| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 64 | 19.5x | 17.8x | Around median | |
Growth | 80 | 7.9% | 7.1% | Top tier | |
Quality | 77 | 24.7% | 4.5% | Top tier | |
Safety | 73 | 1.9x | 2.6x | Top tier | |
Capital Return | 33 | 0.00% | 2.12% | Bottom tier | |
Momentum | 87 | 45.8% | 2.9% | Top tier | |
Sentiment | 40 | 16 | 3 | Around median |
Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Brinker International operates a restaurant business centered on the Chili's brand, alongside Maggiano's, which accounted for only 8% of sales according to the August 12, 2026 call. The business primarily relies on restaurant sales, while Chili's operates outside the United States under a licensing model, and the company expects this international business to contribute about 4% of fiscal 2027 earnings, exceeding Maggiano's contribution. Chili's strategy focuses on combining value pricing with the restaurant experience, as management said average spending per person is about 3 to 4 dollars lower than competitors.
In fiscal 2026 quarter 4, revenue was 1.536 billion dollars, and net income according to EDGAR data was about 131.1 million dollars, equivalent to a calculated net margin of approximately 8.5%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 23% to 3.07 dollars from 2.49 dollars, and restaurant operating margin reached 18% after a year-over-year improvement of 20 basis points. Chili's achieved 5.6% comparable restaurant sales growth, driven by a 4.3% price increase and 1.5% traffic growth, offset by a negative mix impact of 0.2%, while Maggiano's recorded a 2.5% decline with traffic down 5.3%.
In fiscal 2026, revenue according to EDGAR was about 5.8 billion dollars, net income was 487 million dollars, and earnings per share were 10.87 dollars. Management stated that annual revenue grew 7.9%, restaurant operating margin improved by 30 basis points, and adjusted earnings per share rose 20.6%. Average annual sales per restaurant also increased from slightly more than 4.5 million dollars at the end of the previous fiscal year to 5 million dollars, and Chili's completed five consecutive years of comparable restaurant sales growth, with a cumulative increase of 71%.
The average analyst price target is 252.75 dollars with a "Buy" consensus, and the wide target range is between 175 and 325 dollars; the average is only about 2.24 dollars below the 52-week range high of 254.99 dollars, while the highest target exceeds that peak by about 70 dollars. An August 13, 2026 news report cited a price-to-earnings multiple of 21.6 times, and reaching a new annual high on that date was tied to Chili's growth and fiscal 2027 guidance, but the wide range of analyst targets, the assumption of mid-single-digit growth, and the limited margin improvement of 20–40 basis points highlight the valuation's sensitivity to continued momentum.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Brinker's revenue in fiscal 2026 quarter 4 was about 1.536 billion dollars, and net income according to EDGAR was about 131.1 million dollars. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 23% to 3.07 dollars, and restaurant operating margin reached 18% after a 20 basis-point improvement. The main driver was Chili's comparable sales growth of 5.6%, including 1.5% traffic growth and a 4.3% price increase.
Big Crispy sales rose from 20 sandwiches to 55 sandwiches per restaurant per day by the end of fiscal 2026 quarter 4, an increase of 175%. Management said on the August 12, 2026 call that the launch exceeded its estimates and that its volume had become greater than the launches of Big Smasher in 2024 and Big QP in 2025. The company intends to continue marketing it throughout fiscal 2027 as part of Chili's strategy to compete with fast food on value and taste.
Brinker expects revenue between 6.15 and 6.27 billion dollars and adjusted diluted earnings per share between 12.60 and 13.40 dollars in fiscal 2027. The plan assumes mid-single-digit comparable sales growth at Chili's, positive traffic, and a 20 to 40 basis-point improvement in restaurant margin on a 52-week basis. The year includes a fifty-third week that management expects to add about 2% to revenue and 0.70 dollars to earnings per share.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Maggiano's accounted for only about 8% of Brinker's sales according to the August 12, 2026 call, making Chili's the larger driver of results. Nevertheless, Maggiano's comparable sales declined 2.5% in fiscal 2026 quarter 4, with a 5.3% drop in traffic partially offset by a 2.9% price increase. Management said the turnaround was progressing more slowly than planned, and fiscal 2027 guidance assumed flat revenue and earnings for the brand.
The company repurchased 100 million dollars of shares in fiscal 2026 quarter 4, bringing total purchases for the year close to 400 million dollars. In August 2026, the board increased the amount available under the repurchase program to 750 million dollars. Brinker also redeemed 350 million dollars of outstanding notes carrying 8.25% interest using its 1 billion-dollar credit facility and expects savings in interest expense during fiscal 2027.
Results are concentrated in Chili's, while Maggiano's recorded a 2.5% decline in comparable sales and a 5.3% decline in traffic during fiscal 2026 quarter 4. Food and beverage costs also rose 80 basis points due to 4.4% commodity inflation, and management expects higher pressure to persist in fiscal 2027 quarter 1. In addition, the guidance assumes a relatively limited restaurant margin improvement of 20 to 40 basis points, while net insider selling reached 35.6 million dollars during the three months ended August 25, 2026, with the possibility that these sales were prearranged.
