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Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
ECO

ECO Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.

Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
76.15
▲ ⁦+4.43%⁩ (+3.23)
Market Cap$2.4B
Beta-0.44
52w Low52w High
26.0976.21
Last Week
⁦+12.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦+19.39%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+48.76%⁩
Last Year
⁦+184.67%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
75
7.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
83
105.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
98
33.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
77
1.0x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
68
2.62%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
99
117.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
19
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$76
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$44
⁦-42%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$44–$44⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$7.54
⁦-90%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$7.54–$44⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$44.00
⁦-42.2%⁩
Current Price $76.15·Median $44.00
Low
$44.00
High
$44.00
Street summary

Forecast Analysis for Okeanis Eco Tankers (ECO)

Bearish tilt

ECO stock shows a state of negative divergence between the current market price (48.6) and the analysts' average price target (44), indicating an overvaluation of approximately 10%. Price targets have seen no upward revisions over the past 30 days, with the consensus stabilizing at $44 amid a complete absence of Dispersion due to only one analyst currently covering the stock, which increases uncertainty regarding valuation accuracy.

As of 2026-06-01
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
1
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time1 analysts rating
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.50 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-05-25
    Pareto
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-05-15
    B. Riley
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-02-20
    B. Riley
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.10x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.43x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.25x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    1.5%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    105.2%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    412.9%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    67.3%
    8.6%54.6%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    33.1%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.04x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.6%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    18.6%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. operates a crude oil tanker fleet comprising 18 vessels following the delivery of Nissos Tigani on May 29, 2026, and Nissos Vous on July 8, 2026. The fleet consists of 10 modern Suezmax tankers and 8 modern VLCC tankers equipped with scrubber systems, with an average age of approximately 5.6 years. Revenue is generated primarily from operating vessels in the spot market, where results depend on daily freight rates, voyage selection, and reducing ballast sailing periods, with one VLCC tanker under a time charter at $90 thousand per day.

The second quarter of fiscal year 2026 was the strongest quarter in the company's history; fleet-wide time charter equivalent revenue reached $181.2 thousand per vessel per day, compared with $213.6 thousand for spot VLCC tankers and $174.9 thousand for Suezmax tankers. The company recorded adjusted EBITDA of $252 million, adjusted net profit of $231 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $5.91, with fleet utilization of 99%. The call did not present a gross profit margin, but the earnings mix shows that the spot market, particularly VLCC tankers, was the primary driver of results.

During the first half of fiscal year 2026, TCE revenue exceeded approximately $400 million, EBITDA reached approximately $362 million, and net income was nearly $320 million, equivalent to $8.28 per share. By comparison, fiscal year 2025 revenue was approximately $391.5 million, net income was $123.0 million, and earnings per share were $3.77, versus revenue of $393.2 million and net income of $108.9 million in fiscal year 2024. The board of directors declared its seventeenth consecutive quarterly distribution of $5.25 per share, equivalent to approximately 90% of the reported and adjusted net income for the quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company entered the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 with its full fleet of 18 vessels; it added four Suezmax tankers, with delivery of the last one, Nissos Vous, completed on July 8, 2026, increasing the number of revenue-generating operating days compared with previous periods.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Early bookings provided strong visibility for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026: 48% of spot VLCC days were fixed at approximately $207 thousand per day and 42% of spot Suezmax days at $133 thousand, bringing the average fixed spot portion to $166.5 thousand per day across 681 days, in addition to 92 days under a time charter at $90 thousand per day.
  • According to management, the company's rates in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 outperformed peer averages by approximately 50% for spot VLCC tankers and approximately 60% for Suezmax tankers. Management attributed this to long eastbound voyages, reduced ballast voyages and waiting times, and benefiting from the redirection of Saudi crude exports to Yanbu and the variety of employment opportunities in the Mediterranean, Black Sea, and West Africa.
  • The company estimated that Nissos Piperi and Nissos Serifopoula together generated approximately $43 million in free cash flow over nearly seven months, recovering 41% of the $104 million equity investment. The company purchased each vessel for $97 million, while the latest estimated value of each exceeded $120 million, and the realized and unrealized value from the two transactions together was estimated at approximately $121 million.
  • The weighted average financing margin declined to 1.47% following the completion of financing and refinancing transactions, an improvement of more than 200 basis points since the program began in 2023. At the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, cash stood at $248 million and debt at $722 million, with book leverage of 35% and a net loan-to-market-adjusted-value ratio below 25% on a pro forma basis.
  • Disruptions in Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea support demand measured in ton-miles; the share of Atlantic-to-Asia voyages rose to approximately 35% of VLCC loadings, compared with nearly 22% before the conflict. Management explained that a U.S. Gulf-to-China voyage is approximately 2.6 times the distance of an Arabian Gulf-to-China voyage, increasing vessel utilization even as transported oil volumes decline.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The stock combines direct exposure to spot market rates with superior operational execution; the fleet achieved $181.2 thousand per day in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, with spot VLCC tankers reaching $213.6 thousand and Suezmax tankers approximately $174.9 thousand.
    • +The completed fleet of 18 vessels, with an average age of approximately 5.6 years, provides a modern asset base for participating in the strong shipping market, while Nissos Piperi and Nissos Serifopoula demonstrated the ability of added assets to generate $43 million in free cash flow in approximately seven months.
    • +The capital return policy is clear; the distribution for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 was approximately $5.25 per share, the highest since the company's establishment, and total distributions over the last four quarters reached $9.55 per share, equivalent to 90% of reported net income for the period.
    • +The financing structure improved as the weighted average financing margin declined to 1.47% and the net loan-to-market-adjusted-value ratio fell below 25%, giving the company greater ability to convert higher freight rates into earnings and distributions instead of consuming them through high financing costs.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Okeanis Eco Tankers is heavily dependent on the highly volatile spot market, and management confirmed that it does not wish to add time charters under the stated market conditions; therefore, earnings and distributions could decline rapidly if VLCC and Suezmax rates fall from the exceptional levels recorded in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026.
    • −Approximately 52% of total fleet days for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 remain open and unfixed, which management described as both an opportunity and a risk. The TD20 route also came under pressure to approximately $70 thousand per day because of increased supply from Suezmax vessels returning to West Africa, illustrating how quickly rates can change even within a strong quarter.
    • −The vessel orderbook presents a medium-term risk; it is equivalent to approximately 32% of the existing VLCC fleet and approximately 30% of the Suezmax fleet. Although management said that most deliveries are concentrated in 2028 and 2029, the entry of this capacity could pressure utilization, rates, and asset values if demand does not grow sufficiently.
    • −The current strength of demand is linked to geopolitical disruptions that may change in Hormuz, the Red Sea, and the Black Sea. Nissos Sifnos was also attacked while loading at the CPC terminal and was forced to proceed to Turkey for inspection and temporary repairs, highlighting risks to crew safety, vessel downtime, and repair costs in tense operating regions.
    • −Annual revenue declined from $413.1 million in fiscal year 2023 to $393.2 million in fiscal year 2024 and then to $391.5 million in fiscal year 2025, despite net income rising in fiscal year 2025 to $123.0 million from $108.9 million. This indicates that annual earnings growth was not driven by revenue growth before the exceptional jump recorded in the first half of fiscal year 2026.
    • −The share price ranged between $26.43 and $67.81 over 52 weeks, while the sole analyst target is $44, well below the top of the range, making the valuation sensitive to the sustainability of the tanker-rate cycle and record distributions. Insiders also recorded four sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 14, 2026, for net sales of $9.3 million; this is a weak signal on its own because such sales may have been prearranged unless the data prove otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” but the presented coverage is based on only one target of $44, so there is no spread between a high and low target that could reflect a diversity of views. This target is below the 52-week high of $67.81 and above the low of $26.43, while no valid price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data; therefore, the valuation assessment depends heavily on the sustainability of spot freight rates and distributions, balancing the record results in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 against the large orderbook and volatile geopolitical markets.

