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Home
Stocks
DT Midstream, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 9/9Grey zoneBetter than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
28.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
80
18.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
70
6.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
56
3.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
67
2.64%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
58
28.9%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
93
8▲3Top tier
DTM

DTM DT Midstream, Inc.

DT Midstream, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
128.86
▼ ⁦-0.50%⁩ (-0.65)
Market Cap$13.1B
Beta0.73
52w Low52w High
100.48152.88
Last Week
⁦-0.02%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.05%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-13.89%⁩
Last Year
⁦+26.76%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$129
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$155
⁦+20%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$127–$170⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$53
⁦-59%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$53–$155⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$152.29
⁦+18.2%⁩
Current Price $128.86·Median $155.00
Low
$127.00
High
$170.00
Current price
$128.86
Average target
$152.29
Street summary

Slight improvement in consensus with limited variation

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target stabilized over the last day at $152.29, down 0.74% over seven days but 1.73% above its level 30 days ago. The range is between $127 and $170, compared with a current price of $128.86, reflecting notable variation among six analysts despite the unchanged number of analysts. Median EPS estimates also rose from $4.8498 to $6.8071 across the fiscal years shown, with a decrease in the number of analysts contributing to the more distant estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.60
Buy
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
53%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
2↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
2
6
6
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.31 → 3.60
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-09
    Morgan Stanley
    UnderweightOverweight
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-26
    Wolfe Research
    UnderperformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-08
    Jefferies
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    28.14x
    3.56x28.47x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    26.12x
    3.36x26.89x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    17.94x
    2.12x16.98x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    3.7%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.1%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    22.8%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    77.9%
    7.8%72.1%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    6.0%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.48x
    0.40x3.19x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    2.6%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    72.0%
    11.9%109.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.97
    -1.814.34
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

DT Midstream operates a specialized portfolio of natural gas pipelines and gathering systems, connecting Haynesville and Appalachia supplies to liquefied natural gas markets, power generation, data centers, and regulated utilities. The company generates income from its Pipeline and Gathering segments, and long-term contracts support a significant portion of its expansions; on its Q2 FY2026 call, it announced that it had commercialized 60% of its 3.4 billion dollar organic project portfolio, with more than 80% of commitments allocated to pipeline projects.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue was 343 million dollars, net income was 112 million dollars, and earnings per share were 1.09 dollars, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 32.7%. By comparison, Q1 FY2026 recorded revenue of 336 million dollars, net income of 130 million dollars, and earnings per share of 1.27 dollars; revenue therefore increased by approximately 2.1% sequentially, while net income declined by approximately 13.8%. Revenue for the twelve months ended in 2026 was approximately 1.3 billion dollars, and net income was 468 million dollars, compared with revenue of 1.2 billion dollars and net income of 441 million dollars in FY2025.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were 305 million dollars in Q2 FY2026, down 3 million dollars from the previous quarter. The Pipeline segment's contribution declined by 14 million dollars due to seasonality in joint-venture pipeline revenue, despite higher Stonewall revenue, while the Gathering segment's contribution improved by 11 million dollars, supported by increased Blue Union volumes. The company invested 86 million dollars in growth capital during the quarter and declared a dividend of 0.88 dollars per share, unchanged from the previous quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • DT Midstream added final investment decisions for approximately 300 million dollars of new organic growth projects in Q2 FY2026, raising capital commitments to approximately 425 million dollars in 2026 and approximately 560 million dollars in 2027.
  • The new Haynesville project expands LEAP pipeline capacity by 200 million cubic feet per day to 2.3 billion cubic feet per day and is supported by new long-term agreements with two producer customers, with an in-service target in the second half of 2028.
  • The Haynesville system recorded a record quarterly average flow of 2.2 billion cubic feet per day, while Northeast volumes were approximately 1.38 billion cubic feet per day; management expects Haynesville volumes in Q3 FY2026 to remain stable compared with the previous quarter.
  • The company signed a long-term gathering agreement for a 100 million cubic feet per day Appalachia expansion, which is scheduled to enter service in Q4 FY2027 and feed NEXUS and Texas Eastern.
  • DT Midstream commercialized a new 380 million cubic feet per day interconnect on NEXUS to serve a gas-fired power plant that will generate electricity for a new data center in Ohio; together with the interconnect announced in Q1 FY2026, the two interconnects add more than 0.5 billion cubic feet per day of demand to the mainline.
  • Management reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance range and its preliminary 2027 outlook, while Moody's raised its leverage-related downgrade threshold from 4.0 times to 4.25 times, and Fitch raised its threshold from 4.0 times to 4.5 times, according to the two metrics cited by the company.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The 3.4 billion dollar organic portfolio provides clear growth visibility, with 60% commercialized as of July 30, 2026, and the newly announced projects supported by long-term contracts and demand from producers, utilities, power generation, and data centers.
  • +NEXUS has current capacity of approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet per day and is effectively fully contracted, while the pipeline can be expanded by adding compression at a preconfigured station site, reducing expansion complexity compared with building an entirely new route.
  • +Current operating strength supports the investment thesis; Haynesville recorded a record flow of 2.2 billion cubic feet per day, and the Gathering segment improved sequentially by 11 million dollars due to Blue Union, while projects under execution remain on schedule and on budget, according to management.
  • +Insider data for the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 7, 2026, showed two purchases and zero sales, with net buying activity of approximately 218.3 thousand based on the value provided in the context; this is a supportive signal, although it is insufficient on its own to assess fair value.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on DTM is "Neutral," with an average target of 153.43 dollars and a wide range between 127 and 176 dollars. The average target is slightly above the 52-week high of 152.88 dollars, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 15.1% and the lowest target is approximately 16.9% below it; the context does not provide a published price-to-earnings multiple that could be used as an additional valuation anchor.

