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Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima
EDN

EDN Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima · NYSE
Market Closed
24.48
▼ ⁦-2.35%⁩ (-0.59)
Market Cap$1.1B
Beta0.04
52w Low52w High
14.3836.70
Last Week
⁦-1.73%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.65%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.43%⁩
Last Year
⁦+15.91%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall61
Balanced — near the middle of the marketValue TrapF 5/8Better than 61% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
88
6.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
90
44.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
37
6.8%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
50
1.4x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
—
—2.12%N/A
▸
Momentum
43
17.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
2
1▼3Bottom tier
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target
—
Current Price $24.48
Analyst coverage
2
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2018-05-30
    Morgan Stanley
    OverweightEqual Weight
  • = Reiterate2016-10-05
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • ⬇ Downgrade2012-03-29
    Raymond James
    Market PerformUnderperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    6.18x
    4.50x36.01x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    3.29x
    3.07x24.54x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -4.9%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    44.3%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    3572.6%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    24.6%
    9.8%69.4%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    6.8%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.38x
    1.28x10.25x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-10 data

Company Overview

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima, known as Edenor under the ticker EDN, distributes electricity within the Buenos Aires metropolitan area and describes itself as Argentina's largest electricity distributor, with a long-term concession and 3.41 million customers in fiscal Q2 2026. Its financial model relies on energy sales and the regulated distribution margin; the five-year tariff review for 2025–2030 sets the distribution value with automatic monthly adjustments weighted 33% to the Consumer Price Index and 67% to the Wholesale Price Index, plus a real monthly adjustment of 0.42% above inflation.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached 918 billion Argentine pesos, up 10% year over year in real terms, while energy sales rose 1.9% to 5,776 gigawatt-hours and the number of customers increased 1.3%. The distribution margin was 335 billion pesos, up only 1%, and the company recorded net income of 31 billion pesos, down 75% due to comparison with fiscal Q2 2025 earnings, which included a non-recurring CAMMESA settlement gain of approximately 225 billion pesos.

During the first half of fiscal 2026, the distribution margin reached 748 billion pesos, up 7%, and EBITDA was approximately 314 billion pesos versus 386 billion in the corresponding period; however, after excluding the non-recurring CAMMESA gain from the comparison year, EBITDA increased 94%. Annual EDGAR filings show sustained improvement: revenue rose from 1.5267 trillion in fiscal 2023 to 2.0431 trillion in fiscal 2024, net income increased from 191.4 billion to 272.1 billion, and gross profit expanded from 60.4 billion to 394.6 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The tariff review for 2025–2030 is the most important operating driver, as the distribution value increased 20% during the first half of fiscal 2026 versus inflation of 17%, after rising 37% during fiscal 2025 versus inflation of 32%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

EBITDA adjusted to exclude the CAMMESA settlement increased 94% in the first half of fiscal 2026, supported by revenue growth and an 8% reduction in operating expenses to 603 billion pesos; this included a 2% decrease in payroll expenses, 37% in retirement plan costs, 39% in materials consumption, and 24% in ENRE fines.
  • The conditional acquisition of YPF's 70% stake in Metrogas could change Edenor's scope, combining electricity and gas networks serving 5.8 million customers, while Metrogas reported EBITDA of approximately 100 million dollars during the first half of fiscal 2026 and had net debt close to zero, according to the call.
  • The company continued investing in the network, with capital expenditures reaching 92 billion pesos in Q2 and 167 billion in the first half of fiscal 2026; this helped the outage duration and frequency indicators reach 5.6 and 2.7, respectively, down 48% and 34% from fiscal 2021 levels.
  • Financing flexibility improved after net financial expenses declined 28% to 106 billion pesos in fiscal Q2 2026, while S&P upgraded the local rating from raA+ to raAA- on June 26, 2026, and Fix upgraded the long-term rating from A+ to AA- with a positive outlook on August 7, 2026.
  • Market regularization measures added 4,863 meters in fiscal Q2 2026 to convert unregistered connections into regular connections, while the collection rate remained high at 96.27%.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The tariff framework through 2030 provides an automatic monthly mechanism that includes a real increase of 0.42% above inflation, with its impact reflected in 10% real revenue growth and a 94% increase in adjusted EBITDA during the reported periods of fiscal 2026.
    • +The efficiency program demonstrated a broad financial impact, as operating expenses declined 8% to 603 billion pesos in the first half of fiscal 2026 while outage indicators improved to record-low levels, according to management.
    • +The balance sheet supports the company's ability to fund investment and expansion; net debt was 303 million dollars on June 30, 2026, there were no maturities during the year following the August 10, 2026 call, and several credit ratings improved.
    • +The conditional acquisition of 70% of Metrogas could add a large gas network with net debt close to zero and EBITDA of approximately 100 million dollars in the first half of fiscal 2026, with opportunities for savings in commercial operations and administration within the Buenos Aires metropolitan area.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Edenor's economics remain highly dependent on regulation and economic policy in Argentina; despite the new tariff mechanism, settlement of the regulatory asset for 2019–2023 tariff differences still requires congressional approval, so the write-off of CAMMESA debt with an estimated nominal value of approximately 345 million dollars, or the monthly debt-service savings of approximately 6 million dollars, cannot be included as a certain benefit.
    • −The Metrogas acquisition carries clear execution and financing risks because completion of the purchase of YPF's 70% stake is conditional on a 20-year concession extension through 2047 and other government approvals, and will be followed by the launch of a mandatory offer for the 30% minority stake within 30 days of closing under applicable rules.
    • −Total bonds and loans increased to approximately 1.6 billion dollars, and net debt to 447 million dollars as of August 10, 2026 after financing the Metrogas transaction, compared with net debt of 303 million dollars on June 30, 2026; this increases return sensitivity to the final amounts required and subsequent refinancing.
    • −Energy losses remain high at 15.82% in fiscal Q2 2026, even though the regulator recognizes 9.56% of them within the tariff, leaving an unrecognized portion and requiring continued spending on meters, analytics, and inspections.
    • −There is a gap between revenue and margin growth in fiscal Q2 2026: real revenue increased 10%, but the distribution margin rose only 1% to 335 billion pesos, while reported net income fell 75% to 31 billion due to the comparison base supported by the CAMMESA settlement.
    • −The analyst consensus on the stock is neutral, and no consensus price target or price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data; therefore, the available valuation indicators do not provide a measurable margin of safety, particularly given the wide 52-week range between 14.38 and 36.70 dollars.

