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DiamondRock Hospitality Company
DRH

DRH DiamondRock Hospitality Company

DiamondRock Hospitality Company · NASDAQ
Market Closed
12.20
▲ ⁦+0.16%⁩ (+0.02)
Market Cap$2.5B
Beta0.99
52w Low52w High
7.4813.79
Last Week
⁦+1.67%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.63%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+9.22%⁩
Last Year
⁦+45.76%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall79
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/9DistressBetter than 79% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
62
16.7x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
58
1.0%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
65
7.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
55
3.0x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
29
3.11%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
91
50.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
74
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$12
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$14
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$11–$15⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$6.68
⁦-45%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.8⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$6.68–$14⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$13.38
⁦+9.7%⁩
Current Price $12.20·Median $13.63
Low
$11.00
High
$15.00
Current price
$12.20
Average target
$13.38
Street summary

DiamondRock Hospitality Price Target Review

Bullish tilt

DRH stock has seen a clear bullish trend over the past 30 days, with the average price target jumping 13.28% to reach $13.05, up from $11.52 in July 2026. This upward adjustment was made by the same analyst base (4 analysts), indicating a positive reassessment of future performance by current analysts, despite Citigroup maintaining a 'Neutral' rating in its latest update in July.

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+11.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.50
Buy
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
7
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.50
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    Morgan Stanley
    —· $9.60
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    Stifel Nicolaus
    —· $11.25
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.71x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    21.59x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.59x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.5%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.0%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    170.4%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    54.0%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    7.0%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.01x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.1%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    51.4%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.31
    -0.883.10
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

DiamondRock Hospitality Company is a hotel real estate investment trust that owns a portfolio of resorts and urban hotels and generates revenue from rooms and guest spending within its properties, including food and beverages, spas, and parking. The company relies on a mix of independent and branded hotels; approximately 90% of the portfolio operates under third-party management agreements that the company may terminate at will, while room-level EBITDA at its independent hotels has historically been 50% higher than at its branded hotels.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue was $318.3 million, net income was $90.5 million, and earnings per share were $0.44, compared with revenue of $258.2 million and net income of $14.5 million in fiscal Q1 2026. Adjusted EBITDA was $108 million, and adjusted FFO per share was $0.44, but the results included a $6.9 million, or $0.03 per share, settlement of multiyear property tax disputes for the two Chicago hotels.