    BuyAnalyst target: $44(-42.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove ECO's record earnings in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026?

    The fleet's time charter equivalent revenue reached $181.2 thousand per vessel per day, with $213.6 thousand for spot VLCC tankers and $174.9 thousand for Suezmax tankers. The company benefited from long eastbound voyages, the redirection of Saudi crude exports to Yanbu, and reduced ballast sailing and waiting times. This resulted in adjusted EBITDA of $252 million, adjusted net profit of $231 million, and adjusted earnings per share of $5.91. Fleet utilization during the quarter was 99%.

    Can the strength of the results continue in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026?

    At the August 5, 2026 call, the company had fixed 48% of spot VLCC days at approximately $207 thousand per day and 42% of Suezmax days at $133 thousand. The average fixed spot portion was $166.5 thousand per day across 681 days, in addition to 92 days at $90 thousand under a time charter. Nissos Vous entered service on July 8, 2026, making the full fleet of 18 vessels available to generate operating days. Nevertheless, approximately 52% of total quarterly days remained open, keeping results exposed to market movements.

    How large are Okeanis Eco Tankers' dividend distributions, and what is its policy toward shareholders?

    The board of directors declared a distribution of $5.25 per share for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, the seventeenth consecutive quarterly distribution and the highest since the company's establishment. The distribution represented approximately 90% of reported and adjusted net income for the quarter and equaled the combined distributions of the previous five quarters. Total distributions over the last four quarters reached $9.55 per share, while the amount paid by the company since its listing in Oslo exceeded approximately $780 million. Management confirmed on August 5, 2026 that it would continue its approach of distributing as much value as possible and had no plans to accelerate debt repayment.

    How did the four new Suezmax tankers change ECO's position?

    The addition program was completed with the delivery of Nissos Tigani on May 29, 2026, and Nissos Vous on July 8, 2026, bringing the fleet to 10 Suezmax tankers and 8 VLCC tankers. The company estimated that the first two vessels, Nissos Piperi and Nissos Serifopoula, together generated approximately $43 million in free cash flow over nearly seven months. This is equivalent to recovering 41% of the $104 million equity investment in the two vessels. The estimated value of each also increased from a purchase price of $97 million to more than $120 million.

    What are the main risks facing ECO stock?

    The primary risk is the nearly complete exposure to the spot market, as earnings and distributions could decline if VLCC and Suezmax rates fall from the levels recorded in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. The orderbook is approximately 32% of the VLCC fleet and approximately 30% of the Suezmax fleet, with the largest deliveries concentrated in 2028 and 2029. The damage to Nissos Sifnos while loading at the CPC terminal also demonstrated the operational and security risks associated with the Black Sea, although no crew members were injured. In addition, 52% of fleet days for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 remained unfixed at the time of the call.

    What do ECO's liquidity and debt look like following the fleet expansion?

    Cash at the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 was approximately $248 million, including $35 million allocated to part of the equity portion of the Nissos Vous transaction, which was completed in July 2026. Balance-sheet debt stood at $722 million and book leverage at 35%, while net loan-to-market-adjusted-value fell below 25% on a pro forma basis. The weighted average financing margin also declined to 1.47%, an improvement of more than 200 basis points since refinancing began in 2023. Management views the current leverage level as a competitive advantage and does not intend to accelerate debt reduction instead of distributions.