    Valuation

    The available analyst consensus is neutral, with no consensus price target or high-low target range, while the price-to-earnings ratio is also unavailable; therefore, a reliable relative valuation cannot be derived from these metrics. The wide 52-week range is between 14.38 and 36.70 dollars, reflecting substantial repricing associated in the data with the improved tariff framework and credit ratings, offset by the regulatory and financing uncertainty surrounding the Metrogas transaction.

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove EDN's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 was approximately 918 billion Argentine pesos, up 10% year over year in real terms. Energy sales increased 1.9% to 5,776 gigawatt-hours, and the number of customers rose 1.3% to 3.41 million. Tariff adjustments and cost reductions helped improve the underlying operating trend, despite a 75% decline in reported net income to 31 billion pesos due to comparison with the non-recurring CAMMESA gain in the prior year.

    How does the new tariff mechanism affect Edenor's earnings?

    The five-year review covers 2025–2030 and permits a monthly adjustment to the distribution value based on a mix of 33% Consumer Price Index and 67% Wholesale Price Index. The mechanism adds a real monthly adjustment of 0.42% above inflation. During the first half of fiscal 2026, the distribution value increased by more than 20% versus inflation of 17%, contributing to 94% growth in adjusted EBITDA after excluding the CAMMESA gain from the comparison year.

    What is the significance of the Metrogas transaction for EDN shareholders?

    Edenor signed an agreement to purchase YPF's 70% stake in Metrogas after the offer was accepted in August 2026, but it will not manage the company before the change of control is completed. The transaction is conditional on extending the concession through 2047 and obtaining other government approvals, after which a mandatory offer process for the 30% minority stake will begin 30 days after closing. If completed, the two companies will combine electricity and gas networks serving 5.8 million customers, and Metrogas had reported EBITDA of approximately 100 million dollars in the first half of fiscal 2026.

    Is Edenor's debt manageable after financing Metrogas?

    Total outstanding bonds and loans were 1.159 billion dollars, and net debt was 303 million dollars on June 30, 2026. After the July transactions and transaction financing, management indicated on August 10, 2026 that total debt was approximately 1.6 billion dollars and net debt was 447 million dollars. There were no maturities during the year following that date, but the increase in debt makes the transaction's success and cash flow generation more important factors.

    What were Edenor's key network quality indicators in fiscal Q2 2026?

    The outage duration and frequency indicators were 5.6 and 2.7, respectively, in fiscal Q2 2026, down 48% and 34% from fiscal 2021 levels. The company spent 92 billion pesos on capital investment during the quarter and 167 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026. In contrast, energy losses remained at 15.82%, despite the use of AI-powered analytical tools and the installation of 4,863 meters during the quarter.

    How did Edenor's annual results develop between fiscal 2022 and fiscal 2024?

    Revenue increased from 641.0 billion in fiscal 2022 to 1.5267 trillion in fiscal 2023 and then to 2.0431 trillion in fiscal 2024. Net income shifted from a loss of 54.4 billion in fiscal 2022 to a profit of 191.4 billion in fiscal 2023 and then 272.1 billion in fiscal 2024. Gross profit also rose from 23.3 billion to 60.4 billion and then 394.6 billion across the same periods.