Comparable RevPAR increased 7% in fiscal Q2 2026, and total RevPAR increased 5.6%. Resorts recorded RevPAR growth of 7.9%, compared with 6.6% for urban hotels, while both group revenue and transient revenue grew by more than 6%. With total hotel revenue growing 5.5% and operating expenses increasing only 1.8%, the adjusted hotel EBITDA margin expanded by 240 basis points; excluding the one-time property tax benefit, the FFO margin expanded by 303 basis points.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 outlook to RevPAR growth of between 2.5% and 4%, adjusted EBITDA of between $310 million and $320 million, and adjusted FFO per share of between $1.18 and $1.23; with expected capital expenditures of between $75 million and $85 million, the updated outlook indicates 18% growth in free cash flow per share.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Comparable RevPAR growth accelerated from approximately 5.5% in both April and May 2026 to 10.1% in June 2026, with broad-based growth across group, transient, and leisure demand, while the World Cup contributed only approximately 90 basis points to quarterly RevPAR growth and an expected approximately 30 basis points for fiscal 2026.
  • L'Auberge de Sedona outperformed expectations; during the first three quarters after integrating the resort, revenue increased 17%, adjusted hotel EBITDA increased 40%, and the margin expanded by 670 basis points compared with two years earlier. The company raised the property's expected contribution to fiscal 2026 RevPAR growth from 50 basis points to at least 75 basis points, while a $25 million investment is now on track to generate a 20% return on invested capital.
  • On-property spending reflects the strength of the higher-income traveler segment; the average daily guest folio exceeded $475 in fiscal Q2 2026, and hotels above this level accounted for approximately two-thirds of EBITDA. At the five hotels with the highest average daily rates, the average folio exceeded $1,200 per night, while hotels with average daily rates above $300 outperformed by approximately 300 basis points in total RevPAR growth during the twelve months ended in the quarter.
  • The balance sheet provides the company with capital allocation flexibility, as it has no debt maturities before 2029, no secured or convertible debt, no preferred stock, and no off-balance-sheet obligations. Management estimated that remaining within a net debt-to-EBITDA range of between 3 and 4 times could provide approximately $500 million of additional investment capacity.
  • The company increased its quarterly cash distribution per share by 22% to $0.11 after free cash flow per share grew by approximately 30% over the twelve-month period. Management sees five earnings drivers for 2027, including the strength of higher-income travelers, limited new supply, strong event calendars in Boston, Chicago, and San Diego, and $80 million of renovation investments in hotels representing approximately one-quarter of EBITDA whose results have not yet stabilized.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 demonstrated strong operating leverage, as total hotel revenue grew 5.5% against a 1.8% increase in expenses, expanding the adjusted hotel EBITDA margin by 240 basis points and increasing diluted free cash flow per share over the twelve-month period by 27% to $0.80.
    • +Comparable RevPAR growth of 7% came from multiple sources, including growth of more than 6% in both group and transient revenue and growth of between 9% and 12% during the last three major holiday weekends, reducing the quarter's reliance on the World Cup alone.
    • +L'Auberge de Sedona provides tangible evidence of the company's ability to increase property returns through investment and management; the property's adjusted hotel earnings increased 40%, and the pace of group bookings for 2027 more than doubled compared with the 2026 level.
    • +The combination of the raised fiscal 2026 outlook, no debt maturities until 2029, and estimated investment capacity of approximately $500 million gives DiamondRock options to fund renovations, acquisitions, or capital returns without exceeding management's estimated target leverage range.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The portfolio's strength depends heavily on spending by higher-income travelers; hotels where the average daily guest folio exceeded $475 generated approximately two-thirds of EBITDA in fiscal Q2 2026. Any weakness in this segment or in demand for high-priced experiences could have a disproportionate impact on earnings, particularly because management cited weaker performance in Key West at a price point below the luxury tier.
    • −The company expects the pace of group bookings in fiscal Q3 2026 to be approximately flat following a gap in the August booking calendar, while the pace for the second half is only approximately 1% and is driven by strength in Q4. Moreover, early data for 2027 covers only 5% to 6% of total expected revenue, so management described its trend as volatile and insufficient for definitive projections.
    • −The pace of margin expansion is expected to moderate in the second half of fiscal 2026, with expense growth assumed at approximately 2.5%, higher labor costs associated with renewing the labor union contract at the New York hotel, and increased bonus accruals. Management also acknowledged that reducing labor hours cannot continue indefinitely and that higher occupancy will eventually require increased staffing levels.
    • −Competition for hotel acquisitions has intensified amid greater activity from private equity capital and wealthy individuals; the company found itself approximately 10% to 15% below winning bids in some transactions. This raises the risk of paying high prices or leaving investment capacity unused, and there was no imminent acquisition or announced definitive commitment as of the July 31, 2026 call.
    • −Municipal requirements and property constraints may limit some expansion opportunities; the company decided not to pursue the expansion of The Landing Lake Tahoe at this time because local municipal requirements made the cost uneconomical. The sale of the Chicago Marriott asset also remains uncertain, although the property tax assessment settlement improved visibility into the tax expense for a potential buyer.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $13.05, within a range of $11 to $14, while the top of this range is slightly above the 52-week range high of $13.79, and the average is approximately 5% below it. Consensus remains Neutral, and the absence of a displayed price-to-earnings multiple limits direct earnings-based comparisons, so the available valuation rests primarily on the company's ability to achieve expected adjusted FFO of between $1.18 and $1.23 per share and 18% growth in free cash flow per share in fiscal 2026, weighed against the risks of slowing margin growth and competition for acquisitions.