HoldAnalyst target: $153.43(+19.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving DT Midstream's growth after Q2 FY2026?

The primary driver is a 3.4 billion dollar organic project portfolio, of which the company had commercialized 60% as of July 30, 2026. The new decisions include approximately 300 million dollars of projects, including a 200 million cubic feet per day LEAP expansion and a 100 million cubic feet per day Appalachia expansion. The two NEXUS interconnects also add more than 0.5 billion cubic feet per day of power-generation demand associated with data centers.

How did DTM perform in Q2 FY2026?

The company recorded revenue of 343 million dollars, net income of 112 million dollars, and earnings per share of 1.09 dollars. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were 305 million dollars, down 3 million dollars from the previous quarter. Revenue increased by approximately 2.1% compared with Q1 FY2026, but net income declined by approximately 13.8%, and earnings per share fell from 1.27 dollars.

Why is the LEAP expansion important for DTM stock?

The expansion increases LEAP capacity by 200 million cubic feet per day to a total of 2.3 billion cubic feet per day. The project is supported by two new long-term contracts with two producer customers and is expected to enter service in the second half of 2028. The expansion combines additional compression and pipeline looping, while also improving the Haynesville system's access to East Texas supplies and liquefied natural gas markets.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Management expects Q3 FY2026 to be weaker than Q2 due to maintenance work on the gathering network and lower Northeast volumes related to the timing of producer activity, creating near-term operating weakness despite reaffirmed full-year guidance.
  • −Profitability slowed between Q1 and Q2 FY2026; while revenue increased from 336 million dollars to 343 million dollars, net income declined from 130 million dollars to 112 million dollars, earnings per share fell from 1.27 dollars to 1.09 dollars, and the calculated net income margin declined from approximately 38.7% to 32.7%.
  • −The value of the growth portfolio depends on converting uncommercialized opportunities into binding contracts; only 60% of the 3.4 billion dollar portfolio has been commercialized, and MIST remains at the potential binding-agreement stage without final disclosure of its size or scope, while management linked the project's timing to customer needs.
  • −Large projects face timing, regulatory, and execution risks; management explained that major pipeline projects subject to FERC may take several years and that the earliest potential timing for some broad solutions to transport supplies is in the early 2030s.
  • −Construction cost inflation increases return risk for future expansions; management explicitly stated that project capital costs increase over time, alongside an increase in committed growth capital to approximately 425 million dollars in 2026 and approximately 560 million dollars in 2027.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects notable disagreement over valuation, with price targets ranging from 127 to 176 dollars, a difference of 49 dollars, while the average target is 153.43 dollars; this wide range represents valuation risk even with the average near the upper end of the 52-week range.
Is data-center demand truly material to DT Midstream's business?

In Q2 FY2026, the company commercialized a 380 million cubic feet per day interconnect on NEXUS to supply a gas-fired power plant serving a new data center in Ohio. Together with the interconnect announced in Q1 FY2026, the additional demand on the mainline exceeds 0.5 billion cubic feet per day. NEXUS currently has capacity of approximately 1.4 billion cubic feet per day, and the pipeline is effectively fully contracted, according to management.

What are the main operating risks facing DTM in the second half of FY2026?

Management expects Q3 FY2026 to be weaker than Q2 due to maintenance on the gathering network. Northeast volumes are also expected to decline from the second-quarter average of 1.38 billion cubic feet per day due to the timing of producer activity, while Haynesville is expected to remain stable near its previous quarterly level. Despite these pressures, the company reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance range.

How do analysts view DTM stock's valuation?

The analyst consensus is "Neutral," and the average price target is 153.43 dollars. Targets range from 127 to 176 dollars, a difference of 49 dollars that reflects substantial disagreement over valuation estimates. The average target is slightly above the 52-week high of 152.88 dollars, and the context does not provide a valid price-to-earnings multiple for an additional comparison.