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Stocks
DexCom, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall96
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9SafeBetter than 96% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
25
32.7x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
86
15.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
94
18.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
83
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
85
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
77
10.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
61
15▲3Around median
DXCM

DXCM DexCom, Inc.

DexCom, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
83.03
▼ ⁦-1.75%⁩ (-1.48)
Market Cap$31.3B
Beta1.41
52w Low52w High
54.1192.59
Last Week
⁦-7.89%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.45%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+35.80%⁩
Last Year
⁦+6.65%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$83
Analyst target · 16 analysts
$92
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$64–$105⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$48
⁦-42%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.6⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$48–$92⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 16 analysts setting price target
$89.71
⁦+8.0%⁩
Current Price $83.03·Median $91.50
Low
$64.00
High
$105.00
Current price
$83.03
Average target
$89.71
Street summary

Dexcom (DXCM) Price Target Review

Bullish tilt

Dexcom (DXCM) stock has seen a notable improvement in analyst optimism over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 7.05% to reach 89.71, compared to 83.8 at the beginning of July 2026. This increase was accompanied by an expansion in coverage with the entry of 5 new analysts, bringing the total to 16, which indicates positive momentum and growing institutional interest in the stock, currently trading at 84.75, below the average price target.

As of 2026-08-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
28
Buy conviction
89%
High
Target dispersion
49%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time28 analysts rating
3
22
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Raymond James
    Strong Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    32.69x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    29.84x
    4.64x37.16x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    26.79x
    3.77x30.13x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    4.5%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.5%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    77.6%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    62.5%
    12.8%90.7%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    18.4%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    7.20
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

DexCom develops continuous glucose monitoring systems that allow users to track glucose levels in real time, and its portfolio includes Dexcom G7, G7 15-day, G6, Stelo, Dexcom Flex, and Dexcom ONE+. Revenue is generated from selling these systems through healthcare channels and commercial and international markets, while expanding the user base from insulin-dependent diabetes patients to type 2 diabetes patients who do not use insulin, in addition to metabolic health applications. The company supports this expansion by improving the user experience, integrating with pumps such as Tandem Mobi, and working to expand insurance coverage.

In fiscal year 2026 Q2, DexCom’s revenue according to EDGAR was approximately $1.3 billion, gross profit was $830.0 million, net income was $249.1 million, and earnings per share were $0.64. Management’s non-GAAP metrics showed revenue of $1.31 billion, with year-over-year growth of 13%, gross profit of $838.5 million at a margin of 64.1% versus 60.1% a year earlier, and operating income of $328.3 million at a margin of 25.1% versus 19.2%. Adjusted net income was $269.1 million and adjusted earnings per share were $0.70, up 46% year over year.

United States revenue was $933 million in fiscal year 2026 Q2, up 11%, and represented approximately 71% of quarterly revenue, while international revenue was $375 million, up 19% on a reported basis and 16% organically, and represented about 29%. DexCom generated free cash flow exceeding $600 million during the first half of fiscal year 2026, more than double its level in the corresponding period of fiscal year 2025, and ended the quarter with approximately $1.9 billion in cash and cash equivalents.

What's Driving the Stock

  • DexCom raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance range to $5.18–5.25 billion, equivalent to growth of between 11% and 13%, and also raised its non-GAAP gross margin outlook to approximately 64%, operating margin to 23.5%–24%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin to 31.5%–32%.
  • The Road to 100 initiative aims to expand coverage to 25 million people in the United States with type 2 diabetes who do not use insulin; coverage has already been secured for more than 7 million people in this group through the four largest commercial pharmacy benefit managers. Management also estimates that approximately 9 million people in the United States have coverage for continuous glucose monitoring systems but do not yet use them.
  • The CONNECT study provided clinical support for market expansion, as it included approximately 300 participants at 22 primary care sites, and the Dexcom group achieved a 1.6-percentage-point improvement in A1C and a 0.9-point difference versus the control group over 26 weeks. System users also spent more than five additional hours per day within the normal glucose range, and median device wear adherence was 97%.
  • The transition to G7 15-day represents a growth and margin driver; the system became available to all adult G7 users in the United States after integration with Tandem Mobi was enabled, and management aims to convert nearly 50% of the United States customer base to it by the end of fiscal year 2026. The system also received Health Canada approval, while management said its positive impact on margins will increase as the conversion rate and repeat purchases rise.
  • International revenue grew 19% to $375 million in fiscal year 2026 Q2, supported by markets where coverage expanded, such as France and Canada, and by the launch of Dexcom Flex in Germany. Management sees an opportunity exceeding 60 million people in core international markets, even before coverage is completed for basal insulin users and type 2 diabetes patients who do not use insulin.
  • In July 2026, DexCom launched the rebuilt Stelo application with a more consumer-friendly interface, AI-powered insights, and expanded food-logging capabilities, and during the quarter it acquired Nutrisense to enhance nutrition insights based on glucose data. Management explained that Nutrisense’s incremental revenue unrelated to the pass-through of monitoring devices does not exceed a few million dollars in fiscal year 2026, so the transaction’s importance lies primarily in technology and engagement rather than near-term revenue.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal year 2026 Q2 combines revenue growth of 13% with an approximately 400-basis-point improvement in gross margin to 64.1% and an increase in operating margin to 25.1%, indicating that manufacturing and quality gains and the initial transition to G7 15-day translated into actual profitability.
  • +The CONNECT study gives the company a specific clinical foundation for expansion among type 2 diabetes patients who do not use insulin; the Dexcom group achieved an A1C improvement of approximately 1.6 percentage points, and adherence reached 97% over 26 weeks. These results support a United States market opportunity comprising 25 million people, with existing commercial coverage for more than 7 million of them.
  • +International expansion adds an independent growth path, as international revenue increased 19% in fiscal year 2026 Q2 versus 11% in the United States. Canadian approval of G7 15-day, the launch of Dexcom Flex in Germany, and the availability of different portfolios by market support continued expansion as coverage improves.
  • +DexCom has a strong capacity to fund innovation and return capital; free cash flow exceeded $600 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026, and cash and cash equivalents were approximately $1.9 billion. The company repurchased approximately $600 million of shares in the second quarter under a $1 billion authorization for fiscal year 2026.