    HoldAnalyst target: $13.05(+7.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What were the key DRH results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    DiamondRock's revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 was approximately $318.3 million, net income was $90.5 million, and earnings per share were $0.44. The company generated adjusted EBITDA of $108 million and adjusted FFO of $0.44 per share. The result included a benefit of $6.9 million, or $0.03 per share, from settling multiyear property tax disputes for the two Chicago hotels. Comparable RevPAR increased 7%, with the adjusted hotel EBITDA margin expanding by 240 basis points.

    What is DiamondRock's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    Management raised its fiscal 2026 RevPAR growth forecast to a range of between 2.5% and 4%, an increase of 75 basis points at the midpoint of the previous range. It expects adjusted EBITDA of between $310 million and $320 million and adjusted FFO per share of between $1.18 and $1.23. Capital expenditures are estimated at between $75 million and $85 million, making the updated outlook consistent with 18% growth in free cash flow per share. Management expects RevPAR growth in fiscal Q4 2026 to be stronger than in Q3.

    Why is L'Auberge de Sedona important to DRH's earnings?

    During the first three quarters of operating L'Auberge de Sedona as an integrated resort, revenue increased 17% and adjusted hotel EBITDA increased 40% compared with two years earlier. The margin expanded by 670 basis points, prompting the company to raise its expected contribution to fiscal 2026 RevPAR growth from 50 basis points to at least 75 basis points. Management stated that a $25 million investment, which had been expected to add approximately $3 million of EBITDA, is now on track to generate a 20% return on invested capital. The pace of group bookings for the property in 2027 also exceeded twice the 2026 level.

    How does the performance of DiamondRock's resorts differ from that of its urban hotels?

    RevPAR at DiamondRock's resorts increased 7.9% in fiscal Q2 2026, led by L'Auberge de Sedona, Cavallo Point, the Jupiter resorts, and The Landing Lake Tahoe, which recorded double-digit growth. RevPAR at urban hotels increased 6.6%, then accelerated to approximately 10% in June 2026, led by The Dagny, the two Chicago hotels, Bourbon Orleans, Kimpton Palomar Phoenix, and Hotel Emblem. Group revenue growth was 6.6%, driven by rate increases of more than 3.5% and a 2.5% increase in room nights. The company expects adjusted urban hotel revenue to exceed 2019 levels by a double-digit percentage by the end of fiscal 2026.

    Can DRH fund investments and acquisitions without near-term debt pressure?

    DiamondRock has no debt maturities before 2029, no secured or convertible debt, no preferred stock, and no off-balance-sheet obligations, according to the July 31, 2026 call. Management estimated that net debt to EBITDA could approach 3 times by year-end if it does not complete additional transactions. Remaining within the target range of between 3 and 4 times would, by its estimate, provide approximately $500 million of additional borrowing and investment capacity. However, competition for assets is intense, as some of the company's bids were between 10% and 15% below the winning bids.

    What are the most important operating risks for DRH stock following the fiscal Q2 2026 results?

    One risk is that a large portion of earnings depends on high-spending hotels, as properties where the average daily guest folio exceeded $475 generated approximately two-thirds of EBITDA. Management expects expense growth of approximately 2.5% in the second half of fiscal 2026, with higher labor costs in New York and increased bonus accruals, and therefore expects the pace of margin improvement to moderate. The pace of group bookings in fiscal Q3 2026 is also expected to be approximately flat, with a gap in August bookings that the company is relying on short-term transient demand to fill. In addition, municipal requirements made the expansion of The Landing Lake Tahoe economically unfeasible at this time.

    −
    Analyst consensus on DRH is Neutral, with targets ranging from $11 to $14, and there is no displayed price-to-earnings multiple to rely on despite earnings per share of approximately $0.7457 on a trailing-twelve-month basis in the latest 2026 data. Insider activity also recorded net selling of approximately $236.3 thousand during the three months ended with the latest transaction on July 14, 2026, with one purchase and one sale; this is a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged.