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Stocks
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall91
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/8Better than 91% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
73
18.6x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
86
15.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
81
9.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
77
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
40
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
61
20.4%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
62
10▲3Around median
EDU

EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
55.82
▲ ⁦+2.27%⁩ (+1.24)
Market Cap$8.8B
Beta0.23
52w Low52w High
44.2564.97
Last Week
⁦-5.63%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.84%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+18.56%⁩
Last Year
⁦+18.39%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$56
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$57
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$57–$57⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$158
⁦+183%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦11⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$57–$158⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$56.50
⁦+1.2%⁩
Current Price $55.82·Median $56.50
Low
$56.50
High
$56.50
Street summary

Price Forecast Analysis for New Oriental (EDU) Stock

Bearish tilt

EDU stock shows a negative gap between its current price of 57.7 and the consensus price target of 56.5, indicating that the stock is currently trading above analyst estimates. The most notable observation is the sharp decline in the number of analysts contributing to the price target from 11 analysts to just one over the past 30 days, leading to a lack of dispersion in forecasts and increased uncertainty regarding the general market consensus.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.95
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦20 (-10)⁩
Buy conviction
80%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
3
13
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.83 → 3.95
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-30
    Macquarie
    OutperformNeutral
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-06-11
    Goldman Sachs
    NeutralBuy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-01-28
    HSBC
    HoldBuy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.61x
    4.61x36.85x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.85x
    3.86x30.86x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.43x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.8%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.6%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    30.4%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    54.6%
    9.2%67.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    9.6%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

New Oriental Education & Technology Group operates an educational services ecosystem that includes overseas study test preparation and study-abroad consulting, education for adults and university students, non-academic tutoring, and smart learning systems and devices. It has also diversified its revenue sources through East Buy commerce and livestreaming, educational and cultural tours, and the New Oriental Home platform, which combines education and tourism services and East Buy products in a single app; by the end of Q4 FY2026, the pilot platform was operating in 69 cities and had more than 950 thousand registered families.

In Q4 FY2026, net revenues increased 23% year over year to $1.5295 billion. Operating income reached $85.8 million, equivalent to an operating margin of approximately 5.6%, compared with an operating loss of $8.7 million in the corresponding period; adjusted operating income also increased 34.7% to $110 million, with a margin of approximately 7.2%. Net income attributable to New Oriental was approximately $62.2 million, up 775.8%, while adjusted net income decreased 10.5% to $87.8 million.

The business mix reflected clear divergence in Q4 FY2026: new educational initiatives grew 25%, the adult and university student business grew 29%, overseas study test preparation grew 6%, and overseas study consulting grew approximately 1%. For FY2025, the company reported revenues of $4.9 billion and gross profit of $2.7 billion, with a gross margin of approximately 55.1%, and net income of $371.7 million, compared with revenues of $4.3 billion and net income of $309.6 million in FY2024.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects FY2027 revenues to range between $6.4539 billion and $6.6803 billion, representing annual growth of between 14% and 18%, with the K–12 education business expected to grow by approximately 20%.
  • Deferred revenue reached $2.2429 billion on May 31, 2026, up 14.8% from $1.9545 billion a year earlier, representing amounts collected in advance that will be recognized as services are provided or goods are delivered.
  • The company launched the first phase of a proprietary AI-powered personalized learning platform and said it generated meaningful sales during the first 25 days after launch. The company also uses AI in learning devices, classrooms, and after-school tools, as well as in internal operations to increase the productivity of teachers and assistants and reduce the need for additional hiring.
  • New Oriental Home reached more than 950 thousand registered families across 69 cities by the end of Q4 FY2026, with a cumulative engagement rate of approximately 70% and an activation rate of 23% in the latest campaign mentioned during the July 29, 2026 call. The platform connects education, East Buy products, and tourism with the aim of increasing customer retention and cross-selling while reducing customer acquisition costs.
  • The company aims to add between 10% and 15% capacity in FY2027, after adding 13% in FY2026, while expecting revenue growth to exceed the growth in new capacity, supporting higher utilization rates. It also targets FY2027 savings exceeding the approximately $100 million achieved in FY2026.
  • The board of directors approved expected capital returns of approximately $500 million for FY2027, including expected cash dividends of approximately $300 million in two installments in December 2026 and June 2027, in addition to a new share repurchase program of up to $200 million.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company strongly restored operating profitability in Q4 FY2026, shifting from an operating loss of $8.7 million to operating income of $85.8 million while revenues grew 23%.
  • +The FY2027 outlook combines revenue growth of 14% to 18% with expected margin expansion, supported by improving enrollments, cost controls, higher utilization of learning centers, and a greater expected contribution from East Buy.
  • +The liquidity position provides flexibility to fund expansion and shareholder returns; as of May 31, 2026, the company held $1.8212 billion in cash and cash equivalents, $1.3668 billion in term deposits, and $2.3723 billion in short-term investments.
  • +The diversity of its growth drivers gives the company multiple avenues for expansion, as new educational initiatives grew 25% and the adult and university student business grew 29% in Q4 FY2026, alongside the expansion of New Oriental Home, AI products, and East Buy.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $56.5, which is also both the highest and lowest available target, meaning there is no actual range among the estimates provided. This target is approximately 13% below the 52-week range high of $64.97 and approximately 28% above its low of $44.25; this valuation balances expected FY2027 revenue growth of between 14% and 18% against the slow overseas study-related business, regulatory risks, and the decline in adjusted net income in Q4 FY2026.

