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Driven Brands Holdings Inc.
DRVN

DRVN Driven Brands Holdings Inc.

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
12.15
▼ ⁦-1.22%⁩ (-0.15)
Market Cap$2.0B
Beta0.96
52w Low52w High
9.8019.74
Last Week
⁦-5.67%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.85%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-11.76%⁩
Last Year
⁦-29.32%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 4/5DistressBetter than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
84
12.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
83
15.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
70
8.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
37
5.9x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
94
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
22
-23.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
76
7▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$12
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$15
⁦+27%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$13–$18⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$3.77
⁦-69%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.6⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$3.77–$15⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$15.47
⁦+27.3%⁩
Current Price $12.15·Median $15.38
Low
$13.00
High
$18.00
Current price
$12.15
Average target
$15.47
Street summary

DRVN price targets remain stable with limited dispersion

Overall expectations for DRVN’s price have not changed over the past 30 days; the average target remained at 15.47 based on three analysts, while the range between 13 and 18 and the median of 15.38 also remained unchanged. Compared with the current price of 12.3, the average indicates a calculated upside gap, but the limited number of analysts and the dispersion between the two bounds reflect differing estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.64
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
55%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
41%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
1
5
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.64 → 3.64
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-26
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-21
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform· $14.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.15x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.63x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.49x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.4%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.3%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    159.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    50.8%
    12.0%66.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    8.2%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.86x
    0.65x5.48x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.96
    -2.656.14
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. operates an automotive services platform comprising more than 4,300 locations as of fiscal Q2 2026, combining company-owned stores with a franchise network. Its primary growth engine is Take 5, which provides a ten-minute oil change service while customers remain in their vehicles, while Franchise Brands generates high-margin cash flows through the Meineke, Maaco, and CARSTAR brands, and Auto Glass Now operates in the automotive glass market through retail, commercial, and insurance channels.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Driven Brands' revenue increased 6.8% year over year to $507.4 million, system-wide sales rose 4.9% to $1.6 billion, and same-store sales grew 1.4%. Net income according to EDGAR data was approximately $34.2 million, with earnings per share of $0.21, while the company reported income from continuing operations of $37.3 million and adjusted earnings per share of $0.29. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $107 million, with a margin of 21.1%, down approximately 300 basis points from fiscal Q2 2025, with a clear impact from restatement costs.

Take 5 led the operating mix with same-store sales growth of 3.6%, system-wide sales growth of 13%, and the addition of 50 net locations, while its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin reached 34%. Franchise Brands achieved same-store sales growth of 0.5% and a high margin of 59%, while Auto Glass Now recorded comparable growth of 2.6%, but its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined to $3.5 million due to costs related to prior periods. For fiscal year 2025, the company recorded revenue of $1.9 billion, net income of $140.2 million, and earnings per share of $0.85.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Take 5 continued to lead growth in fiscal Q2 2026, recording its twenty-fourth consecutive quarter of same-store sales growth, with growth of 3.6% for the quarter, 10.2% on a two-year basis, and 13% in system-wide sales.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Driven Brands added approximately 192 net locations during the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026, including more than 175 Take 5 locations; the Take 5 network comprises more than 1,400 locations, with a development pipeline of approximately 800 locations, and management targets opening 150 or more locations annually to reach more than 2,500 locations over the long term.
  • Take 5 customer spending expanded beyond oil change services, as additional services represented approximately 30% of the brand's sales in fiscal Q2 2026, while the premium service mix remained in the low-90% range and service attachment rates remained in the high-50% range. The company also uses first-party customer data and CRM algorithms to send personalized reminders and encourage customer returns.
  • The company increased free cash flow in fiscal Q2 2026 by $13.2 million year over year to $44.7 million and reduced net leverage to 3.1 times. Driven Brands targets reaching 3 times by the end of fiscal year 2026, with expected annual free cash flow between $125 million and $145 million.
  • On August 7, 2026, ADW Capital, which owns a 4.8% stake, called for an immediate public sale process and an independent strategic review after the board unanimously rejected an $18-per-share cash acquisition offer. Activist investor pressure represents a factor that could affect the market's perception of value, but the board described the offer as highly conditional and not reflective of the company's long-term value-creation opportunities.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Take 5 has a measurable expansion path, as its network exceeded 1,400 locations by the end of fiscal Q2 2026, and its development pipeline includes approximately 800 locations, more than one-third of which are in secured sites or more advanced stages, compared with a long-term target of more than 2,500 locations.
    • +The Driven Brands model provides a combination of Take 5 growth and Franchise Brands cash flows; Take 5 recorded an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of 34%, while Franchise Brands achieved a margin of 59% in fiscal Q2 2026.
    • +The improving balance sheet supports the company's ability to fund growth, as interest expense in fiscal Q2 2026 declined by $10.4 million to $20.8 million, net leverage decreased to 3.1 times, and free cash flow increased to $44.7 million.
    • +The core businesses demonstrated operating resilience in fiscal Q2 2026; same-store sales grew across all segments, the collision repair business outperformed the industry by approximately 200 basis points, and Auto Glass Now became the second-largest operator in the automotive glass market, according to management.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Conditions among lower-income consumers are pressuring demand, and management observed continued moderation among new and lower-income Take 5 customers. It also expected Maaco to remain under pressure during the second half of fiscal year 2026 because of its greater reliance on discretionary spending.
    • −Management indicated that full-year results would trend toward the low end of the fiscal year 2026 ranges, despite maintaining guidance for revenue between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $430 million and $460 million, and adjusted earnings per share between $1.15 and $1.25. This reflects caution regarding consumer demand, disruption in energy markets, and accounting costs.
    • −Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in fiscal Q2 2026 declined by $7.9 million to $107 million, and its margin decreased by approximately 300 basis points to 21.1%. Take 5's margin also declined by approximately 70 basis points due to inflation and store operating expenses, demonstrating that revenue growth did not fully translate into earnings growth.
    • −Restatement costs totaled $11.8 million in fiscal Q2 2026 and $20.9 million fiscal year to date, and management expects the annual cost to reach the high end of the $35 million to $45 million range. The company also recorded approximately $4 million in prior-period costs related to cleaning up items from fiscal year 2024 and earlier, increasing execution and accounting credibility risks until the remediation and audit work is completed.
    • −Take 5 faces higher oil and input costs, and the company and some franchisees began raising prices during fiscal Q2 2026, with further cost increases expected in the second half. Despite strong supplier relationships and no expected near-term supply shortage unless conditions change materially, passing through price increases may become more difficult among lower-income customers.
    • −

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $15.47, within a wide range of $13 to $18, with a consensus Buy rating; the average remains approximately 21.6% below the 52-week range high of $19.74, while the range low is $9.8. The highest analyst target also matches the rejected acquisition offer value of $18 per share, and the wide target range reflects uncertainty related to consumer pressure, restatement costs, and fiscal year 2026 guidance trending toward the low end. No valid price-to-earnings ratio was presented in the data, so it cannot be used to value the stock without fabricating an unavailable figure.

    BuyAnalyst target: $15.47(+27.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the main growth driver for DRVN stock in fiscal year 2026?

    Take 5 represents the clearest growth driver, achieving 3.6% same-store sales growth and 13% system-wide sales growth during fiscal Q2 2026. The brand added 50 net locations during the quarter and more than 175 locations during the preceding twelve months, bringing its network to more than 1,400 locations. Its future plan is supported by a development pipeline of approximately 800 locations and a target of opening 150 or more locations annually to reach more than 2,500 locations.

    What is Driven Brands' guidance for fiscal year 2026?

    Management maintained its expectations for revenue between $1.95 billion and $2.05 billion in fiscal year 2026, with same-store sales growth between zero and 2%. It expects to add between 160 and 190 net locations, generate adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $430 million and $460 million, and deliver adjusted earnings per share between $1.15 and $1.25. However, management said on August 6, 2026, that results were likely to approach the low end because of weakness among lower-income consumers, energy disruption, and restatement costs.

    How do restatement costs affect DRVN's results?

    Driven Brands recorded restatement costs of $11.8 million in fiscal Q2 2026, bringing its fiscal year-to-date cost to $20.9 million. These costs contributed to an approximately 300-basis-point decline in the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin to 21.1%, and management expects the annual cost to reach the high end of the $35 million to $45 million range. Auto Glass Now also incurred approximately $4 million in costs related to fiscal year 2024 and earlier, reducing its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to $3.5 million.

    How important is Franchise Brands to Driven Brands' economics?

    Franchise Brands includes the Meineke, Maaco, and CARSTAR brands and serves as a high-margin cash flow generator within the group. The segment recorded same-store sales growth of 0.5% and an adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of 59% in fiscal Q2 2026. Meineke led the performance, while Maaco remained under pressure, and the collision repair business outperformed the broader industry by approximately 200 basis points during the same quarter.

    What does ADW Capital's move mean for DRVN shareholders?

    On August 7, 2026, ADW Capital, which owns 4.8% of Driven Brands, called for the immediate initiation of a public sale process and a strategic review overseen by an independent committee. The call followed the board's unanimous rejection of an $18-per-share cash acquisition offer, which represented a 39% premium to the referenced closing price when it was submitted. The board said the offer was highly conditional and materially undervalued the company's long-term opportunities, so activist investor pressure remains an influential factor without a confirmed sale transaction in the data.

    Are Driven Brands' debt position and cash flows improving?

    The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with net leverage of 3.1 times, compared with a target of 3 times by the end of fiscal year 2026. Free cash flow totaled $44.7 million, an increase of $13.2 million year over year, while net capital expenditures declined by $11.7 million to $31 million. Management expects free cash flow between $125 million and $145 million during fiscal year 2026, with net capital expenditures equal to approximately 6.5% of revenue.

    Take 5 operates in a quick-lube market that management described as fragmented and comprising national, regional, and local operators and automotive dealers, creating continuous competition for traffic and pricing. Auto Glass Now also remains in the incubation stage, and management expects its growth to fluctuate from quarter to quarter and depend partly on the timing of new contract wins.