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates DXCM stock as a Buy, with an average target of $89.71 and a wide range of $64 to $105, reflecting meaningful variation in estimates of the coverage, growth, and margin trajectories. The average target is approximately 3% below the 52-week range high of $92.59, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target falls clearly below it; therefore, the valuation combines expectations of long-term growth with execution and reimbursement risks that could produce a wide range of outcomes. The data does not provide a consistent price-to-earnings multiple that can be used as an additional anchor, so analyst targets and the 52-week range of $54.11–92.59 remain the most important available valuation references.

BuyAnalyst target: $89.71(+8.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove DXCM’s results in fiscal year 2026 Q2?

Revenue was $1.31 billion, up 13% year over year, with growth of 11% in the United States and 19% internationally. Non-GAAP gross margin increased to 64.1% from 60.1%, driven by manufacturing efficiency, improved quality, and the initial transition to G7 15-day. Operating income was $328.3 million at a margin of 25.1%, while adjusted net income reached $269.1 million and adjusted earnings per share reached $0.70.

Why is the CONNECT study important to DexCom’s growth?

CONNECT included approximately 300 people with type 2 diabetes who do not use insulin across 22 primary care sites in the United States. Over 26 weeks, A1C in the Dexcom group improved by 1.6 percentage points, a 0.9-point difference versus the control group, with more than five additional hours per day within the normal range. Median device wear was 97%, and the company submitted the data to CMS in support of expanding coverage to a targeted United States market comprising 25 million people.

How does G7 15-day affect DexCom’s revenue and margins?

G7 15-day became available to all adult G7 users in the United States after its integration with Tandem Mobi, and management aims to convert nearly 50% of the United States customer base to it by the end of fiscal year 2026. The initial conversion to the system contributed to improved gross margin during fiscal year 2026 Q2, and management expects a greater impact as repeat purchases expand in fiscal year 2027. The system also received Health Canada approval, paving the way for international expansion to begin during the second half of fiscal year 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −A significant part of the future growth opportunity depends on coverage and reimbursement decisions that have not yet been finalized; DexCom submitted CONNECT data to CMS and expects a decision before the end of 2026, but it assumes broad coverage for type 2 diabetes patients who do not use insulin will take effect in mid-2027. Any delay or narrower coverage scope could postpone access to a segment of the 25 million people in the United States.
  • −Margins face a transitional burden from the ramp-up of the Ireland plant, as management explained that hiring and training employees and beginning depreciation before reaching full productivity will raise unit costs after the lines begin operating. Therefore, this burden could offset part of the gains from G7 15-day and manufacturing efficiency during the second half of fiscal year 2026.
  • −Year-over-year comparisons for the international business become more difficult during the second half of fiscal year 2026, particularly in quarters 3 and 4, following strong coverage gains in the corresponding period. Tender timing also caused a sequential decline in new customer starts outside the United States during quarter 2, although total global starts remained close to the previous quarter’s record.
  • −The guidance includes an approximately $15 million negative impact on international revenue in the second half of fiscal year 2026 due to foreign exchange movements compared with the previous outlook. In addition, oil prices affect resin costs with a time lag, while shipping patterns and fuel remain factors affecting product costs and margins.
  • −The product roadmap requires continued technical and regulatory execution; the G8 system remains in the verification phase ahead of large clinical trials, and management links its timing to late 2027 or early 2028 depending on the regulatory pathway. International expansion of G7 15-day also requires additional market approvals after Canada became the first international regulator to approve it.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ended August 20, 2026 recorded net selling of $8.2 million across 15 sales with no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise, but it warrants monitoring as the stock approaches the upper end of its annual range of $92.59.
How large is DexCom’s opportunity among type 2 diabetes patients who do not use insulin?

The Road to 100 initiative aims to secure coverage for 25 million people in the United States with type 2 diabetes who do not use insulin. Commercial coverage has become available to more than 7 million of them through the four largest pharmacy benefit managers, while management believes approximately 9 million people already have continuous monitoring coverage but do not use it. The company expects a CMS decision before the end of 2026 and assumes in its plan that expanded coverage will take effect in mid-2027.

What roles do Stelo and Nutrisense play in DexCom’s strategy?

In July 2026, DexCom launched the redesigned Stelo application, which includes AI-powered insights and improved food logging through barcode scanning or photographing a meal. During fiscal year 2026 Q2, it acquired Nutrisense, a platform that uses continuous monitoring data to provide personalized nutrition insights and guidance. Management said incremental annual revenue unrelated to the pass-through of monitoring devices does not exceed a few million dollars, while the primary value lies in integrating the technology across Stelo, G7, and the rest of the portfolio.

What are the main financial risks to monitor for DXCM?

DexCom expects an approximately $15 million negative impact on international revenue in the second half of fiscal year 2026 due to foreign exchange rates, alongside more difficult international year-over-year comparisons. The ramp-up of the Ireland plant will add hiring, training, and depreciation costs before reaching full productivity, which could temporarily limit margin expansion. Part of the growth opportunity among 25 million United States patients also depends on the CMS decision and the timing of coverage taking effect, while insider net selling reached $8.2 million over the three months through August 20, 2026, with the possibility that these sales were prearranged.