BuyAnalyst target: $56.5(+1.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were EDU's key results in Q4 FY2026?

Net revenues reached $1.5295 billion, an annual increase of 23%. Operating performance shifted from a loss of $8.7 million to operating income of $85.8 million, while adjusted operating income increased 34.7% to $110 million. Net income attributable to New Oriental was approximately $62.2 million, but adjusted net income decreased 10.5% to $87.8 million.

What is New Oriental's outlook for FY2027?

The company expects FY2027 revenues of between $6.4539 billion and $6.6803 billion, equivalent to annual growth of between 14% and 18%. Management expects approximately 20% growth in the K–12 education business, with the overseas study-related business remaining stable or growing at a low-single-digit rate. It also targets margin expansion through cost controls and improved capacity utilization.

How does New Oriental use AI in its business?

The company completed the first phase of deploying a proprietary AI-powered personalized learning platform and stated during the July 29, 2026 call that it generated meaningful sales during the first 25 days. It also integrates AI tools into learning devices, classrooms, and after-school activities to improve the student experience and teaching efficiency. The technology is also used to increase the productivity of teachers, assistants, and support teams and reduce the need to hire additional employees.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The overseas study-related business faces clear pressure; test preparation revenue grew only 6% and consulting revenue approximately 1% in Q4 FY2026, and management expects this business to remain stable or grow at a low-single-digit rate in FY2027 because of the economic environment and international conditions.
  • −The business remains exposed to Chinese regulatory policies; the company linked its FY2027 revenue outlook to regulatory developments and market conditions and emphasized its continued cooperation with authorities and compliance with evolving requirements. The call also included a direct question about inspections involving certain learning centers, although management described its view of the regulatory environment as neutral to positive.
  • −There is geographic concentration within the new initiatives: the ten largest cities generate approximately 60% of the non-academic tutoring business, more than 50% of the smart learning systems and devices business, and more than 50% of student tour program revenue. Therefore, weak demand or execution in these cities could have a disproportionate impact on the growth of these activities.
  • −Despite the improvement in operating income, adjusted net income decreased 10.5% to $87.8 million in Q4 FY2026, while cost of revenues increased 25.9% and selling and marketing expenses increased 23.9%, rates that exceeded or approximately matched the 23% revenue growth. Management also stated that the education business margin was approximately stable when excluding East Buy's contribution, before adding back the impact of non-recurring restructuring expenses of $10 million to $15 million.
  • −Competition and the long-term population decline remain influential factors in the K–12 education business. Management said during the July 29, 2026 call that competition during the summer season was lower than in the previous year, but acknowledged that the population trend is an issue, with its positive outlook relying on larger companies gaining additional market share.
  • −Insider activity showed a strong sell signal during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 10, 2026, with six sales, no purchases, and net sales of $4.1 million. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.
  • How important is New Oriental Home to the company's growth?

    New Oriental Home combines education services, East Buy products, and cultural tours in a unified app serving children, parents, and senior citizens. By the end of Q4 FY2026, the pilot program was operating in 69 cities and had more than 950 thousand registered families, with a cumulative engagement rate of approximately 70% and an activation rate of 23% in the latest campaign mentioned. Through this ecosystem, the company aims to increase customer retention and cross-selling, improve conversion, and reduce customer acquisition costs.

    What is EDU's liquidity position and what returns are planned for shareholders?

    As of May 31, 2026, New Oriental held $1.8212 billion in cash and cash equivalents, along with $1.3668 billion in term deposits and $2.3723 billion in short-term investments. Operating cash flow in Q4 FY2026 was approximately $518.7 million, compared with capital expenditures of $99 million. For FY2027, the company expects capital returns of approximately $500 million, including expected cash dividends of approximately $300 million and a new share repurchase program of up to $200 million.

    What are the main risks that could hinder New Oriental's growth?

    Overseas study consulting grew only approximately 1% and overseas study test preparation grew 6% in Q4 FY2026, and management expects low growth for this business in FY2027. The company also remains exposed to changes in Chinese regulatory requirements and to the concentration of more than half of the revenues from some new initiatives in the ten largest cities. In addition, adjusted net income decreased 10.5% in the quarter, and management acknowledged that the population trend represents a long-term challenge for the K–12 education business.