved a 23% revenue CAGR between 2023 and 2025 and 31% growth during the twelve months ended June 30, 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid-40s.
  • The company expects Q3 FY2026 revenue of between $1.68 billion and $1.71 billion, adjusted earnings per share of between $2.15 and $2.25, and EBITDA of between $547 million and $564 million. It also maintained its reported FY2026 guidance unchanged and expects revenue growth excluding FICO royalties of 7.2%-8.4%, EBITDA margin expansion excluding FICO of approximately 75 basis points, and free cash flow exceeding $1 billion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Equifax combines Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 11% with EBITDA margin expansion excluding FICO of 120 basis points, indicating that operating leverage and artificial intelligence savings are translating into tangible financial improvement.
  • +The Work Number database provides a difficult-to-replicate data advantage, with 217 million active records and 10% growth, and supported the signing of approximately $300 million in government contracts and a deal pipeline twice its level a year earlier.
  • +The transition of artificial intelligence products from trials to commercial use represents a dual driver of growth and efficiency; the company launched 54 artificial intelligence-enabled products in the first half of FY2026 and doubled its savings target to $150 million for 2026-2028.
  • +The agreed acquisition of Círculo de Crédito could expand Equifax's presence in Mexico through a rapidly growing asset with adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid-40s, and management expects the acquisition to be accretive to earnings in its first year.
  • +The expected ability to generate more than $1 billion in free cash flow in FY2026 supports capital allocation flexibility; the company returned $366 million to shareholders in Q2 FY2026, including $300 million to repurchase approximately 1.8 million shares and $66 million in cash dividends.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $214.36 within a wide range of $182 to $245, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average is approximately 21% below the 52-week range high of $271.84 and above its low of $150.75. No price-to-earnings multiple is provided in the data despite earnings per share of approximately $5.80 on a trailing twelve-month basis through Q2 FY2026, making the target range and its breadth between $182 and $245 a clearer valuation reference, while considering the risks of mortgage weakness, the delayed financial impact of government contracts, and uncertainty regarding VantageScore adoption.

BuyAnalyst target: $214.36(+26.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Equifax's growth in Q2 FY2026?

Equifax revenue reached approximately $1.7 billion in Q2 FY2026, up 11% on a reported basis and 10% in constant currency. Workforce Solutions grew 7% and USIS grew 17%, while US mortgage revenue rose 25% despite market weakness. High double-digit growth in talent solutions and consumer lending also helped offset an approximately 4% decline in government revenue.

How important is The Work Number to EFX's business?

The Work Number ended Q2 FY2026 with 217 million active records, up 10%, including 124 million current active records covering 108 million unique Social Security numbers. Equifax uses this data for instant income and employment verification for lenders and government agencies. During the four months preceding the July 21, 2026 call, this competitive position contributed to the signing of approximately $300 million in government contracts, including $100 million in new business.

How could VantageScore affect Equifax's earnings?

VantageScore volume reached approximately 2.2 million transactions in Q2 FY2026, nearly three times the Q1 FY2026 volume. Approximately 1,200 lenders used the score free alongside FICO to test systems, while approximately 100 lenders used it exclusively at a price of $1, and the volume of these transactions did not exceed approximately 10 thousand. Management says a full transition could add $40-50 million to the margin, but it assumed limited VantageScore revenue in its FY2026 guidance.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case7 pts

  • −The mortgage business remains sensitive to interest rates; the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to approximately 6.6% compared with 6.3% when April 2026 guidance was issued, and FY2026 mortgage origination expectations now indicate a low-single-digit decline at the lower end of the range. Despite share gains, mortgage revenue growth in USIS slowed from 60% in Q1 to 40% in Q2 FY2026.
  • −Government revenue in Workforce Solutions declined approximately 4% in Q2 FY2026 due to a difficult comparison and the closing of some agreements being delayed until after the end of the quarter, while the primary impact of approximately $100 million in new business will not appear before 2027. Therefore, improvement in this business depends on contract execution, systems integration, and the start of benefits according to expected schedules.
  • −International operations recorded growth of only approximately 4% in constant currency in Q2 FY2026, with market pressures in Canada and the United Kingdom and low-single-digit growth in Europe. Currency weakness also offset the impact of quarterly revenue exceeding expectations, so the company maintained its reported FY2026 guidance unchanged despite raising it on a constant-currency basis.
  • −The transition from FICO to VantageScore involves uncertainty regarding the pace of adoption; exclusive paid transactions among approximately 100 lenders were limited to approximately 10 thousand transactions in Q2 FY2026, while most of the 2.2 million transaction volume relied on offering VantageScore free alongside FICO. Q3 and FY2026 guidance also assumes the continued sale of FICO in all mortgage transactions and limited revenue from VantageScore.
  • −The $750 million acquisition of Círculo de Crédito requires regulatory approvals and closing conditions before its expected completion in Q4 FY2026, and the attractiveness of the 9.4 times multiple depends on achieving expected operating savings. Financing the transaction and integrating 2 billion credit lines and 80 million identities add execution risks, even with a target of keeping financial leverage below three times EBITDA.
  • −In Q2 FY2026, the company recorded a net cost of $40 million, after insurance recoveries, for a legal settlement related to a previously disclosed software issue. This confirms the existence of material legal and operational exposure in businesses that depend on data and software accuracy and regulatory compliance.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on July 24, 2026 indicates net selling of $6.4 million across seven sales and no purchases. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data does not include anything proving otherwise.
What does the acquisition of Círculo de Crédito add to Equifax?

Equifax agreed to acquire Círculo de Crédito at an enterprise value of $750 million, with closing expected in Q4 FY2026 after regulatory approvals. Círculo serves more than 1,700 clients and holds 2 billion credit lines covering 80 million verified identities in Mexico. It achieved a 23% revenue CAGR between 2023 and 2025, while its revenue increased 31% during the twelve months ended June 30, 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid-40s.

How does Equifax use artificial intelligence in its products and costs?

Equifax launched 54 products incorporating artificial intelligence capabilities during the first half of FY2026, and the new-product vitality index reached 16%. The products include Ignite AI Advisor, which provides insights and recommendations through a language interface, Equifax IQ for improving credit policies and detecting fraud, as well as TWN Indicator solutions. On the cost side, the company raised its artificial intelligence-related savings target from $75 million to $150 million during 2026-2028 after expanding its use in operations, technology, and administrative functions.

What are the main risks to monitor for EFX during FY2026?

The rise in the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to approximately 6.6% weakened mortgage origination volumes, and the company expects a low-single-digit market decline during FY2026. Government activity in Workforce Solutions also declined approximately 4% in Q2 FY2026, and most of the impact from the $100 million in new contracts will not appear before 2027. Other risks include a slow paid transition to VantageScore, completing and integrating Círculo de Crédito, and the legal exposure reflected in the $40 million net settlement cost during the quarter.